Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1691%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, and Nuclear Power.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 507x
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1392%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1836%
3  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99%
4  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, and Nuclear Power.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1691%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 507x
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1392%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1836%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DNN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 16.4% stock movement for Denison Mines (DNN) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Positive Community Engagement and Project Support: Denison Mines secured crucial consent and support for its key projects, including Wheeler River, through the signing of the Nuhenéné Benefit Agreement with First Nations and municipalities on December 1, 2025, and an Impact Benefit Agreement with Métis Nation-Saskatchewan on December 4, 2025. These agreements de-risk future project development by ensuring community backing.

2. Advancement of Flagship Wheeler River Project: The company's flagship Wheeler River Project is in the final stages of federal approval for its Phoenix deposit, with Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission hearings scheduled to conclude during the week of December 8, 2025. This progress significantly moves the project closer to construction and potential production.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DNN Return56%112%-16%54%2%44%524%
Peers Return39%51%6%811%-2%44%2729%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DNN Win Rate50%58%42%58%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate38%53%40%67%48%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DNN Max Drawdown-52%-1%-31%-15%-19%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-9%-17%-16%-24%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDNNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-55.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven575 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven35 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven416 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-96.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2569.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE


In The Past

Denison Mines's stock fell -55.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -55.7% loss requires a 125.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Denison Mines (DNN)

Better Bets than Denison Mines (DNN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DNN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Denison Mines

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DNNEUNCCCJUECNXEMedian
NameDenison .enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium .NexGen E. 
Mkt Price2.702.8346.7089.4512.959.3111.13
Mkt Cap2.40.50.338.95.85.33.9
Rev LTM5452813,46467056
Op Inc LTM-82-90-46646-73-78-76
FCF LTM-89-556973-70-190-62
FCF 3Y Avg-56-52-2593-36-164-44
CFO LTM-68-23651,261-64-32-27
CFO 3Y Avg-46-3243801-33-35-32

Growth & Margins

DNNEUNCCCJUECNXEMedian
NameDenison .enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium .NexGen E. 
Rev Chg LTM23.3%-23.1%25.3%23.9%29,737.9%-23.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg30.7%-8.0%24.2%10,082.6%-27.4%
Rev Chg Q50.4%-31.1%24.3%-14.7%--4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.8%-3.6%5.6%-3.0%0.0%-0.0%
Op Mgn LTM-1,691.4%-202.9%-16.2%18.6%-109.9%--109.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--357.2%-18.2%13.3%-8,450.6%--187.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-9.1%0.7%0.8%0.3%-20.6%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-1,391.9%-51.0%23.0%36.4%-96.4%--51.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-133.4%17.4%27.3%-15,863.7%-22.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-1,835.5%-122.7%2.3%28.1%-105.0%--105.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.3%-1.0%20.1%-16,376.8%-4.6%

Valuation

DNNEUNCCCJUECNXEMedian
NameDenison .enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium .NexGen E. 
Mkt Cap2.40.50.338.95.85.33.9
P/S506.712.01.110.545.3-12.0
P/EBIT-12.5-5.814.146.8-34.1-18.8-9.1
P/E-12.6-6.810.869.4-34.6-15.4-9.7
P/CFO-36.4-23.54.929.0-47.0-160.1-30.0
Total Yield-7.9%-14.7%11.5%1.4%-2.9%-6.5%-4.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%-7.2%-2.6%2.3%-0.4%-4.3%-2.8%
D/E0.10.00.30.00.00.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.10.0-0.00.1-0.0

Returns

DNNEUNCCCJUECNXEMedian
NameDenison .enCore E.NACCO In.Cameco Uranium .NexGen E. 
1M Rtn-7.5%-1.4%11.1%-11.1%-7.5%1.9%-4.4%
3M Rtn14.9%19.9%24.3%16.2%12.5%18.3%17.3%
6M Rtn63.6%32.9%31.4%49.6%110.6%45.5%47.5%
12M Rtn20.5%-21.6%50.8%51.0%58.1%14.7%35.7%
3Y Rtn128.8%2,738.5%8.9%278.8%247.2%107.3%188.0%
1M Excs Rtn-7.5%-1.4%11.1%-11.0%-7.5%1.9%-4.4%
3M Excs Rtn13.1%16.6%12.7%12.2%9.5%17.2%12.9%
6M Excs Rtn48.9%18.1%16.7%34.9%95.8%30.7%32.8%
12M Excs Rtn0.9%-38.7%36.3%37.3%42.3%-3.2%18.6%
3Y Excs Rtn62.0%2,665.7%-57.5%219.0%185.9%45.7%124.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mining29344
Corporate and Other00832
Closed Mine Services  98 
Dension environmental services    9
Total29201416


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity89,434,410
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume72,972,375
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.23
Basic Shares Quantity896,574,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110720256-K 9/30/2025
630202580820256-K 6/30/2025
331202551420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110820246-K 9/30/2024
630202480920246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110920236-K 9/30/2023
630202381020236-K 6/30/2023
331202351120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022328202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110420226-K 9/30/2022
630202280520226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
9302021110520216-K 9/30/2021