Vroom (VRM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $25.775 | Market Cap: $134.0 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Consumer Finance
Vroom (VRM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $25.775Market Cap: $134.0 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Consumer Finance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 288% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -744% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 274%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 215% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery. | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.95 |
| Key risksVRM key risks include [1] severe financial instability, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 288% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 274%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 215% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -744% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.95 |
| Key risksVRM key risks include [1] severe financial instability, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VRM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Vroom (VRM) stock moved by -12% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Widening Net Loss in Third Quarter 2025. Vroom announced a significant widening of its net loss from continuing operations to $(27.1) million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, compared to $(8.9) million in the second quarter of 2025. 2. Unfavorable Mark-to-Market on Fair Value Portfolio. The company reported a $(15.3) million unfavorable mark-to-market adjustment on its fair value portfolio for the three months ended September 30, 2025, which contributed to the expanded net loss.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VRM Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | 66% | 38% | -36% | 237% | 62% | 21% | 871% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VRM Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 62% | 37% | 55% | 57% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VRM Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -5% | -45% | -3% | -16% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVNA, KMX, LAD, AN, PAG. See VRM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
VRM has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Vroom Earnings Notes | |||
| Vroom Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Vroom Stock with -49% Return (vs. -91% YTD) [11/19/2024] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Vroom Stock with -23% Return (vs. -85% YTD) [11/5/2024] | Notification | ||
| Vroom vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation | ||
| Vroom Price Volatility | Volatility | ||
| Day 7 of Loss Streak for Vroom Stock with -40% Return (vs. 805% YTD) [8/9/2024] | Notification | ||
| Vroom Market Price | Market Price | ||
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for Vroom Stock with -45% Return (vs. 1,289% YTD) [2/23/2024] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Vroom Stock with -20% Return (vs. 0% YTD) [1/2/2024] | Notification | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| How Does Vroom Make Money? | July 1st, 2020 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VRM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.2% | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.4% | 4.4% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.5% | -10.5% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Vroom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 187.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.2 |
| Rev LTM | 27,142 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,290 |
| FCF LTM | 285 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 237 |
| CFO LTM | 480 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 469 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.2 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 6.3 |
| P/E | 12.3 |
| P/CFO | 18.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 22.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 65.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 21.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | -3.9% | -16.7% | 7.6% |
| 8/7/2025 | -0.7% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| 5/14/2025 | -7.9% | -11.6% | -2.2% |
| 2/20/2025 | � | � | � |
| 11/12/2024 | |||
| 8/8/2024 | |||
| 3/13/2024 | |||
| 11/7/2023 | |||
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 20 | 19 | 18 |
| Median Positive | 14.7% | 7.0% | |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -14.1% | -2.2% |
| Max Positive | � | 14.7% | 7.6% |
| Max Negative | -7.9% | -16.7% | -2.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |