Ribbon Communications (RBBN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.825 | Market Cap: $499.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Ribbon Communications (RBBN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.825Market Cap: $499.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.8% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 73x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.8% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Cybersecurity, and Cloud Computing. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -59% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 73x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RBBN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Ribbon Communications (RBBN) experienced a stock decline of approximately 29.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily due to several key factors.
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Revenue Shortfall: The company reported its Q3 2025 earnings on October 22, 2025, with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.04, missing the forecasted $0.06 by 33.33%. Additionally, revenue came in at $215 million, falling short of the expected $220.04 million. This performance deviated from previous quarters where the company had more closely aligned with market expectations, leading to investor disappointment and a stock price drop of 0.99% in aftermarket trading following the announcement.
2. Decline in North American Sales and Impact of U.S. Federal Government Shutdown: Ribbon Communications faced challenges in its North American sales, which declined by approximately 10% in Q3 2025. The U.S. Federal Government shutdown also had a minor impact on Q3 results for the Cloud & Edge segment and was anticipated to create a near-term timing issue on new purchases, affecting expected revenue from government contracts in Q4 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RBBN Return | 112% | -8% | -54% | 4% | 43% | -32% | -9% |
| Peers Return | 13% | 195% | -32% | 49% | 46% | 819% | 4430% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RBBN Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 25% | 20% | 14% | 30% | 32% | 16% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RBBN Max Drawdown | -35% | -20% | -63% | -33% | -12% | -34% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -5% | -33% | -29% | -19% | -61% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UIS, BMR, BTTC, CCC, FUSE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RBBN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 498.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 78.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -68.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 221.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 442 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 704.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to UIS, BMR, BTTC, CCC, FUSE
In The Past
Ribbon Communications's stock fell -83.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -83.3% loss requires a 498.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RBBN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ribbon Communications
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 869 |
| Op Inc LTM | 37 |
| FCF LTM | 25 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 16 |
| CFO LTM | 41 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 35 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -3.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 36.0 |
| P/E | -8.2 |
| P/CFO | 3.2 |
| Total Yield | -62.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -11.2% |
| D/E | 1.7 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -28.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -34.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -46.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -40.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -34.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -49.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -62.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -105.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |