Vogenx (VOGX)
Market Price (11/5/2026): $18.34 | Market Cap: $272.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Vogenx (VOGX)
Market Price (11/5/2026): $18.34Market Cap: $272.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -30% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Mil High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 125% Key risksVOGX key risks include [1] a critical dependency on the success of its single drug candidate, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -30% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.5 Mil |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 125% |
| Key risksVOGX key risks include [1] a critical dependency on the success of its single drug candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vogenx (VOGX) stock has gained about 50% since it went public on 8/12/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Successful Initial Public Offering and Significant Capital Infusion. Vogenx (VOGX) commenced trading on August 12, 2026, after pricing its initial public offering at $13.00 per share, at the high end of its anticipated range. The company successfully raised approximately $93.4 million in gross proceeds, including the full exercise of the underwriters' over-allotment option. This substantial capital infusion provided a strong financial runway to advance its clinical pipeline, particularly for its lead drug candidate, mizagliflozin.
2. Promising Lead Drug Candidate Addressing an Unmet Medical Need. Investor confidence was fueled by Vogenx's focus on developing mizagliflozin, an oral SGLT1 inhibitor, for serious metabolic conditions such as post-bariatric hypoglycemia (PBH). PBH currently lacks any FDA-approved therapies, positioning mizagliflozin as a potential first-in-class treatment within a multibillion-dollar market. The drug had already demonstrated statistically significant reductions in postprandial glucose absorption and insulin secretion in earlier Phase 2 clinical studies.
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Vogenx (VOGX) stock has gained about 50% since it went public on 8/12/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Successful Initial Public Offering and Significant Capital Infusion. Vogenx (VOGX) commenced trading on August 12, 2026, after pricing its initial public offering at $13.00 per share, at the high end of its anticipated range. The company successfully raised approximately $93.4 million in gross proceeds, including the full exercise of the underwriters' over-allotment option. This substantial capital infusion provided a strong financial runway to advance its clinical pipeline, particularly for its lead drug candidate, mizagliflozin.
2. Promising Lead Drug Candidate Addressing an Unmet Medical Need. Investor confidence was fueled by Vogenx's focus on developing mizagliflozin, an oral SGLT1 inhibitor, for serious metabolic conditions such as post-bariatric hypoglycemia (PBH). PBH currently lacks any FDA-approved therapies, positioning mizagliflozin as a potential first-in-class treatment within a multibillion-dollar market. The drug had already demonstrated statistically significant reductions in postprandial glucose absorption and insulin secretion in earlier Phase 2 clinical studies.
3. Bullish Analyst Coverage and Favorable Price Targets. Following the expiration of the customary quiet period on September 21, 2026, multiple analysts initiated coverage on Vogenx with positive ratings. Notably, JonesTrading issued a "buy" rating with a $55.00 price target, and WBB Securities provided a "speculative buy" rating with a $42.00 price target. These analyst endorsements and significantly higher price targets, compared to the IPO price, further bolstered investor sentiment and contributed to the stock's upward trajectory.
4. Advancement of Key Clinical Trials in Fiscal Q4 2026. Vogenx demonstrated continued progress in its clinical development, a critical factor for pre-revenue biotechnology companies. In October 2026, during fiscal Q4 2026, the company announced the initiation of its Phase 2b EMERGE study for mizagliflozin in patients with PBH. This tangible advancement of its lead clinical program served as a positive catalyst, indicating active development and moving closer to potential market opportunities.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VOGX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 2.6% | 3.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 16.7% | 23.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VOGX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 30.5% | 23.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VOGX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 13.4% | 3.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 33.2% | 23.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VOGX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 89.7% | 3.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 59.5% | 23.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VOGX Return | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 52% |
| Peers Return | -8% | 93% | -39% | -16% | 86% | 4% | 77% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 102% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VOGX Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 44% | 31% | 54% | 58% | 41% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 36% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VOGX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -54% | -69% | -54% | -33% | -49% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AMLX, VNDA, MDGL, ALT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
VOGX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.3% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 142 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 166 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 191 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.9% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.9% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 153 days | 123 days |
In The Past
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
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VOGX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -27.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 77 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.1% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 767 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -11.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 13.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Vogenx (VOGX)
Vogenx (VOGX) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel therapies for serious diseases associated with dysfunctions in human metabolism. Founded in 2021 by experienced leaders in metabolic drug development, the company's core mission is to address conditions such as post-bariatric hypoglycemia (PBH), gastroparesis, and GIP-dependent Cushing’s Syndrome (GDCS). Vogenx aims to advance its lead product candidate through clinical development and toward regulatory approval to serve patients with these specific metabolic disorders.
The company's primary product is mizagliflozin, an orally administered, minimally absorbed small molecule drug candidate. Mizagliflozin functions as a selective inhibitor of SGLT1, a glucose transporter located in the gastrointestinal tract responsible for dietary glucose absorption into the bloodstream. By inhibiting SGLT1, mizagliflozin is designed to reduce and delay postprandial glucose absorption, subsequently lowering the overproduction of insulin and glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide (GIP).
Vogenx has demonstrated promising clinical progress, having completed two Phase 2 clinical studies for mizagliflozin in patients with PBH, showing statistically significant reductions in postprandial glucose absorption and insulin secretion, and improvements in glucose nadir and peak. The company plans to begin screening patients for its Phase 2b EMERGE study for PBH in 2026. Additionally, Vogenx expects to initiate a Phase 2 proof-of-concept trial for gastroparesis in 2027 and submit an Investigational New Drug (IND) application for mizagliflozin in GDCS in the same year, targeting these specific patient populations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Vogenx is like a clinical-stage Eli Lilly, but hyper-focused on developing therapies for niche metabolic disorders such as post-bariatric hypoglycemia and gastroparesis.
Think of Vogenx as a specialized Novo Nordisk, working on novel treatments for specific gastrointestinal-related metabolic issues like post-bariatric hypoglycemia, rather than broad diabetes and obesity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Mizagliflozin: An orally administered, minimally absorbed small molecule drug candidate, a selective inhibitor of SGLT1, in development for the treatment of post-bariatric hypoglycemia (PBH), gastroparesis, and GIP-dependent Cushing’s Syndrome (GDCS).
- VGX-2857: A preclinical small molecule candidate being considered for metabolic disease indications, including weight maintenance.
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Major Customers of Vogenx (VOGX)
Vogenx (VOGX) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the discovery and development of novel therapies. The company's primary objective is to advance its lead investigational product candidate, mizagliflozin, through clinical development and towards regulatory approval for the treatment of serious diseases such as post-bariatric hypoglycemia, gastroparesis, and GIP-dependent Cushing’s Syndrome.
As Vogenx is currently in the research and clinical development stage and has not yet commercialized any products, it does not have major customers (either other companies or individual consumers) at this time. Its focus is on drug development and obtaining regulatory approval, rather than product sales.
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Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TYO: 4547)
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James Green, President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
James Green is a co-founder of Vogenx, serving since February 2021. Prior to Vogenx, Mr. Green was the chief executive officer of several clinical-stage pharmaceutical companies, including Avolynt and BHV Pharma. He has also held leadership positions at Lonza, GlaxoSmithKline, Ernst & Young, and Bank of America. Mr. Green began his career in banking, advising on mergers and acquisitions, financings, and other strategic transactions.
Steven Delmar, Chief Financial Officer, Corporate Secretary
Steven Delmar is a co-founder of Vogenx, serving since February 2021. He brings over two decades of experience as a chief financial officer of public companies and in various executive management positions within the pharmaceutical, telecommunications, and software industries. Mr. Delmar has successfully led several debt and equity financings, including an initial public offering, and managed the execution and integration of multiple acquisitions and private equity sale transactions.
William Wilkison, Ph.D., Chief Scientific Officer, Chair of the Scientific Advisory Board
William Wilkison, Ph.D., is a co-founder of Vogenx, serving since February 2021. Previously, Dr. Wilkison founded and served as a senior executive at various public and private drug development companies, where he was responsible for overall pipeline strategy and oversight of research and development activities. He spent several years at GlaxoSmithKline, and its predecessor companies, focusing on metabolic disease in worldwide business development, responsible for target and lead identification and development. Dr. Wilkison also held leadership roles at Avolynt and BHV Pharma.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Vogenx's business are primarily centered around the challenging and uncertain nature of drug development and its heavy reliance on a single product candidate.
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Clinical Development and Regulatory Approval Risk
Vogenx is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, meaning its lead product candidate, mizagliflozin, is still undergoing rigorous testing in human clinical trials. The success of the company is entirely contingent upon mizagliflozin successfully demonstrating efficacy and safety across multiple phases of clinical development and ultimately receiving regulatory approval from bodies like the FDA. This process is inherently lengthy, expensive, and subject to high failure rates. Vogenx is currently planning a Phase 2b study for PBH in 2026, a Phase 2 proof-of-concept trial for gastroparesis in 2027, and an IND submission for GDCS in 2027, all of which represent significant future hurdles that carry substantial risk. Even with positive early results, there is no guarantee of success in later-stage trials or of ultimate regulatory approval.
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Product Concentration Risk
Vogenx's business is almost entirely dependent on the successful development and commercialization of a single lead investigational product candidate, mizagliflozin. While the company mentions a preclinical candidate, VGX-2857, it is in a very early stage of development and does not significantly diversify the company's risk profile in the near term. Should mizagliflozin fail to achieve its clinical endpoints, encounter unexpected safety issues, or fail to gain regulatory approval for any of its target indications (PBH, gastroparesis, GDCS), Vogenx's future prospects and viability would be severely jeopardized.
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Post-Bariatric Hypoglycemia (PBH)
The global market for post-bariatric hypoglycemia treatment was valued at approximately USD 415.63 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 752.37 million by 2032. Another report indicates the market across the top 7 major markets (US, EU4, UK, and Japan) was USD 310.5 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 523.5 million by 2036. In 2025, the market size for PBH in the 7MM (United States, EU4, United Kingdom, and Japan) was approximately USD 470 million. The United States alone accounted for approximately 73% of the total market size in the 7MM in 2025. Approximately 160,000 people in the U.S. are living with PBH.Gastroparesis
The global gastroparesis treatment market was valued at USD 6.63 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 10.45 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.65% from 2025 to 2034. Another estimate places the global gastroparesis treatment market at USD 8.75 billion in 2026, expected to reach USD 12.31 billion by 2033. North America is the dominant region in the global gastroparesis treatment market, holding an estimated market share of 40.8% in 2026. The U.S. gastroparesis treatment market size was valued at USD 1.95 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach approximately USD 3.13 billion by 2034.GIP-dependent Cushing’s Syndrome (GDCS)
GIP-dependent Cushing's Syndrome (GDCS), also referred to as food-dependent Cushing's syndrome (FDCS), is a rare form of hypercortisolism. Specific market size data for GDCS alone is not available. However, the broader Cushing's Syndrome market provides an indication of the potential landscape. The global Cushing's Syndrome market was valued at approximately USD 1.13 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 1.87 billion by 2033. Another source estimates the global market for Cushing's Syndrome at USD 1.2 billion in 2026, with an expectation to reach USD 1.9 billion by 2033. The Cushing's Disease market in the 7MM (US, EU4, UK, and Japan) was valued at approximately USD 1,089 million in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 1,823 million by 2034.AI Analysis | Feedback
The expected drivers of future revenue growth for Vogenx (VOGX) over the next 2-3 years are centered on the clinical development and potential market expansion of its lead investigational product candidate, mizagliflozin:
- Advancement of Mizagliflozin for Post-Bariatric Hypoglycemia (PBH): Vogenx expects to begin screening patients in 2026 for its Phase 2b EMERGE study for mizagliflozin in PBH. Successful progression and positive outcomes in this clinical trial would be a significant driver by moving the drug closer to regulatory approval and eventual commercialization for a condition with observed reductions in hypoglycemic events.
- Expansion of Mizagliflozin into Gastroparesis: The company plans to initiate a Phase 2 proof-of-concept clinical trial of mizagliflozin in patients diagnosed with gastroparesis in 2027. This represents an entry into a new therapeutic area, expanding the potential market for mizagliflozin beyond PBH.
- Development of Mizagliflozin for GIP-Dependent Cushing’s Syndrome (GDCS): Vogenx anticipates submitting an Investigational New Drug (IND) application to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) in 2027 for the use of mizagliflozin in patients with GDCS. Gaining IND approval and progressing into clinical trials for this additional indication would further broaden the potential addressable market and future revenue streams for the company.
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Share Issuance
- Vogenx completed its initial public offering (IPO) on August 12, 2026, with its common stock beginning to trade on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the ticker symbol VOGX.
- The company issued 6,250,000 shares of its common stock at an offering price of $13.00 per share.
- The gross proceeds to Vogenx from the IPO were approximately $81.3 million, prior to deducting underwriting discounts, commissions, and other offering expenses.
Inbound Investments
- In 2021, Vogenx secured exclusive worldwide rights, excluding Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, to its lead investigational product candidate, mizagliflozin, from Kissei Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. This licensing agreement was obtained in exchange for certain milestone payments and future royalties on net sales.
Capital Expenditures
- Vogenx reported capital expenditures of $0.00 million as of December 2025 and for the trailing twelve months ended March 2026.
- For the six months ended December 2025, the company's cash flow for purchasing property, plant, and equipment was $0.00 million.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 19.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -153 |
| FCF LTM | -127 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -101 |
| CFO LTM | -127 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -98 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 73.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 24.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -3.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -18.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -77.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -255.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 8.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -60.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -197.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -65.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -201.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $19.73 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/12/2026 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -42.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $24.07 | |
| DMA Trend | ||
| Distance from DMA | -18.0% | |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 125.1% | 125.1% |
| Downside Capture | ||
| Upside Capture | ||
| Correlation (S&P 500) |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.13 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| Up Beta | -6.02 | -4.17 | 0.39 | 7.44 | 0.77 | 2.86 |
| Down Beta | 1.95 | -0.02 | 1.48 | 2.55 | -4.61 | -2.28 |
| Up Capture | 156% | 12% | 390% | 153% | 58% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 |
| Down Capture | 286% | 340% | 75% | 39% | 23% | 13% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VOGX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOGX | 52.0% | 125.1% | 1.97 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 33.1% | 16.7% | 1.53 | 23.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 12.9% | 0.68 | 3.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 1.0% | 28.8% | 0.03 | 16.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 35.9% | 21.2% | 1.34 | -10.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.3% | 14.1% | 0.70 | 8.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.2% | 43.4% | -0.65 | 25.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VOGX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOGX | 8.7% | 125.1% | 1.97 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.3% | 15.3% | 0.40 | 23.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.5% | 17.2% | 0.55 | 3.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 19.1% | 0.73 | 16.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.29 | -10.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.8% | 18.9% | -0.01 | 8.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.5% | 51.5% | 0.29 | 25.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VOGX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOGX | 4.3% | 125.1% | 1.97 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 12.5% | 16.8% | 0.61 | 23.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 3.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.9% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 16.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.1% | 0.33 | -10.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 8.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.0% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 25.1% |
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