Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 395%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 112%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 395%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 71%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 112%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

URGN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. FDA Approval and Initial Commercial Launch of ZUSDURI

UroGen Pharma received FDA approval for ZUSDURI (UGN-102) on June 12, 2025, with its commercial launch commencing in July 2025. This marked a significant milestone as ZUSDURI became the first and only FDA-approved medicine for recurrent low-grade intermediate-risk non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (LG-IR-NMIBC). The product's availability and its potential to address a substantial market opportunity could have driven investor confidence and stock appreciation. 2. Positive Phase 3 UTOPIA Trial Results for UGN-103 and Regulatory Path Agreement

On November 6, 2025, UroGen announced robust preliminary results from its Phase 3 UTOPIA trial for UGN-103, demonstrating a 77.8% three-month complete response rate in patients with recurrent LG-IR-NMIBC. Crucially, the FDA agreed with the regulatory plan to submit a New Drug Application (NDA) based on this data, with an anticipated submission in the second half of 2026. This positive clinical data and a clear pathway to potential market approval for another pipeline asset likely contributed to a positive outlook for the company's future revenue streams.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
URGN Return-46%-47%-7%69%-29%129%-27%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
URGN Win Rate42%42%42%50%33%80% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
URGN Max Drawdown-59%-50%-46%-10%-30%-63% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventURGNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven426.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1280 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven209.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

UroGen Pharma's stock fell -81.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -81.0% loss requires a 426.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About UroGen Pharma (URGN)

Better Bets than UroGen Pharma (URGN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to URGN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UroGen Pharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

URGNVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameUroGen P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price24.35463.132.541.0711.0721.2216.14
Mkt Cap1.2118.4----59.8
Rev LTM9811,7230-01010
Op Inc LTM-110-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-3,337-6--60-64-33
FCF 3Y Avg-2,064-10---1,027
CFO LTM-3,718-6--60-64-33
CFO 3Y Avg-2,419-10---1,204

Growth & Margins

URGNVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameUroGen P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM14.7%10.3%----12.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.2%10.5%----14.8%
Rev Chg Q25.8%11.0%----18.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.1%2.7%----4.4%
Op Mgn LTM-112.3%-0.8%----700.7%-112.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-103.5%26.2%-----38.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.2%1.0%----3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

URGNVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameUroGen P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap1.2118.4----59.8
P/S9.88.5----9.2
P/EBIT-7.822.4----7.3
P/E-6.927.2----10.2
P/CFO-26.9----26.9
Total Yield-14.4%3.7%-----5.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%----2.3%
D/E0.10.0----0.1
Net D/E0.0-0.0-----0.0

Returns

URGNVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameUroGen P.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn18.1%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Rtn25.7%16.8%--12.5%-16.8%
6M Rtn394.9%3.9%----199.4%
12M Rtn97.3%1.3%----49.3%
3Y Rtn190.2%44.1%----117.2%
1M Excs Rtn18.1%8.7%---9.9%-8.7%
3M Excs Rtn24.2%11.3%--4.5%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn380.2%-10.8%----184.7%
12M Excs Rtn78.2%-14.6%----31.8%
3Y Excs Rtn125.2%-25.9%----49.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Jelmyto83644812 
Single Segment    0
Total836448120


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,976,703
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-20.4%
Average Daily Volume1,679,557
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.34
Basic Shares Quantity48,057,386
Short % of Basic Shares18.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021321202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021