Tearsheet

Telos (TLS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $5.69 | Market Cap: $413.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Telos (TLS)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $5.69
Market Cap: $413.0 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Identity Management, Software Security, and Network Security.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -31 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 117%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 101%
5   Key risks
TLS key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and severe revenue declines, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity. Themes include Identity Management, Software Security, and Network Security.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -31 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 107%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 117%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 101%
7 Key risks
TLS key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and severe revenue declines, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -12.3% movement for Telos (TLS) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025:

1. Technical Sell Signals and Momentum Reversal: The stock experienced significant technical downturns, with "sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages" and a "pivot top point" issued on December 11, 2025, leading to a subsequent fall of 14.70% by December 15, 2025. These technical indicators contributed to a negative forecast for the stock.

2. Profit-Taking After Significant Gains: Telos stock reached a new 52-week high of $7.63 in October 2025 and surged over 13% in pre-market trading following strong third-quarter 2025 earnings in November. This substantial upward movement likely prompted some investors to engage in profit-taking, contributing to a subsequent decline in the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLS Return-53%-67%-28%-6%59%
Peers Return33%-6%5%17%8%10%80%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLS Win Rate100%33%33%25%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate58%58%53%58%63%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLS Max Drawdown-55%-78%-69%-45%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-16%-23%-13%-8%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, SAIC, CACI, BAH, OKTA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTLSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2428.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-16.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Telos's stock fell -96.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/20/2021. A -96.0% loss requires a 2428.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Telos (TLS)

Better Bets than Telos (TLS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TLS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Telos

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLSLDOSSAICCACIBAHOKTAMedian
NameTelos Leidos Science .CACI Int.Booz All.Okta  
Mkt Price5.42182.16100.35560.2085.4090.5995.47
Mkt Cap0.523.34.612.310.516.211.4
Rev LTM14417,3327,3508,85911,7062,8408,104
Op Inc LTM-312,0415247971,106122660
FCF LTM01,338427612819895716
FCF 3Y Avg-161,149431420641634532
CFO LTM121,506466683910912797
CFO 3Y Avg-21,312462486728655570

Growth & Margins

TLSLDOSSAICCACIBAHOKTAMedian
NameTelos Leidos Science .CACI Int.Booz All.Okta  
Rev Chg LTM17.4%6.5%-0.4%12.6%2.4%12.1%9.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.2%6.9%-0.7%11.9%10.0%18.1%8.5%
Rev Chg Q116.3%6.7%-5.6%11.2%-8.1%11.6%8.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM23.7%1.6%-1.5%2.7%-2.1%2.8%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-21.7%11.8%7.1%9.0%9.5%4.3%8.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-30.3%10.3%7.0%8.7%8.7%-8.8%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM22.3%-0.1%-0.3%0.1%-2.0%1.3%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.1%8.7%6.3%7.7%7.8%32.1%7.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.7%8.0%6.2%6.0%6.4%25.5%6.3%
FCF/Rev LTM0.1%7.7%5.8%6.9%7.0%31.5%7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-11.4%7.0%5.8%5.2%5.6%24.6%5.7%

Valuation

TLSLDOSSAICCACIBAHOKTAMedian
NameTelos Leidos Science .CACI Int.Booz All.Okta  
Mkt Cap0.523.34.612.310.516.211.4
P/S3.41.40.61.21.05.71.3
P/EBIT-11.8-13.810.9-11.8
P/E-16.817.212.321.714.883.016.0
P/CFO42.516.19.816.113.517.716.1
Total Yield-6.0%6.7%9.7%4.6%6.7%1.2%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%-4.2%4.1%-4.2%
D/E-0.2-0.30.3-0.3
Net D/E-0.2-0.30.3-0.3

Returns

TLSLDOSSAICCACIBAHOKTAMedian
NameTelos Leidos Science .CACI Int.Booz All.Okta  
1M Rtn-7.4%-4.6%13.2%-5.2%3.0%7.9%-0.8%
3M Rtn-18.7%-0.0%-2.3%14.0%-15.6%0.7%-1.2%
6M Rtn106.9%22.5%-4.1%22.1%-15.5%-8.2%9.0%
12M Rtn44.9%20.7%-11.3%34.4%-35.6%6.9%13.8%
3Y Rtn4.4%80.3%-5.6%85.5%-13.4%33.4%18.9%
1M Excs Rtn-8.3%-5.6%12.3%-6.2%2.0%6.9%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-20.8%-3.7%-5.0%10.0%-18.4%-2.4%-4.4%
6M Excs Rtn93.2%8.8%-17.8%8.5%-29.2%-21.9%-4.7%
12M Excs Rtn41.6%8.2%-22.8%22.9%-48.0%-4.4%1.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-48.8%4.5%-78.5%13.6%-87.0%-32.2%-40.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Security Solutions77120124128 
Secure Networks689611963 
Inter-segment elimination   -10 
Products    16
Services    144
Total145217242180159


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,830,852
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume840,082
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.18
Basic Shares Quantity72,580,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202521.6%-8.3%-5.0%
8/11/202562.6%133.2%168.1%
3/10/2025-9.2%-7.0%-20.6%
11/12/2024-7.7%-23.4%-15.2%
8/9/2024-46.9%-26.5%-15.1%
3/15/202425.7%41.9%10.2%
11/9/2023-0.7%21.9%45.1%
8/9/202311.7%-7.0%-4.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive677
# Negative1099
Median Positive22.1%21.9%34.1%
Median Negative-8.4%-22.8%-15.2%
Max Positive62.6%133.2%168.1%
Max Negative-68.8%-56.9%-60.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021