Vista Gold (VGZ)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $2.04 | Market Cap: $268.5 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Vista Gold (VGZ)
Market Price (6/27/2026): $2.04Market Cap: $268.5 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource & Commodity Markets. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Gold Exploration & Development, and Strategic Mineral Resources. | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.8 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% Key risksVGZ key risks include [1] successfully developing its primary asset, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource & Commodity Markets. Themes include Precious Metals Mining, Gold Exploration & Development, and Strategic Mineral Resources. |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.8 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 101% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2% |
| Key risksVGZ key risks include [1] successfully developing its primary asset, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Vista Gold (VGZ) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Share Dilution from Public Offering. Vista Gold completed a public offering in fiscal Q1 2026, issuing 17,940,000 common shares at $2.50 per share, which generated net proceeds of $42.0 million. This offering, while strengthening the company's cash position to $52.7 million by March 31, 2026, resulted in significant share dilution, which typically places downward pressure on the stock price.
2. Macroeconomic Headwinds for Gold Prices and Rising Interest Rate Expectations. The price of gold, the underlying commodity for Vista Gold, experienced a substantial decline since early 2026. Gold spot prices fell from an all-time high of $5,594.82 per ounce on January 28, 2026, to below $4,000 per ounce by June 24, 2026, marking a new low for the year. This decline, driven by a significant repricing of interest rate expectations and projections of higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve, makes non-yielding assets like gold less attractive to investors.
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Vista Gold (VGZ) stock has lost about 25% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Share Dilution from Public Offering. Vista Gold completed a public offering in fiscal Q1 2026, issuing 17,940,000 common shares at $2.50 per share, which generated net proceeds of $42.0 million. This offering, while strengthening the company's cash position to $52.7 million by March 31, 2026, resulted in significant share dilution, which typically places downward pressure on the stock price.
2. Macroeconomic Headwinds for Gold Prices and Rising Interest Rate Expectations. The price of gold, the underlying commodity for Vista Gold, experienced a substantial decline since early 2026. Gold spot prices fell from an all-time high of $5,594.82 per ounce on January 28, 2026, to below $4,000 per ounce by June 24, 2026, marking a new low for the year. This decline, driven by a significant repricing of interest rate expectations and projections of higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve, makes non-yielding assets like gold less attractive to investors.
3. Increased Operating Losses. Vista Gold reported an increased consolidated net loss of $3.1 million, or $0.02 per common share, for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), compared to a net loss of $2.7 million in fiscal Q1 2025. This widening loss was primarily attributed to higher corporate and project-related expenses, including the addition of project management team members and increased power costs for water management at the Mt Todd gold project in Australia.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.8% change in VGZ stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.80 | 2.05 | -26.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 132 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VGZ | -26.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.6% | 65.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | -3.0% | 52.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.1% change in VGZ stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.97 | 2.05 | 4.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 125 | 132 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VGZ | 4.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.3% | 41.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 16.5% | 50.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 73.7% change in VGZ stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.18 | 2.05 | 73.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 124 | 132 | -5.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VGZ | 73.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 25.1% | 29.8% |
| Sector (XLB) | 21.9% | 34.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 241.7% change in VGZ stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.60 | 2.05 | 241.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 119 | 132 | -9.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| VGZ | 241.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 16.7% |
| Sector (XLB) | 45.9% | 29.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VGZ Return | -34% | -30% | -9% | 23% | 253% | -5% | 74% |
| Peers Return | -25% | 741% | -27% | -20% | 263% | -25% | 905% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 96% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VGZ Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 36% | 29% | 33% | 40% | 65% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VGZ Max Drawdown | -54% | -56% | -60% | -37% | -34% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -63% | -53% | -49% | -35% | -52% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NFGC, HYMC, ODV, DC, USGO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VGZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 778 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Vista Gold's stock fell -2.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | VGZ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -32.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 227 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 92.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -48.3% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.4% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 218 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -78.8% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 370.6% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 937 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.9% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -40.1% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.9% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 125 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 57 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Vista Gold's stock fell -2.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Vista Gold (VGZ)
Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) is a gold exploration and development company primarily focused on advancing promising gold projects. The company's core business involves the evaluation, acquisition, exploration, and de-risking of gold deposits, with a significant operational presence in Australia. Its flagship asset is the Mt Todd gold project, located in the Northern Territory of Australia.
Rather than engaging in direct gold mining and sales, Vista Gold's main "product" is the strategic development and enhancement of these gold exploration projects to increase their inherent value. The company aims to bring these assets to a stage where they are ready for potential future production or acquisition by larger mining entities. Therefore, its primary market consists of the broader gold mining industry, which may acquire its advanced projects, and investors seeking exposure to the development phase of significant gold assets.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Vista Gold (VGZ):
- Vista Gold is like a biotech company with a promising drug in development, but for gold mining.
- Vista Gold is like a real estate developer focused on one large, high-potential property, but for gold.
- Vista Gold is like an oil exploration company developing a major discovery for production, but for gold.
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- Gold Project Evaluation: Services focused on assessing the economic and technical viability of potential gold deposits.
- Gold Project Acquisition: Services involving the identification and securing of rights to promising gold properties.
- Gold Exploration: Services related to geological surveys, drilling, and other activities to discover and define gold resources.
- Gold Project Advancement and Development: Services aimed at progressing gold projects through various stages towards potential production.
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Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) is a gold exploration and development company focused on advancing its Mt Todd gold project. As such, it operates within the natural resources sector, specifically in mineral exploration and potential future production.
Companies in this industry, especially those primarily in the exploration and development phase, typically do not have "major customers" in the traditional sense, like companies that sell products or services directly to other businesses or individuals. When a gold mining company enters the production phase, it sells gold as a commodity into the global market. The buyers are generally refiners, bullion banks, or other financial institutions that purchase gold at prevailing market prices.
Therefore, Vista Gold does not have specific major customer companies or categories of individual customers that can be identified, as its business model is centered on the discovery, development, and potential future extraction of a commodity, gold.
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Frederick H. Earnest, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Earnest has served as director of Vista Gold Corp. since 2007 and was appointed CEO in January 2012. He previously held roles as President and Chief Operating Officer (2007-2012) and Senior Vice President, Project Development (2006-2007) for the company. With over 35 years of experience in the mining industry, his background includes project evaluation, design and construction, mine operations, and senior executive roles. Mr. Earnest was a director of Midas Gold Corp. from April 2011 to May 2014, and previously served as President of Pacific Rim El Salvador and General Manager and Legal Representative for Compania Minera Dayton in Chile. He holds a B.S. in Mining Engineering from Colorado School of Mines. In 2006, Vista Gold created Allied Nevada Gold Corp. by spinning out its Nevada assets.
Douglas L. Tobler, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Tobler was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Vista Gold Corp. in July 2019. He brings over 35 years of corporate financial management experience as a chief financial officer, CPA, and corporate advisor. His extensive experience includes growth-stage resource companies, most recently as CFO of Lydian International. Before Lydian, Mr. Tobler was CFO of Alacer Gold Corp. during the development and early operational years of the Çöpler Gold Mine in Turkey. He also provided strategic financial and corporate accounting advice to numerous mining clients as a CPA. He holds a B.S. in Business Administration (Accounting) from the University of Colorado.
Pamela A. Solly, Vice President of Investor Relations
Ms. Solly joined Vista Gold Corp. in April 2019 as Vice President of Investor Relations. She has over 25 years of public company experience in investor relations and corporate communications. Prior to joining Vista, she was Vice President of Investor Relations for Lydian International and held similar roles at Thompson Creek Metals Company, Keating Investments, and Cyprus Amax Minerals Company. Ms. Solly earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Administration and Economics from Regis University and a Master of International Management degree from the University of Denver.
Brent D. Murdoch, General Manager, Vista Gold Australia
Mr. Murdoch became the General Manager of Vista Gold Australia in November 2012. He has more than 25 years of industry experience, with over a decade specializing in mine start-ups and large project construction in gold, manganese, iron ore, and copper. His previous management positions include roles with Leighton Contractors at the Solomon and Yandi mines in Western Australia, General Manager of OM Manganese Pty Ltd, and General Manager Construction for Harmony Gold at the Hidden Valley Mine. He holds an MBA (2007) and a Diploma in Electronic Business (2004) from Murdoch University, and a Diploma in Occupational Health and Safety.
