TC Energy (TRP)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $67.69 | Market Cap: $70.5 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
TC Energy (TRP)
Market Price (6/21/2026): $67.69Market Cap: $70.5 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 5.4% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 45% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86% Key risksTRP key risks include [1] regulatory and political pressures impacting project viability, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.7%, FCF Yield is 5.4% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 45% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.8 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86% |
| Key risksTRP key risks include [1] regulatory and political pressures impacting project viability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
TC Energy (TRP) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Upbeat Outlook.
TC Energy reported fiscal Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.72, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.70 by 2.86%. The company also achieved a 14% increase in comparable EBITDA and a 10% rise in segmented earnings during fiscal Q1 2026 compared to fiscal Q1 2025. Furthermore, TC Energy reaffirmed its 2026 comparable EBITDA guidance of C$11.6 billion to C$11.8 billion, projecting approximately 7% growth over 2025, with further growth anticipated to C$12.6-$13.1 billion by 2028.
2. Strategic Project Approvals and Robust Project Backlog.
The company approved the US$1.5 billion Appalachia Supply Project, a significant expansion of its Columbia Gas system, extending its presence into a high-demand market. This project highlights TC Energy's disciplined growth strategy. Evidence of strong customer demand was also demonstrated by the 2.5 times oversubscribed open season for the Crossroads pipeline and a three times oversubscribed open season on its Columbia Gas Transmission system in fiscal Q1 2026.
Show more
TC Energy (TRP) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Upbeat Outlook.
TC Energy reported fiscal Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $0.72, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.70 by 2.86%. The company also achieved a 14% increase in comparable EBITDA and a 10% rise in segmented earnings during fiscal Q1 2026 compared to fiscal Q1 2025. Furthermore, TC Energy reaffirmed its 2026 comparable EBITDA guidance of C$11.6 billion to C$11.8 billion, projecting approximately 7% growth over 2025, with further growth anticipated to C$12.6-$13.1 billion by 2028.
2. Strategic Project Approvals and Robust Project Backlog.
The company approved the US$1.5 billion Appalachia Supply Project, a significant expansion of its Columbia Gas system, extending its presence into a high-demand market. This project highlights TC Energy's disciplined growth strategy. Evidence of strong customer demand was also demonstrated by the 2.5 times oversubscribed open season for the Crossroads pipeline and a three times oversubscribed open season on its Columbia Gas Transmission system in fiscal Q1 2026.
3. Consistent Dividend Growth.
TC Energy's commitment to shareholder returns was underscored by the declaration of a quarterly dividend of $0.8775 per common share for the quarter ending June 30, 2026, which translates to an annualized dividend of $3.51. This marks the 26th consecutive year of dividend increases, reflecting sustained financial health and confidence in future cash flows.
4. Favorable Natural Gas Market Dynamics.
The company benefited from a positive macroeconomic environment for natural gas, driven by increasing demand from liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, data centers, and power generation. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)'s June 2026 Short-Term Energy Outlook revised the Henry Hub natural gas price forecast higher to $3.60/MMBtu for 2026. Additionally, Fitch Ratings revised its global Oil & Gas sector outlook to 'improving' for 2026, partly due to increased Title Transfer Facility (TTF) gas assumptions to $14/mcf for 2026, up from $12/mcf in 2025.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.2% change in TRP stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 63.73 | 67.70 | 6.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,239 | 15,477 | 1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.1% | 22.2% | -3.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.8 | 20.5 | 8.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,040 | 1,041 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRP | 6.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 7.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | -3.2% | 31.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 26.4% change in TRP stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.58 | 67.70 | 26.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14,648 | 15,477 | 5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 23.9% | 22.2% | -7.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.9 | 20.5 | 28.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,040 | 1,041 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 26.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRP | 26.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 1.6% |
| Sector (XLE) | 20.7% | 35.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 39.9% change in TRP stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 82.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.39 | 67.70 | 39.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13,885 | 15,477 | 11.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 32.3% | 22.2% | -31.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.2 | 20.5 | 82.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,039 | 1,041 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 39.9% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRP | 39.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 4.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 36.1% | 22.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 132.1% change in TRP stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 67.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.16 | 67.70 | 132.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,737 | 15,477 | 21.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.3% | 22.2% | 67.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 17.6 | 20.5 | 16.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,021 | 1,041 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 132.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TRP | 132.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 27.4% |
| Sector (XLE) | 54.8% | 36.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TRP Return | 21% | -9% | 5% | 42% | 24% | 25% | 154% |
| Peers Return | 39% | 20% | 7% | 43% | 5% | 19% | 219% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TRP Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 58% | 83% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 65% | 57% | 70% | 55% | 80% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TRP Max Drawdown | -18% | -31% | -20% | -13% | -10% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -25% | -16% | -13% | -18% | -9% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ENB, KMI, WMB, PBA, OKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TRP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -12.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 28 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 570 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -15.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.0% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.9% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 375 days | 15 days |
In The Past
TC Energy's stock fell -3.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | TRP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 570 days | 140 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.9% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 375 days | 15 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -42.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 388 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
TC Energy's stock fell -3.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 3.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About TC Energy (TRP)
TC Energy Corporation (TRP) is a major North American energy infrastructure company focused on building and operating extensive networks for the transportation and storage of energy. Operating across Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, the company plays a critical role in delivering vital energy resources to various markets.
A core part of TC Energy's business is its vast natural gas pipeline system, stretching 93,300 km. These pipelines transport natural gas from supply basins to a diverse range of customers, including local distribution companies, power generation plants, industrial facilities, interconnecting pipelines, and LNG export terminals. The company also offers natural gas storage services, providing crucial supply reliability for its clients.
Beyond natural gas, TC Energy operates a 4,900 km liquids pipeline system that moves crude oil from Alberta to refining markets in Illinois, Oklahoma, Texas, and the U.S. Gulf Coast. Additionally, the company owns or has interests in several power generation facilities with a combined capacity of approximately 4,300 megawatts, utilizing natural gas and nuclear fuel sources to generate electricity primarily in Canadian provinces.
AI Analysis | Feedback
TC Energy is like the UPS of North American energy infrastructure, primarily transporting natural gas and crude oil through its vast pipeline network.
Think of TC Energy as a major North American energy infrastructure company similar to Kinder Morgan (KMI), operating extensive pipelines for natural gas and crude oil.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Natural Gas Pipeline Transportation: Operating an extensive network of pipelines to transport natural gas across North America for various customers.
- Liquids Pipeline Transportation: Moving crude oil and other liquids through pipeline systems from supply basins to refining markets.
- Natural Gas Storage: Providing storage services for natural gas in both regulated and non-regulated facilities.
- Power Generation: Generating electricity from natural gas and nuclear fuel sources at owned or co-owned facilities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Local distribution companies
- Power generation plants
- Industrial facilities
- LNG export terminals
- Refining markets (companies operating refineries)
- Interconnecting pipelines (other pipeline companies)
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
François Poirier, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Poirier has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of TC Energy since January 2021. He joined the company in 2014 as President of Energy East Pipeline. Prior to his appointment as CEO, he held roles including Chief Operating Officer and President of the Power & Storage and Mexico business units. He was instrumental in successfully executing the acquisition of the Columbia Pipeline Group in 2016. Before joining TC Energy, Mr. Poirier spent 25 years in investment banking, consulting, and as a corporate director. His previous experience includes serving as President and Head of Investment Banking and Capital Markets at Wells Fargo Securities Canada, Ltd., and leading the Power and Pipelines Investment Banking division at J.P. Morgan Securities. He also served as an Independent Director of Capital Power Income LP.
Sean O'Donnell, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. O'Donnell was appointed Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer of TC Energy, effective May 15, 2024. Prior to this role, he was the Senior Vice-President for capital markets and corporate planning at TC Energy. Before joining TC Energy, Mr. O'Donnell spent 13 years at Quantum, where he was a member of the firm's investment committee and served on the board of over a dozen portfolio companies across North America and Europe. During his time at Quantum, he oversaw investments in various sectors including upstream, midstream, liquefied natural gas (LNG), conventional and renewable power plants, and other energy transition infrastructure. He also held the position of CFO for Quantum's first U.S. independent power company and its LNG export facility in Mexico. Earlier in his career, he was a managing director in the Power & Utility investment banking group at J.P. Morgan. His professional background includes extensive experience in corporate finance and private equity.
Patrick Keys, Executive Vice-President and General Counsel, Chief Risk Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and Chief Sustainability Officer
As Executive Vice-President and General Counsel, Mr. Keys holds overall responsibility for the management of TC Energy's legal, internal audit, compliance, enterprise sustainability, and regulatory strategy functions. He also serves as the company's Chief Risk Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and Chief Sustainability Officer. Mr. Keys joined TC Energy in 1998 and has held various increasingly senior roles within the organization, including Senior Vice-President, Legal, and Vice-President of Canadian Gas Pipelines. He earned a Bachelor of Science degree in Chemical Engineering from the University of Calgary and worked as a Professional Engineer in the oil and gas industry before obtaining a Bachelor of Laws degree from the University of Calgary.
Tracy Robinson, Executive Vice-President and President, Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines and President Coastal GasLink
Ms. Robinson is the Executive Vice-President and President, Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines, and also serves as President of Coastal GasLink. In this capacity, she is responsible for the growth, operation, and profitability of TC Energy's federally and provincially regulated natural gas pipeline assets located in Canada.
Stanley G. Chapman, III, Executive Vice-President and President, U.S. and Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines
Mr. Chapman serves as Executive Vice-President and President of U.S. and Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines for TC Energy. He has been leading the U.S. natural gas business since April 2017 and the Mexico natural gas business since September 2020. Mr. Chapman holds a degree in Industrial Engineering from Texas A&M University and an MBA from the University of St. Thomas in Houston, Texas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Regulatory and Environmental Scrutiny, including Energy Transition Impacts
TC Energy faces significant risks from evolving regulatory frameworks, environmental opposition, and public policy shifts related to climate change. Large-scale energy infrastructure projects, particularly pipelines, are subject to extensive permitting processes and environmental assessments, which can lead to project delays, cost overruns, or even cancellations due to public opposition, environmental concerns, or changes in governmental policies. The global push towards decarbonization and the transition to cleaner energy sources could also impact the long-term demand for natural gas and crude oil transportation, affecting the utilization and future growth opportunities for TC Energy's extensive pipeline networks.High Debt Burden and Exposure to Interest Rate Fluctuations
TC Energy operates with a substantial net debt, which presents a significant financial risk. High interest rates increase the cost of servicing this debt, impacting the company's cash flow and potentially limiting its ability to fund new projects or deleverage its balance sheet effectively. The company's large capital expenditure programs create ongoing balance sheet pressure, and there are concerns about its ability to meet long-term debt-to-EBITDA targets and fund growth without potentially value-destructive asset sales.Operational and Safety Incidents
Given TC Energy's vast network of natural gas and liquids pipelines across North America, there is an inherent risk of operational incidents such as leaks, ruptures, fires, and explosions. Such events can result from equipment failure, corrosion, or external factors. These incidents can lead to severe consequences, including fatalities, injuries, significant property damage, environmental contamination, regulatory fines, and substantial financial liabilities. They can also cause reputational damage and disrupt service, affecting the company's relationships with customers and regulators.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerated global transition to renewable energy sources and decarbonization efforts poses a significant emerging threat to TC Energy's core business model. As governments, industries, and consumers increasingly shift towards cleaner energy alternatives like solar, wind, and battery storage, and pursue electrification initiatives, the long-term demand for natural gas and crude oil transportation and storage infrastructure, which forms the majority of TC Energy's assets, faces erosion. This shift could lead to underutilization or obsolescence of pipelines and gas-fired power generation facilities over time.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Natural Gas Pipelines
- The North American natural gas pipeline market revenue is estimated to be approximately USD 126.8 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. gas pipeline infrastructure market was valued at USD 1,149.26 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 2,431.55 billion by 2034.
- The market for oil and gas pipeline services in Canada was valued at US$ 9.2 billion in 2019.
Natural Gas Storage
- The North American natural gas storage market held a dominant share of 179.86 billion cubic meters (bcm) in 2025 and 186.11 bcm in 2026.
- The U.S. natural gas storage market was valued at 137.56 bcm in 2026.
- The total natural gas working storage capacity in Canada is approximately 0.80 trillion cubic feet (Tcf), or 800 billion cubic feet (Bcf).
- In terms of revenue, the North America natural gas storage market generated USD 227.3 million in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 296.0 million by 2030. The Canadian natural gas storage market generated a revenue of USD 27.8 million in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 35.3 million by 2030.
Liquids Pipelines
- The North American crude oil pipelines market generated approximately US$24.3 billion in 2024.
- The crude oil pipeline transport market in North America was the largest regional market in 2025, with the global crude oil pipeline transport market size growing from USD 72.93 billion in 2025 to USD 78.28 billion in 2026.
Power Generation
- The North America power generation market is estimated to reach USD 228.79 billion in 2026.
- The North America natural gas-fired electricity generation market is expected to reach a projected revenue of US$ 15,356.1 million by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
TC Energy (TRP) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by its robust capital program, increasing North American natural gas demand, optimization of its existing pipeline network, and contributions from its power and storage assets.
- Execution of Growth Projects and Capital Program: TC Energy has a substantial capital program with projects expected to come online, contributing to future revenue. The company anticipates placing approximately $4 billion of assets into service in 2026. Over the past year, TC Energy has sanctioned over $5 billion in new growth projects, primarily backed by long-term, low-risk contracts. Looking further ahead, the company has an approximately $8 billion portfolio of high-conviction projects pending approval and an additional $12 billion in origination opportunities, providing clear visibility for sustained growth. The company plans to invest around $18 billion in gross sanctioned and pending capital expenditures through 2028 and expects to allocate at least $6 billion annually in net capital expenditures through 2030, with potential to surpass this level.
- Increasing North American Natural Gas Demand: A significant driver for TC Energy is the growing demand for natural gas across North America. This demand is projected to increase by 45 billion cubic feet per day by 2035, largely due to a tripling of liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports and substantial power demand from data centers and the conversion of coal-fired power plants to natural gas. TC Energy is strategically positioned to capitalize on this trend, as it currently delivers 25-30% of LNG feedgas and has set numerous natural gas pipeline flow records across its systems. The company's capital program heavily favors natural gas transmission, allocating 71% of its investments to this segment.
- Expansion and Optimization of Natural Gas Pipeline Network: Growth in TC Energy's Canadian and U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines segments is expected to continue. The Canadian Natural Gas business has seen increased EBITDA from expansion projects, while the U.S. segment, including Columbia Gas, has benefited from new rate structures and incremental capacity projects. The company actively optimizes its capital plan, strategically shifting investments to capture in-year EBITDA and create capacity for higher-return growth in later periods. This includes pulling forward in-service dates for certain enhancements and adding new facilities and compression projects.
- Contributions from Power and Storage Assets: TC Energy's power and storage assets also contribute to its revenue growth. The company holds a significant interest in Bruce Power, a nuclear facility, which is seen as a key asset providing exposure to the growing demand for 24/7 clean energy, potentially driven by sectors like artificial intelligence. While the Power and Energy Solutions segment can experience fluctuations due to planned maintenance, it represents 29% of the company's capital program.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
Share Repurchases
- As of December 31, 2025, TC Energy's quarterly stock buybacks amounted to $233 million.
Share Issuance
- On October 1, 2024, TC Energy completed the spin-off of its Liquids Pipelines business into South Bow Corporation, distributing 0.2 shares of South Bow for every TC Energy share held by shareholders.
- In October 2025, TransCanada PipeLines Limited (a subsidiary of TC Energy) issued US$350 million of 6.250 percent Fixed-for-Life Junior Subordinated Notes due November 1, 2085, with proceeds intended to redeem its Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series 11.
- On November 28, 2025, TC Energy redeemed its issued and outstanding Cumulative Redeemable First Preferred Shares, Series 11, at a price of $25.00 per share.
Inbound Investments
- In 2023, TC Energy completed the sale of a 40 percent non-controlling equity interest in Columbia Gas and Columbia Gulf for total cash proceeds of $5.3 billion (US$3.9 billion), contributing to debt reduction efforts.
Outbound Investments
- TC Energy has sanctioned a $1.1 billion emission-less nuclear investment for the Bruce Power Unit 5 Major Component Replacement (MCR) program in Q1 2025, which extends the unit's life by over 35 years.
Capital Expenditures
- TC Energy placed approximately $8.3 billion of projects into service in 2025 on schedule and over 15% under budget.
- The company anticipates net capital expenditures of $5.5 billion to $6.0 billion for 2025 and reaffirmed a commitment to annual net capital expenditures of at least $6 billion through 2030, with potential to surpass this in later years.
