Talen Energy (TLN)


Market Price (8/2/2026): $333.94 | Market Cap: $15.2 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Talen Energy (TLN)


Market Price (8/2/2026): $333.94
Market Cap: $15.2 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.2 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Nuclear-Powered Data Centers, Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Key risks
TLN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with high financial leverage and weak interest coverage, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 55%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 5.5%
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.2 Bil
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Nuclear-Powered Data Centers, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%
7 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
9 Key risks
TLN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with high financial leverage and weak interest coverage, Show more.

TLN in ETFs

Weight = TLN's share of each fund

VTI0.02%
ITOT0.02%
IWB0.03%
IJH0.48%
VB0.21%
MDYG0.93%
IJK0.93%
MDY0.48%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

Talen Energy (TLN) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss: Talen Energy's reported diluted GAAP EPS of $1.33 for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, significantly missed analyst consensus estimates of $5.01 per share. Although the company reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance, this substantial earnings miss likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and pressure on the stock price.

2. Downward Revisions in Analyst Price Targets: Several analysts adjusted their price targets for Talen Energy downward in July 2026. For instance, Jefferies Financial Group reduced its price target from $453.00 to $422.00 on July 20, 2026, and Barclays decreased its objective from $411.00 to $408.00. These revisions indicate a more cautious outlook from financial experts ahead of the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report, potentially weighing on the stock.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

Talen Energy (TLN) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss: Talen Energy's reported diluted GAAP EPS of $1.33 for fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026, significantly missed analyst consensus estimates of $5.01 per share. Although the company reaffirmed its 2026 Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow guidance, this substantial earnings miss likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and pressure on the stock price.

2. Downward Revisions in Analyst Price Targets: Several analysts adjusted their price targets for Talen Energy downward in July 2026. For instance, Jefferies Financial Group reduced its price target from $453.00 to $422.00 on July 20, 2026, and Barclays decreased its objective from $411.00 to $408.00. These revisions indicate a more cautious outlook from financial experts ahead of the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report, potentially weighing on the stock.

3. Decline in Benchmark Oil Prices during Fiscal Q2 2026: Macroeconomic factors, specifically a notable decline in crude oil prices, negatively impacted the energy sector. Brent crude oil spot prices averaged $85 per barrel in June 2026, marking a $22 per barrel decrease from May 2026 and a $32 per barrel drop from its peak in April 2026. This trend of falling commodity prices, with forecasts indicating further reductions to an average of $74 per barrel for fiscal Q3 2026, likely pressured Talen Energy's stock as an energy producer.

4. High Debt-to-Equity Ratio in a Rising Interest Rate Environment: Talen Energy maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.32, which can be a concern for investors, particularly when coupled with broader macroeconomic conditions. Market sentiment during this period included expectations of continued inflationary pressures and the potential for the Federal Reserve to implement further interest rate hikes, which could increase borrowing costs for companies with significant debt loads.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.3% change in TLN stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268012026Change
Stock Price ($)372.42334.10-10.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,6263,23623.2%
P/S Multiple6.54.7-27.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.2%
Cumulative Contribution-10.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN-10.3% 
Market (SPY)3.9%49.5%
Sector (XLU)-5.3%23.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.1% change in TLN stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268012026Change
Stock Price ($)348.36334.10-4.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,3433,23638.1%
P/S Multiple6.84.7-30.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)46460.2%
Cumulative Contribution-4.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN-4.1% 
Market (SPY)8.3%45.6%
Sector (XLU)3.3%34.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.5% change in TLN stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258012026Change
Stock Price ($)377.57334.10-11.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,1963,2361.3%
P/S Multiple6.94.7-32.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)594628.9%
Cumulative Contribution-11.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN-11.5% 
Market (SPY)19.2%46.5%
Sector (XLU)5.7%37.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 515.9% change in TLN stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/1/2026 was primarily driven by a 185.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238012026Change
Stock Price ($)54.25334.10515.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,2303,236-23.5%
P/S Multiple1.64.7185.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)12946181.8%
Cumulative Contribution515.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TLN515.9% 
Market (SPY)68.9%43.6%
Sector (XLU)43.8%31.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TLN Return--38%215%86%-11%615%
Peers Return18%-5%15%88%82%-12%290%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLN Win Rate--86%83%58%43% 
Peers Win Rate50%50%64%63%62%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLN Max Drawdown----19%-34%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-24%-26%-35%-39%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NRG, TLN, AES, OKLO, TAC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/31/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTLNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-14.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven20 days18 days

Compare to NRG, TLN, AES, OKLO, TAC

In The Past

Talen Energy's stock fell -33.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTLNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-33.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days

Compare to NRG, TLN, AES, OKLO, TAC

In The Past

Talen Energy's stock fell -33.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 49.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Talen Energy (TLN)

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Talen Energy (TLN) is an energy and power generation and marketing company operating across North America. The company's core business involves producing and selling electricity from its substantial fleet of power plants, which collectively have an approximate generating capacity of 17,400 megawatts. This makes Talen Energy a significant supplier of electricity in key regions of the United States.

The company generates electricity from a diverse mix of energy sources to ensure reliability and flexibility. Its portfolio includes nuclear, natural gas and oil, coal, hydroelectric, and various renewable energy technologies. Talen Energy's operations are strategically focused on the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest regions of the United States, allowing it to serve critical markets.

Talen Energy primarily serves a wide array of wholesale customers, including regional transmission organizations (RTOs), independent system operators (ISOs), utilities, cooperatives, municipalities, power marketers, and financial counterparties. Beyond wholesale markets, the company also sells power directly to commercial, industrial, and residential retail customers, broadening its market reach.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Talen Energy:

  • They're like NRG Energy, generating and selling electricity from a diverse fleet of power plants to wholesale and retail customers.
  • Think of them as the power generation and sales arm of a major utility like NextEra Energy, but utilizing a diverse mix of energy sources including nuclear and coal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Electricity Generation: Talen Energy operates a diverse fleet of power plants to produce electricity from nuclear, natural gas, coal, hydro, and renewable energy sources.
  • Electricity Marketing and Sales: The company sells and markets its generated electricity to a wide range of wholesale and retail customers across various sectors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Mark "Mac" McFarland, Chief Executive Officer & Director

Mark "Mac" McFarland was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Talen Energy in May 2023. He concurrently joined the company's Board. Prior to his role at Talen Energy, Mr. McFarland served as President and Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board of California Resources Corporation (CRC). He was also the Executive Chairman, President, and CEO of GenOn Energy, an independent power producer. From 2013 to 2016, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Luminant Holding Company LLC, a subsidiary of Energy Future Holdings Corporation, and served as both Chief Commercial Officer of Luminant and Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy of Energy Future Holdings from 2008 to 2013. Earlier in his career, from 1999 to 2008, Mr. McFarland held various roles at Exelon Corporation, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Development. He has served on the Boards of TerraForm Power, Bruin E&P Partners, and Chaparral Energy. Talen Energy itself was initially formed with investment from private equity firm Riverstone Holdings, which later acquired full ownership of the company in 2016. His experience includes overseeing an independent power producer during a restructuring/turnaround period at GenOn.

Cole Muller, Chief Financial Officer

Cole Muller was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Talen Energy in December 2025. In this role, he is responsible for the company's accounting, treasury, risk management, financial planning, investor relations, tax, and internal audit functions. Mr. Muller previously served as Executive Vice President, Strategic Ventures at Talen Energy, where he led the company's strategic direction for digital infrastructure development and data center contracting. Before that, he led Talen's PJM Fossil business unit. Prior to joining Talen in 2018, he was an Associate Partner for McKinsey & Co., where he advised energy clients on strategic opportunities and operational transformations. Mr. Muller also served as a submarine officer in the U.S. Navy.

Terry Nutt, President

Terry Nutt was appointed President of Talen Energy Corporation in December 2025. In this capacity, he oversees the daily operations of the company's business. Before becoming President, Mr. Nutt served as Chief Financial Officer of Talen Energy from July 2023 through December 2025. He has over 25 years of experience in the energy industry. From 2018 to 2023, he was Chief Financial Officer and Managing Director for EDF Trading North America, an energy commodity trading subsidiary of Électricité de France (EDF) S.A. Mr. Nutt also held multiple senior finance positions at Vistra Corporation (and its predecessor entities), including Senior Vice President and Controller and Senior Vice President of Risk Management, and various finance roles at Dynegy Inc.

Brad Berryman, Chief Operating Officer

Brad Berryman assumed the role of Chief Operating Officer of Talen Energy in December 2025, responsible for operations of Talen's entire power generation fleet.

Chris Morice, Chief Commercial Officer

Chris Morice was appointed Chief Commercial Officer of Talen Energy in 2023, where he oversees the company's wholesale trading and fleet optimization activities. He began his career at Lehman Brothers and later worked with Lehman's acquisition of Eagle Energy Partners. Mr. Morice joined Talen in 2017 as Desk Head/Lead Trader. His prior experience includes market-facing, risk-taking, revenue-generating roles at Koch Energy, Topaz Power, and EDF Trading.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  1. Regulatory and Environmental Changes / Energy Transition Risk: Talen Energy operates a diverse fleet of power plants, including those that rely on coal, natural gas, and nuclear energy sources. Increasing environmental regulations, carbon pricing initiatives, and the broader industry shift towards decarbonization pose significant risks. These factors could lead to higher operating costs, require substantial capital investments for compliance or conversion, or potentially result in the premature retirement or reduced profitability of fossil fuel-based assets.
  2. Commodity Price Volatility: As an energy and power generation and marketing company, Talen Energy is exposed to significant volatility in the prices of its primary fuel inputs (such as natural gas, oil, and coal) and the wholesale market prices for electricity. Fluctuations in these commodity prices directly impact the company's operational costs, revenue, and overall profitability.
  3. Nuclear Plant Operational and Regulatory Risks: The operation of nuclear power plants, a component of Talen Energy's generation portfolio, carries unique risks. These include stringent and evolving regulatory requirements, high operating and maintenance costs, potential for unexpected outages, and challenges related to nuclear waste disposal and decommissioning. Any major incident or change in regulatory posture could have a substantial financial and operational impact.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Rapid Expansion of Distributed Energy Resources and Grid-Edge Storage:

The increasing affordability and efficiency of distributed energy technologies, such as rooftop and community solar, coupled with rapidly decreasing costs of grid-edge battery storage solutions, pose a clear emerging threat. This trend empowers residential, commercial, and industrial customers to generate and store their own electricity, thereby reducing their reliance on centralized power generation and traditional grid infrastructure. This directly impacts the demand for electricity from companies like Talen Energy, threatening both wholesale and retail sales volumes and potentially leading to downward pressure on market prices as more decentralized capacity comes online.

Accelerated Decarbonization Policies and Regulatory Pressure on Fossil Fuels:

Given Talen Energy's significant generation fleet that includes natural gas and coal assets, an accelerating global and regional push for decarbonization presents a substantial threat. Increasingly stringent environmental regulations, carbon pricing mechanisms, and mandates for a rapid transition away from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources could significantly raise operating costs for Talen's fossil fuel-based plants. Such policies could lead to premature asset retirements, reduce the economic viability of existing assets, or even strand them, thereby threatening the profitability and long-term sustainability of a substantial portion of Talen's current generation portfolio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Talen Energy's main products and services, which primarily involve electricity generation and sales to wholesale and retail customers in the United States, particularly the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest regions, are substantial.

The overall U.S. power market was valued at approximately USD 380.33 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 568.13 billion by 2034, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.56% from 2026 to 2034. In 2023, the U.S. electricity sector generated 4,178 Terawatt-hours (TWh) and generated $491 billion in revenue.

Specifically for Talen Energy's key operating regions:

  • Wholesale Electricity Market (U.S.): Talen Energy is active in competitive wholesale electricity markets, particularly in the PJM Interconnection (Mid-Atlantic region). The overall U.S. wholesale electricity market involves sales among electric utilities and traders.
  • Mid-Atlantic Region (PJM Interconnection): This is the largest U.S. regional power market, coordinating power for 67 million people across 13 states and the District of Columbia. Wholesale electricity prices in the PJM region increased to $80.5 billion in 2025. Electricity sales in PJM are projected to increase by 3% in 2025 and 4% in 2026, driven by rising demand from data centers.
  • Northeast Region (ISO-NE, NYISO): In New England, the total annual energy served was 117,744 gigawatt-hours (GWh) in 2025. Net electricity use in New England is forecast to increase by an average of 1.8% annually, from 117,262 GWh in 2025 to 130,665 GWh in 2034.
  • Southwest Region: The Southwest electricity market includes traditional wholesale markets where utilities are responsible for system operations and providing power to retail consumers. This region has a summer peak demand of approximately 42 GW, with around 50 GW of generation capacity. Wholesale electricity prices in California and the Southwest are forecasted to be 30–35% higher in 2025 due to demand surges.
  • Retail Electricity Market (U.S.): The U.S. electricity retailing market, which includes sales to commercial, industrial, and residential customers, is estimated at USD 575.49 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 741.50 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 5.2%. Total electricity consumption in the United States was about 4.05 trillion kWh in 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (TLN) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions:

