Tearsheet

LendingTree (TREE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $57.0 | Market Cap: $776.5 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Financial Services

LendingTree (TREE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $57.0
Market Cap: $776.5 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Financial Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 62x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.9%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.9%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 62x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TREE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The public company LendingTree (symbol: TREE) experienced a -16.5% stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, due to a combination of factors, including a significant leadership change and broader market adjustments, despite reporting strong third-quarter earnings.

1. The unexpected passing of CEO Doug Lebda. LendingTree announced the sudden passing of its founder, Chairman, and CEO, Doug Lebda, on October 13, 2025. This significant leadership change likely introduced uncertainty among investors, potentially leading to a negative impact on the stock price as the market reacted to the loss of a visionary leader.

2. Market reaction despite strong Q3 2025 earnings. LendingTree reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 30, 2025, exceeding market expectations for both revenue and earnings per share. The company achieved consolidated revenue of $307.8 million, an 18% increase year-over-year, and an adjusted net income per share of $1.70, significantly above the forecast of $1.14. Despite these positive results, which initially saw the stock surge in premarket trading, the overall downward trend suggests that other factors or market sentiment overshadowed the positive earnings report.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TREE Return-10%-55%-83%42%28%44%-82%
Peers Return84%38%-42%17%14%6%111%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TREE Win Rate58%33%17%42%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate71%54%35%48%56%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TREE Max Drawdown-55%-61%-85%-51%-14%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-43%-20%-54%-28%-29%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EQH, FRHC, TREE, RILY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTREES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3281.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-84.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven555.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven141 days1480 days

Compare to EQH, FRHC, TREE, RILY


In The Past

LendingTree's stock fell -97.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -97.0% loss requires a 3281.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LendingTree (TREE)

Better Bets than LendingTree (TREE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TREE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LendingTree

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TREEEQHFRHCRILYMedian
NameLendingT.EquitableFreedom B. Riley. 
Mkt Price56.7245.63134.163.9751.17
Mkt Cap0.813.58.00.14.4
Rev LTM1,05912,0152,0781,2051,642
Op Inc LTM77-516-34977
FCF LTM611,1922,110256724
FCF 3Y Avg5678114592119
CFO LTM731,2682,281264766
CFO 3Y Avg6890923698167

Growth & Margins

TREEEQHFRHCRILYMedian
NameLendingT.EquitableFreedom B. Riley. 
Rev Chg LTM37.0%9.4%9.0%-21.7%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.2%4.1%51.6%-1.0%4.1%
Rev Chg Q18.0%-52.8%2.3%-22.5%-10.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.6%-11.9%0.6%-6.0%-2.7%
Op Mgn LTM7.3%-24.8%-28.9%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.8%-43.9%-4.0%3.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%--4.6%-6.2%-4.6%
CFO/Rev LTM6.9%10.6%109.8%21.9%16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%8.0%-16.0%8.0%8.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.7%9.9%101.5%21.2%15.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.6%6.8%-20.9%7.5%6.7%

Valuation

TREEEQHFRHCRILYMedian
NameLendingT.EquitableFreedom B. Riley. 
Mkt Cap0.813.58.00.14.4
P/S0.81.35.00.11.0
P/EBIT6.4-174.919.7-0.13.1
P/E62.3-22.32,191.3-0.131.1
P/CFO12.111.94.50.38.2
Total Yield1.6%-2.4%0.0%-806.4%-1.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%37.2%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.1%5.6%-4.9%95.2%9.4%
D/E0.50.40.220.30.5
Net D/E0.4-2.4-0.118.60.2

Returns

TREEEQHFRHCRILYMedian
NameLendingT.EquitableFreedom B. Riley. 
1M Rtn-13.7%-5.9%-10.2%-16.8%-11.9%
3M Rtn-17.2%-13.1%-22.3%-26.2%-19.7%
6M Rtn60.7%-12.8%-11.9%33.2%10.7%
12M Rtn42.3%-2.0%12.2%-26.6%5.1%
3Y Rtn127.1%53.8%112.4%-89.9%83.1%
1M Excs Rtn-13.7%-5.9%-10.1%-16.7%-11.9%
3M Excs Rtn-25.7%-20.4%-27.5%-27.2%-26.5%
6M Excs Rtn46.0%-27.5%-26.6%18.5%-4.1%
12M Excs Rtn14.7%-16.9%-0.7%-45.7%-8.8%
3Y Excs Rtn80.8%-12.1%46.5%-162.0%17.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Consumer279396330253515
Insurance250299326334285
Home144289442321278
Other001229
Total6739851,0989101,107


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Consumer139175143107213
Insurance10492113131115
Home48103153132103
Litigation settlements and contingencies-00-010
Other-1-10-11
Amortization of intangibles-8-25-43-53-55
Restructuring and severance-10-4-0-0-1
Depreciation-19-20-18-14-11
Goodwill impairment-39    
Cost of revenue-39-58-57-53-46
Product development-47-56-53-44-40
Brand and other marketing expense-51-86-86-78-84
General and administrative expense-118-152-153-129-117
Change in fair value of contingent consideration  8-5-28
Total-41-338-751


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity770,143
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.7%
Average Daily Volume295,302
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.61
Basic Shares Quantity13,623,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024307202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021