Tearsheet

Pembina Pipeline (PBA)


Market Price (11/7/2025): $37.065 | Market Cap: $21.5 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Pembina Pipeline (PBA)


Market Price (11/7/2025): $37.065
Market Cap: $21.5 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 43%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.6 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -37%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 59%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PBA Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PBA Return-30%37%18%8%13%7%48%
Peers Return-30%3%-2%19%-18%7%-26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PBA Win Rate50%67%67%67%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%35%27%40%25%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PBA Max Drawdown-68%0%-1%-12%-4%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-8%-21%-18%-32%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FRO, BANL, TMDE, TOPS, ENB.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/6/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPBAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven722 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven244.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven763 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days120 days

Compare to FRO, BANL, TMDE, TOPS, ENB


In The Past

Pembina Pipeline's stock fell -28.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -28.7% loss requires a 40.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pembina Pipeline (PBA)

Better Bets than Pembina Pipeline (PBA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PBA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.4%24.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.4%24.4%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.4%-4.4%-5.7%
SLB_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025SLBSLBDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pembina Pipeline

Financials

PBAFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NamePembina .FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
Mkt Price38.1723.720.470.735.9646.8814.84
Mkt Cap22.25.3---102.222.2
Rev LTM8,0931,824--264,4774,958
Op Inc LTM3,003387---511,1461,695
FCF LTM2,579615---4,8752,579
FCF 3Y Avg2,314-179---6,8562,314
CFO LTM3,454624---12,9263,454
CFO 3Y Avg3,050726---12,9503,050

Growth & Margins

PBAFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NamePembina .FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
Rev Chg LTM18.4%-5.3%---95.8%48.2%6.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.8%35.9%---49.4%10.2%1.2%
Rev Chg Q-3.4%-13.7%---77.1%31.2%-8.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%-4.0%---67.4%5.8%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM37.1%21.2%---208.7%17.3%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg34.4%34.6%---55.9%19.2%26.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-5.7%---202.2%-0.4%-3.1%
CFO/Rev LTM42.7%34.2%---20.0%34.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg39.2%38.3%---25.7%38.3%
FCF/Rev LTM31.9%33.7%---7.6%31.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg29.7%-8.7%---14.0%14.0%

Valuation

PBAFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NamePembina .FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
Mkt Cap22.25.3---102.222.2
P/S2.72.9---1.62.7
P/EBIT7.410.0---7.57.5
P/E11.822.2---15.415.4
P/CFO6.48.5---7.97.9
Total Yield15.7%10.2%---14.4%14.4%
Dividend Yield7.3%5.6%---7.9%7.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.6%1.3%---8.6%8.6%
D/E0.60.7---1.00.7
Net D/E0.60.6---1.00.6

Returns

PBAFROBANLTMDETOPSENBMedian
NamePembina .FrontlineCBL Inte.TMD Ener.TOP ShipsEnbridge  
1M Rtn-6.8%8.1%-35.8%-22.3%1.8%-5.2%-6.0%
3M Rtn4.8%20.9%-35.8%-17.9%0.4%1.0%0.7%
6M Rtn-0.5%42.3%-43.5%-47.9%1.8%5.5%0.7%
12M Rtn-0.8%33.2%-57.0%--25.5%19.8%-0.8%
3Y Rtn32.0%135.8%---87.5%43.5%37.7%
1M Excs Rtn-5.9%7.1%-34.8%-18.2%1.0%-3.9%-4.9%
3M Excs Rtn3.8%20.7%-39.3%-21.2%-1.1%-4.0%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn-19.2%23.6%-62.1%-66.5%-16.8%-13.2%-18.0%
12M Excs Rtn-22.0%14.3%-71.2%--41.2%4.2%-22.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-36.9%68.3%---163.6%-27.1%-32.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Marketing & New Ventures3,2938,4715,5772,9563,946
Pipelines2,7072,5082,2792,2511,787
Facilities9091,2681,3631,2311,121
Corporate & Inter-segment Eliminations-578-636-592-485-482
Total6,33111,6118,6275,9536,372


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pipelines1,8681,4439461591,049
Facilities6191,817750666644
Marketing & New Ventures439735383-659368
Corporate & Inter-segment Eliminations-271-29036-162-230
Total2,6553,7052,11541,831


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pipelines1,840    
Facilities610    
Marketing & New Ventures435    
Corporate & Inter-segment Eliminations-696    
Total2,189    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,265,500
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020252.4%
Average Daily Volume1,929,469
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.36
Basic Shares Quantity581,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202550820256-K 3/31/2025
12312024227202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480820246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023223202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202380320236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022223202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202280420226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021225202240-F 12/31/2021
9302021110520216-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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