Tearsheet

TC Energy (TRP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $54.79 | Market Cap: $57.0 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

TC Energy (TRP)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $54.79
Market Cap: $57.0 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
 
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 43%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 6.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 43%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 7.5 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Renewable Energy Transition. Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.8%, Dist 3Y High is -2.8%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 105%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TRP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The user's request pertains to a future time period (8/31/2025 to December 4, 2025) and asks for an explanation of a 4.8% stock movement within that time. As an AI, I do not have access to future stock market data or events. Therefore, I cannot provide factual reasons for a hypothetical future stock movement. However, I can provide general factors that influence TC Energy's stock price based on available past and recent information, adhering to the output formatting requirements. Here are some general factors that could influence TC Energy (TRP) stock performance: 1. 1. Project Development and Execution: TC Energy's stock can be significantly impacted by the progress and successful completion of major infrastructure projects, particularly in natural gas transmission. Projects like the Southeast Gateway pipeline in Mexico, which was completed under budget, can positively influence investor sentiment and future cash flow. Delays or cost overruns on projects, such as the Coastal GasLink pipeline, can have a negative effect. 2. 2. Earnings Performance and Outlook: Quarterly earnings reports and the company's financial guidance play a crucial role. Strong comparable EBITDA growth and positive earnings per share contribute to investor confidence. Future earnings growth projections, especially those driven by demand from sectors like AI data centers and LNG, can also influence stock valuation. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TRP Return-19%21%-9%5%42%20%60%
Peers Return-20%38%27%13%50%9%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TRP Win Rate42%58%58%58%83%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%73%65%60%72%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TRP Max Drawdown-37%0%-11%-13%-7%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-0%-1%-8%-3%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTRPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven732 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-48.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven784 days1480 days

Compare to ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI


In The Past

TC Energy's stock fell -44.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -44.3% loss requires a 79.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TC Energy (TRP)

Better Bets than TC Energy (TRP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TRP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
11.8%11.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.7%17.7%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
25.5%25.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.7%0.7%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TC Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TRPETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameTC EnergyEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Price53.69--47.7561.5527.1750.72
Mkt Cap55.8--104.175.260.467.8
Rev LTM14,64879,75711,42064,23411,49516,41615,532
Op Inc LTM6,3169,2404,62611,1993,9414,4595,471
FCF LTM1,9515,1894,6864,0541,7222,7573,406
FCF 3Y Avg6376,0954,5896,7072,4583,3753,982
CFO LTM7,53610,8416,08812,8215,5405,7356,812
CFO 3Y Avg7,48010,2175,70813,1915,4845,9186,699

Growth & Margins

TRPETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameTC EnergyEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Rev Chg LTM24.5%-4.7%6.3%32.3%9.0%8.3%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%-3.0%2.5%8.6%0.8%-4.3%1.1%
Rev Chg Q10.3%-3.9%4.6%-1.6%10.2%12.1%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%-1.0%1.1%-0.4%2.4%2.8%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM43.1%11.6%40.5%17.4%34.3%27.2%30.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg43.5%10.8%40.6%19.1%35.5%27.6%31.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%0.1%-0.4%0.1%1.6%-0.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM51.4%13.6%53.3%20.0%48.2%34.9%41.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg57.3%12.7%52.8%25.6%49.8%37.5%43.7%
FCF/Rev LTM13.3%6.5%41.0%6.3%15.0%16.8%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%7.5%42.5%13.5%22.5%21.5%17.5%

Valuation

TRPETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameTC EnergyEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Cap55.8--104.175.260.467.8
P/S3.9--1.76.73.83.8
P/EBIT6.8--8.416.714.111.3
P/E16.2--18.332.723.120.7
P/CFO7.5--8.614.011.09.8
Total Yield12.6%--12.9%6.2%8.4%10.5%
Dividend Yield6.4%--7.4%3.1%4.1%5.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.9%--8.3%4.7%7.2%6.0%
D/E1.1--0.90.40.50.7
Net D/E1.1--0.90.40.50.7

Returns

TRPETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NameTC EnergyEnergy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
1M Rtn7.3%--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.2%
3M Rtn4.8%--0.2%7.5%2.8%3.8%
6M Rtn7.6%--5.3%4.1%-0.9%4.7%
12M Rtn16.4%--16.4%12.6%3.4%14.5%
3Y Rtn68.8%--43.5%102.0%68.6%68.7%
1M Excs Rtn7.3%--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn0.8%---4.8%2.5%-2.5%-0.8%
6M Excs Rtn-7.1%---9.4%-10.6%-15.7%-10.0%
12M Excs Rtn2.2%--3.1%-4.7%-13.2%-1.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-22.1%---31.4%38.1%0.7%-10.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
U.S. Natural Gas Pipelines50,49950,03845,50243,21741,627
Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines29,78227,45625,21322,85221,983
Liquids Pipelines15,49015,58714,95116,74415,931
Mexico Natural Gas Pipelines12,0039,2317,5477,2157,207
Power and Energy Solutions9,5258,2726,5635,0627,788
Corporate7,7353,7644,4425,2104,743
Total125,034114,348104,218100,30099,279


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,466,897
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202524.9%
Average Daily Volume2,608,271
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.25
Basic Shares Quantity1,040,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550120256-K 3/31/2025
12312024214202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450320246-K 3/31/2024
12312023216202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110820236-K 9/30/2023
630202372720236-K 6/30/2023
331202342820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022214202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110920226-K 9/30/2022
630202272820226-K 6/30/2022
331202242920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021215202240-F 12/31/2021