Hycroft Mining (HYMC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $13.28 | Market Cap: $563.8 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
Hycroft Mining (HYMC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $13.28Market Cap: $563.8 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Commodities & Resource Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Production, Inflation Hedge & Store of Value, and Industrial & Jewelry Materials. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 320%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 518% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% | ||
| Key risksHYMC key risks include [1] successfully executing its transition from a pre-revenue, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Commodities & Resource Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Production, Inflation Hedge & Store of Value, and Industrial & Jewelry Materials. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 320%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 518% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21% |
| Key risksHYMC key risks include [1] successfully executing its transition from a pre-revenue, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HYMC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Hycroft Mining initiated a 2025-2026 Exploration Drill Program in early August 2025, focusing on expanding high-grade silver systems at Brimstone and Vortex and exploring new target areas. The program follows successful discoveries in 2023 and 2024 that revealed significant high-grade silver mineralization, generating optimism about the mine's potential.
2. The company announced the repayment of all its outstanding debt on October 16, 2025. This significant financial action strengthened Hycroft's balance sheet and reduced its financial risk.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HYMC Return | -24% | -92% | -13% | -54% | -10% | 491% | -87% |
| Peers Return | 41% | -14% | -6% | -1% | 9% | 136% | 188% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HYMC Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 25% | 33% | 42% | 92% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 45% | 48% | 52% | 47% | 78% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HYMC Max Drawdown | -34% | -92% | -52% | -67% | -23% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -28% | -32% | -22% | -21% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HYMC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4587.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -1.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 120 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
Hycroft Mining's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4587.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HYMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 40.8% | 40.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.1% | 15.1% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.9% | 5.9% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 40.8% | 40.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.1% | 15.1% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Hycroft Mining
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 48.0 |
| Rev LTM | 6,057 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,146 |
| FCF LTM | 1,488 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 748 |
| CFO LTM | 3,574 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,469 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 38.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 43.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 43.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 48.0 |
| P/S | 4.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.9 |
| P/E | 14.2 |
| P/CFO | 9.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 53.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 127.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 164.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 19.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 39.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 106.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 79.0% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | 18.7% | 19.4% | 47.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | -2.7% | 4.0% | 26.6% |
| 5/14/2025 | -8.6% | -14.7% | 4.0% |
| 3/5/2025 | 9.4% | 12.4% | 26.1% |
| 11/5/2024 | -0.8% | -0.8% | -6.3% |
| 8/6/2024 | -5.8% | -0.4% | -7.6% |
| 3/14/2024 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 66.4% |
| 10/31/2023 | 3.5% | 12.7% | -3.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 8 | 7 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.5% | 10.9% | 26.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -6.1% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 18.7% | 19.4% | 66.4% |
| Max Negative | -19.1% | -32.5% | -34.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7262023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |