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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Commodities & Resource Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Production, Inflation Hedge & Store of Value, and Industrial & Jewelry Materials.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 320%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 518%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%
4   Key risks
HYMC key risks include [1] successfully executing its transition from a pre-revenue, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Commodities & Resource Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Production, Inflation Hedge & Store of Value, and Industrial & Jewelry Materials.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 320%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 518%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -21%
6 Key risks
HYMC key risks include [1] successfully executing its transition from a pre-revenue, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HYMC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Hycroft Mining initiated a 2025-2026 Exploration Drill Program in early August 2025, focusing on expanding high-grade silver systems at Brimstone and Vortex and exploring new target areas. The program follows successful discoveries in 2023 and 2024 that revealed significant high-grade silver mineralization, generating optimism about the mine's potential.

2. The company announced the repayment of all its outstanding debt on October 16, 2025. This significant financial action strengthened Hycroft's balance sheet and reduced its financial risk.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HYMC Return-24%-92%-13%-54%-10%491%-87%
Peers Return41%-14%-6%-1%9%136%188%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HYMC Win Rate58%33%25%33%42%92% 
Peers Win Rate48%45%48%52%47%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HYMC Max Drawdown-34%-92%-52%-67%-23%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-28%-32%-22%-21%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHYMCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4587.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-1.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven67 days120 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM


In The Past

Hycroft Mining's stock fell -97.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2021. A -97.9% loss requires a 4587.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hycroft Mining (HYMC)

Better Bets than Hycroft Mining (HYMC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Hycroft Mining Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HYMC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.8%40.8%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.1%15.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.9%5.9%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.8%40.8%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.1%15.1%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hycroft Mining

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HYMCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameHycroft .Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Price13.2342.93209.059.5398.03166.5370.48
Mkt Cap0.655.840.32.9107.583.648.0
Rev LTM014,6041,5461,35221,50310,5686,057
Op Inc LTM-376,3281,0694269,3595,2233,146
FCF LTM-312,750-8562266,1223,6451,488
FCF 3Y Avg-381,372-161242,6362,041748
CFO LTM-306,3551,3104559,2245,8373,574
CFO 3Y Avg-374,6601,0563395,6163,8832,469

Growth & Margins

HYMCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameHycroft .Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM-18.4%41.1%68.1%26.6%35.2%35.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.5%7.7%26.7%23.9%26.0%23.9%
Rev Chg Q-23.2%76.9%38.3%20.0%41.9%38.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-5.6%15.9%5.4%4.5%9.4%5.6%
Op Mgn LTM-43.3%69.1%31.5%43.5%49.4%43.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-31.6%64.1%22.0%23.9%36.0%31.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.6%0.8%2.9%4.5%3.6%3.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-43.5%84.7%33.7%42.9%55.2%43.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-36.2%81.3%35.4%32.6%45.6%36.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.8%-55.4%16.7%28.5%34.5%18.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.1%4.6%11.7%13.8%22.7%11.7%

Valuation

HYMCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameHycroft .Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap0.655.840.32.9107.583.648.0
P/S-3.827.82.04.38.04.3
P/EBIT-10.5-36.75.98.916.28.9
P/E-5.815.646.711.912.924.614.2
P/CFO-8.78.832.86.010.014.59.4
Total Yield-17.3%7.8%2.4%8.4%9.0%4.9%6.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%1.2%0.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-49.2%-0.4%6.2%3.6%3.9%3.6%
D/E0.5-0.00.10.10.00.1
Net D/E-0.0--0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

HYMCBFNVFSMNEMAEMMedian
NameHycroft .Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Newmont Agnico E. 
1M Rtn46.0%16.4%6.3%14.1%12.0%-0.7%13.1%
3M Rtn119.4%49.5%4.5%20.2%24.4%9.5%22.3%
6M Rtn320.0%103.1%24.2%38.1%68.6%35.1%53.3%
12M Rtn518.2%168.1%76.8%105.4%148.7%104.1%127.1%
3Y Rtn174.5%172.0%62.8%156.2%130.4%249.4%164.1%
1M Excs Rtn45.0%15.4%5.4%13.1%11.0%-1.7%12.1%
3M Excs Rtn114.6%43.2%1.2%17.6%21.9%5.9%19.8%
6M Excs Rtn306.3%89.4%10.5%24.5%54.9%21.4%39.7%
12M Excs Rtn460.3%142.9%60.9%82.1%127.5%85.6%106.5%
3Y Excs Rtn80.8%104.4%-19.7%77.3%56.3%177.6%79.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate and Other13614735515
Hycroft Mine66102139177120
Total202249142233135


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,410,710
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.0%
Average Daily Volume1,844,413
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity42,453,570
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/28/202518.7%19.4%47.9%
7/31/2025-2.7%4.0%26.6%
5/14/2025-8.6%-14.7%4.0%
3/5/20259.4%12.4%26.1%
11/5/2024-0.8%-0.8%-6.3%
8/6/2024-5.8%-0.4%-7.6%
3/14/20240.4%2.6%66.4%
10/31/20233.5%12.7%-3.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1087
# Negative689
Median Positive3.5%10.9%26.1%
Median Negative-5.2%-6.1%-7.6%
Max Positive18.7%19.4%66.4%
Max Negative-19.1%-32.5%-34.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023501202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021