Tearsheet

Varonis Systems (VRNS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.29 | Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Varonis Systems (VRNS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.29
Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -134 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Cloud Security, and Identity Management.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Cloud Security, and Identity Management.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -134 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VRNS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -46.6% stock movement for Varonis Systems (VRNS) around the specified time period: 1. Varonis Systems reported third-quarter 2025 revenue that fell short of analyst expectations. The company's reported revenue of $161.6 million missed the consensus estimate of $166.44 million.

2. The company issued disappointing guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025 and lowered its full-year Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) outlook. This weaker-than-expected forecast contributed significantly to investor concerns regarding the company's growth trajectory and future performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VRNS Return111%-11%-51%89%-2%-28%23%
Peers Return17%6%-28%56%117%22%268%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRNS Win Rate75%58%42%75%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate44%40%27%46%56%70% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRNS Max Drawdown-34%-19%-67%-6%-8%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-10%-35%-5%-5%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLTR, TYL, CVLT, CHOW, ECST. See VRNS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVRNSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-78.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven358.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven375 days120 days

Compare to PLTR, TYL, CVLT, CHOW, ECST


In The Past

Varonis Systems's stock fell -78.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -78.2% loss requires a 358.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Varonis Systems (VRNS)

Better Bets than Varonis Systems (VRNS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VRNS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Varonis Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VRNSPLTRTYLCVLTCHOWECSTMedian
NameVaronis .Palantir.Tyler Te.CommVaul.ChowChow.ECST  
Mkt Price31.52176.08461.84123.959.80-123.95
Mkt Cap3.6418.619.95.5--12.7
Rev LTM6093,8962,2981,096--1,697
Op Inc LTM-13485035486--220
FCF LTM1311,794600209--405
FCF 3Y Avg891,083467201--334
CFO LTM1471,818634216--425
CFO 3Y Avg1001,101512206--359

Growth & Margins

VRNSPLTRTYLCVLTCHOWECSTMedian
NameVaronis .Palantir.Tyler Te.CommVaul.ChowChow.ECST  
Rev Chg LTM11.4%47.2%10.6%22.0%--16.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%29.3%7.9%11.7%--10.8%
Rev Chg Q9.1%62.8%9.7%18.4%--14.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%13.2%2.3%4.1%--3.2%
Op Mgn LTM-22.0%21.8%15.4%7.8%--11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-22.1%12.4%13.2%8.7%--10.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.6%5.3%0.3%-0.7%---0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM24.2%46.6%27.6%19.7%--25.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.8%35.8%24.1%22.3%--23.2%
FCF/Rev LTM21.6%46.0%26.1%19.1%--23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.8%35.1%21.9%21.8%--21.9%

Valuation

VRNSPLTRTYLCVLTCHOWECSTMedian
NameVaronis .Palantir.Tyler Te.CommVaul.ChowChow.ECST  
Mkt Cap3.6418.619.95.5--12.7
P/S10.9111.39.87.6--10.3
P/EBIT-69.9510.458.396.5--77.4
P/E-57.7395.971.6104.5--88.0
P/CFO44.9238.635.638.9--41.9
Total Yield-1.7%0.3%1.4%1.0%--0.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.6%1.0%2.2%3.9%--1.9%
D/E0.10.00.00.1--0.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0---0.0

Returns

VRNSPLTRTYLCVLTCHOWECSTMedian
NameVaronis .Palantir.Tyler Te.CommVaul.ChowChow.ECST  
1M Rtn-12.6%-15.0%-1.1%-11.7%11.4%--11.7%
3M Rtn-43.1%13.7%-16.6%-30.8%---23.7%
6M Rtn-36.9%35.4%-20.1%-32.0%---26.0%
12M Rtn-37.9%148.1%-25.9%-27.3%---26.6%
3Y Rtn44.3%2,198.7%35.0%85.2%--64.8%
1M Excs Rtn-12.6%-15.0%-1.1%-11.7%11.4%--11.7%
3M Excs Rtn-48.8%7.4%-22.0%-35.4%---28.7%
6M Excs Rtn-51.6%20.7%-34.8%-46.7%---40.7%
12M Excs Rtn-50.5%148.9%-40.1%-41.3%---40.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.4%2,286.4%-31.4%17.7%---2.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment499    
Maintenance and services 107119130135
Term license subscriptions 36627116177
Perpetual licenses   142
Total499474390293254


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-101    
Total-101    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,561,893
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.1%
Average Daily Volume2,183,175
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.01
Basic Shares Quantity114,974,455
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-K 12/31/2021