Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -270 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -270 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VERA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Positive Clinical Trial Results for Atacicept.

Vera Therapeutics' stock has been significantly influenced by positive data from its atacicept program for IgA nephropathy (IgAN). The company shared promising 72-week data from the open-label extension period of its Phase 2b ORIGIN clinical trial, which contributed to the stock reaching an all-time high in February 2024. Additionally, the Phase 3 ORIGIN trial met its primary endpoint, demonstrating a 46% reduction in proteinuria. These results were presented at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week 2025 and published in the New England Journal of Medicine, leading to surges in the stock price. 2. Favorable Regulatory Progress for Atacicept.

Atacicept has received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation, signaling strong potential for expedited review. Vera Therapeutics is on track to submit a Biologics License Application (BLA) for atacicept in the second half of 2025 under an accelerated approval pathway, with a potential commercial launch anticipated in 2026. This regulatory momentum is viewed positively by analysts, who expect the FDA to accept the BLA for review.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VERA Return---28%-21%175%-12%39%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VERA Win Rate-57%42%50%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VERA Max Drawdown---52%-72%-3%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVERAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven561.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven387 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Vera Therapeutics's stock fell -84.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/30/2021. A -84.9% loss requires a 561.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Vera Therapeutics (VERA)

Better Bets than Vera Therapeutics (VERA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VERA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vera Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VERAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price41.26463.13-1.07-11.0726.16
Mkt Cap2.6118.4----60.5
Rev LTM011,723---00
Op Inc LTM-270-92----93-93
FCF LTM-2113,337----60-60
FCF 3Y Avg-1402,064----962
CFO LTM-2103,718----60-60
CFO 3Y Avg-1402,419----1,140

Growth & Margins

VERAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-----0.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----31.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----28.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

VERAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap2.6118.4----60.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-7.622.4----7.4
P/E-7.427.2----9.9
P/CFO-8.826.9----9.1
Total Yield-13.6%3.7%-----5.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.3%2.3%-----4.0%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

VERAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn59.1%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Rtn79.7%16.8%---12.5%16.8%
6M Rtn29.0%3.9%----16.4%
12M Rtn-16.4%1.3%-----7.5%
3Y Rtn153.1%44.1%----98.6%
1M Excs Rtn59.1%8.7%----9.9%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn83.1%11.3%---4.5%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn14.2%-10.8%----1.7%
12M Excs Rtn-30.6%-14.6%-----22.6%
3Y Excs Rtn88.2%-25.9%----31.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,962,227
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.6%
Average Daily Volume2,021,334
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.93
Basic Shares Quantity63,847,055
Short % of Basic Shares15.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021