Tearsheet

Viavi Solutions (VIAV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.54 | Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Viavi Solutions (VIAV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.54
Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 81x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.2%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 81x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VIAV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 55.2% stock movement for Viavi Solutions (VIAV) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Fourth Quarter Earnings.

Viavi Solutions reported robust financial results for its fiscal year 2025 fourth quarter (ending June 28, 2025) in early August 2025, beating both EPS and revenue forecasts. The company's revenue increased by 15.3% year-over-year to $290.5 million, significantly driven by strong demand in the data center ecosystem and advancements in fiber production. This performance marked a turnaround after two years of decline and exceeded market predictions. 2. Outperforming Fiscal Year 2026 First Quarter Earnings and Positive Guidance.

The company continued its strong performance by surpassing expectations for its fiscal year 2026 first quarter (ending September 27, 2025), with results announced in late October 2025. Both revenue and earnings per share exceeded analyst estimates, with revenue rising 25.6% year-over-year to $299.1 million. Management also provided optimistic guidance for the subsequent quarter, projecting revenues between $360 million and $370 million and non-GAAP EPS between $0.18 and $0.20.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VIAV Return-0%18%-40%-4%0%74%17%
Peers Return8%25%-8%-6%4%17%41%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VIAV Win Rate50%50%25%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate28%40%25%30%35%61% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VIAV Max Drawdown-40%-2%-43%-29%-34%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-1%-17%-14%-11%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, KEYS, NTCT, SPWR, FIEE. See VIAV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVIAVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven746 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven307 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven711.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven805 days1480 days

Compare to CSCO, KEYS, NTCT, SPWR, FIEE


In The Past

Viavi Solutions's stock fell -58.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/28/2021. A -58.5% loss requires a 141.1% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Viavi Solutions (VIAV)

Better Bets than Viavi Solutions (VIAV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VIAV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Viavi Solutions

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VIAVCSCOKEYSNTCTSPWRFIEEMedian
NameViavi So.Cisco Sy.Keysight.NetScout.SunPower FiEE  
Mkt Price17.5177.75206.6127.211.581.9022.36
Mkt Cap3.9308.035.52.00.1-3.9
Rev LTM1,08456,6545,2438632440974
Op Inc LTM5812,504889110-53-184
FCF LTM6213,2881,415256-54-1159
FCF 3Y Avg7414,1781,181164--1164
CFO LTM9014,1931,543263-54-1176
CFO 3Y Avg10714,9861,347172--1172

Growth & Margins

VIAVCSCOKEYSNTCTSPWRFIEEMedian
NameViavi So.Cisco Sy.Keysight.NetScout.SunPower FiEE  
Rev Chg LTM8.4%5.3%4.8%9.6%308.5%-99.5%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.2%3.4%0.1%-0.7%--65.6%-0.7%
Rev Chg Q15.3%7.6%11.1%14.6%1,403.2%-14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.7%1.9%2.6%3.3%34.7%35,994.4%3.5%
Op Mgn LTM5.4%22.1%17.0%12.7%-21.7%-3,292.4%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.8%24.5%20.2%9.2%-49.6%-1,146.9%7.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.3%0.1%1.5%11.3%1,197,542.8%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.3%25.1%29.4%30.5%-22.1%-1,599.2%16.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.1%26.7%25.5%20.3%--535.9%20.3%
FCF/Rev LTM5.7%23.5%27.0%29.6%-22.2%-1,599.2%14.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.0%25.3%22.3%19.5%--536.4%19.5%

Valuation

VIAVCSCOKEYSNTCTSPWRFIEEMedian
NameViavi So.Cisco Sy.Keysight.NetScout.SunPower FiEE  
Mkt Cap3.9308.035.52.00.1-3.9
P/S2.64.95.42.20.6-2.6
P/EBIT42.821.725.617.2-7.5-21.7
P/E81.527.051.820.8-3.3-27.0
P/CFO31.619.418.37.1-2.8-18.3
Total Yield1.2%6.0%1.9%4.8%-30.4%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.4%6.4%4.3%9.2%--5.4%
D/E0.20.10.10.01.1-0.1
Net D/E0.10.00.0-0.31.0-0.0

Returns

VIAVCSCOKEYSNTCTSPWRFIEEMedian
NameViavi So.Cisco Sy.Keysight.NetScout.SunPower FiEE  
1M Rtn-0.2%4.4%11.0%-1.7%-9.7%-23.1%-1.0%
3M Rtn52.3%15.6%25.0%10.0%6.0%-33.8%12.8%
6M Rtn88.5%22.2%28.3%17.4%-14.1%-22.2%
12M Rtn64.9%34.1%20.8%23.0%--28.5%
3Y Rtn57.0%70.8%14.4%-27.9%--35.7%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%4.5%11.0%-1.7%-9.7%-23.0%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn43.9%9.7%18.4%3.3%-1.4%-37.5%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn73.8%7.5%13.6%2.7%-28.9%-7.5%
12M Excs Rtn62.6%21.1%7.4%10.8%--16.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-13.8%3.7%-53.8%-99.2%---33.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Network and Service Enablement702    
Optical Security and Performance Products298305343361287
Network Enablement 707846747747
Other Items 00  
Service Enablement 9410391103
Total1,0001,1061,2921,1991,136


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Optical Security and Performance Products107111139161102
Network and Service Enablement86114892109
Unallocated other expenses-94    
Other Items -90-102-111-93
Total2182185142118


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,432,931
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.7%
Average Daily Volume4,347,480
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.32
Basic Shares Quantity223,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025811202510-K 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024816202410-K 6/29/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023202202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023817202310-K 7/1/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022819202210-K 7/2/2022
3312022505202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021207202210-Q 1/1/2022