NetScout Systems (NTCT)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $27.7 | Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
NetScout Systems (NTCT)
Market Price (12/26/2025): $27.7Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.7% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97% | Key risksNTCT key risks include [1] the eroding relevance of its legacy products due to the industry's shift to the cloud, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.7% |
| Key risksNTCT key risks include [1] the eroding relevance of its legacy products due to the industry's shift to the cloud, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
The NetScout Systems (NTCT) stock experienced a 12% climb around January 30, 2025, following its third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report. While the requested period starts on August 31, 2025, the most direct explanation for a 12% stock movement for NTCT within the available information precedes this date, providing key context for the company's performance leading into the specified approximate timeframe. Key points influencing the stock's movement around this period include: **1. NetScout Systems' stock climbed 12% following the company's announcement of third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings (for the quarter ending December 31, 2024) around January 30, 2025. This report surpassed analyst expectations and included strong guidance for fiscal year 2025.****2. The robust sales across NetScout's cybersecurity and service assurance product lines significantly contributed to this strong quarterly performance, particularly with a substantial increase in product revenue.**
**3. The company benefited from certain customer orders that were anticipated for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 being received earlier, leveraging year-end budgets, which positively impacted the third-quarter results.**
**4. NetScout also highlighted ongoing restructuring efforts, including a Voluntary Separation Program, which were projected to generate annual run-rate savings of approximately $25 million, with about $19 million of these savings realized in fiscal year 2025.**
**5. As of late 2025, Wall Street analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for NTCT, with average price targets suggesting potential upside for the stock.** Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.1% change in NTCT stock from 9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 19.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9252025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.78 | 27.88 | 8.15% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 834.86 | 862.77 | 3.34% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.72% | 10.38% | 19.10% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.41 | 22.43 | -11.71% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71.73 | 72.08 | -0.49% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.14% |
Market Drivers
9/25/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NTCT | 8.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.9% | 37.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.3% | 40.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.9% change in NTCT stock from 6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 6.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6262025 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.14 | 27.88 | 10.90% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 822.68 | 862.77 | 4.87% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.20 | 2.33 | 6.07% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71.86 | 72.08 | -0.31% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.90% |
Market Drivers
6/26/2025 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NTCT | 10.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.1% | 44.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 16.7% | 42.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.1% change in NTCT stock from 12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a 17.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12252024 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.93 | 27.88 | 27.13% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 787.19 | 862.77 | 9.60% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.99 | 2.33 | 17.02% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71.45 | 72.08 | -0.88% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.12% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2024 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NTCT | 27.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 57.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.2% | 57.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.6% change in NTCT stock from 12/26/2022 to 12/25/2025 was primarily driven by a -52.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12262022 | 12252025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.63 | 27.88 | -14.56% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 890.28 | 862.77 | -3.09% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.57% | 10.38% | 86.47% |
| P/E Multiple | 47.30 | 22.43 | -52.57% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71.86 | 72.08 | -0.31% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.56% |
Market Drivers
12/26/2023 to 12/25/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NTCT | 24.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.3% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 53.5% | 42.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NTCT Return | 14% | 21% | -2% | -32% | -1% | 28% | 15% |
| Peers Return | 84% | 40% | -38% | 28% | 10% | 39% | 209% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NTCT Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 62% | 35% | 57% | 55% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NTCT Max Drawdown | -17% | -5% | -11% | -39% | -20% | -11% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -7% | -46% | -20% | -23% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KEYS, VIAV, FFIV, AKAM, NET. See NTCT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NTCT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 73 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 80.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 156.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 519 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CSCO, KEYS, VIAV, RPD, ANET
In The Past
NetScout Systems's stock fell -47.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/1/2022. A -47.5% loss requires a 90.6% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for NetScout Systems (NTCT):
- Datadog for deep network performance and security monitoring.
- Splunk for network data analytics and threat detection.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NetScout Systems (NTCT) Major Products and Services:
- Service Assurance Solutions: These solutions provide comprehensive visibility and analytics to monitor, troubleshoot, and ensure optimal performance of applications and services across complex IT environments.
- Cybersecurity Solutions: NetScout offers advanced threat detection, incident response, and Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) protection by leveraging deep packet inspection and network traffic analysis.
- Packet Flow Systems (Smart Data Technology): These systems deliver the underlying technology and platforms for intelligent collection, processing, and analysis of network packet data, essential for their assurance and security offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NetScout Systems (NTCT) primarily sells its network performance management, cybersecurity, and service assurance solutions to other companies (B2B).
While NetScout Systems serves a broad range of organizations globally, it does not publicly disclose the names of individual major customers in its financial filings or investor relations materials. Instead, it categorizes its customer base into the following broad types of organizations:
- Large Enterprises: This category encompasses major corporations across diverse sectors, including financial services, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, and retail. These enterprises utilize NetScout's solutions to ensure the performance, availability, and security of their critical IT infrastructure and applications.
- Service Providers: This includes telecommunications mobile operators (e.g., for 5G network monitoring and optimization), cable operators, and managed service providers. These customers rely on NetScout for network visibility, service assurance, and to enhance subscriber experience.
- Government Entities: Federal, state, and local government agencies are also key customers, leveraging NetScout's technology for secure and efficient network operations, critical infrastructure protection, and digital transformation initiatives.
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Anil Singhal Co-founder, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board
Anil Singhal co-founded NetScout in June 1984 as Frontier Software and has served as CEO since its inception. He has guided NetScout through substantial growth, including its initial public offering in 1999 and the $2.3 billion acquisition of the Danaher Communications Business in 2015. Prior to co-founding NetScout, Mr. Singhal was a Project Manager and Senior Architect at Wang Laboratories, Inc. from 1979 to 1984. Wang Laboratories was later acquired by Getronics BV in 1999.
Anthony Piazza Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer (Effective May 31, 2025)
Anthony Piazza is set to become the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NetScout Systems, effective May 31, 2025.
Sanjay Munshi Chief Operating Officer (Effective May 31, 2025)
Sanjay Munshi will assume the role of Chief Operating Officer for NetScout Systems, effective May 31, 2025.
Jean Bua Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer (Stepping down May 31, 2025)
Jean Bua has served as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of NetScout Systems since 2015. Her previous roles at NetScout include Chief Accounting Officer and Vice President of Finance from 2010 to 2011. Before rejoining NetScout, she was the Executive Vice President of Finance and Treasurer of American Tower Corporation from 2009 to 2010, and earlier, she served as Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer, and Worldwide Controller at Iron Mountain, Inc. Ms. Bua is stepping down from her role effective May 31, 2025.
Michael Szabados Vice Chairman
Michael Szabados currently serves as Vice Chairman for NetScout Systems. He previously held the position of Chief Operating Officer from April 2007 to May 2025, playing a critical role in the company's growth, including the acquisition of the Danaher Communications Business in 2015. Prior to joining NetScout in 1997, Mr. Szabados held senior leadership roles at companies such as UB Networks, SynOptics/Bay Networks, and MIPS Corporation, following earlier engineering and product management roles at Intel Corporation and Apple. UB Networks was acquired by Alcatel Networks Corp. in 1997. Mr. Szabados will be stepping down from his COO role effective May 31, 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NetScout Systems (NTCT) faces several key risks to its business operations:- Highly Competitive Industry and Cloud Migration: NetScout operates in a highly competitive industry characterized by strong pricing pressures and rapid technological advancements. This environment has historically impacted revenues and could continue to deteriorate operations beyond 2025. The ongoing shift towards cloud, SaaS, and AI-driven solutions, along with IT stack consolidation, poses a significant threat by potentially undermining the relevance of NetScout's legacy products and squeezing margins.
- Decline in Service Provider Revenue: The company's performance is partly dependent on customer spending in the service provider market, which has been constrained. There has been a notable decline in revenue from this traditional service provider vertical, with a 20% decrease in the first nine months of fiscal 2024 for the service assurance segment, and a 22.2% decrease in the first half of fiscal year 2025. This trend is expected to continue, with revenues projected to decrease further in fiscal years 2024 and 2025 as management does not foresee these headwinds easing soon.
