Tearsheet

Tenable (TENB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.655 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Tenable (TENB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.655
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.5%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 334x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Network Security, and Cloud Security.
  Key risks
TENB key risks include [1] a history of significant net losses that challenge its path to profitability and [2] financial metrics indicating potential instability, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Software Security, Network Security, and Cloud Security.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.5%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 334x
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1%
8 Key risks
TENB key risks include [1] a history of significant net losses that challenge its path to profitability and [2] financial metrics indicating potential instability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TENB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining Tenable's stock movement by -20.2% from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Despite beating Q3 2025 earnings estimates, the stock experienced a notable decline. While Tenable reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 results on October 29, 2025, surpassing analyst estimates for both EPS and revenue, the stock notably fell by 5.63% on the day of the announcement, indicating underlying investor concerns that transcended the positive headline figures.

2. Underwhelming calculated current billings growth and an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) miss suggested challenges. Despite overall revenue growth, the company's calculated current billings, a key indicator of cash revenue, showed a more modest 8% year-over-year increase for Q3 2025. Furthermore, Tenable's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $1.17 billion missed analyst estimates of $1.38 billion, representing a 15.1% miss, which signaled potential difficulties in customer acquisition and retention and a deceleration in growth.

3. Multiple analyst downgrades and reduced price targets contributed to negative sentiment. Following the Q3 earnings report, several equity research firms lowered their price targets for Tenable's stock. Analysts cited reasons such as "modest growth," "lack of catalysts," and a "sector perform" rating, further impacting investor confidence.

4. Management's guidance implied a deceleration in future revenue growth. Even with a modest raise in its calendar year 2025 revenue and calculated current billings guidance, management's outlook for Q4 2025 implied a further deceleration into the high single-digit growth range. This tempered growth forecast likely fueled investor apprehension about the company's near-term performance.

5. The stock hit new 52-week lows amid a general bearish sentiment in the market. Tenable's stock reached new 52-week lows in December 2025, trading as low as $24.50. This reflected a broader bearish sentiment, concerns about technology valuations, and investor uncertainty regarding the company's sustained growth trajectory and competitive standing in the cybersecurity landscape.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TENB Return118%5%-31%21%-15%-37%3%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TENB Win Rate67%58%33%58%50%25% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TENB Max Drawdown-30%-31%-47%-9%-16%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RMBS, CVLT, OPEN, PRGS, AGPU. See TENB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTENBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-53.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven114.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven54 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven607 days120 days

Compare to RMBS, CVLT, OPEN, PRGS, AGPU


In The Past

Tenable's stock fell -53.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -53.3% loss requires a 114.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tenable (TENB)

Better Bets than Tenable (TENB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TENB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tenable

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TENBRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSAGPUMedian
NameTenable Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Axe Comp. 
Mkt Price24.6690.61123.196.1243.615.3934.13
Mkt Cap3.09.85.54.51.9-4.5
Rev LTM9756781,0964,7199402957
Op Inc LTM-524786-204174-1140
FCF LTM248292209887186-11228
FCF 3Y Avg1812202011,349194-12197
CFO LTM265319216899192-11240
CFO 3Y Avg1942462061,374199-12203

Growth & Margins

TENBRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSAGPUMedian
NameTenable Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Axe Comp. 
Rev Chg LTM11.1%31.0%22.0%-4.5%31.4%-5.9%16.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.6%17.3%11.7%-31.7%17.6%4.9%13.2%
Rev Chg Q11.2%22.7%18.4%-33.6%39.8%384.3%20.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%5.1%4.1%-8.9%8.2%310.5%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-0.5%36.5%7.8%-4.3%18.5%-673.7%3.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.3%27.8%8.7%-5.4%19.4%-814.1%2.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%0.2%-0.7%-0.4%-1.2%2,164.9%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM27.2%47.0%19.7%19.1%20.4%-675.9%20.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.9%44.2%22.3%15.2%26.2%-726.7%22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM25.4%43.1%19.1%18.8%19.8%-676.8%19.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.4%39.3%21.8%14.8%25.5%-743.6%21.1%

Valuation

TENBRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSAGPUMedian
NameTenable Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Axe Comp. 
Mkt Cap3.09.85.54.51.9-4.5
P/S3.616.57.61.32.0-3.6
P/EBIT334.441.896.5-32.713.8-41.8
P/E-104.849.0104.5-18.738.9-38.9
P/CFO13.335.138.96.69.8-13.3
Total Yield-1.0%2.0%1.0%-5.4%2.6%-1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.3%3.3%3.9%60.3%8.4%-4.3%
D/E0.10.00.10.30.8-0.1
Net D/E0.0-0.1-0.00.10.7-0.0

Returns

TENBRMBSCVLTOPENPRGSAGPUMedian
NameTenable Rambus CommVaul.Opendoor.Progress.Axe Comp. 
1M Rtn-5.4%-0.6%-2.1%-21.9%9.6%--2.1%
3M Rtn-17.3%-7.1%-35.0%-40.1%4.1%--17.3%
6M Rtn-24.7%49.6%-31.6%956.1%-30.8%--24.7%
12M Rtn-40.6%55.7%-26.0%220.4%-36.7%--26.0%
3Y Rtn-34.5%143.9%94.8%385.7%-12.5%-94.8%
1M Excs Rtn-6.1%-1.3%-2.8%-22.7%8.9%--2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-20.2%-17.0%-38.3%-39.8%-1.0%--20.2%
6M Excs Rtn-37.1%37.3%-44.0%943.7%-43.2%--37.1%
12M Excs Rtn-51.8%46.8%-38.1%207.7%-47.8%--38.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-106.2%70.0%22.4%253.6%-83.3%-22.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment799    
Perpetual license and maintenance revenue 51505154
Professional services and other revenue 20151210
Subscription revenue 613476377291
Total799683541440355


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,652,403
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume1,010,739
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.59
Basic Shares Quantity120,483,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20250.7%-3.4%-8.3%
7/30/2025-2.9%-6.8%-3.6%
4/29/2025-9.2%-7.6%-4.5%
2/5/2025-7.8%-8.4%-15.5%
10/30/2024-3.9%1.9%1.8%
7/31/2024-7.5%-12.0%-9.6%
5/1/20240.4%-0.4%-6.3%
2/6/20245.3%3.6%-1.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1198
# Negative131516
Median Positive5.1%4.0%4.6%
Median Negative-7.5%-7.6%-6.6%
Max Positive17.9%16.5%21.3%
Max Negative-19.1%-20.0%-27.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021