  1. Strategic Acquisitions and Capacity Expansion: Talen Energy has recently expanded its generation capacity through significant acquisitions. The company successfully closed the Freedom and Guernsey acquisitions, adding approximately 2.8 gigawatts (GW) of capacity. Furthermore, a pending acquisition of the Cornerstone assets (Waterford, Darby, and Lawrenceburg plants), totaling approximately 2.6 GW of natural gas capacity, is anticipated to close in mid-2026. These strategic additions are expected to substantially increase Talen's installed capacity and electricity generation volume, particularly enhancing its presence in the western PJM market, thereby contributing directly to higher electricity sales and capacity revenues.
  2. Growing Demand from Data Centers and Long-Term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs): A significant driver of future revenue is the surging demand for power from data centers, fueled by the growth of AI and cloud infrastructure. Talen Energy has a notable long-term Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with Amazon Web Services (AWS), securing approximately $18 billion in revenue through 2042 by delivering carbon-free nuclear electricity from its Susquehanna plant. This PPA is expected to ramp up deliveries to between 1,680 MW and 1,920 MW by 2032, providing a stable and substantial contracted revenue stream. Talen aims to leverage this success as a blueprint for future collaborations with other digital infrastructure providers.
  3. Favorable PJM Capacity Market Dynamics and Rising Power Prices: The tightening PJM capacity markets are leading to record-high capacity auction prices, which are projected to significantly boost Talen's revenue from capacity sales. For instance, the price per MW-day for the 2025/2026 season is set at $270, increasing to $329 for 2026/2027. Analysts anticipate spark spreads in PJM to grow by over 15% from 2026 to 2028, and Talen's pragmatic hedging strategy is designed to capture these favorable pricing periods, ensuring cash flow stability while capitalizing on upside opportunities.
  4. Increased Generation Output and Operational Optimization: Talen Energy demonstrated strong operational performance in 2025, with a 10% increase in generation output compared to 2024, reaching approximately 40 terawatt hours (TWh), driven by increased dispatch opportunities across its fossil fleet. The company forecasts a significant expansion of its gas and other fossil fuel generation, from 18.3 TWh in 2024 to 47.3 TWh in 2027. The "Talen Flywheel" strategy is central to the company's approach, leveraging its generation assets and commercial capabilities to deliver durable cash flow growth through optimized operational performance and asset utilization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In December 2024, Talen Energy executed a $1 billion share repurchase, primarily from Rubric Capital Management LP, utilizing proceeds from an $850 million incremental Term Loan B and an additional $150 million in cash. This left approximately $1.08 billion remaining under the repurchase program through 2026.
  • As of February 2026, a $2 billion share repurchase program is continuing through 2028.
  • In October 2023, the Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program authorizing the company to repurchase up to $300 million of its outstanding common stock through December 31, 2025. Approximately $14 million was used in January 2024 to repurchase 225,000 shares under this program.

Share Issuance

  • Talen Energy emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy in May 2023, following a reorganization plan that included an infusion of $1.4 billion of new equity capital through a common equity rights offering.
  • Prior to its emergence from bankruptcy, a May 2022 recapitalization transaction involved a new equity investment of up to $1.65 billion provided by an ad hoc group of unsecured bondholders, along with the equitization of over $1.4 billion of unsecured notes.

Inbound Investments

  • Talen Energy emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy in May 2023, supported by a new equity owner group and an infusion of $1.4 billion of new equity capital through a common equity rights offering.
  • A recapitalization transaction in May 2022, preceding the bankruptcy exit, included a new equity investment of up to $1.65 billion provided by an ad hoc group of unsecured bondholders.

Outbound Investments

  • In July 2025, Talen Energy agreed to acquire the Freedom Energy Center in Pennsylvania and the Guernsey Power Station in Ohio for a net acquisition price of $3.5 billion.
  • To fund these acquisitions, in October 2025, Talen secured $1.2 billion in term loan B financing and completed $2.69 billion in senior note offerings.

Capital Expenditures

  • Talen Energy's expected capital expenditures for 2024 were in the range of $195 million to $205 million.
  • Capital expenditure plans for 2026 and 2027 include investments totaling hundreds of millions of dollars, focused on nuclear fuel, power generation facilities, and other projects.
  • A primary focus for capital expenditures is the development of up to 300 megawatts of digital currency mining capacity, powered by its zero-carbon digital infrastructure campus adjacent to the Susquehanna nuclear power generation station.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

TLNNRGAESOKLOTACMedian
NameTalen En.NRG Ener.AES Oklo TransAlta 
Mkt Price334.10134.2914.6838.8312.5038.83
Mkt Cap15.227.810.56.63.810.5
Rev LTM3,23632,38412,48702,2663,236
Op Inc LTM3041,1682,191-173189304
FCF LTM835-356-1,479-153444-153
FCF 3Y Avg-1,003-3,531-520520
CFO LTM1,0468894,962-88667889
CFO 3Y Avg-1,8093,556-8731,809

Growth & Margins

TLNNRGAESOKLOTACMedian
NameTalen En.NRG Ener.AES Oklo TransAlta 
Rev Chg LTM55.1%10.6%3.0%--9.6%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.2%1.4%-1.3%--13.3%-2.2%
Rev Chg Q96.7%19.5%8.7%-12.5%16.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM23.2%5.4%2.1%-2.4%3.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM275.3%-54.1%18.7%-172.8%-9.1%-9.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg50.2%64.9%-1.9%--21.4%24.2%
Op Mgn LTM9.4%3.6%17.5%-8.3%8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.4%5.9%16.9%-15.5%11.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.8%-2.7%1.4%-6.4%3.9%
CFO/Rev LTM32.3%2.7%39.7%-29.4%30.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.1%28.7%-32.0%28.7%
FCF/Rev LTM25.8%-1.1%-11.8%-19.6%9.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.5%-28.5%-19.1%3.5%

Valuation

TLNNRGAESOKLOTACMedian
NameTalen En.NRG Ener.AES Oklo TransAlta 
Mkt Cap15.227.810.56.63.810.5
P/S4.70.90.8-1.71.3
P/Op Inc50.123.84.8-38.320.020.0
P/EBIT33.925.46.0-38.314.114.1
P/E-725.7116.37.8-51.3-164.1-51.3
P/CFO14.631.32.1-75.35.75.7
Total Yield-0.1%2.4%17.6%-1.9%1.4%1.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%4.8%0.0%2.0%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.2%-35.7%-19.3%4.2%
D/E0.40.83.00.01.10.8
Net D/E0.40.82.8-0.31.00.8

Returns

TLNNRGAESOKLOTACMedian
NameTalen En.NRG Ener.AES Oklo TransAlta 
1M Rtn-8.4%-1.8%1.9%-25.8%-7.2%-7.2%
3M Rtn-10.2%-12.4%4.0%-44.8%0.5%-10.2%
6M Rtn-4.1%-11.5%2.7%-51.2%-1.5%-4.1%
12M Rtn-11.6%-19.2%16.5%-45.7%2.5%-11.6%
3Y Rtn525.9%278.4%-19.2%275.2%30.7%275.2%
1M Excs Rtn-7.5%-4.7%1.4%-26.1%-8.2%-7.5%
3M Excs Rtn-14.2%-17.3%0.2%-50.3%-3.4%-14.2%
6M Excs Rtn-15.2%-19.6%-6.3%-62.3%-14.6%-15.2%
12M Excs Rtn-28.2%-36.2%1.7%-66.4%-14.4%-28.2%
3Y Excs Rtn470.1%207.0%-85.8%211.5%-32.9%207.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420222015
PJM2,4771,8662,902 
Other161367194 
Corporate and Eliminations-57-118-7 
East   4,197
West   284
Total2,5812,1153,0894,481


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2015
East198
West2
Other-239
Total-39


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2015
East11,430
West1,231
Other165
Total12,826


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$334.10 
Market Cap ($ Bil)15.2 
First Trading Date06/05/2023 
Distance from 52W High-25.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$375.10$365.84
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-10.9%-8.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility60.8%53.3%
Downside Capture267.05269.85
Upside Capture177.85197.32
Correlation (SPY)49.4%46.4%
TLN Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.901.862.191.821.911.46
Up Beta6.643.333.451.901.761.38
Down Beta-0.451.261.090.471.101.78
Up Capture19%125%191%248%326%536%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days14243469133415
Down Capture227%189%231%192%167%103%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days8192957119321

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TLN
TLN-10.6%53.1%-0.02-
Sector ETF (XLU)6.3%15.0%0.2037.9%
Equity (SPY)18.8%12.9%1.0746.4%
Gold (GLD)23.6%28.1%0.7425.7%
Commodities (DBC)30.2%19.7%1.22-8.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.7%13.9%0.6910.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.8%43.0%-1.3427.1%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TLN
TLN47.7%50.7%1.41-
Sector ETF (XLU)9.3%17.3%0.3930.6%
Equity (SPY)12.6%17.1%0.5643.3%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.5%0.7518.1%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%19.5%0.358.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.9%0.0314.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.4%53.3%0.4320.8%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TLN
TLN21.5%50.7%1.41-
Sector ETF (XLU)8.8%19.3%0.3930.6%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7143.3%
Gold (GLD)11.3%16.1%0.5718.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%18.0%0.328.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2014.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.6%66.2%0.9820.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-0.9%
Average Daily Volume0.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity45.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/20266.5%-2.7%-1.8%
2/26/2026-4.9%-14.1%-16.8%
11/5/2025-4.4%-8.9%-12.4%
8/7/2025-0.8%0.4%2.8%
5/8/2025-1.2%5.9%11.8%
2/27/20253.0%-10.5%-2.2%
11/14/2024-1.6%-0.2%0.5%
8/13/20246.0%14.9%27.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive334
# Negative554
Median Positive6.0%5.9%7.3%
Median Negative-1.6%-8.9%-7.3%
Max Positive6.5%14.9%27.0%
Max Negative-4.9%-14.1%-16.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/5/20266.5%-2.7%-1.8%
2/26/2026-4.9%-14.1%-16.8%
11/5/2025-4.4%-8.9%-12.4%
8/7/2025-0.8%0.4%2.8%
5/8/2025-1.2%5.9%11.8%
2/27/20253.0%-10.5%-2.2%
11/14/2024-1.6%-0.2%0.5%
8/13/20246.0%14.9%27.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive334
# Negative554
Median Positive6.0%5.9%7.3%
Median Negative-1.6%-8.9%-7.3%
Max Positive6.5%14.9%27.0%
Max Negative-4.9%-14.1%-16.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
09/30/201611/10/201610-Q
06/30/201608/05/201610-Q
03/31/201605/10/201610-Q
12/31/201502/29/201610-K
09/30/201511/09/201510-Q
06/30/201508/12/201510-Q
03/31/201505/08/201510-Q
12/31/201405/01/2015424B3
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/05/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/14/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
09/30/201611/10/201610-Q
06/30/201608/05/201610-Q
03/31/201605/10/201610-Q
12/31/201502/29/201610-K
09/30/201511/09/201510-Q
06/30/201508/12/201510-Q
03/31/201505/08/201510-Q
12/31/201405/01/2015424B3
09/30/201412/22/2014S-1/A
06/30/201411/05/2014S-1

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.75 Bil1.90 Bil2.05 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow980.00 Mil1.08 Bil1.18 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.08 Bil for 2026
2026 Net Income875.00 Mil1.00 Bil1.12 Bil  Higher New
2026 Annual Interest Savings 40.00 Mil   Higher New

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.75 Bil1.90 Bil2.05 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.90 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow980.00 Mil1.08 Bil1.18 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.08 Bil for 2026

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted EBITDA975.00 Mil987.50 Mil1.00 Bil-6.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.05 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Free Cash Flow470.00 Mil480.00 Mil490.00 Mil-3.0% LoweredGuidance: 495.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA1.75 Bil1.90 Bil2.05 Bil   
2026 Adjusted Free Cash Flow980.00 Mil1.08 Bil1.18 Bil   

Insider Activity

Updated 7/15/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Abbas, Gizman I DirectSell6172026380.002,600988,000990,280Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Abbas, Gizman I DirectSell6172026380.002,600988,000990,280Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 2, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Attestor Capital Ltd$153.2 Mil40.4%9ADD +233.7%13F
MFN Partners Management, LP$957.7 Mil20.1%10Hold13F
Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP$99.1 Mil17.2%39ADD +12.9%13F
Carronade Capital Management, LP$205.7 Mil14.9%25ADD +11.6%13F
Rubric Capital Management LP$1.1 Bil14.1%82Hold13F
Sachem Head Capital Management LP$494.0 Mil11.9%19ADD +54.8%13F
Bornite Capital Management LP$66.7 Mil11.2%17Hold13F
Glendon Capital Management LP$82.0 Mil10.2%25Hold13F
Two Seas Capital LP$184.9 Mil8.5%35ADD +47.7%13F
Blue Grotto Capital, LLC$70.2 Mil8.1%21ADD +37.4%13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$71.8 Mil7.6%21ADD +69.1%13F
Engle Capital Management, L.P.$20.0 Mil6.8%22TRIM -18.8%13F
Atalan Capital Partners, LP$73.3 Mil6.8%10TRIM -17.8%13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$580.3 Mil4.6%36ADD +40.7%13F
King Street Capital Management, L.P.$15.0 Mil4.6%11New13F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$20.4 Mil4.0%21TRIM -33.0%13F
Dendur Capital LP$39.6 Mil2.9%21New13F
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$21.8 Mil2.5%36ADD +12.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Dendur Capital LP$39.6 Mil2.9%21New13F
King Street Capital Management, L.P.$15.0 Mil4.6%11New13F
Attestor Capital Ltd$153.2 Mil40.4%9ADD +233.7%13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$71.8 Mil7.6%21ADD +69.1%13F
Sachem Head Capital Management LP$494.0 Mil11.9%19ADD +54.8%13F
Two Seas Capital LP$184.9 Mil8.5%35ADD +47.7%13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$580.3 Mil4.6%36ADD +40.7%13F
Blue Grotto Capital, LLC$70.2 Mil8.1%21ADD +37.4%13F
Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP$99.1 Mil17.2%39ADD +12.9%13F
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$21.8 Mil2.5%36ADD +12.4%13F
Carronade Capital Management, LP$205.7 Mil14.9%25ADD +11.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Newbrook Capital Advisors LP$52.8 Mil6.6%20ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Progeny 3, Inc.$32.4 Mil1.7%37ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Forest Avenue Capital Management LP$25.1 Mil1.7%22ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Sourcerock Group LLC$10.5 Mil0.6%36ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$6.9 Mil1.0%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$20.4 Mil4.0%21TRIM -33.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Engle Capital Management, L.P.$20.0 Mil6.8%22TRIM -18.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Atalan Capital Partners, LP$73.3 Mil6.8%10TRIM -17.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Rubric Capital Management LP$1.1 Bil14.1%82Hold13F
MFN Partners Management, LP$957.7 Mil20.1%10Hold13F
Lone Pine Capital LLC$580.3 Mil4.6%36ADD +40.7%13F
Sachem Head Capital Management LP$494.0 Mil11.9%19ADD +54.8%13F
Carronade Capital Management, LP$205.7 Mil14.9%25ADD +11.6%13F
Two Seas Capital LP$184.9 Mil8.5%35ADD +47.7%13F
Attestor Capital Ltd$153.2 Mil40.4%9ADD +233.7%13F
Deltroit Asset Management (UK) LLP$99.1 Mil17.2%39ADD +12.9%13F
Glendon Capital Management LP$82.0 Mil10.2%25Hold13F
Atalan Capital Partners, LP$73.3 Mil6.8%10TRIM -17.8%13F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$71.8 Mil7.6%21ADD +69.1%13F
Blue Grotto Capital, LLC$70.2 Mil8.1%21ADD +37.4%13F
Bornite Capital Management LP$66.7 Mil11.2%17Hold13F
Dendur Capital LP$39.6 Mil2.9%21New13F
Philosophy Capital Management LLC$21.8 Mil2.5%36ADD +12.4%13F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$20.4 Mil4.0%21TRIM -33.0%13F
Engle Capital Management, L.P.$20.0 Mil6.8%22TRIM -18.8%13F
King Street Capital Management, L.P.$15.0 Mil4.6%11New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/1/2026