Tearsheet

Vera Therapeutics (VERA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $48.52 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Vera Therapeutics (VERA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $48.52
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -270 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
4   Key risks
VERA key risks include its dependence on [1] successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its lead candidates, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -23%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.6%, Dist 3Y High is -2.6%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -270 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
8 Key risks
VERA key risks include its dependence on [1] successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its lead candidates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VERA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Vera Therapeutics (VERA) stock moved significantly from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Positive Results from Pivotal Phase 3 ORIGIN Trial.

Vera Therapeutics announced on June 2, 2025, that its pivotal Phase 3 ORIGIN trial for atacicept in adults with IgA nephropathy (IgAN) met its primary endpoint. The trial demonstrated a statistically significant and clinically meaningful 46% reduction from baseline in proteinuria (urine protein-to-creatinine ratio or UPCR) at week 36, representing a 42% reduction compared to placebo. 2. Planned Biologics License Application (BLA) Submission.

Following the positive Phase 3 results, Vera Therapeutics confirmed plans to submit a Biologics License Application (BLA) for accelerated approval of atacicept to the U.S. FDA in the fourth quarter of 2025. This move signals a significant step towards potential market entry and a commercial launch expected in 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VERA Return-28%-21%175%14%
Peers Return31%-0%-27%30%50%33%146%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VERA Win Rate57%42%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate52%50%45%60%50%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VERA Max Drawdown-52%-72%-3%-55% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-42%-44%-37%-32%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, TVTX, AUPH, APLS, OMER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVERAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven561.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven387 days464 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO


In The Past

Vera Therapeutics's stock fell -84.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/30/2021. A -84.9% loss requires a 561.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Vera Therapeutics (VERA)

Better Bets than Vera Therapeutics (VERA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VERA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vera Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VERAVRTXTVTXAUPHAPLSOMERMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Travere .Aurinia .Apellis .Omeros  
Mkt Price48.53449.5233.8915.7925.208.8329.55
Mkt Cap3.1114.93.02.13.20.33.1
Rev LTM011,7234362661,0160351
Op Inc LTM-270-92-908780-129-91
FCF LTM-2113,337-10712079-105-13
FCF 3Y Avg-1402,064-26037-255-59-99
CFO LTM-2103,718-5912079-10510
CFO 3Y Avg-1402,419-19837-255-59-99

Growth & Margins

VERAVRTXTVTXAUPHAPLSOMERMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Travere .Aurinia .Apellis .Omeros  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%114.2%20.6%42.1%-31.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%70.5%27.5%115.2%-49.0%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%162.1%8.4%133.0%-72.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%30.5%2.2%34.7%-16.6%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%-20.6%32.7%7.9%-3.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%-161.3%-11.8%-80.7%--46.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%30.5%6.2%33.1%-18.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%-13.4%45.2%7.8%-19.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%-117.1%11.6%-84.9%--36.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%-24.7%45.1%7.7%-18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%-147.1%11.3%-85.1%--36.9%

Valuation

VERAVRTXTVTXAUPHAPLSOMERMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Travere .Aurinia .Apellis .Omeros  
Mkt Cap3.1114.93.02.13.20.33.1
P/S-8.54.95.52.8-5.2
P/EBIT-7.622.4-27.617.331.2-17.3
P/E-7.427.2-24.118.763.6-2.28.2
P/CFO-8.826.9-36.412.136.3-2.64.8
Total Yield-13.6%3.7%-4.2%5.3%1.6%-44.6%-1.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.3%2.3%-27.9%2.5%-5.7%--5.7%
D/E0.00.00.20.10.2-0.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.00.0-0.2-0.0--0.0

Returns

VERAVRTXTVTXAUPHAPLSOMERMedian
NameVera The.Vertex P.Travere .Aurinia .Apellis .Omeros  
1M Rtn64.7%3.6%-4.4%1.9%25.4%-2.8%2.8%
3M Rtn97.8%16.1%43.3%28.4%8.9%117.5%35.8%
6M Rtn132.0%0.2%135.2%99.4%41.9%174.2%115.7%
12M Rtn10.5%-4.2%97.7%65.3%-27.0%12.1%11.3%
3Y Rtn136.6%47.5%72.1%242.5%-52.5%393.3%104.4%
1M Excs Rtn64.0%2.8%-5.1%1.2%24.6%-3.5%2.0%
3M Excs Rtn82.9%14.8%38.8%21.1%6.4%105.9%29.9%
6M Excs Rtn119.6%-12.1%122.8%87.0%29.5%161.8%103.3%
12M Excs Rtn-0.9%-14.1%84.6%57.4%-35.2%4.6%1.9%
3Y Excs Rtn103.1%-25.4%10.9%166.8%-119.7%246.1%57.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Therapeutics1761318455
Total1761318455


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,818,660
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.6%
Average Daily Volume1,388,747
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.79
Basic Shares Quantity63,847,055
Short % of Basic Shares16.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-1.0%22.0%84.4%
8/5/20250.9%-1.4%12.3%
2/26/20252.5%5.5%-4.4%
10/28/2024-9.2%-4.6%0.3%
8/8/20240.6%6.3%4.3%
3/20/20244.4%-4.2%-9.1%
11/9/2023-0.1%16.0%18.9%
8/10/20236.2%-7.0%-0.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive788
# Negative766
Median Positive4.4%8.0%11.7%
Median Negative-6.0%-4.4%-3.6%
Max Positive9.0%22.0%84.4%
Max Negative-9.2%-16.3%-13.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021