Tesla (TSLA)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $490.07 | Market Cap: $1.6 TrilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Tesla (TSLA)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $490.07Market Cap: $1.6 TrilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 16 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.8 Bil | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 16x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 226x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 100x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 311x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, Automation & Robotics, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% | ||
| Key risksTSLA key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges concerning its autonomous driving technology and [2] the company's heavy dependence on its controversial and distracted CEO, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 16 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.8 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, Battery Technology & Metals, Automation & Robotics, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 16x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 226x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 100x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 311x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.9% |
| Key risksTSLA key risks include [1] significant regulatory and legal challenges concerning its autonomous driving technology and [2] the company's heavy dependence on its controversial and distracted CEO, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Stronger-than-anticipated vehicle deliveries and production figures were a significant catalyst, indicating robust demand and efficient scaling of manufacturing operations.
2. Positive developments regarding new product launches or advancements in autonomous driving technology generated investor optimism, signaling future growth potential and market leadership.
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.6% change in TSLA stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 30.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 434.21 | 488.73 | 12.56% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 92720.00 | 95633.00 | 3.14% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.34% | 5.31% | -16.24% |
| P/E Multiple | 238.04 | 310.52 | 30.45% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3223.00 | 3227.00 | -0.12% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.56% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 12.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 63.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.9% | 78.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.2% change in TSLA stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 69.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 348.68 | 488.73 | 40.17% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 95724.00 | 95633.00 | -0.10% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.38% | 5.31% | -16.75% |
| P/E Multiple | 183.73 | 310.52 | 69.01% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3218.00 | 3227.00 | -0.28% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.16% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 40.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 52.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 14.3% | 71.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.1% change in TSLA stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 198.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 421.06 | 488.73 | 16.07% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 97150.00 | 95633.00 | -1.56% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.31% | 5.31% | -60.10% |
| P/E Multiple | 104.13 | 310.52 | 198.22% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3198.00 | 3227.00 | -0.91% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.06% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 16.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 69.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.8% | 82.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 296.9% change in TSLA stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 797.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 123.15 | 488.73 | 296.86% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 74863.00 | 95633.00 | 27.74% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.95% | 5.31% | -64.48% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.62 | 310.52 | 797.02% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 3146.00 | 3227.00 | -2.57% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 296.59% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 93.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 58.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.4% | 78.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TSLA Return | 743% | 50% | -65% | 102% | 63% | 19% | 1625% |
| Peers Return | � | � | -56% | -1% | -18% | 42% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TSLA Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 17% | 67% | 58% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 42% | 38% | 45% | 45% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TSLA Max Drawdown | -14% | -20% | -69% | -12% | -43% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -62% | -34% | -38% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GM, F, RIVN, LCID, RUN. See TSLA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TSLA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 279.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 708 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 198 days | 120 days |
Compare to GM, PCAR, F, RIVN, OSK
In The Past
Tesla's stock fell -73.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -73.6% loss requires a 279.3% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- The Apple of the automotive industry.
- The Google of electric vehicles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Electric Vehicles: Tesla produces a range of battery-electric cars (sedans, SUVs, trucks) and a semi-truck, known for their performance and technology.
- Energy Storage Systems: Tesla offers large-scale battery systems like Powerwall and Megapack for residential, commercial, and utility-scale energy storage.
- Solar Products: Tesla designs and installs solar panels and solar roofs for generating renewable energy for homes and businesses.
- Supercharging Network: Tesla operates a global network of fast-charging stations primarily for its electric vehicles.
- Full Self-Driving (FSD) Software: This advanced driver-assistance system, available as an optional software upgrade, aims to enable the vehicle to drive autonomously under human supervision.
- Vehicle Service & Maintenance: Tesla provides diagnostic, repair, and maintenance services for its vehicles through its service centers and mobile service.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tesla (TSLA) primarily sells its electric vehicles directly to individual consumers globally. While the company does have business-to-business sales for its energy storage solutions (Megapack, Powerwall) and some fleet vehicle sales, the overwhelming majority of its revenue and customer base for its core automotive business comes from individuals.
Based on this, here are up to three categories of customers that Tesla serves:
- Technology Enthusiasts and Early Adopters: These customers are drawn to Tesla for its cutting-edge technology, including advanced driver-assistance features (Autopilot/FSD), over-the-air software updates, and seamless digital integration. They often appreciate the innovative user interface, high-performance computing, and the "smart device on wheels" experience. This segment typically values innovation and is willing to invest in pioneering automotive technology.
- Environmentally Conscious Consumers: A significant portion of Tesla's customer base is motivated by environmental sustainability and the desire to reduce their carbon footprint. These buyers prioritize zero-emission transportation, seeking to contribute to a greener future and reduce reliance on fossil fuels. They often see Tesla as a leader in sustainable energy and automotive technology.
- Performance and Luxury Seekers: Many Tesla buyers are attracted by the vehicles' rapid acceleration, responsive handling, and overall premium driving experience. They seek a modern luxury vehicle that offers high performance, sophisticated design, and advanced features, often valuing the distinctive brand image and technological prowess over traditional luxury brands.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Elon Musk, CEO
Elon Musk is an entrepreneur who co-founded several prominent companies. He co-founded Zip2 in 1995, a software company that was later sold to Compaq for $307 million in 1999. He then co-founded X.com, an online payment company that merged to become PayPal, which eBay acquired in 2002. Musk also founded the space technology company SpaceX in 2002, and the neurotechnology company Neuralink in 2016. He also founded The Boring Company and xAI. He became the CEO of Tesla in 2008, having been an early investor and chairman since 2004.
Vaibhav Taneja, Chief Financial Officer
Vaibhav Taneja is an Indian-American business executive and accountant who became Tesla's Chief Financial Officer in August 2023. Prior to joining Tesla, Taneja worked for PwC in India and the United States from July 1999 to March 2016, ultimately holding the role of senior manager in assurance. In 2016, he joined SolarCity as its corporate controller. He joined Tesla in February 2017 when SolarCity was acquired by Tesla, initially as assistant corporate controller. He was promoted to corporate controller in May 2018 and became chief accounting officer in March 2019. Taneja is also a director of Tesla India Motors and Energy Private Limited.
Tom Zhu, Senior Vice President, Automotive
Tom Zhu (Zhu Xiaotong) serves as Tesla's Senior Vice President of Automotive, a position he has held since April 2023. He joined Tesla in April 2014 and held various operational roles before being appointed Vice President for Greater China, where he was instrumental in the construction and operations of Gigafactory Shanghai. Before joining Tesla, Zhu was a project manager at a company established by his classmates, advising Chinese contractors on infrastructure projects in Africa.
Lars Moravy, VP, Vehicle Engineering
Lars Moravy is the Vice President of Vehicle Engineering at Tesla, having joined the company in 2010. He leads a team of engineers responsible for all Tesla vehicle hardware design, test and validation, development, launch, automation, manufacturing, and sustaining. Before his tenure at Tesla, Moravy was a Suspension Design Engineer III, Chassis Design for Honda R&D.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Tesla (TSLA) faces several key risks to its business, primarily driven by market dynamics, regulatory scrutiny, and leadership factors.
- Increased Competition and Market Share Decline: Tesla is encountering intensifying competition in the global electric vehicle (EV) market from both established automakers and new entrants, particularly from Chinese manufacturers like BYD. This competitive pressure has led to pricing wars, declining sales, and a reduction in Tesla's market share, impacting its revenue and profit margins.
- Regulatory and Legal Challenges concerning Autonomous Driving: Tesla faces significant regulatory scrutiny and numerous legal challenges related to its autonomous driving technologies, including Autopilot and Full Self-Driving (FSD). These challenges include shareholder lawsuits alleging the company overstated the capabilities and concealed safety risks of its robotaxi technology, as well as investigations by regulatory bodies such as the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) into incidents involving FSD.
- Dependence on Elon Musk and Leadership Concerns: Tesla's business and public perception are heavily tied to its CEO, Elon Musk. Risks include concerns over his "distractions" due to involvement in other ventures, his controversial public statements, and the potential impact of his leadership style or absence on the company's value and operational focus.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Tesla's Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services
The addressable markets for Tesla's main products and services are substantial and are projected to grow significantly in the coming years across various regions, particularly globally and in key markets like North America and Asia Pacific.
Electric Vehicles (EVs)
- Global: The global electric vehicle market size was estimated at USD 1,328.08 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 6,523.97 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 32.5% from 2025 to 2030. Another projection indicates the global electric vehicle market size at approximately USD 988.70 billion in 2025, increasing to around USD 2,529.10 billion by 2034. Global EV sales rose to 17.8 million units in 2024 and are projected to reach 21.3 million in 2025, accounting for a 24% market share. These sales are expected to more than double to 40.1 million by 2030.
- Asia Pacific: This region held the largest electric vehicle market share in 2024. The Asia Pacific electric vehicle market size was calculated at USD 491.90 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 1,377.10 billion by 2034.
- Europe: Electric vehicles are set to capture 25% of light-vehicle sales in 2025 and nearly 63% by 2030.
Energy Storage (e.g., Powerwall, Megapack)
- Global: The global battery energy storage system (BESS) market size is estimated at USD 10.16 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 86.87 billion by 2034. Other estimations place the global battery energy storage market size at USD 50.81 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 105.96 billion by 2030, or USD 76.69 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 172.17 billion by 2030. The broader advanced energy storage system market is projected to be worth USD 257.50 billion in 2025 and reach USD 701.20 billion by 2032. Overall, the global energy storage market size is expected to be worth around USD 712.7 billion by 2034, up from USD 267.4 billion in 2024.
- U.S.: The U.S. battery energy storage system market size is estimated at USD 3.35 billion in 2025 and is projected to be worth around USD 29.10 billion by 2034. The U.S. energy storage systems market is projected to reach over USD 240 billion by 2032.
- Asia Pacific: This region accounted for the largest share of the battery energy storage system market in 2024. The Asia-Pacific region held a dominant market position in the global energy storage industry in 2024, capturing approximately 47.3% of the total market share and reaching a valuation of around USD 126.4 billion.
Solar (e.g., Solar Panels, Solar Roof)
- Global: The global solar power market size was valued at USD 253.69 billion in 2023 and is projected to be worth USD 273 billion in 2024, reaching USD 436.36 billion by 2032. Another estimate indicates the global solar energy market size was USD 121.99 billion in 2024 and is projected to surpass approximately USD 389.86 billion by 2034. Additionally, the solar energy market size is reported to have grown from $169.5 billion in 2024 to $217.51 billion in 2025.
- U.S.: The Solar Power market in the U.S. is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated value of USD 103.96 billion by 2032. In 2024, the U.S. solar energy market had a size of USD 30.12 billion.
- Asia Pacific: Asia Pacific dominated the solar power market in terms of share in 2023 and 2024. The market value in this region stood at USD 104.79 billion in 2023, and the Asia Pacific solar energy market size was USD 43.92 billion in 2024, predicted to hit around USD 142.3 billion by 2034.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Tesla (TSLA) over the next 2-3 years:1. Expansion of Autonomous Driving (FSD) and Robotaxi Services: Tesla anticipates significant revenue growth from the increasing adoption of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software and the rollout of its Robotaxi service. FSD adoption rates in North America have shown an uptick, particularly since the release of version 12. The company launched its commercial Robotaxi service in Austin in the second quarter of 2025, with ambitious plans to expand coverage to half of the U.S. population by year-end, pending regulatory approvals. The Cybercab is also projected to reach volume production in 2026.
2. Introduction of More Affordable Vehicle Models: Tesla plans to introduce more affordable vehicle models, with production for lower-cost models starting in the first half of 2025. This initiative aims to drive a substantial increase in vehicle sales, with an estimated 20% to 30% vehicle sales growth projected for the next year.
3. Growth in Energy Generation and Storage Business: The energy storage sector, including Megapack and Powerwall products, continues to be a robust growth area for Tesla. The company reported strong demand and significant growth in this segment, with energy generation and storage revenue soaring 44% year-over-year in Q3 2025. Tesla expects at least 50% growth in energy storage deployments year-over-year in 2025. The scaling of operations at facilities like the Lathrop Megafactory and a new facility in Shanghai supports this growth.
4. Development and Production of Optimus Humanoid Robot: Tesla is making strides in its robotics initiatives, with prototypes of the Optimus humanoid robot expected within three months of Q2 2025 and plans to start production early next year. The company has a medium-confidence target of scaling Optimus production to approximately 100,000 units per month within five years, which could represent a significant future revenue stream.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Tesla has not conducted significant share repurchases between 2020 and 2025. FinanceCharts.com reports $0.00 for share buybacks.
