Tearsheet

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.535 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.535
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.9%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.2%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 38x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SUPN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Supernus Pharmaceuticals reported a GAAP net loss of $45.1 million and missed analysts' consensus for earnings per share and revenue in its third-quarter 2025 financial results.

2. The company updated its full-year 2025 operating earnings guidance to reflect an expected operating loss in the range of $70 million to $80 million, a significant change from prior guidance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SUPN Return6%16%22%-19%25%22%86%
Peers Return8%36%20%3%5%22%134%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SUPN Win Rate33%50%67%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%60%42%42%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SUPN Max Drawdown-39%-6%-13%-36%-11%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-6%-13%-21%-7%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSUPNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven650 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven70.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven69 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-66.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE


In The Past

Supernus Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -45.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/2/2023. A -45.9% loss requires a 85.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN)

Better Bets than Supernus Pharmaceuticals (SUPN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SUPN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
SUPN_9302017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302017SUPNSupernus PharmaceuticalsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
14.5%25.9%-9.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
SUPN_9302017_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302017SUPNSupernus PharmaceuticalsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
14.5%25.9%-9.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Supernus Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SUPNLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameSupernus.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Mkt Price44.76-1,033.56205.33102.2725.57102.27
Mkt Cap2.5-928.0494.5255.2145.4255.2
Rev LTM682-53,25892,14964,23562,78662,786
Op Inc LTM-29-22,88224,14622,39115,41722,391
FCF LTM71--5018,67913,04910,37610,376
FCF 3Y Avg112--15617,81413,6858,9278,927
CFO LTM72-10,93824,20417,06513,07713,077
CFO 3Y Avg113-7,23023,20917,50612,12712,127

Growth & Margins

SUPNLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameSupernus.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM4.5%-36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.3%-23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%2.9%
Rev Chg Q9.3%-37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%-8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-4.2%-43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%26.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.7%-35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%23.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-14.9%-1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM10.5%-20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.5%-17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%18.9%
FCF/Rev LTM10.4%--0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.3%-0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%17.3%

Valuation

SUPNLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameSupernus.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Mkt Cap2.5-928.0494.5255.2145.4255.2
P/S4.0-12.94.83.32.34.0
P/EBIT-408.8-38.613.89.112.212.2
P/E-141.4-49.617.811.014.714.7
P/CFO37.6-62.618.412.311.118.4
Total Yield-0.7%-2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%8.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.3%-0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%5.5%
D/E0.0-0.10.10.20.40.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.10.10.30.1

Returns

SUPNLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameSupernus.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
1M Rtn-19.6%-15.5%10.9%24.0%3.7%10.9%
3M Rtn-0.4%-40.3%16.1%22.7%5.0%16.1%
6M Rtn38.6%-35.5%35.9%33.3%13.2%35.5%
12M Rtn20.9%-28.0%38.9%4.1%7.3%20.9%
3Y Rtn19.3%-182.4%25.7%1.6%-40.3%19.3%
1M Excs Rtn-19.6%-15.5%11.0%24.0%3.7%11.0%
3M Excs Rtn-6.8%-34.0%10.2%17.5%0.7%10.2%
6M Excs Rtn23.9%-20.7%21.1%18.6%-1.6%20.7%
12M Excs Rtn8.8%-17.4%23.0%-9.2%-8.9%8.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-47.1%-116.6%-46.0%-69.7%-111.4%-47.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment608    
APOKYN 759974 
GOCOVRI 10410  
Other 3233  
Oxtellar XR 1151119988
Qelbree 6110  
Royalty, licensing and other revenues 1812119
Trokendi XR 261305320295
MYOBLOC (rimabotulinumtoxinB injection)   10 
XADAGO (safinamide)   7 
Total608667580520393


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,202,679
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.8%
Average Daily Volume1,413,026
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.68
Basic Shares Quantity56,552,741
Short % of Basic Shares9.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021413202210-K 12/31/2021