New Found Gold (NFGC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $2.71 | Market Cap: $636.9 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Gold
New Found Gold (NFGC)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $2.71Market Cap: $636.9 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Gold
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals & Minerals Demand. Themes include Gold Exploration & Development. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% | ||
| Key risksNFGC key risks include [1] uncertainty regarding the economic continuity of its high-grade gold deposits and [2] the risk of significant shareholder dilution from the substantial capital required to fund future development. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precious Metals & Minerals Demand. Themes include Gold Exploration & Development. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -56 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Key risksNFGC key risks include [1] uncertainty regarding the economic continuity of its high-grade gold deposits and [2] the risk of significant shareholder dilution from the substantial capital required to fund future development. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NFGC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting the reasons for New Found Gold (NFGC) stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025:
1. New Found Gold completed the acquisition of Maritime Resources Corp., effectively transitioning into a near-term gold producer. This strategic move, initially announced with a definitive agreement on September 5, 2025, and officially closed on November 13, 2025, provided New Found Gold with the Hammerdown mine, Pine Cove mill, and Nugget Pond gold circuit. This acquisition is expected to generate near-term cash flow and de-risk the development of the flagship Queensway project.
2. The company announced consistently strong high-grade gold drill results from its Queensway Gold Project. Multiple updates, including those on November 19, December 1, and December 11, 2025, highlighted high-grade gold mineralization at various zones such as Keats, K2, and Monte Carlo. These positive exploration results demonstrated the project's potential and generally led to favorable market reactions.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NFGC Return | � | � | -43% | -13% | -48% | 52% | � |
| Peers Return | 41% | -22% | -14% | 28% | 27% | 151% | 290% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NFGC Win Rate | � | 67% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 47% | 43% | 57% | 53% | 77% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NFGC Max Drawdown | � | � | -56% | -18% | -56% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -31% | -38% | -11% | -19% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AEM, KGC, AGI, EQX, SA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NFGC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NEM, AEM
In The Past
New Found Gold's stock fell -63.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/25/2021. A -63.7% loss requires a 175.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NFGC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 42.2% | 42.2% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.0% | 15.0% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for New Found Gold
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,953 |
| Op Inc LTM | 584 |
| FCF LTM | 194 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 57 |
| CFO LTM | 706 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 498 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 34.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 28.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 35.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 42.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 30.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 48.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 45.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 24.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.2 |
| P/S | 6.3 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | 20.9 |
| P/CFO | 10.9 |
| Total Yield | 2.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 27.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 83.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 114.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 271.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 25.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 70.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 93.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 194.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3212025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 5192022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |