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Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.265 | Market Cap: $311.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.265
Market Cap: $311.1 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -96%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -121 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -57%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -96%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 50%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Biotechnology & Genomics, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.7%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -121 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -57%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.6%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -39%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -33%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VNDA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points for why Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA) stock moved by 11.4% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Positive Phase 2 results for Tradipitant in preventing GLP-1 agonist-induced nausea and vomiting were announced.** This clinical success demonstrated a significant ~50% relative reduction in vomiting in a Phase 2 study, with Vanda planning a Phase 3 program for the first half of 2026.

**2. Vanda established a collaborative framework with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to resolve regulatory disputes regarding HETLIOZ and tradipitant.** This agreement included an expedited re-review of the partial clinical hold on tradipitant for motion sickness (extended to December 5, 2025) and maintained the New Drug Application (NDA) review for tradipitant with an unchanged PDUFA target action date of December 30, 2025, as well as an expedited FDA re-review of the HETLIOZ sNDA by January 7, 2026.

**3. The FDA granted Orphan Drug Designation for VGT-1849B, a novel candidate for the treatment of Polycythemia Vera.** This designation could accelerate the development and review process for this pipeline asset, offering potential future market exclusivity and revenue streams.

**4. The company reported strong commercial performance for Fanapt in its third quarter 2025 financial results.** Fanapt sales increased by 31% year-over-year, contributing significantly to the total net product sales of $56.3 million, which were up 18% year-over-year.

**5. Vanda Pharmaceuticals actively participated in multiple investor healthcare conferences during this period.** The company presented at the Cantor Global Healthcare Conference, Wells Fargo Healthcare Conference, H.C. Wainwright Annual Global Investment Conference in September, and the Stifel 2025 Healthcare Conference in November, increasing its visibility and engagement with the investment community regarding its strategic pipeline and growth initiatives.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VNDA Return-20%19%-53%-43%14%3%-70%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VNDA Win Rate50%58%25%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VNDA Max Drawdown-54%0%-56%-54%-18%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVNDAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven536.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven123.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven330 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven6234.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Vanda Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -84.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/30/2021. A -84.3% loss requires a 536.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA)

Better Bets than Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VNDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vanda Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VNDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVanda Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price5.27463.132.541.0711.0721.228.17
Mkt Cap0.3118.4----59.3
Rev LTM21211,7230-01010
Op Inc LTM-121-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-833,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-252,064-10----10
CFO LTM-823,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-252,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

VNDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVanda Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM11.1%10.3%----10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.6%10.5%----2.4%
Rev Chg Q18.1%11.0%----14.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%2.7%----3.4%
Op Mgn LTM-57.1%-0.8%----700.7%-57.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-25.6%26.2%----0.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-7.6%1.0%-----3.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-38.6%31.7%----635.6%-38.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11.9%23.1%----5.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-39.1%28.5%----636.5%-39.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.2%19.8%----3.8%

Valuation

VNDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVanda Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.3118.4----59.3
P/S1.48.5----5.0
P/EBIT-2.422.4----10.0
P/E-3.527.2----11.9
P/CFO-3.626.9----11.7
Total Yield-28.6%3.7%-----12.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.2%2.3%-----2.9%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-1.0-0.0-----0.5

Returns

VNDAVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameVanda Ph.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn17.9%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Rtn11.7%16.8%--12.5%-12.5%
6M Rtn18.7%3.9%----11.3%
12M Rtn7.3%1.3%----4.3%
3Y Rtn-51.7%44.1%-----3.8%
1M Excs Rtn17.9%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Excs Rtn8.2%11.3%--4.5%-8.2%
6M Excs Rtn4.0%-10.8%-----3.4%
12M Excs Rtn-11.2%-14.6%-----12.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.6%-25.9%-----73.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
HETLIOZ ® net product sales100160174161143
Fanapt ® net product sales9195958784
PONVORY ® net product sales20   
Total193254269248227


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,882,165
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.6%
Average Daily Volume540,480
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.18
Basic Shares Quantity59,091,478
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021