Varonis Systems (VRNS)


Market Price (7/20/2026): $47.92 | Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Varonis Systems (VRNS)


Market Price (7/20/2026): $47.92
Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Cloud Security, and Identity Management.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -147 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5%

Key risks
VRNS key risks include [1] near-term financial headwinds from weaker-than-expected legacy renewals during its SaaS transition and [2] declining gross margins due to higher cloud infrastructure costs.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Cloud Security, and Identity Management.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -147 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.5%
6 Key risks
VRNS key risks include [1] near-term financial headwinds from weaker-than-expected legacy renewals during its SaaS transition and [2] declining gross margins due to higher cloud infrastructure costs.

VRNS in ETFs

Weight = VRNS's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.17%
VB0.05%
IWO0.34%
IGV0.19%
VTWO0.15%
VBK0.13%
+9 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/16/2026

Varonis Systems (VRNS) stock has gained about 120% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Varonis Systems (VRNS) reported a strong beat in its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings and subsequently raised its full-year guidance. The company announced on April 28, 2026, an EPS of $0.06, significantly exceeding analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.05 by $0.11 or 210.29%. Total revenue reached $173.13 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $165.52 million and marking a 26.9% year-over-year increase. Additionally, Varonis reported a 29% year-over-year growth in SaaS Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) excluding conversions, totaling $522.6 million. Following these results, management raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting total revenues between $731 million and $737 million (17%–18% year-over-year growth), free cash flow of $100 million to $105 million, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.11 to $0.12.

2. Reports of potential acquisition interest fueled significant speculation and stock price appreciation. On June 23, 2026, news emerged that Varonis was exploring a possible sale following takeover interest from prominent private equity firms, including Blackstone, Thoma Bravo, and Vista Equity Partners. This report acted as a strong catalyst, causing the stock to jump 10.0% on the day of the announcement due to bid speculation.

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Updated on 7/16/2026

Varonis Systems (VRNS) stock has gained about 120% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Varonis Systems (VRNS) reported a strong beat in its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings and subsequently raised its full-year guidance. The company announced on April 28, 2026, an EPS of $0.06, significantly exceeding analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.05 by $0.11 or 210.29%. Total revenue reached $173.13 million, surpassing analyst estimates of $165.52 million and marking a 26.9% year-over-year increase. Additionally, Varonis reported a 29% year-over-year growth in SaaS Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) excluding conversions, totaling $522.6 million. Following these results, management raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting total revenues between $731 million and $737 million (17%–18% year-over-year growth), free cash flow of $100 million to $105 million, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.11 to $0.12.

2. Reports of potential acquisition interest fueled significant speculation and stock price appreciation. On June 23, 2026, news emerged that Varonis was exploring a possible sale following takeover interest from prominent private equity firms, including Blackstone, Thoma Bravo, and Vista Equity Partners. This report acted as a strong catalyst, causing the stock to jump 10.0% on the day of the announcement due to bid speculation.

3. The company's strong positioning as a leader in AI security and its successful ongoing transition to a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model. Varonis emphasizes its role as a "data and AI security leader", actively integrating AI security into its offerings, such as the Atlas AI security platform and integrating Claude Compliance API activity into it. The company's platform is designed to secure AI and its underlying data, aligning with the increasing importance of AI-driven threat detection and autonomous security operations in the broader cybersecurity industry during fiscal Q2 2026. The shift to a subscription-based model, which constituted 93% of its revenue in fiscal Q1 2026, is also viewed favorably by investors for its predictable revenue streams.

