ImmunityBio (IBRX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.1 | Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
ImmunityBio (IBRX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.1Market Cap: $2.0 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1026% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -261 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -316% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -66% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -387%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -393% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% | |
| Key risksIBRX key risks include [1] severe financial instability with substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1026% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -66% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -261 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -316% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -387%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -393% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| Key risksIBRX key risks include [1] severe financial instability with substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IBRX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
While specific stock movement data for the exact period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, with a precise -9.8% change is not available, information from the approximate time frame and leading up to December 2025 provides insights into ImmunityBio (IBRX) performance and analyst sentiment. 1. 1. ImmunityBio reported increased revenue and unit growth for Q3 2025, but also a net loss. ImmunityBio announced its financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2025, on November 4, 2025. The company reported total revenue and other income of $33.7 million, up from $26.4 million in Q2 2025. Product revenue increased by 434% in Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024, with year-to-date sales reaching $74.7 million. ANKTIVA unit sales volume grew by 467% year-to-date in 2025 compared to fiscal year 2024. Despite the revenue growth, the net loss attributable to ImmunityBio common stockholders was $67.3 million for Q3 2025. 2. 2. Analyst sentiment for IBRX in late 2025 was generally positive, with "Strong Buy" ratings. As of December 17, 2025, five analysts had a "Strong Buy" consensus rating for ImmunityBio (IBRX). This indicates that despite any short-term stock fluctuations, the broader analyst community held a favorable long-term outlook for the company. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IBRX Return | 252% | -54% | -17% | -1% | -49% | -16% | -43% |
| Peers Return | 86% | 34% | 12% | -15% | -8% | 19% | 159% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IBRX Win Rate | 58% | 25% | 58% | 50% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 55% | 55% | 43% | 48% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IBRX Max Drawdown | -31% | -57% | -56% | -75% | -49% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -8% | -19% | -26% | -24% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRK, JNJ, GILD, INCY, MRNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IBRX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3266.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -64.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 183.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -87.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 719.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 120 days |
Compare to ACAD, IRWD, EDIT, ACSB, ALPS
In The Past
ImmunityBio's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/22/2021. A -97.0% loss requires a 3266.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| ImmunityBio Earnings Notes | |||
| Would You Still Hold ImmunityBio Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return | ||
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for ImmunityBio Stock with -21% Return (vs. -12% YTD) [8/21/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for ImmunityBio Stock with -20% Return (vs. -12% YTD) [8/20/2025] | Notification | ||
| ImmunityBio (IBRX) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ImmunityBio (IBRX) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ImmunityBio (IBRX) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ImmunityBio (IBRX) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ImmunityBio (IBRX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ImmunityBio (IBRX) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| IBRX Stock Down -21% after 6-Day Loss Streak | August 21st, 2025 | ||
| IBRX Stock Down -20% after 5-Day Loss Streak | August 21st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IBRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ImmunityBio
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 98.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 85.0 |
| Rev LTM | 16,950 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,204 |
| FCF LTM | 5,167 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,700 |
| CFO LTM | 5,459 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,013 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 85.0 |
| P/S | 4.7 |
| P/EBIT | 9.8 |
| P/E | 12.5 |
| P/CFO | 12.8 |
| Total Yield | 7.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 10.1% |
| 7/25/2025 | -5.0% | -18.3% | -23.3% |
| 5/12/2025 | 14.0% | 37.2% | 61.4% |
| 3/3/2025 | -13.4% | -8.8% | -8.5% |
| 11/12/2024 | -9.2% | -8.1% | -42.2% |
| 12/12/2022 | 10.1% | 4.7% | -27.8% |
| 9/13/2021 | -1.2% | 2.9% | -1.4% |
| 5/3/2021 | -2.9% | -5.7% | -0.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| # Negative | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 10.1% | 3.8% | 35.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -8.4% | -15.9% |
| Max Positive | 14.0% | 37.2% | 61.4% |
| Max Negative | -13.4% | -18.3% | -42.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3192024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |