Tearsheet

Talen Energy (TLN)


Market Price (4/20/2026): $366.51 | Market Cap: $16.7 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Talen Energy (TLN)


Market Price (4/20/2026): $366.51
Market Cap: $16.7 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.1 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Nuclear-Powered Data Centers, Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.4x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 123x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%

Key risks
TLN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with high financial leverage and weak interest coverage, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.1 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Nuclear-Powered Data Centers, Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 6.4x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 123x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.2%
8 Key risks
TLN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with high financial leverage and weak interest coverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (TLN) stock has lost about 5% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Talen Energy reported a significant GAAP Net Loss for the full year 2025. On February 26, 2026, the company announced a GAAP Net Loss Attributable to Stockholders of $(219) million for the year ended December 31, 2025. This financial disclosure coincided with a -4.89% drop in Talen Energy's stock price on that day. Despite reaffirming robust 2026 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA between $1.75 billion and $2.05 billion and Adjusted Free Cash Flow between $980 million and $1.18 billion, the reported net loss likely fueled investor concerns.

2. Concerns emerged regarding potential PJM Interconnection market reforms that could impact pricing power. On January 16, 2026, news surfaced about plans for an emergency wholesale electricity auction by President Trump and PJM governors. This proposed policy could mandate tech companies to fund new power plants through long-term contracts, potentially diminishing the pricing power for existing generators such as Talen Energy, which depend on current wholesale auction and capacity revenue structures. The timing of this announcement was highlighted as detrimental to incumbent generators.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.5% change in TLN stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254192026Change
Stock Price ($)374.84365.35-2.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,3432,62612.1%
P/S Multiple7.36.4-13.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.0%
Cumulative Contribution-2.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN-2.5% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%40.4%
Sector (XLU)8.1%42.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.1% change in TLN stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254192026Change
Stock Price ($)425.38365.35-14.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,1282,62623.4%
P/S Multiple9.16.4-30.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4646-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-14.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN-14.1% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%47.6%
Sector (XLU)6.7%43.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 83.0% change in TLN stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254192026Change
Stock Price ($)199.67365.3583.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,0732,62626.7%
P/S Multiple4.86.432.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)50469.2%
Cumulative Contribution83.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN83.0% 
Market (SPY)16.3%46.0%
Sector (XLU)19.6%39.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN  
Market (SPY)63.3%43.1%
Sector (XLU)48.5%30.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TLN Return--38%215%86%-3%679%
Peers Return6%19%73%64%46%5%447%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%3%87%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLN Win Rate--86%83%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate56%47%74%58%58%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLN Max Drawdown---1%-3%-18%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-20%-5%-16%-9%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GNE, MWH, NRG, FTS, TLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/17/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Talen Energy (TLN)

Talen Energy Corporation, through its subsidiary, Talen Energy Supply, operates as an energy and power generation and marketing company in North America. The company produces and sells electricity from its fleet of power plants totaling approximately 17,400 megawatt primarily in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest regions of the United States. It generates electricity through nuclear, natural gas and oil, coal, hydro, and renewable energy sources. The company sells power to wholesale customers, including regional transmission organizations, independent system operators, utilities, cooperatives, municipalities, power marketers, and financial counterparties, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential retail customers. Talen Energy Corporation was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Talen Energy:

  • They're like NRG Energy, generating and selling electricity from a diverse fleet of power plants to wholesale and retail customers.
  • Think of them as the power generation and sales arm of a major utility like NextEra Energy, but utilizing a diverse mix of energy sources including nuclear and coal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Electricity Generation: Talen Energy operates a diverse fleet of power plants to produce electricity from nuclear, natural gas, coal, hydro, and renewable energy sources.
  • Electricity Marketing and Sales: The company sells and markets its generated electricity to a wide range of wholesale and retail customers across various sectors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Mark "Mac" McFarland, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Mark "Mac" McFarland was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Talen Energy in May 2023. He concurrently joined the company's Board. Prior to his role at Talen Energy, Mr. McFarland served as President and Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board of California Resources Corporation (CRC). He was also the Executive Chairman, President, and CEO of GenOn Energy, an independent power producer. From 2013 to 2016, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Luminant Holding Company LLC, a subsidiary of Energy Future Holdings Corporation, and served as both Chief Commercial Officer of Luminant and Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy of Energy Future Holdings from 2008 to 2013. Earlier in his career, from 1999 to 2008, Mr. McFarland held various roles at Exelon Corporation, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Development. He has served on the Boards of TerraForm Power, Bruin E&P Partners, and Chaparral Energy. Talen Energy itself was initially formed with investment from private equity firm Riverstone Holdings, which later acquired full ownership of the company in 2016. His experience includes overseeing an independent power producer during a restructuring/turnaround period at GenOn.

Cole Muller, Chief Financial Officer

Cole Muller was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Talen Energy in December 2025. In this role, he is responsible for the company's accounting, treasury, risk management, financial planning, investor relations, tax, and internal audit functions. Mr. Muller previously served as Executive Vice President, Strategic Ventures at Talen Energy, where he led the company's strategic direction for digital infrastructure development and data center contracting. Before that, he led Talen's PJM Fossil business unit. Prior to joining Talen in 2018, he was an Associate Partner for McKinsey & Co., where he advised energy clients on strategic opportunities and operational transformations. Mr. Muller also served as a submarine officer in the U.S. Navy.

Terry Nutt, President

Terry Nutt was appointed President of Talen Energy Corporation in December 2025. In this capacity, he oversees the daily operations of the company's business. Before becoming President, Mr. Nutt served as Chief Financial Officer of Talen Energy from July 2023 through December 2025. He has over 25 years of experience in the energy industry. From 2018 to 2023, he was Chief Financial Officer and Managing Director for EDF Trading North America, an energy commodity trading subsidiary of Électricité de France (EDF) S.A. Mr. Nutt also held multiple senior finance positions at Vistra Corporation (and its predecessor entities), including Senior Vice President and Controller and Senior Vice President of Risk Management, and various finance roles at Dynegy Inc.

Brad Berryman, Chief Operating Officer

Brad Berryman assumed the role of Chief Operating Officer of Talen Energy in December 2025, responsible for operations of Talen's entire power generation fleet.

Chris Morice, Chief Commercial Officer

Chris Morice was appointed Chief Commercial Officer of Talen Energy in 2023, where he oversees the company's wholesale trading and fleet optimization activities. He began his career at Lehman Brothers and later worked with Lehman's acquisition of Eagle Energy Partners. Mr. Morice joined Talen in 2017 as Desk Head/Lead Trader. His prior experience includes market-facing, risk-taking, revenue-generating roles at Koch Energy, Topaz Power, and EDF Trading.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  1. Regulatory and Environmental Changes / Energy Transition Risk: Talen Energy operates a diverse fleet of power plants, including those that rely on coal, natural gas, and nuclear energy sources. Increasing environmental regulations, carbon pricing initiatives, and the broader industry shift towards decarbonization pose significant risks. These factors could lead to higher operating costs, require substantial capital investments for compliance or conversion, or potentially result in the premature retirement or reduced profitability of fossil fuel-based assets.
  2. Commodity Price Volatility: As an energy and power generation and marketing company, Talen Energy is exposed to significant volatility in the prices of its primary fuel inputs (such as natural gas, oil, and coal) and the wholesale market prices for electricity. Fluctuations in these commodity prices directly impact the company's operational costs, revenue, and overall profitability.
  3. Nuclear Plant Operational and Regulatory Risks: The operation of nuclear power plants, a component of Talen Energy's generation portfolio, carries unique risks. These include stringent and evolving regulatory requirements, high operating and maintenance costs, potential for unexpected outages, and challenges related to nuclear waste disposal and decommissioning. Any major incident or change in regulatory posture could have a substantial financial and operational impact.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Rapid Expansion of Distributed Energy Resources and Grid-Edge Storage:

The increasing affordability and efficiency of distributed energy technologies, such as rooftop and community solar, coupled with rapidly decreasing costs of grid-edge battery storage solutions, pose a clear emerging threat. This trend empowers residential, commercial, and industrial customers to generate and store their own electricity, thereby reducing their reliance on centralized power generation and traditional grid infrastructure. This directly impacts the demand for electricity from companies like Talen Energy, threatening both wholesale and retail sales volumes and potentially leading to downward pressure on market prices as more decentralized capacity comes online.

Accelerated Decarbonization Policies and Regulatory Pressure on Fossil Fuels:

Given Talen Energy's significant generation fleet that includes natural gas and coal assets, an accelerating global and regional push for decarbonization presents a substantial threat. Increasingly stringent environmental regulations, carbon pricing mechanisms, and mandates for a rapid transition away from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources could significantly raise operating costs for Talen's fossil fuel-based plants. Such policies could lead to premature asset retirements, reduce the economic viability of existing assets, or even strand them, thereby threatening the profitability and long-term sustainability of a substantial portion of Talen's current generation portfolio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Talen Energy's main products and services, which primarily involve electricity generation and sales to wholesale and retail customers in the United States, particularly the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest regions, are substantial.

The overall U.S. power market was valued at approximately USD 380.33 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 568.13 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.56% from 2026 to 2034. In 2023, the U.S. electricity sector generated 4,178 Terawatt-hours (TWh) and generated $491 billion in revenue.

Specifically for Talen Energy's key operating regions:

  • Wholesale Electricity Market (U.S.): Talen Energy is active in competitive wholesale electricity markets, particularly in the PJM Interconnection (Mid-Atlantic region). The overall U.S. wholesale electricity market involves sales among electric utilities and traders.
  • Mid-Atlantic Region (PJM Interconnection): This is the largest U.S. regional power market, coordinating power for 67 million people across 13 states and the District of Columbia. Wholesale electricity prices in the PJM region increased to $80.5 billion in 2025. Electricity sales in PJM are projected to increase by 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026, driven by rising demand from data centers.
  • Northeast Region (ISO-NE, NYISO): In New England, the total annual energy served was 117,744 gigawatt-hours (GWh) in 2025. Net electricity use in New England is forecast to increase by an average of 1.8% annually, from 117,262 GWh in 2025 to 130,665 GWh in 2034.
  • Southwest Region: The Southwest electricity market includes traditional wholesale markets where utilities are responsible for system operations and providing power to retail consumers. This region has a summer peak demand of approximately 42 GW, with around 50 GW of generation capacity. Wholesale electricity prices in California and the Southwest are forecasted to be 30–35% higher in 2025 due to demand surges.
  • Retail Electricity Market (U.S.): The U.S. electricity retailing market, which includes sales to commercial, industrial, and residential customers, is estimated at USD 575.49 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 741.50 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.2%. Total electricity consumption in the United States was about 4.05 trillion kWh in 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (TLN) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions:

  1. Strategic Acquisitions and Capacity Expansion: Talen Energy has recently expanded its generation capacity through significant acquisitions. The company successfully closed the Freedom and Guernsey acquisitions, adding approximately 2.8 gigawatts (GW) of capacity. Furthermore, a pending acquisition of the Cornerstone assets (Waterford, Darby, and Lawrenceburg plants), totaling approximately 2.6 GW of natural gas capacity, is anticipated to close in mid-2026. These strategic additions are expected to substantially increase Talen's installed capacity and electricity generation volume, particularly enhancing its presence in the western PJM market, thereby contributing directly to higher electricity sales and capacity revenues.
  2. Growing Demand from Data Centers and Long-Term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs): A significant driver of future revenue is the surging demand for power from data centers, fueled by the growth of AI and cloud infrastructure. Talen Energy has a notable long-term Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Amazon Web Services (AWS), securing approximately $18 billion in revenue through 2042 by delivering carbon-free nuclear electricity from its Susquehanna plant. This PPA is expected to ramp up deliveries to between 1,680 MW and 1,920 MW by 2032, providing a stable and substantial contracted revenue stream. Talen aims to leverage this success as a blueprint for future collaborations with other digital infrastructure providers.
  3. Favorable PJM Capacity Market Dynamics and Rising Power Prices: The tightening PJM capacity markets are leading to record-high capacity auction prices, which are projected to significantly boost Talen's revenue from capacity sales. For instance, the price per MW-day for the 2025/2026 season is set at $270, increasing to $329 for 2026/2027. Analysts anticipate spark spreads in PJM to grow by over 15% from 2026 to 2028, and Talen's pragmatic hedging strategy is designed to capture these favorable pricing periods, ensuring cash flow stability while capitalizing on upside opportunities.
  4. Increased Generation Output and Operational Optimization: Talen Energy demonstrated strong operational performance in 2025, with a 10% increase in generation output compared to 2024, reaching approximately 40 terawatt hours (TWh), driven by increased dispatch opportunities across its fossil fleet. The company forecasts a significant expansion of its gas and other fossil fuel generation, from 18.3 TWh in 2024 to 47.3 TWh in 2027. The "Talen Flywheel" strategy is central to the company's approach, leveraging its generation assets and commercial capabilities to deliver durable cash flow growth through optimized operational performance and asset utilization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In December 2024, Talen Energy executed a $1 billion share repurchase, primarily from Rubric Capital Management LP, utilizing proceeds from an $850 million incremental Term Loan B and an additional $150 million in cash. This left approximately $1.08 billion remaining under the repurchase program through 2026.
  • As of February 2026, a $2 billion share repurchase program is continuing through 2028.
  • In October 2023, the Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the company to repurchase up to $300 million of its outstanding common stock through December 31, 2025. Approximately $14 million was used in January 2024 to repurchase 225,000 shares under this program.

