Tearsheet

SailPoint (SAIL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $20.38 | Market Cap: $11.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

SailPoint (SAIL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $20.38
Market Cap: $11.4 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.62
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -298 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Identity Management, Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 600x
2   Key risks
SAIL key risks include [1] intense competition within the dynamic identity security market and [2] the need for continuous innovation to address rapidly evolving cyber threats and maintain market leadership.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Identity Management, Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.62
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -298 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -29%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 600x
5 Key risks
SAIL key risks include [1] intense competition within the dynamic identity security market and [2] the need for continuous innovation to address rapidly evolving cyber threats and maintain market leadership.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SAIL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

SailPoint (SAIL) stock experienced a decline of approximately 4.25% from September 30, 2025, to December 16, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors during this approximate period.

1. Negative Market Reaction to Q3 2026 Earnings Despite Strong Results. SailPoint announced its fiscal third-quarter results on December 9, 2025, revealing a 20% year-over-year increase in revenue and an adjusted EPS that surpassed expectations. The company also achieved a significant milestone, exceeding $1 billion in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), which grew 28% year-over-year, and raised its full-year fiscal 2026 outlook. However, despite these positive financial metrics, the stock experienced a roughly 4% drop in premarket trading on the day of the announcement, indicating investor concerns beyond the headline numbers.

2. Widening GAAP Operating Loss. Despite strong revenue growth, SailPoint's GAAP operating loss widened to $42 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2026. This increase in loss was attributed to elevated equity-based compensation and amortization expenses. The ongoing GAAP unprofitability, even with improvements in other financial areas, likely contributed to investor apprehension.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SAIL Return
Peers Return47%23%-23%36%25%21%186%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAIL Win Rate40% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%33%60%58%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAIL Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-10%-38%-6%-7%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OKTA, MSFT, ORCL, IBM. See SAIL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SAIL has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,183 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SailPoint (SAIL)

Better Bets than SailPoint (SAIL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SAIL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.1%10.1%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.5%13.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.1%9.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SailPoint

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SAILOKTAMSFTORCLIBMMedian
NameSailPointOkta MicrosoftOracle Internat. 
Mkt Price20.3888.42476.12178.46303.32178.46
Mkt Cap12.316.23,539.0805.5283.3283.3
Rev LTM1,0172,840293,81261,01765,40261,017
Op Inc LTM-298122135,93719,49011,54411,544
FCF LTM689578,017-13,18111,854895
FCF 3Y Avg-63471,3022,15511,7536,954
CFO LTM21912147,03922,29613,48313,483
CFO 3Y Avg-655121,38419,87413,49816,686

Growth & Margins

SAILOKTAMSFTORCLIBMMedian
NameSailPointOkta MicrosoftOracle Internat. 
Rev Chg LTM23.4%12.1%15.6%11.1%4.5%12.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-18.1%13.2%9.8%2.6%11.5%
Rev Chg Q19.8%11.6%18.4%14.2%9.1%14.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%2.8%4.3%3.4%2.1%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM-29.3%4.3%46.3%31.9%17.7%17.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-36.0%-8.8%44.6%30.8%16.4%16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%1.3%0.6%0.3%0.6%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM2.0%32.1%50.0%36.5%20.6%32.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.5%47.2%35.5%21.4%30.5%
FCF/Rev LTM0.6%31.5%26.6%-21.6%18.1%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-24.6%28.0%5.1%18.6%21.6%

Valuation

SAILOKTAMSFTORCLIBMMedian
NameSailPointOkta MicrosoftOracle Internat. 
Mkt Cap12.316.23,539.0805.5283.3283.3
P/S12.15.713.113.24.012.1
P/EBIT--29.6-23.226.4
P/E-39.283.036.752.233.336.7
P/CFO600.217.726.236.119.526.2
Total Yield-2.6%1.2%3.4%2.6%5.4%2.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.6%0.7%2.4%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--2.3%-6.4%4.4%
D/E--0.0-0.30.1
Net D/E---0.0-0.20.1

Returns

SAILOKTAMSFTORCLIBMMedian
NameSailPointOkta MicrosoftOracle Internat. 
1M Rtn10.2%9.1%-6.2%-18.8%2.1%2.1%
3M Rtn-3.5%-1.8%-6.5%-40.7%17.7%-3.5%
6M Rtn-11.2%-10.7%-0.5%-15.0%8.4%-10.7%
12M Rtn-3.5%5.5%6.2%35.9%5.9%
3Y Rtn-30.2%99.2%132.7%141.5%116.0%
1M Excs Rtn9.5%8.3%-6.9%-19.6%1.3%1.3%
3M Excs Rtn-10.5%-6.9%-7.5%-41.1%13.7%-7.5%
6M Excs Rtn-23.6%-23.1%-12.9%-27.4%-4.0%-23.1%
12M Excs Rtn--3.2%-3.8%-7.1%23.7%-3.5%
3Y Excs Rtn--39.3%24.6%59.4%58.4%41.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024
Subscription623 
Services and other7153
Perpetual licenses658
Maintenance 142
Other subscription services 7
Software as a service (SaaS) 119
Term subscriptions 71
Total700450


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity15,145,959
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.3%
Average Daily Volume1,426,586
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.62
Basic Shares Quantity557,520,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/2025-1.9%1.9% 
9/9/2025-7.7%-3.1%-1.7%
3/26/2025-1.2%-16.1%-22.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive010
# Negative323
Median Positive 1.9% 
Median Negative-1.9%-9.6%-11.9%
Max Positive 1.9% 
Max Negative-7.7%-16.1%-22.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251210202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025910202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025612202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025327202510-K 1/31/2025
13120242142025424B4 1/31/2024

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Green Ronald J10142025Sell21.807,950173,339778,632Form
1Payne AbbyChief People Officer10092025Sell22.1316,115356,67717,056,729Form
2Mills MattPresident10092025Sell22.1331,369694,29645,075,125Form
3Gnanasambandam ChandrasekarEVP Product & CTO10092025Sell22.137,834173,39112,748,391Form
4McClain Mark D.Chief Executive Officer10092025Sell22.1389,8021,987,606167,747,346Form