Denison Mines (DNN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.7 | Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Denison Mines (DNN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.7Market Cap: $2.4 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1691% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, and Nuclear Power. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 507x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1392%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1836% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Datacenter Power, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear, and Nuclear Power. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -82 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1691% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 507x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1392%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1836% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 99% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DNN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 16.4% stock movement for Denison Mines (DNN) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Positive Community Engagement and Project Support: Denison Mines secured crucial consent and support for its key projects, including Wheeler River, through the signing of the Nuhenéné Benefit Agreement with First Nations and municipalities on December 1, 2025, and an Impact Benefit Agreement with Métis Nation-Saskatchewan on December 4, 2025. These agreements de-risk future project development by ensuring community backing.
2. Advancement of Flagship Wheeler River Project: The company's flagship Wheeler River Project is in the final stages of federal approval for its Phoenix deposit, with Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission hearings scheduled to conclude during the week of December 8, 2025. This progress significantly moves the project closer to construction and potential production.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DNN Return | 56% | 112% | -16% | 54% | 2% | 44% | 524% |
| Peers Return | 39% | 51% | 6% | 811% | -2% | 44% | 2729% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DNN Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 53% | 40% | 67% | 48% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DNN Max Drawdown | -52% | -1% | -31% | -15% | -19% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -9% | -17% | -16% | -24% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DNN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 575 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -51.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -52.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 416 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -96.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2569.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE
In The Past
Denison Mines's stock fell -55.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/9/2021. A -55.7% loss requires a 125.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DNN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Denison Mines
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| Rev LTM | 56 |
| Op Inc LTM | -76 |
| FCF LTM | -62 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -44 |
| CFO LTM | -27 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -32 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 27.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -109.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -187.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -51.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -105.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.9 |
| P/S | 12.0 |
| P/EBIT | -9.1 |
| P/E | -9.7 |
| P/CFO | -30.0 |
| Total Yield | -4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 47.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 35.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 188.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 32.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 124.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8082025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3282025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3282024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3282023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11052021 | 6-K 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |