Tearsheet

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

Market Price (12/27/2025): $59.63 | Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

Market Price (12/27/2025): $59.63
Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 9.7%	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -34%	Weak revenue growth Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
1	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 34%		Key risks TMHC key risks include [1] a significant slowdown in its order backlog and [2] persistently high cancellation rates, Show more.
2	Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, IoT for Buildings, Show more.

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 9.7%
1	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 34%
2	Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, IoT for Buildings, Show more.
3	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -34%
4	Weak revenue growth Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
5	Key risks TMHC key risks include [1] a significant slowdown in its order backlog and [2] persistently high cancellation rates, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

	12/27/25	2024	2023	2022	2021
Share Price CYE	$59.63	$61.21	$53.35	$30.35	$34.96
Market Cap CYE ($ Bil)	5.9	6.3	5.7	3.3	4.3
Total Debt ($ Bil)	2.3	2.2	2.1	2.6	3.4
Total Cash ($ Bil)	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.8
Enterprise Value ($ Bil)	7.8	8.5	7.8	5.9	7.7
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	0.7	0.8	0.8	0.4	0.6
P/EBIT TTM	4.8	5.3	5.3	2.4	5.0
P/E TTM	6.9	7.3	7.5	3.3	6.6
P/FCF TTM	10.3	36.9	7.5	3.2	12.4
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	0.8	0.8	0.9	0.8	1.4
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	7.8	8.3	7.8	6.5	8.4
P/E TTM (Sector)	10.5	11.1	10.4	8.4	10.7
P/FCF TTM (Sector)	11.2	12.4	9.6	7.3	10.5

	12/27/25	2024	2023
Share Price CYE	$59.63	$61.21	$53.35
Market Cap CYE ($ Bil)	5.9	6.3	5.7
Total Debt ($ Bil)	2.3	2.2	2.1
Total Cash ($ Bil)	0.4	0.5	0.8
Enterprise Value ($ Bil)	7.8	8.5	7.8
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	0.7	0.8	0.8
P/EBIT TTM	4.8	5.3	5.3
P/E TTM	6.9	7.3	7.5
P/FCF TTM	10.3	36.9	7.5
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	0.8	0.8	0.9
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	7.8	8.3	7.8
P/E TTM (Sector)	10.5	11.1	10.4
P/FCF TTM (Sector)	11.2	12.4	9.6

	TMHC	S&P 500
REVENUE GROWTH
Rev LTM ($ Bil)	8.4
Rev Chg Q	-1.2%	7.3%
Rev Chg LTM	7.0%	6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	0.7%	5.5%
PROFITABILITY	FAIR
Op Inc LTM ($ Bil)	1.2
CFO LTM ($ Bil)	0.6
Net Inc LTM ($ Bil)	0.9
Op Mgn LTM	14.6%	18.8%
CFO/Rev LTM	7.3%	20.4%
Net Inc Mgn	10.2%	13.1%
VALUATION	VERY LOW
P/S	0.7	3.3
P/CFO	9.6	15.8
P/FCF	10.3	20.7
P/E	6.9	23.7
STABILITY	FAIR
Debt/Equity	0.39	0.21
Cash/Assets	0.04	0.07

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Metric	Value	Date	Source
Net Sales Orders	2733	6302025	Link
Monthly Absorption Pace (per community)	2.6	6302025	Link
Ending Active Selling Communities	345	6302025	Link
Backlog (homes)	4461	6302025	Link
Backlog (sales value)	$2.9 billion	6302025	Link
Average Backlog Customer Deposits	$47,000	6302025	Link
Homebuilding Lots Owned and Controlled	85051	6302025	Link
Cancellation Rate (as a percentage of gross orders)	14.6%	6302025	Link
Mortgage Capture Rate	87%	6302025	Link
Average Borrower Credit Score	751	6302025	Link
Average Borrower Debt-to-Income Ratio	40%	6302025	Link

Upcoming
2/11/2026	Earnings Release	Rev: - EPS: -
4/21/2026	Earnings Release	Rev: - EPS: -

TMHC Stock

Return (1M):

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Here are five key points explaining the approximate -11.4% stock movement for Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) between August 31, 2025, and December 27, 2025:

1. Significant Decline in Future Order Backlog.

Taylor Morrison Home reported a substantial year-over-year decline in its future order backlog during the third quarter of 2025, with the backlog falling by 39% to $2.34 billion and the number of homes in backlog decreasing by 36.7% to 3,605. This signals a potential slowdown in future sales and revenue.

2. Weakening Profitability and Anticipated Margin Pressure.

The company experienced squeezed profitability, with its operating margin declining to 13% in Q3 2025 from 15.7% in the prior-year quarter. Furthermore, Taylor Morrison's outlook projected lower home closings gross margins for the fourth quarter of 2025, expecting approximately 21.5% GAAP gross margin and reiterating a full-year adjusted gross margin around 23%, at the low end of previous guidance, due to higher speculative home penetration and competitive pressures.

3. Challenging Broader Housing Market Conditions.

The housing market in late 2025 faced significant headwinds, including persistently high mortgage rates and reduced affordability, which collectively led to slowing demand and longer sales cycles for new homes. Economic uncertainty and buyer hesitancy contributed to builders, including Taylor Morrison, adjusting strategies and scaling back on speculative builds.

4. Increasing Costs for Materials and Labor.

Homebuilders grappled with rising input costs due to potential tariffs on essential building materials such as lumber, steel, and aluminum, with lumber prices surging 26% year-over-year. Additionally, a persistent shortage of construction workers led to higher labor wages, further squeezing builder margins.

5. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Revised Outlook.

Taylor Morrison Home received a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) in December 2025, reflecting a negative near-term outlook. This downgrade was attributed to downbeat earnings revisions for Q4 2025 and 2026, alongside projections for declines in both revenue and adjusted earnings for 2025 and 2026.

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.9% change in TMHC stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -5.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	9262025	12262025	Change
Stock Price ($)	66.25	59.72	-9.86%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	8403.42	8378.33	-0.30%
Net Income Margin (%)	10.72%	10.16%	-5.23%
P/E Multiple	7.32	6.91	-5.65%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	99.54	98.44	1.10%
Cumulative Contribution			-9.87%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025

	Return	Correlation
TMHC	-9.9%
Market (SPY)	4.3%	21.9%
Sector (XLY)	1.8%	37.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.5% change in TMHC stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -6.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).

	6272025	12262025	Change
Stock Price ($)	61.28	59.72	-2.55%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	8364.40	8378.33	0.17%
Net Income Margin (%)	10.84%	10.16%	-6.29%
P/E Multiple	6.84	6.91	0.94%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	101.25	98.44	2.77%
Cumulative Contribution			-2.62%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025

	Return	Correlation
TMHC	-2.5%
Market (SPY)	12.6%	21.7%
Sector (XLY)	11.9%	42.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.5% change in TMHC stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -11.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	12262024	12262025	Change
Stock Price ($)	61.25	59.72	-2.50%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	7831.51	8378.33	6.98%
Net Income Margin (%)	10.39%	10.16%	-2.22%
P/E Multiple	7.84	6.91	-11.89%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	104.13	98.44	5.47%
Cumulative Contribution			-2.79%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025

	Return	Correlation
TMHC	-2.5%
Market (SPY)	15.8%	40.0%
Sector (XLY)	5.2%	51.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 93.6% change in TMHC stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 108.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	12272022	12262025	Change
Stock Price ($)	30.84	59.72	93.64%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	8238.21	8378.33	1.70%
Net Income Margin (%)	12.75%	10.16%	-20.33%
P/E Multiple	3.31	6.91	108.75%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	112.70	98.44	12.65%
Cumulative Contribution			90.54%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025

	Return	Correlation
TMHC	10.1%
Market (SPY)	48.0%	41.2%
Sector (XLY)	37.0%	48.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	Total [1]
Returns
TMHC Return	17%	36%	-13%	76%	15%	-3%	172%
Peers Return	16%	38%	-12%	21%	26%	16%	150%
S&P 500 Return	16%	27%	-19%	24%	23%	18%	114%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
TMHC Win Rate	67%	75%	33%	58%	58%	33%
Peers Win Rate	52%	65%	42%	68%	57%	52%
S&P 500 Win Rate	58%	75%	42%	67%	75%	73%
Max Drawdowns [4]
TMHC Max Drawdown	-68%	-11%	-41%	0%	-5%	-12%
Peers Max Drawdown	-34%	-5%	-26%	-7%	-9%	-23%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown	-31%	-1%	-25%	-1%	-2%	-15%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See TMHC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique Key	Event	TMHC	S&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock	2022 Inflation Shock
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss	% Loss	-40.8%	-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	69.0%	34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	228 days	464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic	2020 Covid Pandemic
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss	% Loss	-75.1%	-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	301.4%	51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	308 days	148 days
2018 Correction	2018 Correction
2018 Correction% Loss	% Loss	-47.6%	-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	90.9%	24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	821 days	120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Taylor Morrison Home's stock fell -40.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -40.8% loss requires a 69.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

Business Description Analogies Products Customers Suppliers Management Key Risks Emerging Threats Market Size Revenue Drivers Capital Allocation

Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a public homebuilder in the United States. The company designs, builds, and sells single and multi-family detached and attached homes; and develops lifestyle and master-planned communities. It also develops and constructs multi-use properties consisting of commercial space, retail, and multi-family properties under the Urban Form brand name; and offers title insurance and closing settlement services, as well as financial services. In addition, the company operates under the Taylor Morrison, William Lyon Signature, and Darling Homes brand names in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, North and South Carolina, Oregon, Texas, and Washington. Taylor Morrison Home Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC):

Think of them as a car manufacturer like Ford or General Motors, but for houses and residential communities.
Similar to how a major hotel chain like Marriott develops and builds new properties, Taylor Morrison develops and sells entire new home communities.
One of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating similarly to industry leaders like Lennar or D.R. Horton.

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New Home Construction and Sales: Taylor Morrison designs, builds, and sells single-family homes, townhomes, and condominiums across various price points and communities.
Financial Services: The company provides mortgage lending and title insurance services to homebuyers, primarily for homes built and sold by Taylor Morrison.

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Taylor Morrison Home (symbol: TMHC) primarily sells homes directly to **individuals**, not to other companies. Therefore, the company does not have major corporate customers in the traditional B2B sense.

The company serves a diverse range of individual homebuyers, which can be categorized as follows:

First-Time and Value-Oriented Buyers: This segment includes individuals and families purchasing their first home or seeking a more affordable entry into homeownership. They typically prioritize value, essential features, and communities that offer a good balance of price and amenities.
Move-Up Buyers: This category consists of individuals and families who are upgrading from their current home. They are often looking for more space, enhanced features, desirable locations, and communities with amenities that suit a growing family or an evolving lifestyle.
Active Adult (55+) Buyers: A significant and growing focus for Taylor Morrison, particularly through its "Esplanade" brand, this segment comprises empty nesters or retirees. These buyers seek low-maintenance homes, resort-style amenities, and communities specifically designed for an active adult lifestyle.

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Sheryl Palmer, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Ms. Palmer has been the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Taylor Morrison Home Corporation since 2007. She has over 35 years of cross-functional building experience, including leadership in land acquisition, sales and marketing, development, and operations management. Prior to Taylor Morrison, she served as Nevada Area President for Pulte and Del Webb, and as division president at Blackhawk Corporation for 10 years. Under her leadership, Taylor Morrison completed its initial public offering in 2013 and successfully oversaw the sale of its Canadian operations. Taylor Morrison became a wholly owned subsidiary of TMM Holdings Limited Partnership in 2011, which was indirectly owned by investment funds managed by TPG Capital, Oaktree Capital Management, and JH Investments, before going public in 2013.

Curt VanHyfte, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mr. VanHyfte was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer effective May 1, 2023, and is currently the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. He joined Taylor Morrison in 2020 with the acquisition of William Lyon Homes (WLH). During his nearly 30-year career in homebuilding, he has held division, regional, and national roles in finance. Prior to WLH, where he served as Division President of the Arizona division from 2019 to 2020, he was Area President, Chicago Division, at M/I Homes Inc.

Erik Heuser, EVP, Chief Corporate Operations Officer

Mr. Heuser joined Taylor Morrison in 2004 as Director of Business Development. He has served as Vice President of Land Investments, Chief Strategy Officer, and was appointed Chief Corporate Operations Officer in 2019. He leads strategic direction, business development initiatives, and portfolio management. Before joining Taylor Morrison, he ran a division for Hanley Wood Market Intelligence, owned a homebuilding entity in Chicago, and held senior acquisition, institutional finance, and investment roles with PNC Mortgage, MetLife, and A.G. Edwards & Sons.

Tawn Kelley, EVP, President of Financial Services

Ms. Kelley leads Taylor Morrison's Financial Services businesses, including Taylor Morrison Home Funding, Inspired Title Services, Taylor Morrison Insurance Services, and Mortgage Funding Direct Ventures. She is responsible for the management, financial performance, and long-term growth strategies of these companies. With over 30 years of experience in the mortgage industry, her background includes leadership in new construction financing, title and homeowners' insurance, mortgage servicing, and operational management.

Dar Ahrens, EVP, West Area President

Mr. Ahrens serves as Taylor Morrison's Executive Vice President and West Area President, overseeing and driving operational excellence and growth for the Company's West Area. He previously served as Taylor Morrison's Chief Field Operations Officer from 2020 to early 2023 and has held key Division President and Regional President positions since joining the Company in September 2006. Before Taylor Morrison, Mr. Ahrens was Vice President of Operations and Vice President of Land for Pulte Homes and held senior land acquisition, forward planning, and development positions for Woodside Homes and John Laing Homes.

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The key risks to Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) primarily stem from its sensitivity to the broader economic environment and the inherent challenges within the homebuilding industry.

Market Sensitivity and Economic Volatility: Taylor Morrison's operations are highly sensitive to prevailing market conditions, including fluctuations in interest rates, economic downturns, and changes in consumer confidence. These factors directly impact homebuyer affordability and demand, potentially leading to reduced sales and revenue. The health of the real estate market and general economic conditions in its operating regions pose significant challenges during periods of instability.
Operational Risks and Supply Chain Disruptions: As a general contractor, Taylor Morrison faces operational risks related to construction and land development. The cost and availability of materials and labor are critical factors, and inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions can hinder the company's ability to deliver projects on time and within budget, thereby affecting its financial results.
Order Backlog and Gross Margin Pressures: Taylor Morrison has experienced a significant slowdown in its order backlog, which is a leading indicator of future topline performance. Declining order backlogs and persistently high cancellation rates can lead to pressures on gross margins and overall financial performance.

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The addressable market for Taylor Morrison Home (symbol: TMHC) primarily encompasses the U.S. residential construction market, as the company operates across 20 markets in 12 states in the United States. Taylor Morrison's main products and services include the design, construction, and sale of single-family and multi-family detached and attached homes, catering to entry-level, move-up, luxury, and resort lifestyle homebuyers and renters. Additionally, the company offers financial services related to home financing.

The U.S. residential construction market is a significant addressable market. In 2025, the U.S. residential construction market size is estimated at approximately $1.35 trillion. This market is projected to grow to $1.69 trillion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.59% during this period. Another projection indicates that the residential construction market in the U.S. is expected to increase by $242.9 million between 2024 and 2029, with a CAGR of 4.5%.

The overall U.S. construction market, which includes residential construction, was valued at $2.10 trillion in 2024, and is estimated to reach $2.24 trillion in 2025. The residential construction segment constituted 54.3% of the U.S. construction market share in 2024.

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Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives:

Increased Home Closings and Community Count Expansion: Taylor Morrison aims for at least 10% annual home closings growth through 2028, with an ambitious target of approximately 20,000 annual closings by 2028. The company plans to launch over 100 new communities in 2026, targeting mid to high single-digit outlet growth. This expansion in the number of communities will directly contribute to higher sales volumes and, consequently, increased revenue.
Expansion of the Esplanade Resort Lifestyle Brand: A critical path to growth involves doubling deliveries of its Esplanade resort lifestyle brand over the next few years. Taylor Morrison is actively expanding the Esplanade footprint into new markets, including significant developments in Central Florida and the Las Vegas market. This focus on a successful, amenity-rich brand caters to specific buyer segments and is expected to boost revenue.
Diversified Product Portfolio and Consumer Strategy: The company's diversified portfolio across various price points, including entry-level, first move-up, second move-up, and resort lifestyle buyers, provides resilience and expands growth opportunities. Taylor Morrison also offers a balanced mix of "spec" (ready-to-move-in) and "to-be-built" homes, with spec homes primarily focused on the entry-level market and personalized homes for move-up and resort lifestyle buyers. Furthermore, they are adapting to evolving housing demands such as multi-generational living and energy-efficient homes. This broad appeal helps capture a wider customer base.
Technological Innovation and Enhanced Customer Engagement: Taylor Morrison is investing in technology to improve customer interaction and lead generation. This includes the launch of an AI-powered digital assistant to enhance online customer engagement. By leveraging digital tools, the company aims to streamline the home-buying process and attract more customers, thereby supporting revenue growth.
Strategic and Capital-Efficient Land Management: The company is focused on a disciplined land strategy, aiming to control at least 65% of its homebuilding lots rather than owning them outright. This approach allows for a flexible and capital-efficient lot supply, providing the necessary inventory for future community and home count expansion while optimizing capital allocation.

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Share Repurchases

Taylor Morrison is targeting approximately $350 million in share repurchases for the full year 2025.
In the first quarter of 2025, the company repurchased 1.5 million shares for $92 million, with $403 million remaining under authorization at quarter end. For the second quarter of 2025, 1.7 million shares were repurchased for $100 million, leaving $675 million in remaining authorization.
For the full year 2024, Taylor Morrison repurchased 5.6 million common shares for $348 million, and had a remaining share repurchase authorization of $910 million at year-end.

Outbound Investments

In April 2024, Taylor Morrison acquired substantially all the assets of Pyatt Builders, an Indianapolis-based homebuilder. This acquisition primarily involved inventory for existing and future communities, including approximately 1,700 owned and controlled lots, and was not material to the company's financial results.

Capital Expenditures

The expected homebuilding land acquisition and development investment for the full year 2025 is around $2.6 billion.
For the full year 2024, the total homebuilding land spend was $2.4 billion, with 43% of this investment related to development activities.
The primary focus of capital expenditures is on homebuilding land acquisition and development, with a strategic emphasis on increasing controlled lot percentage, which reached 60% in Q2 2025, to enhance capital efficiency and reduce owned lot exposure.

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Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.0%)

MELI (36.9%)

MercadoLibre

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DoorDash

BKNG (13.0%)

Booking

AMZN (10.9%)

Amazon.com

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Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for TMHC: 0.7%)

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AMZN (11.3%)

Amazon.com

TSLA (9.3%)

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McDonald's

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Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for TMHC: 14.6%)

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ABNB (22.6%)

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O'Reilly Automotive

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Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.3%)

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McDonald's

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Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 6.8%)

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McDonald's

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All Other Sectors

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 0.7x)

UNH (11.4% | 0.7x)

UnitedHealth

MCK (12.6% | 0.3x)

McKesson

CVS (7.7% | 0.3x)

CVS Health

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Elevance Health

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Cigna

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 4.8x)

IBKR (48.1% | 3.5x)

Interactive Brokers

CHTR (1.3% | 2.1x)

Charter Communications

EIX (3.1% | 4.4x)

Edison International

BCE (0.8% | 3.9x)

BCE

RCI (11.8% | 4.1x)

Rogers Communications

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.0%)

NVDA (65.2%)

NVIDIA

AVGO (23.9%)

Broadcom

META (21.3%)

Meta Platforms

MSFT (15.6%)

Microsoft

GOOGL (13.4%)

Alphabet

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for TMHC: 0.7%)

NVDA (91.6%)

NVIDIA

META (17.3%)

Meta Platforms

MSFT (13.2%)

Microsoft

GOOGL (11.0%)

Alphabet

AAPL (1.8%)

Apple

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for TMHC: 14.6%)

NVDA (58.8%)

NVIDIA

MSFT (46.3%)

Microsoft

META (43.2%)

Meta Platforms

GOOGL (32.2%)

Alphabet

AAPL (31.9%)

Apple

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.3%)

META (56.8%)

Meta Platforms

MSFT (50.0%)

Microsoft

NVDA (44.4%)

NVIDIA

GOOGL (39.3%)

Alphabet

AAPL (26.6%)

Apple

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 6.8%)

NVDA (41.3%)

NVIDIA

MSFT (26.6%)

Microsoft

META (23.7%)

Meta Platforms

AAPL (23.5%)

Apple

GOOGL (19.1%)

Alphabet

Higher Total Yield (Value for TMHC: 14.5%)

CMCSA (25.2%)

Comcast

VZ (18.3%)

Verizon Communications

CNQ (16.7%)

Canadian Natural Resources

MO (16.2%)

Altria

TDG (15.4%)

TransDigm

		Best Bets In Consumer Discretionary Sector
	TMHC	ABNB	BKNG	DUOL	MCD	ETSY	LOPE	ALSN	GRMN	CROX	WH
What You Pay
P/E	6.9	31.8	34.9	21.6	26.3	30.4	22.1	12.1	25.2	21.6	17.3
P/EBIT	4.8	30.9	21.0	78.7	18.1	13.4	14.7	8.9	22.2	18.8	10.2
What You Get
Rev Chg Q	-1.2%	9.7%	12.7%	41.1%	3.0%	2.4%	9.6%	-15.9%	11.7%	3.4%	-3.5%
Rev Chg LTM	7.0%	10.2%	13.0%	39.9%	1.2%	2.0%	7.0%	-4.2%	16.6%	2.0%	3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	0.7%	14.2%	17.8%	41.7%	4.2%	4.9%	6.5%	4.6%	12.2%	14.5%	-2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg	7.1%	40.2%	35.6%	30.3%	27.4%	23.8%	21.8%	21.0%	20.5%	19.8%	19.0%

[1] Choosing top 10 best bets from each sector quarterly is an alpha producing strategy vs sector benchmark
[2] Historical annualized return of 14%, alpha of 2.9%, and sharpe of 0.61

Latest Trefis Analyses

	Title	Topic
0	DASHBOARDS
1	Taylor Morrison Home Earnings Notes
2	How Low Can Taylor Morrison Home Stock Really Go?	Return
3	Taylor Morrison Home vs Interactive Brokers: Which Is A Better Investment?	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
4	Taylor Morrison Home vs Caesars Entertainment: Which Is A Better Investment?	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
5	How Does Taylor Morrison Home Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?	Peer Comparison
6	Better Bet Than TMHC Stock: Pay Less Than Taylor Morrison Home To Get More From PR, CALM
7	TMHC Dip Buy Analysis
8	Taylor Morrison Home Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 14.7% in 2024 and 20.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average)
9	Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Operating Cash Flow Comparison	Financials
10	Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) Net Income Comparison	Financials

	Title
0	ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TMHC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique Key	Date	Ticker	Company	Category	Trade Strategy	6M Fwd Rtn	12M Fwd Rtn	12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE	11302025	BBWI	Bath & Body Works	Dip Buy	DB \| Insider Buys \| Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap	13.7%	13.7%	0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11262025	HRB	H&R Block	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	6.0%	6.0%	-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11262025	LRN	Stride	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	3.8%	3.8%	-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11212025	ABNB	Airbnb	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	19.7%	19.7%	0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11212025	MTN	Vail Resorts	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	2.3%	2.3%	-1.6%
TMHC_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG	03312020	TMHC	Taylor Morrison Home	Dip Buy	DB \| FCF Yield \| Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap	121.0%	180.1%	-25.4%

Recent Active Movers

Top Gainers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1D Rtn	YTD Rtn
ZETA	Zeta Global	4.6	8.3%	15.1%
SGML	Sigma Lithium	1.6	7.3%	29.2%
USAS	Americas Gold And Silver	1.6	6.6%	557.6%
CPNG	Coupang	44.2	6.4%	10.4%
LION	Lionsgate Studios	2.7	4.6%	-69.9%
BBW	Build-A-Bear Workshop	0.8	4.4%	37.8%
XRAY	Dentsply Sirona	2.3	4.2%	-36.3%
BLMN	Bloomin Brands	0.6	3.8%	-41.2%
FUN	Six Flags Entertainment	1.5	3.8%	-69.1%
SVM	Silvercorp Metals	1.9	3.6%	198.0%

Top Losers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1D Rtn	YTD Rtn
FLY	Firefly Aerospace	3.3	-13.7%	-61.3%
TMC	TMC The Metals	2.5	-10.5%	508.9%
ORGO	Organogenesis	0.7	-10.1%	64.8%
AAOI	Applied Optoelectronics	2.4	-9.3%	0.8%
BKSY	BlackSky Technology	0.7	-9.0%	79.0%
LUNR	Intuitive Machines	1.8	-8.7%	-16.0%
RCAT	Red Cat	0.8	-8.7%	-35.4%
RGTI	Rigetti Computing	6.7	-8.7%	46.7%
RDW	Redwire	1.0	-8.6%	-56.6%
RKLB	Rocket Lab	36.4	-8.5%	177.4%

Top Gainers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1W Rtn	YTD Rtn
OMER	Omeros	0.9	71.5%	59.0%
RZLT	Rezolute	0.3	44.3%	-45.5%
DVAX	Dynavax Technologies	1.8	41.5%	20.4%
LUNR	Intuitive Machines	1.8	40.6%	-16.0%
UAMY	United States Antimony	0.7	39.0%	252.5%
FOLD	Amicus Therapeutics	4.4	30.9%	51.3%
ADEA	Adeia	1.9	30.3%	23.0%
HUT	Hut 8	5.2	28.6%	142.3%
AAOI	Applied Optoelectronics	2.4	27.1%	0.8%
SGML	Sigma Lithium	1.6	24.9%	29.2%

Top Losers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1W Rtn	YTD Rtn
TPL	Texas Pacific Land	6.6	-67.9%	-21.5%
LW	Lamb Weston	5.9	-29.0%	-35.3%
TLRY	Tilray Brands	10.2	-22.2%	-27.8%
TDUP	ThredUp	0.8	-18.2%	348.2%
LAB	Standard BioTools	0.5	-16.9%	-21.1%
OLMA	Olema Pharmaceuticals	2.2	-14.9%	349.9%
EVEX	Eve	1.4	-12.0%	-21.9%
IRON	Disc Medicine	2.8	-11.2%	26.7%
AVO	Mission Produce	0.8	-11.1%	-18.8%
CABO	Cable One	0.7	-10.6%	-67.4%

Top Gainers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1M Rtn	YTD Rtn
TLRY	Tilray Brands	10.2	876.4%	-27.8%
HPP	Hudson Pacific Properties	4.7	452.7%	-51.0%
WVE	WAVE Life Sciences	2.9	139.2%	43.7%
TE	T1 Energy	1.1	106.7%	400.0%
VERA	Vera Therapeutics	3.4	82.1%	26.7%
OMER	Omeros	0.9	66.2%	59.0%
RKLB	Rocket Lab	36.4	65.8%	177.4%
PL	Planet Labs PBC	5.9	65.0%	379.2%
AAOI	Applied Optoelectronics	2.4	63.5%	0.8%
LUNR	Intuitive Machines	1.8	62.4%	-16.0%

Top Losers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1M Rtn	YTD Rtn
RZLT	Rezolute	0.3	-72.0%	-45.5%
JANX	Janux Therapeutics	0.9	-59.0%	-73.4%
FRMI	Fermi	5.3	-46.0%	-76.6%
LENZ	LENZ Therapeutics	0.5	-43.5%	-41.6%
GOGO	Gogo	0.6	-35.3%	-43.0%
HPK	HighPeak Energy	0.5	-33.9%	-70.4%
PACB	Pacific Biosciences of California	0.5	-32.7%	-3.3%
LDI	loanDepot	0.4	-29.6%	3.9%
ORIC	ORIC Pharmaceuticals	0.6	-29.0%	2.2%
LW	Lamb Weston	5.9	-28.6%	-35.3%

Peer Comparisons for Taylor Morrison Home

Peers to compare with:

Financials

	TMHC	HPQ	HPE	IBM	CSCO	AAPL	Median
Name	Taylor M.	HP	Hewlett .	Internat.	Cisco Sy.	Apple
Mkt Price	59.72	23.26	24.49	305.09	78.16	273.40	68.94
Mkt Cap	5.9	21.9	32.6	284.9	309.2	4,074.4	158.8
Rev LTM	8,378	55,295	34,296	65,402	57,696	408,625	56,496
Op Inc LTM	1,227	3,624	1,644	11,544	12,991	130,214	7,584
FCF LTM	570	2,800	627	11,854	12,733	96,184	7,327
FCF 3Y Avg	571	2,978	1,400	11,753	13,879	100,503	7,366
CFO LTM	609	3,697	2,919	13,483	13,744	108,565	8,590
CFO 3Y Avg	612	3,672	3,896	13,498	14,736	111,559	8,697

Growth & Margins

	TMHC	HPQ	HPE	IBM	CSCO	AAPL	Median
Name	Taylor M.	HP	Hewlett .	Internat.	Cisco Sy.	Apple
Rev Chg LTM	7.0%	3.2%	13.8%	4.5%	8.9%	6.0%	6.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	0.7%	-3.9%	6.5%	2.6%	3.7%	1.8%	2.2%
Rev Chg Q	-1.2%	4.2%	14.4%	9.1%	7.5%	9.6%	8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM	-0.3%	1.1%	3.7%	2.1%	1.8%	2.1%	2.0%
Op Mgn LTM	14.6%	6.6%	4.8%	17.7%	22.5%	31.9%	16.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg	14.9%	7.4%	7.2%	16.4%	24.2%	30.8%	15.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM	-0.4%	-0.2%	-1.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.1%	-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM	7.3%	6.7%	8.5%	20.6%	23.8%	26.6%	14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg	7.6%	6.8%	12.7%	21.4%	26.1%	28.4%	17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM	6.8%	5.1%	1.8%	18.1%	22.1%	23.5%	12.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg	7.1%	5.5%	4.6%	18.6%	24.6%	25.6%	12.9%

Valuation

	TMHC	HPQ	HPE	IBM	CSCO	AAPL	Median
Name	Taylor M.	HP	Hewlett .	Internat.	Cisco Sy.	Apple
Mkt Cap	5.9	21.9	32.6	284.9	309.2	4,074.4	158.8
P/S	0.7	0.4	1.0	4.4	5.4	10.0	2.7
P/EBIT	4.8	6.8	19.9	25.1	22.5	31.3	21.2
P/E	6.9	8.6	572.7	36.0	29.9	41.0	33.0
P/CFO	9.7	5.9	11.2	21.1	22.5	37.5	16.2
Total Yield	14.5%	14.1%	2.3%	5.0%	5.4%	2.8%	5.2%
Dividend Yield	0.0%	2.5%	2.1%	2.2%	2.1%	0.4%	2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg	11.1%	10.6%	5.5%	6.4%	6.0%	3.1%	6.2%
D/E	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.3
Net D/E	0.3	0.3	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.3

Returns

	TMHC	HPQ	HPE	IBM	CSCO	AAPL	Median
Name	Taylor M.	HP	Hewlett .	Internat.	Cisco Sy.	Apple
1M Rtn	-5.8%	-1.8%	14.4%	0.6%	2.7%	-1.5%	-0.4%
3M Rtn	-9.9%	-11.9%	2.7%	7.9%	17.0%	7.1%	4.9%
6M Rtn	-2.5%	-4.0%	34.5%	6.6%	15.2%	36.3%	10.9%
12M Rtn	-2.5%	-27.3%	14.2%	39.2%	33.7%	6.0%	10.1%
3Y Rtn	93.6%	-3.8%	67.7%	139.0%	79.5%	113.4%	86.6%
1M Excs Rtn	-6.5%	-5.6%	12.9%	-2.2%	-0.0%	-3.7%	-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn	-14.2%	-16.2%	-1.7%	3.6%	12.7%	2.8%	0.6%
6M Excs Rtn	-14.8%	-16.3%	22.3%	-5.7%	3.0%	24.0%	-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn	-17.4%	-42.9%	-0.7%	25.0%	19.9%	-8.4%	-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn	15.8%	-83.5%	-11.2%	59.6%	-1.2%	28.4%	7.3%

Comparison Analyses

	Title
0	How Does Taylor Morrison Home Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?
1	Why BMI With 47% Upside May Beat TMHC?
2	Why TMHC With 5.4% Upside May Beat LGIH?
3	TMHC Looks Stronger Than CVCO With 5.4% Return Potential
4	FLR Could Deliver 5.4% Returns And Outperform TMHC
5	Taylor Morrison Home vs. Arrowhead Research: With Return Forecast Of 85%, Arrowhead Research Is A Better Bet
6	Taylor Morrison Home vs. Alarm.com: With Return Forecast Of 68%, Alarm.com Is A Better Bet
7	Taylor Morrison Home vs. Papa John's: With Return Forecast Of 32%, Taylor Morrison Home Is A Better Bet
8	Taylor Morrison Home vs. Transdigm Group: With Return Forecast Of 53%, Transdigm Group Is A Better Bet
9	Taylor Morrison Home vs. Fidelity National Information Services: With Return Forecast Of 41%, Taylor Morrison Home Is A Better Bet

FDIC Bank Data

$ Mil \| FY: 12/31	LTM	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
Period End	9/30/2025	12/31/2024	12/31/2023	12/31/2022	12/31/2021	12/31/2020	12/31/2019
Filing Date	10/22/2025	2/19/2025	2/21/2024	2/22/2023	2/23/2022	2/24/2021	2/19/2020
Key Financials
Total Revenue	8,378	8,168	7,418	8,225	7,501	6,129	4,762
EBITDA	1,266	1,255	1,118	1,483	920	509	365
Operating Income	1,227	1,214	1,084	1,449	880	472	334
Net Income	851	883	769	1,053	663	243	255
EPS	8.45	8.43	7.09	9.16	5.26	1.90	2.38
Growth Rates
Total Revenue Growth	7.0%	10.1%	-9.8%	9.6%	22.4%	28.7%	12.6%
EBITDA Growth	5.6%	12.3%	-24.6%	61.3%	80.6%	39.4%	5.1%
Operating Income Growth	6.0%	11.9%	-25.2%	64.8%	86.4%	41.3%	3.9%
Net Income Growth	4.6%	14.9%	-27.0%	58.8%	172.4%	-4.4%	23.4%
Margins
EBITDA Margin	15.1%	15.4%	15.1%	18.0%	12.3%	8.3%	7.7%
Operating Income Margin	14.6%	14.9%	14.6%	17.6%	11.7%	7.7%	7.0%
Net Income Margin	10.2%	10.8%	10.4%	12.8%	8.8%	4.0%	5.3%
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	371	487	799	724	833	533	326
Total Debt	2,264	2,199	2,102	2,584	3,398	3,012	1,983
Net Debt / (Cash)	1,893	1,712	1,304	1,860	2,565	2,479	1,657
Cash Flows
Net Cash from Operations	609	210	806	1,108	377	1,123	393
Free Cash from Operations	570	174	773	1,077	355	1,086	363
Returns to Shareholders
Dividends	0	-0	-0	-0	-0	-0	-0
Share Repurchases	400	348	128	376	281	103	157

$ Mil \| FY: 12/31	2025Q3	2025Q2	2025Q1	2024Q4	2024Q3	2024Q2	2024Q1	2023Q4	2023Q3	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4
Period End	9/30/2025	6/30/2025	3/31/2025	12/31/2024	9/30/2024	6/30/2024	3/31/2024	12/31/2023	9/30/2023	6/30/2023	3/31/2023	12/31/2022
Filing Date	10/22/2025	7/23/2025	4/23/2025	2/19/2025	10/24/2024	7/24/2024	4/30/2024	2/21/2024	10/25/2023	7/26/2023	4/26/2023	2/22/2023
Key Financials Quarterly
Total Revenue	2,096	2,030	1,896	2,356	2,121	1,991	1,700	2,020	1,676	2,061	1,662	2,492
Ebitda	306	295	296	369	342	287	257	314	233	323	248	435
Operating Income	296	284	287	360	332	276	247	304	224	316	241	426
Net Income	201	194	213	242	251	199	190	173	171	235	191	275
EPS	2.05	1.94	2.11	2.35	2.41	1.89	1.79	1.61	1.57	2.15	1.76	2.54
Key Financials TTM
Total Revenue TTM	8,378	8,403	8,364	8,168	7,832	7,386	7,456	7,418	7,890	8,249	8,184	8,225
Ebitda TTM	1,266	1,301	1,294	1,255	1,199	1,091	1,127	1,118	1,239	1,424	1,486	1,483
Operating Income TTM	1,227	1,263	1,254	1,214	1,158	1,050	1,091	1,084	1,207	1,394	1,454	1,449
Net Income TTM	851	901	907	883	813	733	768	769	872	1,011	1,067	1,053
Growth Rates Quarterly
Total Revenue Growth	-1.2%	2.0%	11.5%	16.7%	26.6%	-3.4%	2.3%	-19.0%	-17.6%	3.3%	-2.4%	-0.5%
EBITDA Growth	-10.3%	2.7%	15.1%	17.8%	46.5%	-11.3%	3.8%	-27.9%	-44.3%	-16.0%	1.2%	15.4%
Operating Income Growth	-10.8%	3.2%	16.2%	18.4%	48.1%	-12.8%	2.6%	-28.7%	-45.5%	-15.9%	2.0%	16.3%
Net Income Growth	-19.8%	-2.9%	12.2%	40.5%	47.1%	-15.0%	-0.4%	-37.3%	-44.9%	-19.4%	8.1%	1.0%
Margins Quarterly
EBITDA Margin	14.6%	14.5%	15.6%	15.7%	16.1%	14.4%	15.1%	15.5%	13.9%	15.7%	14.9%	17.4%
Operating Income Margin	14.1%	14.0%	15.1%	15.3%	15.6%	13.8%	14.5%	15.0%	13.4%	15.3%	14.5%	17.1%
Net Income Margin	9.6%	9.5%	11.3%	10.3%	11.8%	10.0%	11.2%	8.5%	10.2%	11.4%	11.5%	11.0%
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	371	130	378	487	256	247	554	799	614	1,227	878	724
Total Debt	2,264	2,174	2,159	2,199	2,223	2,232	2,175	2,102	2,078	2,483	2,395	2,584
Net Debt / (Cash)	1,893	2,044	1,781	1,712	1,966	1,985	1,620	1,304	1,465	1,256	1,517	1,860
Cash Flows Quarterly
FCF from Operations	220	-126	77	438	136	-233	-131	256	-57	260	347	648
Cash Flows TTM
FCF from Operations TTM	609	525	418	210	27	-165	328	806	1,198	1,519	1,398	1,108
Returns to Shareholders Quarterly
Dividends	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Share Repurchases	75	100	135	90	61	105	92	24	100	-0	4	41
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Quarterly
ROIC	46.9%	41.4%	49.4%	66.7%	50.3%	38.7%	38.5%	50.7%	32.7%	46.4%	32.6%	48.8%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) TTM
ROIC TTM	49.6%	47.3%	54.0%	54.4%	44.1%	37.4%	41.8%	44.5%	44.3%	52.2%	48.5%	42.1%

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil	2024	2021	2020
Home closings revenue, net	7,159
Mortgage services revenue	120
Land closings revenue	61
Title services and other revenues	40
Amenity and other revenue	38
Central		1,633	1,334
Corporate and unallocated		25
East		1,919	1,951
Financial Services		156	93
West		2,396	1,384
Total	7,418	6,129	4,762

Price Behavior

Price Behavior

Market Price	$59.72
Market Cap ($ Bil)	5.9
First Trading Date	04/10/2013
Distance from 52W High	-16.9%
	50 Days	200 Days
DMA Price	$60.62	$61.62
DMA Trend	indeterminate	down
Distance from DMA	-1.5%	-3.1%
	3M	1YR
Volatility	27.2%	33.9%
Downside Capture	87.59	83.05
Upside Capture	19.87	68.26
Correlation (SPY)	22.6%	39.9%

TMHC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

	1M	2M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y
Beta	0.68	0.48	0.56	0.78	0.71	0.99
Up Beta	0.61	0.20	0.80	1.26	0.80	1.02
Down Beta	0.32	0.45	0.44	0.36	0.41	0.59
Up Capture	121%	29%	23%	74%	57%	173%
Bmk +ve Days	13	26	39	74	142	427
Stock +ve Days	10	20	30	63	121	393
Down Capture	49%	77%	81%	83%	98%	103%
Bmk -ve Days	7	16	24	52	107	323
Stock -ve Days	10	22	33	62	127	355

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively

Based On 1-Year Data

		Comparison of TMHC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
	TMHC	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	-0.0%	7.5%	17.8%	72.1%	8.6%	4.4%	-8.3%
Annualized Volatility	33.7%	24.3%	19.4%	19.3%	15.2%	17.0%	35.0%
Sharpe Ratio	0.04	0.24	0.72	2.70	0.34	0.09	-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets		51.8%	40.1%	-1.6%	-0.6%	55.4%	24.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data

		Comparison of TMHC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
	TMHC	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	17.4%	9.6%	14.7%	18.7%	11.5%	4.6%	30.8%
Annualized Volatility	38.1%	23.8%	17.1%	15.5%	18.7%	18.9%	48.7%
Sharpe Ratio	0.52	0.36	0.70	0.97	0.50	0.16	0.57
Correlation With Other Assets		57.6%	55.8%	11.2%	9.6%	57.0%	23.8%

Based On 10-Year Data

		Comparison of TMHC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
	TMHC	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	14.5%	13.2%	14.8%	15.3%	7.0%	5.3%	69.2%
Annualized Volatility	44.5%	21.9%	18.0%	14.7%	17.6%	20.8%	55.8%
Sharpe Ratio	0.47	0.55	0.71	0.86	0.32	0.22	0.90
Correlation With Other Assets		59.5%	58.0%	8.5%	21.5%	59.4%	16.9%

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date	12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity	5,250,195
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025	-4.9%
Average Daily Volume	931,474
Days-to-Cover Short Interest	5.64
Basic Shares Quantity	98,439,000
Short % of Basic Shares	5.3%

Returns Analyses

	Title
0	How Low Can Taylor Morrison Home Stock Really Go?
1	Taylor Morrison Home Stock Return Comparison

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

	Forward Returns
Earnings Date	1D Returns	5D Returns	21D Returns
10/22/2025	-3.2%	-4.4%	-7.3%
7/23/2025	-3.8%	-8.8%	-0.2%
4/23/2025	-2.0%	-3.2%	-2.7%
2/12/2025	3.3%	-0.8%	-6.9%
10/23/2024	3.6%	7.6%	6.9%
7/24/2024	-0.5%	3.3%	-1.6%
4/30/2024	-2.9%	1.6%	-2.6%
2/14/2024	5.6%	4.7%	7.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS
# Positive	11	12	12
# Negative	14	13	13
Median Positive	3.3%	2.6%	7.9%
Median Negative	-3.1%	-3.2%	-2.7%
Max Positive	9.6%	12.2%	38.6%
Max Negative	-6.8%	-10.3%	-13.2%

	Forward Returns
10/22/2025	-3.2%	-4.4%	-7.3%
7/23/2025	-3.8%	-8.8%	-0.2%
4/23/2025	-2.0%	-3.2%	-2.7%
2/12/2025	3.3%	-0.8%	-6.9%
10/23/2024	3.6%	7.6%	6.9%
7/24/2024	-0.5%	3.3%	-1.6%
4/30/2024	-2.9%	1.6%	-2.6%
2/14/2024	5.6%	4.7%	7.0%
10/25/2023	-3.2%	-2.0%	15.0%
7/26/2023	-4.6%	-1.3%	-7.8%
4/26/2023	-2.7%	4.4%	6.7%
2/15/2023	1.8%	-2.8%	0.6%
10/26/2022	-2.2%	-1.3%	8.8%
7/27/2022	5.5%	2.0%	-0.4%
4/27/2022	-4.9%	1.4%	0.9%
2/8/2022	0.8%	1.5%	5.5%
10/27/2021	9.6%	12.2%	19.2%
7/29/2021	6.9%	5.0%	10.6%
4/29/2021	-2.8%	-5.5%	-10.0%
2/10/2021	-3.0%	-7.3%	-1.8%
10/28/2020	1.4%	0.2%	12.0%
7/30/2020	-3.4%	-4.8%	-1.8%
5/6/2020	2.8%	-0.3%	38.6%
2/5/2020	2.6%	1.2%	-13.2%
10/30/2019	-6.8%	-10.3%	-11.1%
SUMMARY STATS
# Positive	11	12	12
# Negative	14	13	13
Median Positive	3.3%	2.6%	7.9%
Median Negative	-3.1%	-3.2%	-2.7%
Max Positive	9.6%	12.2%	38.6%
Max Negative	-6.8%	-10.3%	-13.2%

SEC Filings

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Report Date	Filing Date	Filing
9302025	10222025	10-Q 9/30/2025
6302025	7232025	10-Q 6/30/2025
3312025	4232025	10-Q 3/31/2025
12312024	2192025	10-K 12/31/2024
9302024	10242024	10-Q 9/30/2024
6302024	7242024	10-Q 6/30/2024
3312024	4302024	10-Q 3/31/2024
12312023	2212024	10-K 12/31/2023
9302023	10252023	10-Q 9/30/2023
6302023	7262023	10-Q 6/30/2023
3312023	4262023	10-Q 3/31/2023
12312022	2222023	10-K 12/31/2022
9302022	10262022	10-Q 9/30/2022
6302022	7282022	10-Q 6/30/2022
3312022	4272022	10-Q 3/31/2022
12312021	2232022	10-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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External Quote Links

0	Y Finance	Barrons
1	TradingView	Morningstar
2	SeekingAlpha	ValueLine
3	Motley Fool	Robinhood
4	CNBC	Etrade
5	MarketWatch	Unusual Whales
6	YCharts	Perplexity Finance
7	FinViz

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Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

Market Price (12/27/2025): $59.63 | Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

Market Price (12/27/2025): $59.63Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TMHC Stock

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

How Low Can It Go

In The Past

Preserve Wealth

Asset Allocation

About Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

Interactive Breakdown

Better Bets than Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC)

INDUSTRY: Homebuilding

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 0.7x)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 4.8x)

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.0%)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for TMHC: 0.7%)

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for TMHC: 14.6%)

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.3%)

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 6.8%)

Higher Total Yield (Value for TMHC: 14.5%)

SECTOR: Consumer Discretionary

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 0.7x)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 4.8x)

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.0%)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for TMHC: 0.7%)

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for TMHC: 14.6%)

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.3%)

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 6.8%)

Higher Total Yield (Value for TMHC: 14.5%)

All Other Sectors

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 0.7x)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for TMHC: 0.7% | 4.8x)

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.0%)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for TMHC: 0.7%)

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for TMHC: 14.6%)

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 7.3%)

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for TMHC: 6.8%)

Higher Total Yield (Value for TMHC: 14.5%)

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Financials

Market Price (12/27/2025): $59.63 | Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Market Price (12/27/2025): $59.63
Market Cap: $5.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding