Tearsheet

Pembina Pipeline (PBA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.19 | Market Cap: $22.8 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Pembina Pipeline (PBA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.19
Market Cap: $22.8 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 6.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 6.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Hydrogen Economy, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Carbon Capture & Storage, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PBA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) experienced a 4.1% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, influenced by a combination of financial results, strategic developments, and investor activity.

1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Pembina Pipeline reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings in early November, showing a slight increase in adjusted EBITDA but a 26% decrease in overall earnings compared to the prior year. The company's revenue also declined and missed analyst estimates, leading to a narrowed adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025.

2. Strengthened Commercial Agreements: The company bolstered its long-term financial outlook by securing new transportation agreements on its Peace Pipeline, representing approximately 50,000 barrels per day over roughly 10-year terms. Additionally, the Alliance Pipeline's long-term contractual profile was reinforced, with shippers electing new 10-year tolls for a substantial portion of its firm capacity.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PBA Return-30%37%18%8%13%8%50%
Peers Return-20%38%27%13%50%9%159%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PBA Win Rate50%67%67%67%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%73%65%60%72%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PBA Max Drawdown-68%0%-1%-12%-4%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-0%-1%-8%-3%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven722 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven244.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven763 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days120 days

Compare to ET, MPLX, ENB, WMB, KMI


In The Past

Pembina Pipeline's stock fell -28.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -28.7% loss requires a 40.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pembina Pipeline (PBA)

Better Bets than Pembina Pipeline (PBA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PBA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pembina Pipeline

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PBAETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NamePembina .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Price38.80--47.7561.5527.1743.27
Mkt Cap22.5--104.175.260.467.8
Rev LTM8,04079,75711,42064,23411,49516,41613,956
Op Inc LTM2,9319,2404,62611,1993,9414,4594,542
FCF LTM2,5515,1894,6864,0541,7222,7573,406
FCF 3Y Avg2,3286,0954,5896,7072,4583,3753,982
CFO LTM3,34210,8416,08812,8215,5405,7355,912
CFO 3Y Avg3,07910,2175,70813,1915,4845,9185,813

Growth & Margins

PBAETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NamePembina .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Rev Chg LTM11.3%-4.7%6.3%32.3%9.0%8.3%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.8%-3.0%2.5%8.6%0.8%-4.3%-1.1%
Rev Chg Q-2.9%-3.9%4.6%-1.6%10.2%12.1%1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%-1.0%1.1%-0.4%2.4%2.8%0.4%
Op Mgn LTM36.5%11.6%40.5%17.4%34.3%27.2%30.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg34.5%10.8%40.6%19.1%35.5%27.6%31.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%0.1%-0.4%0.1%1.6%-0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM41.6%13.6%53.3%20.0%48.2%34.9%38.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.0%12.7%52.8%25.6%49.8%37.5%39.2%
FCF/Rev LTM31.7%6.5%41.0%6.3%15.0%16.8%15.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.0%7.5%42.5%13.5%22.5%21.5%22.0%

Valuation

PBAETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NamePembina .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
Mkt Cap22.5--104.175.260.467.8
P/S2.9--1.76.73.83.4
P/EBIT8.0--8.416.714.111.3
P/E13.2--18.332.723.120.7
P/CFO7.0--8.614.011.09.8
Total Yield14.5%--12.9%6.2%8.4%10.7%
Dividend Yield6.9%--7.4%3.1%4.1%5.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.1%--8.3%4.7%7.2%7.8%
D/E0.6--0.90.40.50.5
Net D/E0.6--0.90.40.50.5

Returns

PBAETMPLXENBWMBKMIMedian
NamePembina .Energy T.MPLX Enbridge Williams.Kinder M. 
1M Rtn3.0%--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.0%
3M Rtn4.3%--0.2%7.5%2.8%3.6%
6M Rtn5.5%--5.3%4.1%-0.9%4.7%
12M Rtn1.7%--16.4%12.6%3.4%8.0%
3Y Rtn26.4%--43.5%102.0%68.6%56.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.1%--3.9%4.3%4.2%4.1%
3M Excs Rtn-1.3%---4.8%2.5%-2.5%-1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-9.2%---9.4%-10.6%-15.7%-10.0%
12M Excs Rtn-14.8%--3.1%-4.7%-13.2%-9.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.8%---31.4%38.1%0.7%-15.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marketing & New Ventures3,2938,4715,5772,9564,804
Pipelines2,7072,5082,2792,2511,787
Facilities9091,2681,3631,2311,121
Corporate & Inter-segment Eliminations-578-636-592-485-482
Total6,33111,6118,6275,9537,230


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pipelines1,8681,4439461591,049
Facilities6191,817750666644
Marketing & New Ventures439735383-659368
Corporate & Inter-segment Eliminations-271-29036-162-230
Total2,6553,7052,11541,831


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pipelines1,840    
Facilities610    
Marketing & New Ventures435    
Corporate & Inter-segment Eliminations-696    
Total2,189    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,016,772
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-34.4%
Average Daily Volume1,648,687
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.86
Basic Shares Quantity581,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024227202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023223202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202380320236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022223202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021225202240-F 12/31/2021