Energy Fuels (UUUU)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.51 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Energy Fuels (UUUU)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.51Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 104% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -102 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -130% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 45x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 133%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 143% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -139%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -184% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 307% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9% | ||
| Key risksUUUU key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and high valuation that prices in substantial future growth and [2] the considerable execution risk of scaling its complex rare earth and mineral sands expansion projects to meet those expectations. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 104% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -102 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -130% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 45x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 133%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 143% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -139%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -184% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 307% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.9% |
| Key risksUUUU key risks include [1] its persistent unprofitability and high valuation that prices in substantial future growth and [2] the considerable execution risk of scaling its complex rare earth and mineral sands expansion projects to meet those expectations. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UUUU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The public company Energy Fuels (UUUU) experienced significant movements in its stock price from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, with several key developments influencing its valuation. Factors contributing to the stock's movements during this period include:
1. Collaboration to Establish US Rare Earth Magnet Supply Chain
Energy Fuels announced a collaboration with Vulcan Elements to build a US-based supply chain for rare earth magnets, which directly resulted in the stock increasing by over 16% around September 9, 2025. This partnership aims to reduce reliance on foreign supply for critical materials.
2. Successful Upsized Convertible Senior Notes Offering
In early October 2025, Energy Fuels completed an upsized offering of $700 million in 0.75% convertible senior notes, significantly bolstering its working capital to nearly $1 billion. This financing materially de-risked capital availability for the company's uranium and rare earth expansion projects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UUUU Return | 123% | 79% | -19% | 16% | -29% | 174% | 637% |
| Peers Return | � | 73% | -8% | 50% | -0% | 93% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UUUU Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 62% | 47% | 62% | 53% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UUUU Max Drawdown | -56% | -12% | -36% | -20% | -40% | -33% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -10% | -28% | -23% | -28% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CCJ, UEC, MP, NXE, DNN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UUUU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,148 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -62.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 165.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 497 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5122.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 537 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE
In The Past
Energy Fuels's stock fell -55.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -55.6% loss requires a 125.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Is Energy Fuels Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return | ||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Energy Fuels Stock with 45% Return (vs. 140% YTD) [8/26/2025] | Notification | ||
| Stacking Up UUUU Against Its Peers - Is It Still a Buy? | |||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Energy Fuels (UUUU) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Should You Buy or Sell Energy Fuels At $12? | August 27th, 2025 | ||
| UUUU Stock Up 45% after 5-Day Win Streak | August 26th, 2025 | ||
| UUUU vs the Competition: Which Stock Comes Out on Top? | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| UUUU Stock Up 67% after 7-Day Win Streak | July 19th, 2025 | ||
| UUUU Stock Up 64% after 6-Day Win Streak | July 18th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UUUU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.4% | 9.4% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.1% | 27.1% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.4% | 9.4% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.1% | 27.1% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Energy Fuels
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 64 |
| Op Inc LTM | -86 |
| FCF LTM | -119 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -74 |
| CFO LTM | -73 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -41 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 26.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 30.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -129.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -71.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -9.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -138.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -45.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -183.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -131.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 50.4 |
| P/EBIT | -18.8 |
| P/E | -26.0 |
| P/CFO | -53.9 |
| Total Yield | -2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 37.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 56.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 119.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 24.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 40.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 47.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uranium | 35 | ||||
| Rare Earth Elements | 3 | ||||
| Heavy Mineral Sands | 0 | ||||
| Unallocated | 0 | ||||
| Alternate Feed Materials, processing and other | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Rare Earth (RE) Carbonate | 2 | 1 | |||
| Uranium concentrates | 0 | 0 | |||
| Vanadium concentrates | 9 | 0 | 2 | ||
| Total | 38 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unallocated | 0 | ||||
| Heavy Mineral Sands | -4 | ||||
| Uranium | -11 | ||||
| Rare Earth Elements | -18 | ||||
| Total | -32 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/8/2016 | -15.3% | -16.4% | -23.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | -15.3% | -16.4% | -23.6% |
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | -15.3% | -16.4% | -23.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | HIGGS DENNIS LYLE | 11252025 | Sell | 13.61 | 15,000 | 204,150 | 2,422,090 | Form | |
| 1 | CARSTENS TIMOTHY JAMES | EVP, Heavy Minerals Sands Ops | 11242025 | Sell | 14.27 | 100,000 | 1,427,000 | 2,383,504 | Form |
| 2 | Chalmers Mark | CEO | 11202025 | Sell | 15.60 | 150,000 | 2,340,450 | 14,219,685 | Form |
| 3 | Moore Curtis | Senior VP, Marketing & | 11192025 | Sell | 15.58 | 25,000 | 389,500 | 1,857,027 | Form |
| 4 | HIGGS DENNIS LYLE | 11182025 | Sell | 15.28 | 10,917 | 166,812 | 3,177,690 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |