Tearsheet

Travel+Leisure (TNL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $71.66 | Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Travel+Leisure (TNL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $71.66
Market Cap: $4.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 138%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
  Key risks
TNL key risks include [1] significant debt levels and elevated loan portfolio delinquencies, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 10%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 138%
7 Key risks
TNL key risks include [1] significant debt levels and elevated loan portfolio delinquencies, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TNL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Exceeding Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations and Raised Guidance

Travel+Leisure reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 22, 2025, exceeding analysts' consensus estimates. The company posted an Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.80, surpassing estimates of $1.72. Quarterly revenue also rose by 5.1% year-over-year to $1.04 billion, topping analyst estimates of $1.03 billion. Alongside these strong results, the company increased the midpoint of its full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $975 million, with a new range of $965 million to $985 million, signaling a positive outlook for future performance. 2. Numerous Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Revisions

Several prominent investment firms issued favorable updates for Travel+Leisure during the period. On December 17, 2025, Barclays upgraded TNL from Underweight to Equal-Weight and raised its price target from $63 to $70. In November 2025, Wells Fargo initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $74 price target, while Truist Securities maintained a Buy rating, increasing its price target from $70 to $71. Earlier, on October 23, 2025, Goldman Sachs, JMP Securities, and Barclays all raised their price targets for TNL, reflecting growing confidence in the company's valuation and future prospects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TNL Return-9%26%-32%13%35%46%74%
Peers Return-6%37%-16%22%18%2%59%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TNL Win Rate58%58%42%42%75%75% 
Peers Win Rate50%52%45%50%57%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TNL Max Drawdown-67%-3%-37%-7%-1%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-62%-10%-29%-12%-9%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HGV, VAC, MAR, HLT, H.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTNLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven726 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven214.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven331 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven853 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1198.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,147 days1,480 days

Compare to RRR, PK, MCRI, SHO, XHR


In The Past

Travel+Leisure's stock fell -50.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -50.8% loss requires a 103.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Travel+Leisure (TNL)

Better Bets than Travel+Leisure (TNL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TNL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
TNL_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022TNLTravel+LeisureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%8.5%-11.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
TNL_6302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302022TNLTravel+LeisureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%8.5%-11.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Travel+Leisure

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TNLHGVVACMARHLTHMedian
NameTravel+L.Hilton G.Marriott.Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Mkt Price71.6945.2058.12310.07293.00164.28117.98
Mkt Cap4.74.02.384.368.615.710.2
Rev LTM3,9674,9985,03625,92511,7356,9145,975
Op Inc LTM7875515054,1372,580449669
FCF LTM50677631,9272,296107306
FCF 3Y Avg4161291172,3231,916397406
CFO LTM6142381222,7012,508301458
CFO 3Y Avg5022462002,9142,122590546

Growth & Margins

TNLHGVVACMARHLTHMedian
NameTravel+L.Hilton G.Marriott.Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Rev Chg LTM3.6%6.0%4.2%4.7%6.7%3.1%4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.9%10.9%3.3%10.6%13.1%9.1%9.9%
Rev Chg Q5.1%-0.5%-3.2%3.7%8.8%9.6%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%-0.1%-0.8%0.9%2.2%2.3%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM19.8%11.0%10.0%16.0%22.0%6.5%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.6%14.4%11.7%16.3%22.0%5.8%15.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-1.1%-1.6%0.6%0.8%0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM15.5%4.8%2.4%10.4%21.4%4.4%7.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.0%5.5%4.2%11.8%19.4%8.8%10.3%
FCF/Rev LTM12.8%1.5%1.3%7.4%19.6%1.5%4.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%3.0%2.4%9.4%17.5%5.9%7.7%

Valuation

TNLHGVVACMARHLTHMedian
NameTravel+L.Hilton G.Marriott.Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
Mkt Cap4.74.02.384.368.615.710.2
P/S1.00.70.52.75.22.01.5
P/EBIT4.88.3-16.923.444.216.9
P/E9.469.713.427.136.5-154.020.3
P/CFO6.315.519.026.224.245.021.6
Total Yield14.4%1.4%13.3%4.7%2.9%-0.2%3.8%
Dividend Yield3.8%0.0%5.9%1.0%0.1%0.4%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.7%3.2%-3.5%3.8%3.1%3.5%
D/E1.42.0-0.20.20.50.5
Net D/E1.41.9-0.20.20.40.4

Returns

TNLHGVVACMARHLTHMedian
NameTravel+L.Hilton G.Marriott.Marriott.Hilton W.Hyatt Ho. 
1M Rtn18.0%18.0%25.5%9.6%10.1%10.3%14.1%
3M Rtn18.3%1.0%-23.3%18.6%10.0%16.6%13.3%
6M Rtn49.1%14.9%-13.7%21.0%18.5%24.2%19.7%
12M Rtn41.8%12.0%-35.5%8.2%17.3%4.7%10.1%
3Y Rtn124.0%10.3%-53.4%107.8%125.7%73.4%90.6%
1M Excs Rtn17.2%17.2%24.8%8.9%9.4%9.5%13.4%
3M Excs Rtn16.1%-0.6%-26.2%16.4%8.7%13.8%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn36.8%2.5%-26.0%8.6%6.1%11.8%7.4%
12M Excs Rtn29.3%1.1%-47.0%-2.0%5.1%-7.3%-0.5%
3Y Excs Rtn48.7%-60.1%-122.9%27.4%44.7%-2.3%12.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Vacation Ownership4,9804,8264,7435,0005,582
Travel and Membership1,3531,3351,4141,3721,482
Corporate and Other4055964311,241389
Total6,7386,7576,5887,6137,453


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,896,738
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.0%
Average Daily Volume521,064
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.56
Basic Shares Quantity65,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/202515.2%6.6%2.3%
7/23/20256.9%8.1%1.5%
2/19/20250.7%-2.8%-15.4%
10/23/20244.0%7.3%16.5%
7/24/2024-9.8%-5.2%-13.0%
2/21/20245.5%8.5%14.9%
10/25/2023-1.8%1.9%12.7%
7/26/2023-5.3%-1.4%-3.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91111
# Negative121010
Median Positive1.8%5.3%6.9%
Median Negative-5.4%-5.0%-5.1%
Max Positive15.2%8.5%53.0%
Max Negative-9.8%-11.7%-48.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0RICHARDS GEOFFREYSee Remarks10282025Sell66.0626,8381,772,8037,449,564Form
1MYERS JEFFREYSee Remarks10272025Sell66.1621,3621,413,3108,018,008Form
2ROBIN-CAPLAN AMANDINESee remarks10272025Sell65.081,538100,093254,072Form
3MARSHALL KIMBERLYChief Human Resources Officer10232025Sell65.0016,5001,072,5002,615,340Form