Tearsheet

NetScout Systems (NTCT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.195 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

NetScout Systems (NTCT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $27.195
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
  Key risks
NTCT key risks include [1] the eroding relevance of its legacy products due to the industry's shift to the cloud, Show more.
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 14%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 14%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7%
7 Key risks
NTCT key risks include [1] the eroding relevance of its legacy products due to the industry's shift to the cloud, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NTCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following a period from approximately August 31, 2025, NetScout Systems (NTCT) experienced upward stock movement, notably influenced by strong financial results and positive outlooks around November 2025. Key factors explaining significant stock movement, including a 9.42% revenue surprise, include: 1. Strong Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings. NetScout Systems reported impressive financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026, with a diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.62, significantly exceeding analysts' projections of $0.44.

2. Revenue Exceeding Expectations. The company's revenue for the second quarter reached $219 million, surpassing the anticipated $200.16 million, which marked a 9.42% positive surprise.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NTCT Return14%21%-2%-32%-1%27%14%
Peers Return84%40%-38%28%10%35%201%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTCT Win Rate42%50%42%42%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%35%57%55%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTCT Max Drawdown-17%-5%-11%-39%-20%-11% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-7%-46%-20%-23%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KEYS, VIAV, FFIV, AKAM, NET. See NTCT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven73 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven519 days1,480 days

Compare to CSCO, KEYS, VIAV, RPD, FIEE


In The Past

NetScout Systems's stock fell -47.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/1/2022. A -47.5% loss requires a 90.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NetScout Systems (NTCT)

Better Bets than NetScout Systems (NTCT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NTCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NetScout Systems

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTCTKEYSVIAVFFIVAKAMNETMedian
NameNetScout.Keysight.Viavi So.F5 Akamai T.Cloudfla. 
Mkt Price27.18198.5317.14256.0787.55191.43139.49
Mkt Cap2.034.13.814.812.666.913.7
Rev LTM8635,2431,0843,0884,1332,0132,551
Op Inc LTM11088958791637-193373
FCF LTM2561,41562906718209487
FCF 3Y Avg1641,18174756740160452
CFO LTM2631,543909501,496540745
CFO 3Y Avg1721,3471077981,454375587

Growth & Margins

NTCTKEYSVIAVFFIVAKAMNETMedian
NameNetScout.Keysight.Viavi So.F5 Akamai T.Cloudfla. 
Rev Chg LTM9.6%4.8%8.4%9.7%4.2%28.1%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.7%0.1%-5.2%4.7%4.8%31.1%2.4%
Rev Chg Q14.6%11.1%15.3%8.5%5.0%30.7%12.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%2.6%3.7%2.1%1.2%7.0%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM12.7%17.0%5.4%25.6%15.4%-9.6%14.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.2%20.2%5.8%22.8%16.8%-12.0%13.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.5%0.1%0.4%0.4%0.0%0.3%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM30.5%29.4%8.3%30.8%36.2%26.8%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.3%25.5%10.1%27.4%36.8%22.9%24.2%
FCF/Rev LTM29.6%27.0%5.7%29.4%17.4%10.4%22.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.5%22.3%7.0%25.9%18.7%9.9%19.1%

Valuation

NTCTKEYSVIAVFFIVAKAMNETMedian
NameNetScout.Keysight.Viavi So.F5 Akamai T.Cloudfla. 
Mkt Cap2.034.13.814.812.666.913.7
P/S2.25.42.64.82.637.23.7
P/EBIT17.225.642.818.715.8-874.517.9
P/E20.851.881.521.321.5-727.521.4
P/CFO7.118.331.615.57.3138.816.9
Total Yield4.8%1.9%1.2%4.7%4.7%-0.1%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%4.3%3.4%5.7%5.4%0.5%4.9%
D/E0.00.10.20.00.50.00.1
Net D/E-0.30.00.1-0.10.4-0.0-0.0

Returns

NTCTKEYSVIAVFFIVAKAMNETMedian
NameNetScout.Keysight.Viavi So.F5 Akamai T.Cloudfla. 
1M Rtn1.7%13.1%2.6%12.0%-0.1%-5.3%2.2%
3M Rtn7.2%14.8%40.5%-20.9%15.4%-10.5%11.0%
6M Rtn13.9%24.0%83.5%-10.6%11.2%5.5%12.6%
12M Rtn21.5%19.4%62.9%-1.4%-10.1%62.8%20.4%
3Y Rtn-15.5%14.2%65.1%77.6%3.0%302.7%39.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.0%12.4%1.9%11.3%-0.8%-6.1%1.4%
3M Excs Rtn2.9%10.7%37.5%-24.2%12.2%-15.7%6.8%
6M Excs Rtn1.5%11.6%71.1%-23.0%-1.1%-6.9%0.2%
12M Excs Rtn10.4%8.2%44.0%-13.3%-22.9%57.4%9.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.1%-60.0%-8.2%-2.0%-71.8%207.5%-34.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Service469464445454453
Product360451410378438
Total829915856831892


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,090,570
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.2%
Average Daily Volume513,952
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.07
Basic Shares Quantity72,077,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20257.1%3.3%-1.2%
8/7/2025-2.0%6.7%14.5%
5/8/20251.7%6.8%9.9%
1/30/202512.1%10.4%0.6%
10/24/2024-2.1%1.7%3.2%
1/25/20246.0%-0.8%0.0%
10/16/2023-16.6%-20.6%-23.5%
7/27/2023-4.1%-4.9%-4.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121112
# Negative101110
Median Positive6.5%6.7%8.4%
Median Negative-2.2%-3.9%-9.9%
Max Positive13.9%12.3%20.2%
Max Negative-16.6%-20.6%-23.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024516202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023516202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022519202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DOWNING JOHNEVP, World-Wide Sales11032025Sell27.803,00083,4003,850,133Form