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Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $52.41 | Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $52.41
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -85%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -84 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -85%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SLNO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Soleno Therapeutics' (SLNO) stock movement of -25% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Negative Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings Despite Beat. Soleno Therapeutics reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 4, 2025, surpassing both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts. Despite this positive financial performance, the stock price fell 2.89% in aftermarket trading. This suggests a "sell the news" event where investors might have already priced in positive expectations or had concerns that outweighed the reported strong quarter.

2. Analyst Price Target Adjustments. While analyst ratings largely remained positive with a "Strong Buy" consensus, some firms adjusted their price targets downward within the specified period. For example, Wells Fargo lowered its price target from $123 to $106 on November 5, 2025. Such adjustments, even while maintaining bullish ratings, can signal a tempering of expectations or a revised, less aggressive outlook, potentially contributing to downward pressure on the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SLNO Return-34%-79%383%1933%12%7%1537%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SLNO Win Rate50%42%33%67%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SLNO Max Drawdown-45%-79%-65%-7%-10%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSLNOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2215.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven162.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven922 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven174.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven314 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Soleno Therapeutics's stock fell -95.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -95.7% loss requires a 2215.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO)

Better Bets than Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SLNO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Soleno Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SLNOVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSoleno T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price50.72463.13-1.07-11.0730.89
Mkt Cap2.7118.4----60.5
Rev LTM9911,723---099
Op Inc LTM-84-92----93-92
FCF LTM-263,337----60-26
FCF 3Y Avg-342,064----1,015
CFO LTM-263,718----60-26
CFO 3Y Avg-342,419----1,193

Growth & Margins

SLNOVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSoleno T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM202.2%2.7%----102.4%
Op Mgn LTM-85.4%-0.8%-----43.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM485.1%1.0%----243.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-26.2%31.7%----2.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-26.3%28.5%----1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

SLNOVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSoleno T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap2.7118.4----60.5
P/S36.58.5----22.5
P/EBIT-48.722.4-----13.1
P/E-46.027.2-----9.4
P/CFO-139.226.9-----56.1
Total Yield-2.2%3.7%----0.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.4%2.3%-----0.6%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-----0.1

Returns

SLNOVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameSoleno T.Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn-22.7%8.7%----9.9%-9.9%
3M Rtn-24.2%16.8%---12.5%12.5%
6M Rtn-34.2%3.9%-----15.1%
12M Rtn-0.9%1.3%----0.2%
3Y Rtn4,872.5%44.1%----2,458.3%
1M Excs Rtn-22.7%8.7%----9.9%-9.9%
3M Excs Rtn-32.4%11.3%---4.5%4.5%
6M Excs Rtn-48.9%-10.8%-----29.9%
12M Excs Rtn-17.3%-14.6%-----16.0%
3Y Excs Rtn4,704.1%-25.9%----2,339.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment18126366538
Total18126366538


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,730,583
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202514.7%
Average Daily Volume3,290,104
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.96
Basic Shares Quantity53,328,094
Short % of Basic Shares18.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022322202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021