Omeros (OMER)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $9.72 | Market Cap: $644.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Omeros (OMER)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $9.72Market Cap: $644.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -129 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 199% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 184% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% | |
| Key risksOMER key risks include [1] the uncertain FDA approval of its lead drug narsoplimab following a prior rejection, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -129 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 199% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 184% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Key risksOMER key risks include [1] the uncertain FDA approval of its lead drug narsoplimab following a prior rejection, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OMER Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate 131% stock movement for Omeros (OMER) from August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025:
1. Novo Nordisk Deal for Zaltenibart (OMS906)
Omeros entered into a significant asset purchase and license agreement with Novo Nordisk Health Care AG on October 10, 2025, granting exclusive global rights to its clinical-stage MASP-3 inhibitor, zaltenibart (OMS906). This deal is valued at up to $2.1 billion, with Omeros slated to receive $340 million in upfront and near-term milestone payments, including an expected $240 million upfront cash payment upon closing. This announcement caused OMER stock to soar by 65% on October 15, 2025, providing substantial capital and a positive outlook for the company's financial future.
2. Anticipation of Narsoplimab FDA Approval
The Biologics License Application (BLA) for narsoplimab, Omeros' lead MASP-2 inhibitor for the treatment of hematopoietic stem cell transplant-associated thrombotic microangiopathy (TA-TMA), remains under review by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The FDA set a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target action date for December 26, 2025, fueling optimism for a potential market approval. Omeros has also been preparing for the U.S. commercial launch of narsoplimab, to be marketed as YARTEMLEA, and has established reimbursement infrastructure and a hematology-focused sales force.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OMER Return | 1% | -55% | -65% | 45% | 202% | -7% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 74% | 0% | -35% | 6% | -8% | -12% | -4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OMER Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 53% | 43% | 53% | 38% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OMER Max Drawdown | -36% | -60% | -73% | -52% | -12% | -70% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -43% | -28% | -56% | -47% | -44% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APLS, BCRX, RARE, AKBA, CHRS. See OMER Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OMER | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -95.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2078.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -66.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 195.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 194 days | 120 days |
Compare to QURE, LXRX, MCRB, CUE, ACSB
In The Past
Omeros's stock fell -95.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -95.4% loss requires a 2078.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OMER. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Omeros
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 8.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 439 |
| Op Inc LTM | -37 |
| FCF LTM | -29 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -98 |
| CFO LTM | -29 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -98 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 42.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 30.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 57.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -80.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -70.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -71.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | -5.5 |
| P/CFO | 5.9 |
| Total Yield | -2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -15.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -27.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -101.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | 25.3% | 31.1% | |
| 8/14/2025 | 7.0% | 8.7% | -0.7% |
| 3/31/2025 | -3.8% | -16.1% | -10.6% |
| 11/13/2024 | 65.9% | 43.9% | 82.1% |
| 8/7/2024 | -5.8% | -1.0% | -12.3% |
| 4/1/2024 | -4.4% | 7.2% | -1.3% |
| 11/9/2023 | -0.8% | 19.8% | 100.0% |
| 8/9/2023 | 1.9% | -12.2% | -20.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 8 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 10.8% | 11.2% | 24.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.4% | -11.7% | -12.3% |
| Max Positive | 65.9% | 63.4% | 100.0% |
| Max Negative | -25.5% | -36.7% | -48.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |