American International (AIG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $77.06 | Market Cap: $42.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-line Insurance
American International (AIG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $77.06Market Cap: $42.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-line Insurance
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Digital & Alternative Assets, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AIG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points regarding American International (AIG) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Results: American International Group's stock slipped as investors focused on weaker GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) results and softer net premiums written, despite the company beating expectations on adjusted third-quarter 2025 earnings. AIG reported its Q3 2025 financial results on November 4, 2025.
2. Investment and Corebridge-Related Losses: The weaker GAAP earnings and stock slip were also influenced by investment and Corebridge-related losses, contributing to pressure on the company's financial performance following the Q3 2025 results.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIG Return | -23% | 54% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 74% |
| Peers Return | -5% | 30% | 14% | 5% | 31% | 10% | 111% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIG Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 58% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 58% | 60% | 62% | 65% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIG Max Drawdown | -63% | -2% | -15% | -25% | -1% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -3% | -8% | -21% | -1% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRV, ALL, MET, HIG, PRU. See AIG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AIG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 243 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 190.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 513 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1828 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -100.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 306440.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to TRV, ALL, MET, HIG, PRU
In The Past
American International's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AIG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for American International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North America Commercial | 10,233 | ||||
| International Commercial | 7,964 | ||||
| Global Personal | 6,894 | ||||
| Net investment income | 3,446 | ||||
| Net results of businesses in run-off | 475 | ||||
| Other income | 6 | 49 | 46 | ||
| Net impact from elimination of international reporting lag | 3 | ||||
| Elimination and consolidations | -5 | ||||
| Net realized gains (losses) | -1,078 | -148 | 395 | ||
| General Insurance | 28,361 | 28,361 | 26,587 | 29,882 | |
| Life and Retirement | 19,574 | 19,594 | 17,275 | 16,356 | |
| Other Operations | 347 | 347 | 823 | 3,060 | |
| Changes in the fair value of equity securities | 200 | 158 | |||
| Changes in the fair values of equity securities and American International Group, Inc (AIG's) | 56 | 228 | |||
| Net investment income on Fortitude Re funds withheld assets | 1,053 | ||||
| Net realized gains (losses) on Fortitude Re funds withheld embedded derivative | -2,645 | ||||
| Net realized losses on Fortitude Re funds withheld assets | 463 | ||||
| Non-operating litigation reserves and settlements | 23 | 9 | |||
| American International Group Consolidation and elimination | -388 | ||||
| Total | 27,938 | 48,282 | 48,302 | 43,736 | 49,746 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Multi-line Insurance Resources |
| Insurance Business America |
| A.M. Best |
| National Underwriter |
| Insurance News |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