4. Multiple analyst upgrades and increased price targets provided external validation and boosted investor confidence. During the specified period, several analyst firms raised their price targets for Varonis Systems. For instance, Needham & Company LLC increased its target from $36.00 to $40.00 on June 23rd, 2026, while DA Davidson raised its target from $30.00 to $37.00 on April 29th, 2026. More recently, TD Cowen lifted its price target from $40.00 to $50.00 on July 14, 2026, which contributed to a 6.9% rise in the stock, and RBC Capital raised its target to $52.00 from $36.00 on July 16, 2026, maintaining an "Outperform" rating. The consensus analyst rating remained a "Moderate Buy" with an average price target of $42.20 as of July 14, 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 121.4% change in VRNS stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 105.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267192026Change
Stock Price ($)21.4747.54121.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6246605.9%
P/S Multiple4.18.3105.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1181161.8%
Cumulative Contribution121.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VRNS121.4% 
Market (SPY)14.3%4.9%
Sector (XLK)32.1%15.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 44.9% change in VRNS stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257192026Change
Stock Price ($)32.8047.5444.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6096608.5%
P/S Multiple6.28.334.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)115116-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution44.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VRNS44.9% 
Market (SPY)9.3%17.8%
Sector (XLK)22.1%26.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.3% change in VRNS stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257192026Change
Stock Price ($)50.7547.54-6.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)57366015.2%
P/S Multiple10.08.3-16.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)113116-2.7%
Cumulative Contribution-6.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VRNS-6.3% 
Market (SPY)21.3%15.7%
Sector (XLK)39.2%18.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 78.4% change in VRNS stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 39.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237192026Change
Stock Price ($)26.6547.5478.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)48566036.2%
P/S Multiple6.08.339.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)108116-6.4%
Cumulative Contribution78.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VRNS78.4% 
Market (SPY)73.6%28.9%
Sector (XLK)105.8%28.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VRNS Return-11%-51%89%-2%-26%43%-14%
Peers Return1%-42%68%-6%-1%42%30%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRNS Win Rate58%42%75%33%50%57% 
Peers Win Rate65%29%69%48%37%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRNS Max Drawdown-39%-69%-21%-27%-52%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-56%-22%-36%-35%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SAIL, TENB, QLYS, OKTA, CRWD. See VRNS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/17/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventVRNSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-12.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven27 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven110.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven486 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven105 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven117 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-17.5%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven52 days6 days

Compare to SAIL, TENB, QLYS, OKTA, CRWD

In The Past

Varonis Systems's stock fell -12.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 14.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventVRNSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-52.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven110.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven486 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-44.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven105 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven117 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-43.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven76.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven112 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-42.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven105 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-47.0%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven88.8%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven1263 days1 days

Compare to SAIL, TENB, QLYS, OKTA, CRWD

In The Past

Varonis Systems's stock fell -12.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 14.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Varonis Systems (VRNS)

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Varonis Systems (VRNS) is a cybersecurity and data governance software company that empowers enterprises to manage, analyze, alert, and secure their critical data across both on-premises infrastructure and cloud environments. The company's primary mission is to protect sensitive information, including financial records, strategic plans, intellectual property, and personal data belonging to customers, patients, and employees, from internal and external threats, as well as ensure compliance with data regulations.

The core of Varonis's offerings includes a suite of integrated software products. DatAdvantage monitors and analyzes every data access event, providing visibility into user activity. DatAlert profiles user behavior to detect and flag suspicious deviations that may indicate a compromise. The Data Classification Engine identifies and tags sensitive data, while DataPrivilege simplifies the process for users to request and owners to grant access to necessary data. Other solutions like the Data Transport Engine and DatAnswers enhance data manipulation and search capabilities.

Varonis primarily serves IT, security, and business personnel within enterprises globally, including North America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company distributes its software and services through a network of resellers and distributors, addressing the increasing demand for robust data protection, compliance, and governance solutions in complex digital environments.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

1. It's like **CrowdStrike for your company's sensitive data and files.**

2. It's like **Splunk for enterprise data security and governance.**

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • DatAdvantage: This software captures, aggregates, normalizes, and analyzes every data access event for users across various servers, storage, email systems, and cloud applications.
  • DatAlert: This product profiles users, devices, and their behaviors related to systems and data, detecting and alerting on deviations that indicate compromise.
  • Data Classification Engine: This engine identifies and tags data based on set criteria, providing actionable intelligence for business and IT personnel.
  • DataPrivilege: It offers a self-service web portal enabling users to request access to necessary data and owners to grant that access without IT intervention.
  • Data Transport Engine: This engine unifies the manipulation of data and metadata, translating business decisions into technical commands like data migration or archiving.
  • DatAnswers: This product provides search functionality for enterprise data.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Varonis Systems (VRNS) sells its software products and services primarily to other companies, specifically to a broad range of enterprises across various industries.

The company's offerings are designed to protect data for these enterprises, serving their IT, security, and business personnel. The provided background information does not list the names of specific major customer companies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Yaki Faitelson, CEO, President, Co-Founder & Chairman of the Board

Yaki Faitelson co-founded Varonis Systems in 2005. He is responsible for leading the management, strategic direction, and execution of the company's vision. Before co-founding Varonis, he held leadership positions in the global professional services and systems integration divisions of NetVision and Network Appliance (NetApp).

Guy Melamed, CFO & COO

Guy Melamed serves as Varonis' Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer, overseeing global operations, business strategies, and financial management. He joined Varonis in 2011, serving in various finance roles, including Vice President of Finance, before being appointed CFO in 2017 and later COO in 2018. Prior to joining Varonis, he held positions as an Audit Manager at Ernst & Young and KPMG, working with both public and private companies.

David Bass, Executive VP of Engineering & CTO

David Bass is responsible for all of Varonis' product development and quality assurance. He has been with Varonis since 2005 and is the author of more than twenty Varonis patents. Previously, he held managerial development positions at NetVision Internet Applications.

Dana Shahar, Chief Human Resources Officer

Dana Shahar is responsible for all aspects of Human Resources at Varonis, including recruiting, employee relations, leadership, and organizational development. She joined Varonis in 2015. Prior to Varonis, she led "Intoto Solutions," an HR consulting company, and served as VP of Human Resources at Radcom for nine years.

David Gibson, Senior VP of Strategic Programs

David Gibson has over 20 years of technology and marketing experience and is responsible for building brand awareness, aligning product innovations with market demand, and driving sales through marketing and educational initiatives. He joined Varonis in 2006. Before Varonis, he was a systems engineer for Tripwire and a network management and security engineer at International Integrated Solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Varonis Systems (VRNS) largely revolve around its ongoing business model transformation and the intensely competitive cybersecurity landscape. The most significant risks include: 1. **Challenges with SaaS Transition and Legacy On-Premises Business** Varonis Systems is in the process of transitioning its business model from on-premises term licenses to a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model. While the SaaS component of its business is growing, the decline in its legacy on-premises term license subscriptions, particularly within the Federal vertical, has been more rapid and impactful than anticipated. This has created a significant "drag" on the company's overall Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth, leading to revenue misses and downward revisions of financial guidance. This struggle to effectively convert existing customers from the on-premises model to the SaaS platform has resulted in substantial stock price declines and has even led to securities class action lawsuits alleging misrepresentations regarding the SaaS transition's smoothness and conversion potential. 2. **Intense Competition in the Cybersecurity Market** Varonis operates in a highly competitive and rapidly evolving cybersecurity industry. The company faces significant competition from a diverse range of players, including large security vendors like Microsoft and IBM, specialist data security firms such as Imperva and Netwrix, and broader cybersecurity companies like CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks. This competitive pressure, coupled with the need for continuous innovation in the face of new and evolving cyber threats, poses a risk to Varonis's market position, pricing power, and overall profitability if it fails to differentiate its offerings or keep pace with technological advancements. 3. **Profitability Challenges and High Financial Leverage** Despite its growth-oriented focus, Varonis Systems has consistently reported negative profitability on key financial metrics, including operating margin and Return on Invested Capital (ROIC). The company also carries a high level of financial leverage, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio significantly above the market average. This high leverage increases the company's exposure to refinancing and interest coverage risks, especially if there is a slowdown in free cash flow generation or overall business growth. While the shift to SaaS is anticipated to improve margins and financial visibility in the long term, current profitability remains a notable concern.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing integration of comprehensive data security, governance, and compliance capabilities directly into major cloud service platforms (such as AWS, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud Platform) poses an emerging threat. As enterprises migrate more data and workloads to the cloud, the native offerings from these platform providers could diminish the need for specialized third-party solutions like Varonis, especially for cloud-native data, by offering tightly integrated, potentially more cost-effective, and holistic security and management within their ecosystems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Varonis Systems (VRNS) operates within several significant addressable markets related to data security, governance, and classification. The company has expanded its total addressable market (TAM) from an estimated legacy of $10 billion to approximately $32 billion globally, a growth attributed to securing cloud platforms, integrating Generative AI capabilities, and extending protection to cloud data stores and databases. Key addressable markets for Varonis Systems' main products and services include: * Data Security: The global data security market was valued at an estimated $172.67 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $656.47 billion by 2034, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.10%. North America held a substantial share of 31.50% of this market in 2025. * Data Governance: The global data governance market was valued at approximately $5.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $19.9 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 15.21% from 2026 to 2034. North America accounted for a significant portion of this market, holding a 35.3% share in 2025. * Data Classification: In 2024, the global data classification market size was valued at around $1.86 billion and is estimated to grow to $11.05 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 20.78% from 2025 to 2033. North America currently dominates this market, holding over 32.8% market share in 2024. * Insider Threat Protection/Management: The global insider threat protection market size was valued at $5.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to exceed $28.59 billion by 2035, demonstrating a CAGR of over 17.5% from 2026 to 2035. North America is expected to remain the largest region in this market, holding approximately a 30% share by 2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Varonis Systems (VRNS) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Accelerated Transition to and Growth of the Cloud-native SaaS Model: Varonis is undergoing a significant transition to a cloud-native Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, with management anticipating completing this shift by the end of 2026. This move is transforming unit economics and customer acquisition, with SaaS Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) making up a substantial and growing portion of total ARR, indicating a shift towards a more sustainable, recurring revenue model.
  2. Product Innovation and Expansion, focusing on AI-driven Security and Deeper Cloud Integrations: Varonis is continually enhancing its platform through product innovation, particularly in cloud security and AI-driven analytics. This includes ongoing investments in AI/Machine Learning (ML) threat detection models, automated data security solutions, and the integration of new AI security capabilities like Athena AI for accelerated investigations and autonomous remediation. Furthermore, Varonis is broadening its cloud integrations beyond major platforms like Microsoft 365 and Google Workspace to specialized SaaS applications and Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) storage, enabling greater visibility as data migrates.
  3. Geographic Expansion and Capitalizing on Regulatory Tailwinds: The company plans to expand its presence in both established and new markets, with a particular focus on regions experiencing increasing regulatory pressures and rising cloud technology adoption. Efforts include expanding local sales, partnerships, and data-residency options in areas such as EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa) and APJ (Asia-Pacific Japan), driven by compliance demands like GDPR and DORA.
  4. New Customer Acquisition and Upselling within the Existing SaaS Customer Base: As Varonis completes its SaaS transition, its sales organization is refocusing on acquiring new customers and expanding within existing SaaS accounts. The SaaS-first delivery model shortens deployment times, reducing friction for new customers. Strong net-dollar retention rates for SaaS customers indicate that existing clients are expanding their usage, supporting sustainable top-line growth and upsell-led revenue expansion.
  5. Expansion of Managed Detection and Response (MDDR) Service: The Managed Data Detection and Response service is a strategic initiative to expand Varonis' addressable market, especially into mid-market accounts that may not have mature Security Operations Center (SOC) teams. This service aims to accelerate customer acquisition and increase the average contract value by providing 24/7 expert monitoring.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Varonis Systems' board of directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million of its common stock on February 10, 2025, expected to be completed over the subsequent 12 months.
  • On October 28, 2025, the company announced a new share repurchase program, authorizing repurchases of up to $150 million of its common stock over the next 12 months.
  • In the fourth quarter of 2025, Varonis repurchased $15 million worth of shares, acquiring 448,439 shares at an average price of $33.45 per share.

Share Issuance

  • The number of common shares outstanding increased from 109,103,721 as of February 2, 2024, to 112,550,156 as of January 31, 2025. Diluted shares outstanding for Q4 2025 were 133.3 million.

Outbound Investments

  • Varonis acquired Altru.ai in February 2026, aiming to manage and secure AI across the enterprise.
  • The company acquired Cyral in October 2025, which contributes to its Next-Gen Database Activity Monitoring (DAM) capabilities.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $10 million in 2021, $11 million in 2022, $5.10 million in 2023, $6.69 million in 2024, and $15.5 million in 2025.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures is to support the company's transition to a SaaS delivery model and to enhance its data security platform.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

VRNSSAILTENBQLYSOKTACRWDMedian
NameVaronis .SailPointTenable Qualys Okta CrowdStr. 
Mkt Price47.5415.6839.88159.43149.35203.0898.44
Mkt Cap5.58.94.65.726.351.57.3
Rev LTM6601,1211,0226852,9965,0941,072
Op Inc LTM-147-20223231170-199-62
FCF LTM1161852532908961,431272
FCF 3Y Avg100-2142687431,161268
CFO LTM1342062672959201,819281
CFO 3Y Avg113-2282767651,483276