- Primary focus areas for capital expenditures include natural gas pipeline expansions in Canada (e.g., NGTL System), the U.S. (e.g., Northwoods Project, ANR system projects like WR Project, VR Project, TCO Connector, Virginia Electrification Project), and Mexico (e.g., Southeast Gateway pipeline), as well as investments in power generation, notably the Bruce Power nuclear facility's Major Component Replacement programs.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| TC Energy Stock On Fire: Up 9.5% With 10-Day Winning Streak | 05/23/2026 | |
| TC Energy Stock Surges 8.2%, With A 8-Day Winning Spree | 05/21/2026 | |
| TRP Stock Surges 9.8% With A 6-day Winning Spree On Financial Restructuring | 01/30/2026 | |
| How Low Can TC Energy Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | 06/19/2024 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 61.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 70.4 |
| Rev LTM | 16,500 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,504 |
| FCF LTM | 2,120 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,318 |
| CFO LTM | 6,157 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,850 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 32.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 39.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines | 7,244 | 6,339 | 6,330 | 5,933 | 5,233 |
| Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines | 5,785 | 5,600 | 5,173 | 4,764 | 4,519 |
| Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines | 1,450 | 870 | 846 | 688 | 605 |
| Power and Energy Solutions | 897 | 954 | 1,041 | 924 | 724 |
| Corporate | -137 | 8 | -123 | 0 | 0 |
| Liquids Pipelines | 2,667 | 2,668 | 2,306 | ||
| Total | 15,239 | 13,771 | 15,934 | 14,977 | 13,387 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines | 3,207 | 2,896 | |||
| Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines | 1,790 | 1,590 | |||
| Liquids Pipelines | 940 | 950 | 843 | 603 | 553 |
| Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines | 718 | 369 | |||
| Power and Energy Solutions | 316 | 294 | 584 | 661 | 479 |
| Corporate | -116 | -20 | -150 | -124 | -111 |
| Natural Gas Pipelines | 2,015 | 1,736 | 1,651 | ||
| Total | 6,855 | 6,079 | 3,292 | 2,876 | 2,572 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines | 56,617 | 56,304 | 50,499 | 50,038 | 45,502 |
| Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines | 31,371 | 31,167 | 29,782 | 27,456 | 25,213 |
| Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines | 16,342 | 15,995 | 12,003 | 9,231 | 7,547 |
| Power and Energy Solutions | 10,764 | 10,217 | 9,525 | 8,272 | 6,563 |
| Corporate | 3,460 | 4,189 | 7,735 | 3,764 | 4,442 |
| Discontinued Operations | 197 | 371 | |||
| Liquids Pipelines | 15,490 | 15,587 | 14,951 | ||
| Total | 118,751 | 118,243 | 125,034 | 114,348 | 104,218 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $67.70 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 70.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/30/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $66.05 | $58.14 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 2.5% | 16.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.7% | 17.7% |
| Downside Capture | -5.01 | -10.80 |
| Upside Capture | 22.82 | 38.72 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.06 | -0.04 | 0.07 | -0.00 | 0.05 | 0.36 |
| Up Beta | -0.31 | -0.03 | -0.15 | -0.38 | -0.36 | 0.31 |
| Down Beta | -0.13 | 0.29 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
| Up Capture | -2% | 16% | 12% | 26% | 25% | 19% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 29 | 64 | 131 | 411 |
| Down Capture | 11% | -63% | -5% | -34% | -9% | 44% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 32 | 58 | 117 | 332 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRP | 46.9% | 17.7% | 2.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 25.3% | 20.9% | 0.98 | 24.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 3.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 16.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 8.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 23.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 1.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRP | 13.8% | 21.8% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 18.5% | 26.1% | 0.64 | 48.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 38.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 19.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 31.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 43.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 15.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TRP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRP | 11.4% | 24.8% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 8.9% | 29.6% | 0.34 | 60.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 52.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 14.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 37.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 52.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 15.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/14/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 6-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/13/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/16/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/14/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/29/2022 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/15/2022 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/05/2021 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/29/2021 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/07/2021 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/18/2021 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/01/2020 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/13/2020 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/01/2019 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/01/2019 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2019 | 05/03/2019 | 6-K |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.