Tearsheet

Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $19.16 | Market Cap: $171.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $19.16
Market Cap: $171.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -96 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -932%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.8%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -727%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -751%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 98%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 9751%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Targeted Therapies.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -147%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -96 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -932%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.8%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -727%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -751%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 98%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 9751%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TNXP Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -34.9% movement of Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025: 1. Post-FDA Approval "Sell the News" Effect: While Tonix Pharmaceuticals received FDA approval for Tonmya™ (cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablets) for fibromyalgia on August 15, 2025, prior anticipation of this approval likely drove a significant stock increase, including a surge of over 30% in mid-August. Following major positive news events, it is common for investors to "sell the news" and take profits, leading to a subsequent decline in stock price once the event has materialized.

2. Continued Financial Losses and Revenue Downturn: The company reported a net loss of $28.3 million and a downturn in Q2 2025 revenue in its August 11, 2025, financial results. Subsequent Q3 2025 financial results, reported on November 10, 2025, also reflected ongoing losses, with earnings per share (EPS) of ($3.59). Equity analysts at Zacks Small Cap further projected significant full-year 2025 losses for Tonix Pharmaceuticals, raising their FY2025 EPS estimate to ($13.20) in a December 8, 2025 report. These persistent losses and limited revenue growth likely contributed to investor apprehension.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TNXP Return-42%-47%-97%-83%-97%-40%-100%
Peers Return-33%98%395%-0%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TNXP Win Rate33%33%25%17%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%47%45%57%52%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TNXP Max Drawdown-65%-47%-97%-84%-99%-100% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-39%-27%-23%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HRMY, SLNO, ACAD, AXSM, SIGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTNXPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105329.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-76.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven320.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-99.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69884.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Tonix Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -99.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/11/2021. A -99.9% loss requires a 105329.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)

Better Bets than Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TNXP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tonix Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TNXPHRMYSLNOACADAXSMSIGAMedian
NameTonix Ph.Harmony .Soleno T.ACADIA P.Axsome T.SIGA Tec. 
Mkt Price19.2840.5152.0027.15148.176.4633.83
Mkt Cap0.22.32.84.67.40.52.6
Rev LTM10826991,047561172367
Op Inc LTM-96226-8494-195903
FCF LTM-77297-2699-10111637
FCF 3Y Avg-87229-3470-1266516
CFO LTM-75298-26199-10111745
CFO 3Y Avg-82229-34103-1256516

Growth & Margins

TNXPHRMYSLNOACADAXSMSIGAMedian
NameTonix Ph.Harmony .Soleno T.ACADIA P.Axsome T.SIGA Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM-8.8%21.1%-12.7%65.8%-0.9%12.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-27.4%-27.8%296.0%104.9%66.3%
Rev Chg Q16.6%28.7%-11.3%63.2%-73.8%16.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%6.9%202.2%2.8%13.4%-4.1%5.8%
Op Mgn LTM-932.4%27.3%-85.4%9.0%-34.7%52.4%-12.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1,584.1%29.9%--1.1%-63.2%28.1%-1.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-140.7%-1.4%485.1%0.2%7.3%-3.8%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-726.5%36.0%-26.2%19.0%-18.0%67.7%0.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,296.8%33.2%-8.7%-40.3%43.6%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-751.3%35.9%-26.3%9.5%-18.1%67.5%-4.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,408.1%33.2%-5.5%-40.4%43.6%5.5%

Valuation

TNXPHRMYSLNOACADAXSMSIGAMedian
NameTonix Ph.Harmony .Soleno T.ACADIA P.Axsome T.SIGA Tec. 
Mkt Cap0.22.32.84.67.40.52.6
P/S20.91.936.53.410.83.87.3
P/EBIT-6.5-48.738.2-27.37.36.5
P/E-2.28.5-46.013.8-26.58.83.2
P/CFO-2.95.3-139.218.1-60.25.61.2
Total Yield-46.0%11.7%-2.2%7.2%-3.8%11.4%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-12.3%-3.4%2.7%-3.0%11.5%2.7%
D/E-0.10.00.00.00.00.0
Net D/E--0.3-0.1-0.2-0.0-0.3-0.2

Returns

TNXPHRMYSLNOACADAXSMSIGAMedian
NameTonix Ph.Harmony .Soleno T.ACADIA P.Axsome T.SIGA Tec. 
1M Rtn21.3%19.0%5.2%13.0%6.1%7.7%10.3%
3M Rtn-32.6%25.1%-3.0%15.0%25.1%-27.6%6.0%
6M Rtn-39.7%22.9%-34.3%25.1%42.3%1.6%12.2%
12M Rtn-19.8%25.1%11.3%57.3%64.5%15.4%20.3%
3Y Rtn-99.7%-27.8%5,729.6%80.2%91.3%9.1%44.6%
1M Excs Rtn9.1%21.1%9.3%12.9%5.5%4.4%9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-33.7%21.4%-1.6%6.8%23.7%-31.4%2.6%
6M Excs Rtn-53.9%8.6%-48.5%10.8%28.1%-12.7%-2.0%
12M Excs Rtn-15.1%10.7%-3.3%33.4%36.8%-2.9%3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-173.3%-106.1%5,257.8%11.6%16.0%-72.3%-30.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Zembrace Symtouch6    
Tosymra1    
Total8    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment 2262419815
Total 2262419815


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,020,733
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.9%
Average Daily Volume1,005,466
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.01
Basic Shares Quantity8,922,792
Short % of Basic Shares22.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20254.1%-0.2% 
8/11/202532.9%-10.9%-40.0%
5/12/20255.2%38.6%96.5%
2/3/2025-54.5%2,794.2%1,722.0%
11/12/20243.3%-5.2%44.1%
8/19/2024-0.5%-24.0%-67.1%
4/1/20240.4%-2.3%-5.5%
11/9/2023-0.2%-0.3%-16.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive964
# Negative101315
Median Positive5.2%11.8%70.3%
Median Negative-3.6%-5.4%-16.6%
Max Positive32.9%2,794.2%1,722.0%
Max Negative-54.5%-28.3%-67.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024816202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022313202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021