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Key Risks to Vista Gold (VGZ)
- Project Development and Execution Risk for the Mt Todd Gold Project: Vista Gold is a development-stage company with no operating revenue, making its future dependent on the successful development and eventual production of its flagship Mt Todd gold project in Australia. Challenges include securing all necessary permits and modifications, managing the construction phase, and achieving successful commercial operation. The project has a history of previous owners failing and faces ongoing environmental management issues, particularly regarding mine-affected water.
- Financing Risk and Capital Requirements: Developing a large-scale gold project like Mt Todd is capital-intensive. Although Vista Gold has significantly reduced the estimated initial capital expenditure for Mt Todd to approximately $425 million through a strategic redesign, the company still needs to secure substantial financing for its construction. As Vista Gold is not currently generating operating cash flow, its ability to advance Mt Todd is highly dependent on securing additional capital, potentially through debt or equity, which could lead to shareholder dilution.
- Gold Price Volatility: The economic viability and profitability of the Mt Todd gold project, and consequently Vista Gold's overall valuation, are highly sensitive to fluctuations in the global price of gold. A significant or sustained decline in gold prices could negatively impact the project's economics, hinder the company's ability to raise necessary capital, and severely affect its financial performance and asset value.
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The addressable market for Vista Gold's main product, gold, can be considered on both a regional (Australia) and global scale due to gold being a globally traded commodity.
The Australian gold mining market was valued at approximately USD 26 billion in 2024. The market size of Gold Ore Mining in Australia is projected to be $37.9 billion in 2025. Furthermore, Australia's gold export earnings were $47 billion in 2024-25 and are forecast to increase to $60 billion in 2025-26.
Globally, the gold market was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach a market size of USD 400 billion by the end of 2030.
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Vista Gold Corp. (VGZ) is a development-stage gold mining company whose future revenue growth is intrinsically linked to the successful advancement and eventual production from its flagship Mt Todd gold project in the Northern Territory, Australia. As of the current period, the company generates no revenue from gold sales. Over the next 2-3 years, the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Vista Gold are:
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Advancement and Commissioning of the Mt Todd Gold Project: The primary driver of future revenue will be the progression of the Mt Todd gold project from its current development stage to active gold production. Vista Gold is targeting the commencement of detailed engineering and design for the project in early 2027. This phase is expected to initiate an approximately 27-month period of design, construction, and commissioning, ultimately culminating in the first gold production. While initial gold production is projected beyond the immediate 2-3 year window (estimated around mid-2029 based on a mid-2027 start for engineering), the successful execution of these critical pre-production milestones within the next 2-3 years is essential for enabling future revenue streams.
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Implementation of the July 2025 Feasibility Study for a Smaller, Higher-Grade Operation: The company's July 2025 feasibility study outlines a refined development strategy for Mt Todd, focusing on a smaller initial operation that prioritizes higher-grade ore. This approach aims to significantly reduce initial capital costs and operational risks. The successful implementation of this de-risked and more economically viable plan is expected to enhance the project's attractiveness for investment and accelerate its path to revenue generation once operational.
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Favorable Gold Prices: The economic viability and projected free cash flow of the Mt Todd project are highly sensitive to the price of gold. Sustained or increasing gold prices, such as the $3,300/oz to $3,500/oz scenarios highlighted in the feasibility study and analyst reports, would significantly boost the project's net present value (NPV) and internal rate of return (IRR). A strong gold price environment would make the project more appealing to investors and partners, and ultimately translate into higher revenues once gold production commences.
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Securing Project Financing and Potential Partnerships: The considerable capital expenditure required to fully develop the Mt Todd project necessitates further financing or strategic partnerships. While Vista Gold recently completed a public offering to fund ongoing work, the ability to secure additional project financing, potentially through debt, equity, or a joint venture, is a critical driver for advancing construction and development. Successful financing efforts within the next 2-3 years will directly impact the project's timeline to generate revenue.
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Permit Modifications and Building an Australian-Based Team: Crucial to advancing the project are obtaining necessary permit modifications to align with the 15,000 tonnes per day (tpd) feasibility study and establishing a robust Australia-based executive and operational team. The completion of these regulatory and organizational milestones within the next 2-3 years will de-risk the project further, facilitate a smooth transition into the construction phase, and ensure efficient operations, thereby laying the groundwork for future revenue growth.
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Share Issuance
- In March 2026, Vista Gold completed an underwritten public offering of 17,940,000 common shares, generating total gross proceeds of $44.85 million.
- The net proceeds from the March 2026 equity offering were $41.9 million.
Inbound Investments
- In 2024, Vista Gold recognized a $16.9 million gain from granting a royalty interest in its Mt Todd project.
Capital Expenditures
- Mt Todd-related expenditures totaled $5.6 million in 2025.
- Mt Todd-related expenditures in 2024 were $3.5 million, which included $1.9 million in capitalized development costs.
- The company plans to use the proceeds from its March 2026 equity raise to fund permitting, technical studies, and organizational build-out, as well as advance exploration and development activities for the Mt Todd gold project.
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 3.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -41 |
| FCF LTM | -52 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -46 |
| CFO LTM | -20 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -32 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1,249.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 370.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 88.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -22.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -9.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -276.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -787.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 305.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -218.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -719.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -436.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,399.1% |
Segment Financials
Operating Income by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Exploration, development, and care and maintenance activities | -9 |
| Total | -9 |
| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Exploration, development, and care and maintenance activities | -7 |
| Total | -7 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exploration, development, and care and maintenance activities | 19 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 17 |
| Total | 19 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 17 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/30/1990 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.22 | $2.15 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -7.7% | -4.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 66.1% | 83.4% |
| Downside Capture | 411.30 | 253.30 |
| Upside Capture | 259.17 | 283.93 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 70.5% | 32.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.76 | 2.41 | 3.11 | 2.67 | 1.82 | 0.73 |
| Up Beta | 3.36 | 1.17 | 2.28 | 1.74 | 1.28 | 0.42 |
| Down Beta | 4.71 | 3.73 | 3.71 | 2.32 | 0.63 | 0.29 |
| Up Capture | 222% | 249% | 281% | 502% | 575% | 247% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 28 | 58 | 124 | 355 |
| Down Capture | 205% | 451% | 345% | 243% | 173% | 101% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 17 | 30 | 58 | 112 | 371 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VGZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGZ | 97.4% | 83.4% | 1.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 20.7% | 17.5% | 0.92 | 36.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.2% | 12.4% | 1.26 | 31.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 27.7% | 0.70 | 62.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.8% | 18.6% | 0.92 | 15.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.1% | 13.6% | 0.85 | 9.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.7% | 42.5% | -1.27 | 26.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VGZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGZ | 9.5% | 65.8% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 7.2% | 19.0% | 0.27 | 29.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 19.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.8% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 48.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 18.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.9% | 0.08 | 18.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.7% | 54.0% | 0.39 | 13.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with VGZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGZ | 5.4% | 66.2% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.3% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 21.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 15.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.1% | 0.60 | 46.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 17.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 15.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 54.6% | 66.4% | 0.95 | 10.2% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/11/2026 | -13.1% | -16.9% | -15.6% |
| 11/12/2025 | 7.6% | 7.1% | 28.2% |
| 8/12/2025 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 50.0% |
| 5/1/2025 | 0.2% | 13.3% | 36.7% |
| 2/28/2025 | 11.0% | 16.5% | 32.5% |
| 10/23/2024 | -0.6% | -3.4% | -15.8% |
| 7/29/2024 | -0.9% | -6.7% | 22.9% |
| 5/2/2024 | -3.0% | -9.6% | 0.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 7.1% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -6.2% | -4.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.1% | 16.5% | 50.0% |
| Max Negative | -13.1% | -16.9% | -17.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/11/2026 | -13.1% | -16.9% | -15.6% |
| 11/12/2025 | 7.6% | 7.1% | 28.2% |
| 8/12/2025 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 50.0% |
| 5/1/2025 | 0.2% | 13.3% | 36.7% |
| 2/28/2025 | 11.0% | 16.5% | 32.5% |
| 10/23/2024 | -0.6% | -3.4% | -15.8% |
| 7/29/2024 | -0.9% | -6.7% | 22.9% |
| 5/2/2024 | -3.0% | -9.6% | 0.7% |
| 3/14/2024 | 11.0% | 0.9% | 17.6% |
| 11/7/2023 | -7.3% | -11.3% | 7.9% |
| 8/2/2023 | -0.4% | -5.9% | -4.5% |
| 4/28/2023 | 12.1% | 12.0% | -6.7% |
| 2/23/2023 | -3.7% | -3.7% | -1.5% |
| 10/26/2022 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| 7/27/2022 | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| 5/2/2022 | -1.2% | -6.6% | -4.9% |
| 2/24/2022 | 1.9% | 3.6% | 33.3% |
| 10/27/2021 | -0.7% | 1.3% | -4.0% |
| 7/28/2021 | -1.1% | -3.0% | -17.2% |
| 4/30/2021 | 2.8% | 7.5% | 12.3% |
| 2/26/2021 | -3.4% | -2.9% | 10.4% |
| 10/29/2020 | 4.5% | 8.7% | 0.1% |
| 7/29/2020 | -2.5% | 14.2% | -0.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 4.5% | 7.1% | 14.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -6.2% | -4.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.1% | 16.5% | 50.0% |
| Max Negative | -13.1% | -16.9% | -17.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/11/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/26/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/30/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/04/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/24/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/31/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | Footnote | Sell | 12292025 | 2.20 | 400,000 | 880,000 | 27,385,567 | Form | |
| 2 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12222025 | 2.25 | 156,688 | 352,548 | 28,907,966 | Form | |
| 3 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12222025 | 2.10 | 724,056 | 1,520,518 | 27,309,813 | Form | |
| 4 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11142025 | 1.74 | 1,242,469 | 2,161,896 | 23,887,988 | Form | |
| 5 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.27 | 2,872 | 6,519 | 33,984,619 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | Footnote | Sell | 12292025 | 2.20 | 400,000 | 880,000 | 27,385,567 | Form | |
| 2 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12222025 | 2.25 | 156,688 | 352,548 | 28,907,966 | Form | |
| 3 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 12222025 | 2.10 | 724,056 | 1,520,518 | 27,309,813 | Form | |
| 4 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11142025 | 1.74 | 1,242,469 | 2,161,896 | 23,887,988 | Form | |
| 5 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.27 | 2,872 | 6,519 | 33,984,619 | Form | |
| 6 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See Footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.19 | 364,714 | 798,724 | 32,793,213 | Form | |
| 7 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.19 | 176,285 | 386,064 | 33,591,937 | Form | |
| 8 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.21 | 136,934 | 302,624 | 34,425,318 | Form | |
| 9 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.21 | 136,934 | 302,624 | 34,425,318 | Form | |
| 10 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.34 | 169,075 | 395,636 | 36,770,762 | Form | |
| 11 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.34 | 169,075 | 395,636 | 36,770,762 | Form | |
| 12 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.20 | 15,251 | 33,552 | 34,942,767 | Form | |
| 13 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.30 | 200,000 | 460,000 | 36,566,152 | Form | |
| 14 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 11072025 | 2.21 | 400,000 | 884,000 | 35,577,303 | Form | |
| 15 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 10202025 | 2.27 | 2,872 | 6,519 | 33,984,619 | Form | |
| 16 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 10162025 | 2.19 | 364,714 | 798,724 | 32,793,213 | Form | |
| 17 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 10142025 | 2.19 | 176,285 | 386,064 | 33,591,937 | Form | |
| 18 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See foonote | Sell | 10102025 | 2.21 | 136,934 | 302,624 | 34,425,318 | Form | |
| 19 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See foonote | Sell | 10102025 | 2.34 | 169,075 | 395,636 | 36,770,762 | Form | |
| 20 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 10032025 | 2.20 | 15,251 | 33,552 | 34,942,767 | Form | |
| 21 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 9232025 | 2.30 | 200,000 | 460,000 | 36,566,152 | Form | |
| 22 | Sun, Valley Gold Llc | See footnote | Sell | 9232025 | 2.21 | 400,000 | 884,000 | 35,577,303 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Gold Resources |
| Kitco News |
| World Gold Council |
| Mining Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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