UTStarcom (UTSI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.47 | Market Cap: $22.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
UTStarcom (UTSI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.47Market Cap: $22.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -137% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -137% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.0 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -7.6% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.9% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -37%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -20% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UTSI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
A review of the provided search results for UTStarcom (UTSI) for the period between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, reveals several key points impacting the stock's performance.
1. Negative Financial Results for H1 2025: UTStarcom reported challenging unaudited financial results for the first half of 2025, with revenue down 19.3% year-over-year to $4.6 million and a net loss of $3.7 million ($0.41 per share). This significant decline in revenue and widening net loss, despite some contract wins, likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
2. Declining Gross Margins: The company experienced a sharp decline in gross profit by 52.9% to $0.8 million in H1 2025. Specifically, equipment sales showed a negative gross margin of 30.4%, a stark contrast to the positive margin in H1 2024, and service gross margin also decreased to 22.4% due to reduced activity with a major customer in India.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UTSI Return | -53% | -37% | 2% | -3% | -16% | -13% | -79% |
| Peers Return | 8% | 41% | -13% | 6% | 11% | 68% | 162% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UTSI Win Rate | 25% | 25% | 42% | 25% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 52% | 28% | 40% | 42% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UTSI Max Drawdown | -71% | -41% | -30% | -11% | -33% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -3% | -24% | -27% | -26% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UTSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 271.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -93.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1514.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, CSCO, ANET
In The Past
UTStarcom's stock fell -73.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -73.1% loss requires a 271.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can UTStarcom Stock Really Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UTSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for UTStarcom
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,800 |
| Op Inc LTM | -3 |
| FCF LTM | 57 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -4 |
| CFO LTM | 553 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 388 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.5 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | -6.3 |
| P/E | -3.2 |
| P/CFO | 8.3 |
| Total Yield | -11.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -3.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8292025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 4252025 | 20-F 12/31/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9052024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4292024 | 20-F 12/31/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8302023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4272023 | 20-F 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9022022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4262022 | 20-F 12/31/2021 |
| 6302021 | 8132021 | 6-K 6/30/2021 |
| 12312020 | 4212021 | 20-F 12/31/2020 |
| 6302020 | 10302020 | 6-K 6/30/2020 |
| 12312019 | 4292020 | 20-F 12/31/2019 |
| 9302019 | 11082019 | 6-K 9/30/2019 |
| 6302019 | 8132019 | 6-K 6/30/2019 |
| 3312019 | 5102019 | 6-K 3/31/2019 |
| 12312018 | 4172019 | 20-F 12/31/2018 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |