Tearsheet

Telos (TLS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.59 | Market Cap: $409.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Telos (TLS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.59
Market Cap: $409.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Identity Management, Software Security, and Network Security.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -21%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 100%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Identity Management, Software Security, and Network Security.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -51 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -21%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.9%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -14%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 100%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -8.9% movement in Telos (TLS) stock for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: Despite Telos reporting robust revenue of $51.4 million for Q3 2025, which exceeded its guidance, the company reported an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of ($0.04), missing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.02. This earnings miss likely disappointed investors, overshadowing the strong revenue performance.

2. Concerns over Weak Underlying Fundamentals: Following the Q3 2025 earnings release on November 10, 2025, market analyses highlighted weak underlying fundamentals for Telos, including a negative net margin and return on equity (ROE). These profitability concerns contributed to a negative investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLS Return--53%-67%-28%-6%65%-83%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%-3%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLS Win Rate100%33%33%25%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLS Max Drawdown--55%-78%-69%-45%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTLSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2428.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Telos's stock fell -96.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/20/2021. A -96.0% loss requires a 2428.9% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Telos (TLS)

Better Bets than Telos (TLS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.9%1.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.7%3.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.0%8.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Telos

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameTelos Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price5.6327.1914.8616.969.8018.3315.91
Mkt Cap0.416.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM1174,4731,497907--1,202
Op Inc LTM-511,697-46-328---49
FCF LTM-161,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-151,463268-44--127
CFO LTM-51,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg-11,480282-22--141

Growth & Margins

TLSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameTelos Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM-13.8%16.2%8.3%25.4%--12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-21.1%16.5%14.6%45.6%--15.5%
Rev Chg Q26.2%25.3%14.4%21.7%--23.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.8%5.8%3.1%5.0%--5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-44.0%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---19.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-31.7%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---22.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--2.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-3.9%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.1%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--9.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-14.0%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.9%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--5.5%

Valuation

TLSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameTelos Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap0.416.78.05.6--6.8
P/S2.03.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT-4.210.9-148.1-19.8---12.0
P/E-4.230.7340.3-14.1--13.3
P/CFO-51.113.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield-23.9%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.5%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E0.00.50.00.0--0.0
Net D/E-0.20.5-0.2-0.1---0.2

Returns

TLSGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameTelos Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn-17.6%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Rtn-13.0%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%---6.9%
6M Rtn106.6%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%--4.1%
12M Rtn70.1%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---3.5%
3Y Rtn33.4%21.7%2.3%14.7%--18.2%
1M Excs Rtn-17.5%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-19.7%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---12.4%
6M Excs Rtn91.9%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---10.6%
12M Excs Rtn52.0%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.9%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---48.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Security Solutions77120124128 
Secure Networks689611963 
Inter-segment elimination   -10 
Products    16
Services    144
Total145217242180159


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,849,699
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202533.1%
Average Daily Volume1,435,431
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.29
Basic Shares Quantity73,163,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021