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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource Supply. Themes include Gold Project Development.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -899%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 56x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -28%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -485%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -871%
5   Key risks
ODV key risks include [1] a critical dependence on external financing as a pre-production company with indicators of potential financial distress, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Resource Supply. Themes include Gold Project Development.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -101 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -899%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 56x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 109%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -28%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -485%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -871%
8 Key risks
ODV key risks include [1] a critical dependence on external financing as a pre-production company with indicators of potential financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ODV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025, Osisko Development (ODV) experienced significant stock movement driven by several key developments:

1. Substantial Project Financing Secured: Osisko Development significantly bolstered its financial position by entering into a US$450 million senior secured project loan facility with Appian Capital Advisory Limited for its Cariboo Gold Project, announced on July 21, 2025. This facility, along with private placements that yielded over US$203.1 million in gross proceeds in Q3 2025, substantially de-risked the Cariboo Gold Project and strengthened the company's balance sheet.

2. Positive Drilling Results at Cariboo Gold Project: The company announced encouraging infill and exploration diamond drilling results from the Lowhee Zone within the Cariboo Gold Project on September 8, 2025. These results included high-grade gold intercepts, further confirming the project's resource potential and providing valuable data for future mine planning and optimization.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ODV Return-2%0%3076%-32%-44%133%2658%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%136%188%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ODV Win Rate0%0%25%42%33%75% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ODV Max Drawdown-2%0%0%-40%-52%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventODVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven185.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven254.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven688 days1480 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Osisko Development's stock fell -64.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/31/2022. A -64.9% loss requires a 185.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Osisko Development (ODV)

Better Bets than Osisko Development (ODV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ODV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Osisko Development

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ODVBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameOsisko D.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price3.6442.93209.059.5398.03166.5370.48
Mkt Cap0.655.840.32.9107.583.648.0
Rev LTM1114,6041,5461,35221,50310,5686,057
Op Inc LTM-1016,3281,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM-982,750-8562266,1223,6451,488
FCF 3Y Avg-1041,372-161242,6362,041748
CFO LTM-556,3551,3104559,2245,8373,574
CFO 3Y Avg-484,6601,0563395,6163,8832,469

Growth & Margins

ODVBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameOsisko D.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.7%18.4%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%30.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-27.9%8.5%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%16.2%
Rev Chg Q2,638.5%23.2%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%40.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM60.5%5.6%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%7.5%
Op Mgn LTM-899.2%43.3%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%43.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-526.5%31.6%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%27.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM161.6%4.6%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%4.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-485.2%43.5%84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%43.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-325.8%36.2%81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%35.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-871.4%18.8%-55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%17.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-642.7%10.1%4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%10.9%

Valuation

ODVBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameOsisko D.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap0.655.840.32.9107.583.648.0
P/S56.53.827.82.04.38.06.2
P/EBIT--36.75.98.916.212.5
P/E-2.515.646.711.912.924.614.2
P/CFO-11.68.832.86.010.014.59.4
Total Yield-39.4%7.8%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.8%
D/E--0.00.10.10.00.0
Net D/E---0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

ODVBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameOsisko D.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn10.0%16.4%6.3%14.1%12.0%-0.7%11.0%
3M Rtn25.5%49.5%4.5%20.2%24.4%9.5%22.3%
6M Rtn68.5%103.1%24.2%38.1%68.6%35.1%53.3%
12M Rtn109.2%168.1%76.8%105.4%148.7%104.1%107.3%
3Y Rtn-13.9%172.0%62.8%156.2%130.4%249.4%143.3%
1M Excs Rtn9.0%15.4%5.4%13.1%11.0%-1.7%10.0%
3M Excs Rtn24.2%43.2%1.2%17.6%21.9%5.9%19.8%
6M Excs Rtn54.9%89.4%10.5%24.5%54.9%21.4%39.7%
12M Excs Rtn83.3%142.9%60.9%82.1%127.5%85.6%84.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.0%104.4%-19.7%77.3%56.3%177.6%66.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties3264   
Total3264   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties  703802397
Total  703802397


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,574,599
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.8%
Average Daily Volume1,131,259
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12
Basic Shares Quantity187,654,838
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111020256-K 9/30/2025
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202550720256-K 3/31/2025
12312024331202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111320246-K 9/30/2024
630202481220246-K 6/30/2024
331202450720246-K 3/31/2024
12312023329202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110820236-K 9/30/2023
630202380920236-K 6/30/2023
331202350920236-K 3/31/2023
12312022403202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022111020226-K 9/30/2022
630202281020226-K 6/30/2022