Growth & Margins

VRNSSAILTENBQLYSOKTACRWDMedian
NameVaronis .SailPointTenable Qualys Okta CrowdStr. 
Rev Chg LTM15.2%24.0%10.7%10.2%11.7%23.2%13.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%-12.8%10.6%15.2%27.8%12.8%
Rev Chg Q26.9%21.6%9.6%9.8%11.2%25.6%16.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.9%4.6%2.3%2.4%2.6%5.9%3.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM-29.4%33.8%308.6%19.0%639.1%17.7%26.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-9.2%-142.1%20.7%264.9%-1,105.5%20.7%
Op Mgn LTM-22.3%-18.0%2.2%33.7%5.7%-3.9%-0.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-22.1%-31.3%-1.1%31.8%-2.8%-3.2%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%10.6%2.8%0.6%0.4%2.1%1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM20.4%18.3%26.1%43.1%30.7%35.7%28.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.4%-24.4%44.2%28.3%35.7%28.3%
FCF/Rev LTM17.5%16.5%24.7%42.4%29.9%28.1%26.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.2%-23.0%42.9%27.5%28.0%27.5%

Valuation

VRNSSAILTENBQLYSOKTACRWDMedian
NameVaronis .SailPointTenable Qualys Okta CrowdStr. 
Mkt Cap5.58.94.65.726.351.57.3
P/S8.37.94.58.38.810.18.3
P/Op Inc-37.4-43.7202.324.6154.7-258.6-6.4
P/EBIT-49.8-44.4157.824.697.81,753.761.2
P/E-42.2-56.2-392.728.2106.5-2,101.4-49.2
P/CFO40.943.017.319.228.628.328.5
Total Yield-2.4%-1.8%-0.3%3.5%0.9%-0.0%-0.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%-7.1%6.3%4.6%3.5%4.6%
D/E0.10.00.10.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

Returns

VRNSSAILTENBQLYSOKTACRWDMedian
NameVaronis .SailPointTenable Qualys Okta CrowdStr. 
1M Rtn42.4%17.6%48.4%43.2%26.8%18.6%34.6%
3M Rtn96.3%35.5%106.1%91.7%106.7%91.6%94.0%
6M Rtn41.8%-14.2%80.3%18.5%66.8%79.0%54.3%
12M Rtn-7.3%-26.5%20.7%14.4%56.5%70.7%17.6%
3Y Rtn80.3%-28.7%-5.5%21.7%114.1%448.6%51.0%
1M Excs Rtn41.1%12.0%48.9%41.0%29.2%20.3%35.1%
3M Excs Rtn93.0%28.2%103.7%83.7%101.5%88.3%90.7%
6M Excs Rtn28.8%-26.3%69.3%11.3%52.3%68.7%40.6%
12M Excs Rtn-24.5%-42.9%1.8%-3.9%44.9%53.6%-1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn16.1%-95.5%-72.5%-42.3%43.7%389.1%-13.1%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment624551499  
Maintenance and services   107119
Term license subscriptions   366271
Total624551499474390


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment-129-96-101
Total-129-96-101


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$47.54 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.5 
First Trading Date02/28/2014 
Distance from 52W High-24.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$35.74$33.81
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA33.0%40.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility48.6%69.6%
Downside Capture-145.6586.05
Upside Capture191.4758.82
Correlation (SPY)7.8%15.9%
VRNS Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.390.110.090.750.860.92
Up Beta-0.37-0.12-0.46-0.081.220.91
Down Beta0.350.17-0.040.350.610.85
Up Capture207%196%191%152%41%78%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11243968133396
Down Capture-46%-159%-129%107%97%98%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days10162355116347

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VRNS
VRNS-5.5%69.2%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLK)36.5%24.6%1.2118.2%
Equity (SPY)20.2%12.6%1.1815.7%
Gold (GLD)19.6%28.0%0.630.6%
Commodities (DBC)30.0%19.0%1.252.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.7%14.0%0.8111.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.3%42.8%-1.3321.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VRNS
VRNS-5.0%53.0%0.13-
Sector ETF (XLK)19.2%25.5%0.6741.2%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5741.5%
Gold (GLD)16.9%18.4%0.745.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%19.5%0.347.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0531.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.6%53.5%0.4424.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VRNS
VRNS19.1%47.5%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.5%24.8%0.9046.7%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7344.7%
Gold (GLD)11.0%16.1%0.555.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%17.9%0.3112.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%20.7%0.2234.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.5%66.2%0.9916.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6152026-12.1%
Average Daily Volume3.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity115.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/28/20267.3%7.7%25.0%
2/3/2026-10.8%-1.0%-10.2%
10/28/2025-48.7%-43.9%-48.7%
7/29/20255.3%1.6%7.9%
5/6/20252.3%3.6%13.3%
2/4/2025-7.4%-8.8%-12.1%
10/29/2024-10.7%-13.5%-15.7%
7/29/202414.6%3.7%18.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151213
# Negative91211
Median Positive6.8%7.8%13.1%
Median Negative-10.7%-6.9%-12.1%
Max Positive14.6%22.5%31.7%
Max Negative-48.7%-43.9%-48.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/28/20267.3%7.7%25.0%
2/3/2026-10.8%-1.0%-10.2%
10/28/2025-48.7%-43.9%-48.7%
7/29/20255.3%1.6%7.9%
5/6/20252.3%3.6%13.3%
2/4/2025-7.4%-8.8%-12.1%
10/29/2024-10.7%-13.5%-15.7%
7/29/202414.6%3.7%18.5%
5/6/20240.9%-1.1%-3.9%
2/5/20246.7%9.7%9.3%
10/30/20236.8%7.8%31.7%
7/31/202311.2%5.9%10.3%
5/1/20230.1%-0.2%13.1%
2/6/20238.8%5.5%2.7%
10/31/2022-35.5%-38.0%-20.7%
8/1/20229.6%22.5%7.6%
5/2/2022-12.2%-30.7%-25.6%
2/7/20223.5%8.0%10.2%
11/1/2021-5.7%-3.7%-24.2%
8/2/2021-3.3%-4.3%13.1%
5/3/2021-2.1%-12.1%-7.1%
2/8/202110.1%18.0%-7.7%
10/26/20200.1%-4.9%-4.3%
8/3/20209.7%8.9%18.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151213
# Negative91211
Median Positive6.8%7.8%13.1%
Median Negative-10.7%-6.9%-12.1%
Max Positive14.6%22.5%31.7%
Max Negative-48.7%-43.9%-48.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-K
09/30/202410/31/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/08/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/03/202110-Q
03/31/202105/04/202110-Q
12/31/202002/09/202110-K
09/30/202010/27/202010-Q
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/05/202010-Q
12/31/201902/11/202010-K
09/30/201910/30/201910-Q
06/30/201907/30/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/12/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 SaaS ARR Growth24.0%24.5%25.0%   
Q2 2026 Revenue175.00 Mil176.50 Mil178.00 Mil   
Q2 2026 Revenue Growth15.0%16.0%17.0%   
Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Loss-1.00 Mil-0.50 Mil0   
Q2 2026 EPS00.010.01   
2026 SaaS ARR814.00 Mil829.50 Mil845.00 Mil0.9% RaisedGuidance: 822.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Revenue Growth27.0%29.5%32.0% 13.0%RaisedGuidance: 16.5% for 2026
2026 SaaS ARR Growth20.0%20.5%21.0% 1.5%RaisedGuidance: 19.0% for 2026
2026 Free Cash Flow100.00 Mil102.50 Mil105.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 102.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Revenue731.00 Mil734.00 Mil737.00 Mil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 726.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Operating Income7.00 Mil8.00 Mil9.00 Mil3 RaisedGuidance: 2.00 Mil for 2026
2026 EPS0.110.120.1243.8% RaisedGuidance: 0.08 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 SaaS ARR Growth27.0%27.5%28.0%   
Q1 2026 Revenue164.00 Mil165.00 Mil166.00 Mil-1.8% Lower NewGuidance: 168.00 Mil for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Revenue Growth20.0%21.0%22.0%   
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Operating Loss-11.00 Mil-10.50 Mil-10.00 Mil   
Q1 2026 Non-GAAP Net Loss Per Share-0.06-0.06-0.05   
2026 SaaS ARR805.00 Mil822.50 Mil840.00 Mil12.1% Higher NewGuidance: 734.00 Mil for 2025
2026 SaaS ARR Growth26.0%29.0%32.0%   
2026 SaaS ARR Growth (Excluding Conversions)18.0%19.0%20.0%   
2026 Free Cash Flow100.00 Mil102.50 Mil105.00 Mil-16.3% Lower NewGuidance: 122.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Revenue722.00 Mil726.00 Mil730.00 Mil17.4% Higher NewGuidance: 618.20 Mil for 2025
2026 Revenue Growth16.0%16.5%17.0%   
2026 Non-GAAP Operating Income02.00 Mil4.00 Mil   
2026 Non-GAAP Net Income Per Share0.060.080.1-36.0% Lower NewGuidance: 0.12 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue165.00 Mil168.00 Mil171.00 Mil1.5% Higher NewActual: 165.50 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP Operating Income01.50 Mil3.00 Mil-72.7% Lower NewActual: 5.50 Mil for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Non-GAAP EPS0.020.030.04-60.0% Lower NewActual: 0.07 for Q3 2025
2025 ARR730.00 Mil734.00 Mil738.00 Mil-2.3% LoweredGuidance: 751.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow120.00 Mil122.50 Mil125.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 122.50 Mil for 2025
2025 Revenue615.20 Mil618.20 Mil621.20 Mil-0.6% LoweredGuidance: 622.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Non-GAAP Operating Loss-8.20 Mil-6.70 Mil-5.20 Mil-323.3% LoweredGuidance: 3.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Non-GAAP EPS0.120.120.13-26.5% LoweredGuidance: 0.17 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Faitelson, YakovCEO, President, ChairmanDirectBuy210202622.4126,725598,90748,974,523Form
2Bass, DavidEVP Engineering & CTODirectBuy210202623.472,98069,94124,477,426Form
3Gavin, John J JRDirectBuy210202622.545,000112,7006,168,432Form
4Kess, Avrohom JDirectBuy210202622.2917,800396,7621,101,193Form
5Melamed, GuyCFO and COODirectSell902202559.591,50089,38524,557,337Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Faitelson, YakovCEO, President, ChairmanDirectBuy210202622.4126,725598,90748,974,523Form
2Bass, DavidEVP Engineering & CTODirectBuy210202623.472,98069,94124,477,426Form
3Gavin, John J JRDirectBuy210202622.545,000112,7006,168,432Form
4Kess, Avrohom JDirectBuy210202622.2917,800396,7621,101,193Form
5Melamed, GuyCFO and COODirectSell902202559.591,50089,38524,557,337Form
6Melamed, GuyCFO and COODirectSell902202559.523,892231,65224,617,770Form
7Melamed, GuyCFO and COODirectSell826202559.5310,400619,11224,853,596Form
8Melamed, GuyCFO and COODirectSell815202557.7242,7052,464,93324,698,215Form
9Melamed, GuyCFO and COODirectSell801202555.1051,8892,859,08425,930,170Form
10Van, Den Bosch FredDirectSell801202555.083,000165,2407,086,923Form
11Van, Den Bosch FredDirectSell604202550.006,000300,0006,583,300Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 20, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Silverback Asset Management LLC$17.9 Mil3.5%45TRIM -10.9%13F
Steelhead Partners LLC$34.9 Mil2.5%24ADD +166.7%13F
Opti Capital Management, LP$31.2 Mil2.2%36ADD +24.4%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$31.1 Mil1.0%49ADD +406.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Senvest Management, LLC$31.1 Mil1.0%49ADD +406.1%13F
Steelhead Partners LLC$34.9 Mil2.5%24ADD +166.7%13F
Opti Capital Management, LP$31.2 Mil2.2%36ADD +24.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
RGM Capital, LLC$103.7 Mil5.0%17ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Cadian Capital Management, LP$74.9 Mil5.4%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Soma Equity Partners LP$74.0 Mil4.3%16ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Lynrock Lake LP$22.8 Mil1.5%27ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Silverback Asset Management LLC$17.9 Mil3.5%45TRIM -10.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Steelhead Partners LLC$34.9 Mil2.5%24ADD +166.7%13F
Opti Capital Management, LP$31.2 Mil2.2%36ADD +24.4%13F
Senvest Management, LLC$31.1 Mil1.0%49ADD +406.1%13F
Silverback Asset Management LLC$17.9 Mil3.5%45TRIM -10.9%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/19/2026