- Goodwill Impairment Charges: NetScout has experienced significant non-cash goodwill impairment charges. For example, a substantial charge of $427.0 million primarily drove a GAAP net loss of $366.9 million for fiscal year 2025. While these are non-cash, one-time accounting events and do not directly affect liquidity, their magnitude can be a "red flag" for investors and indicate past overvaluations or challenges with prior acquisitions.
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The rapid adoption and market dominance of cloud-native, SaaS-based observability and monitoring platforms pose a clear emerging threat. Companies like Datadog, Dynatrace, and Splunk (with its observability suite) offer integrated solutions for application performance monitoring (APM), infrastructure monitoring, log management, and security analytics, often with a focus on ease of deployment, scalability, and unified visibility in modern, distributed, and multi-cloud environments. This trend directly challenges NetScout's traditional service assurance and network performance management solutions, particularly as enterprises accelerate their cloud migration and adopt microservices architectures. These cloud-native competitors are capturing significant market share by offering flexible, subscription-based models and solutions inherently designed for the complexities of modern cloud infrastructure, potentially displacing or limiting the growth of traditional on-premises or less cloud-integrated offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NetScout Systems (NTCT) operates in several key addressable markets, including cybersecurity, network performance monitoring, and telecom service assurance.
- Cybersecurity Solutions: The global cybersecurity market was estimated at USD 245.62 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 500.70 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.9% from 2025 to 2030. North America is a dominant region in this market, holding a market share of over 34% in 2024.
- Network Performance Monitoring (NPM): The global network monitoring market was valued at USD 3.71 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to USD 8.24 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 10.4% during the forecast period. In 2024, North America held the largest share of this market, at 42.32%.
- Telecom Service Assurance: The global Telecom Service Assurance Market was valued at USD 4.82 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 20.85 billion by 2034, growing at a robust CAGR of 15.49% during 2025–2034. North America is expected to maintain the largest market share in the global telecom service assurance market.
- 5G Network and Service Assurance: The global 5G network and assurance market is projected to attain a market size of US$5.027 billion in 2025 and grow to US$7.027 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 6.93%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
NetScout Systems (NTCT) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market trends. These include continued strength in its cybersecurity offerings, AI-driven product innovation, expansion of its service assurance portfolio, and robust demand from the federal government sector.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for NetScout Systems:
- Growth in Cybersecurity Solutions: NetScout is experiencing significant growth in its cybersecurity segment, with revenue in this area showing strong year-over-year increases. For instance, cybersecurity revenue grew by 18.3% in Q1 FY26 and continued double-digit growth in Q2 FY26. The company is focused on enhancing its cybersecurity offerings, including new cyber intelligence, to meet the evolving threat landscape.
- AI-driven Product Innovation and Smart Data Integration: A key strategic initiative for NetScout is the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into its products to drive innovation. The company has emphasized its differentiation by "feeding smart data to algorithms in a unique way" and has introduced new AI-driven product enhancements. This focus aims to provide advanced solutions and maintain a competitive edge.
- Expansion of Service Assurance Offerings and AIOps: NetScout continues to expand its service assurance capabilities, which also contributed to revenue growth, with service assurance revenue increasing by 10.1% in the first half of fiscal year 2026. The company is investing in AIOps (AI operations) and edge instrumentation, recognizing the growing interest from customers in these areas. Enterprise customers are increasingly investing in digital transformation initiatives that require enhanced visibility, observability, and AIOps.
- Increased Demand from the Federal Government Sector: The federal government has emerged as a particularly strong customer vertical for NetScout, demonstrating robust underlying demand and an acceleration of orders in the first half of FY26. This sector has been a significant contributor to recent strong financial results.
- Strategic Shift Towards Software-Related Sales: NetScout is undergoing a strategic transition towards a higher proportion of software-related sales. This shift, while also contributing to improved gross margins, implies an increase in scalable software revenue within the company's overall sales mix, supporting sustained growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- NetScout Systems utilized $56.92 million to repurchase 2,737,970 shares of its common stock during the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended on August 7, 2025.
- During the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, which ended September 30, 2025, NetScout repurchased approximately 741,000 shares for an aggregate of $16.6 million.
- As of September 30, 2024, the company had completed repurchases of 1,976,721 shares for $41.9 million under a buyback plan announced on May 5, 2022. NetScout intends to remain active in the market for share repurchases during the remainder of fiscal year 2026, leveraging its existing authorization capacity.
Share Issuance
- NetScout Systems expanded its 2019 Equity Incentive Plan in September 2024, adding 3.4 million shares authorized for issuance to align employee interests with shareholders.
- The weighted average diluted shares outstanding have remained relatively stable, fluctuating around 71 to 73 million shares from Q4 2022 to Q3 2025.
- As of January 30, 2025, the number of outstanding common shares was 71,754,689.
Outbound Investments
- In February 2020, NetScout acquired Gigavation, a cybersecurity company, for $8.0 million.
- The company divested its Test Optimization business in September 2023 for $8.3 million.
- NetScout completed the sale of a foreign investment on August 4, 2025, for $11.8 million, which had an original purchase price of $7.5 million.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital investments in property, plant, and equipment have ranged modestly from approximately $1.0 million to $3.5 million per quarter between Q4 2022 and Q3 2025.
- For the six months ended September 30, 2025, $4.1 million was used for capital expenditures.
- The company plans to continue investing in capital expenditures to support its infrastructure through the remainder of fiscal year 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
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| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 13.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.0% | 17.0% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.9% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for NetScout Systems
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 145.74 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,551 |
| Op Inc LTM | 373 |
| FCF LTM | 487 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 452 |
| CFO LTM | 745 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 587 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.9 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 18.8 |
| P/E | 23.8 |
| P/CFO | 20.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 49.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $27.88 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/12/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $27.17 | $24.03 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.6% | 16.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.3% | 31.8% |
| Downside Capture | 55.53 | 100.69 |
| Upside Capture | 79.60 | 109.91 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.9% | 57.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.04 | 0.87 | 0.96 | 1.23 | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| Up Beta | 2.31 | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.95 | 0.82 | 1.03 |
| Down Beta | 2.12 | 1.09 | 0.78 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 0.90 |
| Up Capture | 22% | 69% | 94% | 116% | 119% | 44% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 22 | 34 | 64 | 122 | 350 |
| Down Capture | 83% | 56% | 81% | 114% | 103% | 101% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 19 | 28 | 60 | 124 | 391 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of NTCT With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTCT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 28.5% | 26.7% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 31.6% | 27.6% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 57.0% | 56.8% | 6.4% | 16.6% | 38.7% | 30.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of NTCT With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTCT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 1.1% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.7% |
| Annualized Volatility | 32.6% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.09 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.60 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 41.8% | 45.8% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 37.1% | 20.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of NTCT With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTCT | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -0.9% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.3% |
| Annualized Volatility | 34.6% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.07 | 0.84 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.2% | 51.2% | 3.1% | 20.9% | 40.8% | 13.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 7.1% | 3.3% | -1.2% |
| 8/7/2025 | -2.0% | 6.7% | 14.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | 1.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% |
| 1/30/2025 | 12.1% | 10.4% | 0.6% |
| 10/24/2024 | -2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% |
| 1/25/2024 | 6.0% | -0.8% | 0.0% |
| 10/16/2023 | -16.6% | -20.6% | -23.5% |
| 7/27/2023 | -4.1% | -4.9% | -4.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.2% | -3.9% | -9.9% |
| Max Positive | 13.9% | 12.3% | 20.2% |
| Max Negative | -16.6% | -20.6% | -23.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5162023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5192022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | DOWNING JOHN | EVP, World-Wide Sales | 11032025 | Sell | 27.80 | 3,000 | 83,400 | 3,850,133 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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