- In November 2022, Elon Musk mentioned the board debated a potential share buyback of $5 billion to $10 billion, pending approval.
- In September 2025, Elon Musk personally purchased approximately $1 billion worth of Tesla shares.
Share Issuance
- In February 2020, Tesla announced an offering of approximately $2 billion of common stock, with a potential to reach $2.3 billion if underwriters exercised their option.
- In September 2020, Tesla undertook a $5 billion stock offering.
- Tesla's common stock issuance peaked in December 2020 at $12.686 billion.
Inbound Investments
- Tesla received over $5 billion in debt financing from Chinese banks (ICBC, China Merchants Bank) between 2017-2019 to fund Gigafactory Shanghai, with an additional $565 million facility from ICBC in 2020.
Outbound Investments
- In early 2021, Tesla made a significant investment of $1.5 billion in Bitcoin.
- Recent acquisitions include Wiferion in July 2023 and Dacia Romania in December 2022, both for undisclosed values.
- Tesla acquired Siilion in November 2021 and ATS Automation Tooling System in October 2020, both for undisclosed amounts.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures consistently increased from $3.232 billion in 2020 to $11.342 billion in 2024.
- For 2025, Tesla initially projected capital expenditures to surpass $11 billion, but later reduced the forecast to above $9 billion.
- These expenditures primarily focus on developing and ramping new products, building and expanding manufacturing facilities across continents (including Gigafactory expansions and plans for Mexico), advancing battery cell technologies, expanding the Supercharger network, and investing in autonomy and AI-enabled products and training.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TSLA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.9% | 3.9% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Tesla
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 20.99 |
| Mkt Cap | 40.1 |
| Rev LTM | 50,734 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,631 |
| FCF LTM | -1,119 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -3,108 |
| CFO LTM | 8,416 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 6,664 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 23.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -12.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -13.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -48.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 40.1 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 3.4 |
| P/E | 4.9 |
| P/CFO | 2.9 |
| Total Yield | -6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -15.3% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 49.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 51.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 16.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 37.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 40.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $488.73 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1,577.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/29/2010 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $441.22 | $351.97 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 10.8% | 38.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 48.6% | 64.4% |
| Downside Capture | 222.14 | 238.59 |
| Upside Capture | 252.76 | 218.65 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 63.7% | 68.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.62 | 2.59 | 2.57 | 2.50 | 2.27 | 2.24 |
| Up Beta | 3.13 | 3.07 | 3.24 | 3.07 | 2.32 | 2.24 |
| Down Beta | 3.74 | 1.90 | 3.07 | 2.65 | 2.09 | 2.18 |
| Up Capture | 215% | 261% | 303% | 267% | 534% | 2900% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 37 | 68 | 127 | 385 |
| Down Capture | 236% | 266% | 173% | 206% | 150% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 20 | 25 | 56 | 120 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TSLA With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 1.8% | 3.1% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 64.6% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 | 0.07 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 82.3% | 69.1% | 2.4% | 23.7% | 39.2% | 41.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TSLA With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 18.0% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 60.8% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 76.8% | 56.8% | 3.1% | 10.6% | 33.3% | 30.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TSLA With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 42.1% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 59.2% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.84 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 62.9% | 49.3% | 3.6% | 18.1% | 31.6% | 18.7% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/2/2025 | -5.1% | -4.5% | -4.2% |
| 7/2/2025 | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| 4/2/2025 | 5.3% | -17.4% | 4.5% |
| 1/2/2025 | -6.1% | -2.2% | -5.0% |
| 10/2/2024 | -3.5% | -5.2% | -0.2% |
| 7/2/2024 | 10.2% | 25.0% | 10.6% |
| 4/2/2024 | 1.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% |
| 1/2/2024 | -4.0% | -5.4% | -24.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 5.1% | 23.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -5.1% | -13.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 26.1% | 81.3% |
| Max Negative | -12.2% | -17.4% | -24.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10232025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4232025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1302025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10242024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7242024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4242024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10232023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7242023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10242022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7252022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4252022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2072022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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