Share Issuance

  • Talen Energy emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy in May 2023, following a reorganization plan that included an infusion of $1.4 billion of new equity capital through a common equity rights offering.
  • Prior to its emergence from bankruptcy, a May 2022 recapitalization transaction involved a new equity investment of up to $1.65 billion provided by an ad hoc group of unsecured bondholders, along with the equitization of over $1.4 billion of unsecured notes.

Inbound Investments

  • Talen Energy emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy in May 2023, supported by a new equity owner group and an infusion of $1.4 billion of new equity capital through a common equity rights offering.
  • A recapitalization transaction in May 2022, preceding the bankruptcy exit, included a new equity investment of up to $1.65 billion provided by an ad hoc group of unsecured bondholders.

Outbound Investments

  • In July 2025, Talen Energy agreed to acquire the Freedom Energy Center in Pennsylvania and the Guernsey Power Station in Ohio for a net acquisition price of $3.5 billion.
  • To fund these acquisitions, in October 2025, Talen secured $1.2 billion in term loan B financing and completed $2.69 billion in senior note offerings.

Capital Expenditures

  • Talen Energy's expected capital expenditures for 2024 were in the range of $195 million to $205 million.
  • Capital expenditure plans for 2026 and 2027 include investments totaling hundreds of millions of dollars, focused on nuclear fuel, power generation facilities, and other projects.
  • A primary focus for capital expenditures is the development of up to 300 megawatts of digital currency mining capacity, powered by its zero-carbon digital infrastructure campus adjacent to the Susquehanna nuclear power generation station.

Better Bets vs. Talen Energy (TLN)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLNGNEMWHNRGFTSMedian
NameTalen En.Genie En.SOLV Ene.NRG Ener.Fortis  
Mkt Price365.3513.8234.47167.7356.8756.87
Mkt Cap16.70.4-32.228.822.7
Rev LTM2,626483-30,71312,1707,398
Op Inc LTM161-1,9443,492980
FCF LTM49835-765-2,172266
FCF 3Y Avg-56-579-1,37756
CFO LTM70443-1,9134,0621,308
CFO 3Y Avg-64-1,3333,8301,333

Growth & Margins

TLNGNEMWHNRGFTSMedian
NameTalen En.Genie En.SOLV Ene.NRG Ener.Fortis  
Rev Chg LTM26.7%13.1%-9.2%5.8%11.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.4%17.4%--0.6%3.3%1.4%
Rev Chg Q58.0%23.6%-13.7%4.4%18.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.1%5.8%-3.1%1.1%4.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-90.3%152.4%--14.8%6.1%-4.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-62.1%13.4%-51.9%8.5%10.9%
Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.2%-6.3%28.7%3.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.5%5.0%-3.6%28.0%5.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-11.8%-1.1%--2.4%-0.3%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM26.8%9.0%-6.2%33.4%17.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-14.9%-4.6%32.6%14.9%
FCF/Rev LTM19.0%7.2%-2.5%-17.8%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.2%-2.0%-11.6%2.0%

Valuation

TLNGNEMWHNRGFTSMedian
NameTalen En.Genie En.SOLV Ene.NRG Ener.Fortis  
Mkt Cap16.70.4-32.228.822.7
P/S6.40.7-1.02.41.7
P/Op Inc1,043.2362.5-16.68.2189.5
P/EBIT122.736.7-17.27.527.0
P/E-76.274.5-37.316.026.6
P/CFO23.78.3-16.87.112.6
Total Yield-1.3%1.3%-2.7%9.0%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%-0.0%2.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-14.3%-1.7%-5.9%1.7%
D/E0.40.0-0.51.20.5
Net D/E0.4-0.3-0.41.20.4

Returns

TLNGNEMWHNRGFTSMedian
NameTalen En.Genie En.SOLV Ene.NRG Ener.Fortis  
1M Rtn20.6%2.1%24.1%15.0%3.3%15.0%
3M Rtn-1.7%-4.4%12.4%10.7%10.4%10.4%
6M Rtn-10.1%-9.8%12.4%-0.0%11.8%-0.0%
12M Rtn79.6%-6.3%12.4%73.5%22.3%22.3%
3Y Rtn685.7%-7.4%12.4%420.3%44.8%44.8%
1M Excs Rtn0.3%-6.6%6.3%-2.2%-8.7%-2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-15.4%-8.1%9.8%3.5%8.3%3.5%
6M Excs Rtn-19.0%-20.2%5.6%-8.4%5.8%-8.4%
12M Excs Rtn48.0%-38.9%-19.7%42.8%-7.7%-7.7%
3Y Excs Rtn611.6%-84.1%-61.8%328.8%-31.1%-31.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024
PJM1,8662,902
Other367194
Corporate and Eliminations-118-7
Total2,1153,089


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$365.35 
Market Cap ($ Bil)16.7 
First Trading Date06/05/2023 
Distance from 52W High-18.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$341.81$366.32
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA6.9%-0.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility52.9%53.5%
Downside Capture0.660.66
Upside Capture195.34170.18
Correlation (SPY)40.2%37.2%
TLN Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.031.832.012.111.38-0.06
Up Beta4.093.072.462.451.17-0.21
Down Beta1.960.360.151.311.61-0.38
Up Capture182%254%337%264%230%333%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days11223065139388
Down Capture194%186%232%200%118%95%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days11203361112298

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TLN
TLN74.8%53.6%1.23-
Sector ETF (XLU)21.5%14.1%1.1537.0%
Equity (SPY)21.1%12.9%1.3237.8%
Gold (GLD)50.9%27.5%1.496.8%
Commodities (DBC)25.2%16.2%1.403.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)17.5%13.7%0.9314.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-7.8%42.6%-0.0819.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TLN
TLN50.4%49.6%1.62-
Sector ETF (XLU)10.5%17.2%0.4630.4%
Equity (SPY)10.8%17.1%0.4943.2%
Gold (GLD)22.6%17.8%1.0413.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.8%0.5116.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.4%18.8%0.1416.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)5.2%56.5%0.3120.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TLN
TLN22.6%49.6%1.62-
Sector ETF (XLU)9.9%19.2%0.4530.4%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6743.2%
Gold (GLD)14.3%15.9%0.7513.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4016.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2416.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.4%66.9%1.0720.4%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3152026-0.3%
Average Daily Volume0.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity45.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/26/2026-4.9%-14.1%-16.8%
11/5/2025-4.4%-8.9%-12.4%
8/7/2025-0.8%0.4%2.8%
5/8/2025-1.2%5.9%11.8%
2/27/20253.0%-10.5%-2.2%
11/14/2024-1.6%-0.2%0.5%
8/13/20246.0%14.9%27.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive234
# Negative543
Median Positive4.5%5.9%7.3%
Median Negative-1.6%-9.7%-12.4%
Max Positive6.0%14.9%27.0%
Max Negative-4.9%-14.1%-16.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
09/30/201611/10/201610-Q
06/30/201608/05/201610-Q
03/31/201605/10/201610-Q
12/31/201502/29/201610-K
09/30/201511/09/201510-Q
06/30/201508/12/201510-Q
03/31/201505/08/201510-Q
12/31/201405/01/2015424B3
09/30/201412/22/2014S-1/A

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.75 Bil1.90 Bil2.05 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow980.00 Mil1.08 Bil1.18 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.08 Bil for 2026

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted EBITDA975.00 Mil987.50 Mil1.00 Bil-6.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.05 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Free Cash Flow470.00 Mil480.00 Mil490.00 Mil-3.0% LoweredGuidance: 495.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.75 Bil1.90 Bil2.05 Bil81.0% Higher NewActual: 1.05 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow980.00 Mil1.08 Bil1.18 Bil118.2% Higher NewActual: 495.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Rubric, Capital Management LpSee footnotesSell6272025288.5544,34312,795,0661,754,126,162Form
2Rubric, Capital Management LpSee footnotesSell6272025293.1963,97018,755,4261,763,598,498Form
3Rubric, Capital Management LpSee footnotesSell6272025291.98102,21729,845,8131,726,497,536Form
4Rubric, Capital Management LpSee footnotesSell6272025296.04178,00052,695,6841,697,798,684Form
5Horton, Anthony R DirectBuy3102025190.591,000190,588190,588Form