Tearsheet

NetScout Systems (NTCT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.2 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

NetScout Systems (NTCT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $27.2
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 14%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 14%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NTCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For NetScout Systems (NTCT), several key factors contributed to the positive movement of its stock price for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, as reflected in recent financial reports, analyst sentiment, and strategic developments. 1. Strong Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results. NetScout reported robust Q2 FY26 financial results on November 6, 2025, with revenue of $219.0 million, marking a significant increase from $191.1 million in the prior year. The company also surpassed analyst expectations with a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.62, outperforming the estimated $0.44 by $0.18. This strong performance led to an increase in the company's FY26 revenue and EPS outlook, contributing positively to investor confidence.

2. Consistent Product Revenue Growth and Expanding Backlog. Both the first and second quarters of fiscal year 2026 demonstrated solid growth in product revenue and a substantial increase in product backlog. For Q1 FY26, product revenue rose to $73.0 million, and the product backlog doubled to $30.9 million year-over-year. This trend continued into Q2 FY26, with product backlog reaching $39.8 million, indicating strong demand for NetScout's solutions and a positive outlook for future revenue.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NTCT Return14%21%-2%-32%-1%26%13%
Peers Return17%30%-30%13%-1%14%36%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTCT Win Rate42%50%42%42%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate45%50%28%43%42%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTCT Max Drawdown-17%-5%-11%-39%-20%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-5%-39%-13%-22%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, KEYS, VIAV, RPD, FIEE. See NTCT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven73 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven519 days1480 days

Compare to CSCO, KEYS, VIAV, RPD, FIEE


In The Past

NetScout Systems's stock fell -47.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/1/2022. A -47.5% loss requires a 90.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NetScout Systems (NTCT)

Better Bets than NetScout Systems (NTCT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NTCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NetScout Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTCTCSCOKEYSVIAVRPDFIEEMedian
NameNetScout.Cisco Sy.Keysight.Viavi So.Rapid7 FiEE  
Mkt Price27.2177.75206.6117.5116.061.9022.36
Mkt Cap2.0308.035.53.91.0-3.9
Rev LTM86356,6545,2431,0848590974
Op Inc LTM11012,5048895817-184
FCF LTM25613,2881,41562157-1206
FCF 3Y Avg16414,1781,18174121-1143
CFO LTM26314,1931,54390180-1222
CFO 3Y Avg17214,9861,347107144-1158

Growth & Margins

NTCTCSCOKEYSVIAVRPDFIEEMedian
NameNetScout.Cisco Sy.Keysight.Viavi So.Rapid7 FiEE  
Rev Chg LTM9.6%5.3%4.8%8.4%3.1%-99.5%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.7%3.4%0.1%-5.2%9.7%-65.6%-0.3%
Rev Chg Q14.6%7.6%11.1%15.3%1.5%-11.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%1.9%2.6%3.7%0.4%35,994.4%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM12.7%22.1%17.0%5.4%1.9%-3,292.4%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.2%24.5%20.2%5.8%-0.2%-1,146.9%7.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%0.3%0.1%0.4%-0.8%1,197,542.8%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM30.5%25.1%29.4%8.3%21.0%-1,599.2%23.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.3%26.7%25.5%10.1%17.4%-535.9%18.9%
FCF/Rev LTM29.6%23.5%27.0%5.7%18.2%-1,599.2%20.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.5%25.3%22.3%7.0%14.6%-536.4%17.0%

Valuation

NTCTCSCOKEYSVIAVRPDFIEEMedian
NameNetScout.Cisco Sy.Keysight.Viavi So.Rapid7 FiEE  
Mkt Cap2.0308.035.53.91.0-3.9
P/S2.24.95.42.61.4-2.6
P/EBIT17.221.725.642.829.9-25.6
P/E20.827.051.881.554.3-51.8
P/CFO7.119.418.331.66.8-18.3
Total Yield4.8%6.0%1.9%1.2%1.8%-1.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%6.4%4.3%3.4%7.0%-6.4%
D/E0.00.10.10.20.8-0.1
Net D/E-0.30.00.00.10.5-0.0

Returns

NTCTCSCOKEYSVIAVRPDFIEEMedian
NameNetScout.Cisco Sy.Keysight.Viavi So.Rapid7 FiEE  
1M Rtn-1.7%4.4%11.0%-0.2%-14.0%-23.1%-1.0%
3M Rtn10.0%15.6%25.0%52.3%-21.4%-33.8%12.8%
6M Rtn17.4%22.2%28.3%88.5%-31.2%-22.2%
12M Rtn23.0%34.1%20.8%64.9%-62.3%-23.0%
3Y Rtn-27.9%70.8%14.4%57.0%-48.9%-14.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.7%4.5%11.0%-0.1%-14.0%-23.0%-0.9%
3M Excs Rtn3.3%9.7%18.4%43.9%-24.4%-37.5%6.5%
6M Excs Rtn2.7%7.5%13.6%73.8%-46.0%-7.5%
12M Excs Rtn10.8%21.1%7.4%62.6%-75.8%-10.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-99.2%3.7%-53.8%-13.8%-115.0%--53.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Service469464445454453
Product360451410378438
Total829915856831892


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,252,834
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.8%
Average Daily Volume579,433
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.89
Basic Shares Quantity72,077,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024516202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023516202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022519202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DOWNING JOHNEVP, World-Wide Sales11032025Sell27.803,00083,4003,850,133Form