Tearsheet

Talen Energy (TLN)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $384.8 | Market Cap: $17.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Talen Energy (TLN)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $384.8
Market Cap: $17.6 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.5x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 78x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Nuclear-Powered Data Centers, Show more.
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -25%
2  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9%
3  Key risks
TLN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with high financial leverage and weak interest coverage, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Datacenter Power, Hydrogen Economy, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Nuclear-Powered Data Centers, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 7.5x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 40x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 40x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 78x
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -25%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.9%
5 Key risks
TLN key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with high financial leverage and weak interest coverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (TLN) experienced several notable developments impacting its stock price between late August 2025 and late December 2025.

<b>1. Talen Energy's stock price experienced a gain of 4.46% between December 12 and December 19, 2025, driven by increased investor attention to the energy sector.</b> This surge placed TLN among the top-gaining energy stocks during that week.

<b>2. A key factor contributing to this gain was PJM Interconnection reporting record-high capacity prices on December 17, 2025, reflecting strong demand from AI data centers.</b> Talen Energy benefited significantly from the PJM Base Residual Auction for the 2027/2028 planning year, clearing 8,745 MW at a substantial price, which is expected to generate over $1 billion in capacity revenues for the period.

<b>3. On December 16, 2025, Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Talen Energy from $441 to $443, while maintaining an "Overweight" rating.</b> The firm's analysis highlighted the utility sector's dependence on growth from data centers and anticipated improved growth in 2026.

<b>4. Talen Energy's stock gained 0.743% on December 24, 2025, rising to $383.58.</b> This continued a trend of five consecutive days of gains. Over the two weeks leading up to December 24, the stock increased by 7.01%.

<b>5. The company announced its second quarter 2025 financial and operating results on August 7, 2025, reaffirming its 2025 guidance.</b> Key highlights included expanding its relationship with Amazon to 1.9 gigawatts and the strategic acquisition of Freedom and Guernsey, which are expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2025. These acquisitions are anticipated to be immediately accretive to free cash flow per share in 2026 and beyond.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.5% change in TLN stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -22.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)411.23384.52-6.50%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2128.002343.0010.10%
Net Income Margin (%)8.79%9.65%9.77%
P/E Multiple100.1877.73-22.41%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)45.5545.68-0.29%
Cumulative Contribution-6.50%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TLN-6.5% 
Market (SPY)4.3%58.1%
Sector (XLU)-1.4%45.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.1% change in TLN stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 34.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)297.88384.5229.09%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3196.002343.00-26.69%
Net Income Margin (%)9.45%9.65%2.08%
P/E Multiple58.0077.7334.00%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)58.8145.6822.32%
Cumulative Contribution22.66%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TLN29.1% 
Market (SPY)12.6%35.7%
Sector (XLU)5.9%36.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 92.1% change in TLN stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 127.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)200.12384.5292.14%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3752.002343.00-37.55%
Net Income Margin (%)4.24%9.65%127.62%
P/E Multiple74.2977.734.62%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)59.0345.6822.61%
Cumulative Contribution82.32%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TLN92.1% 
Market (SPY)17.0%48.5%
Sector (XLU)14.8%36.1%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TLN507.9% 
Market (SPY)48.0%45.8%
Sector (XLU)42.1%34.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLN Return---38%215%90%725%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLN Win Rate---86%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLN Max Drawdown----1%-3%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

TLN has limited trading history. Below is the Utilities sector ETF (XLU) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven347 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-36.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven633 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-48.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven95.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,058 days1,480 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -28.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/12/2022. A -28.1% loss requires a 39.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Talen Energy (TLN)

Talen Energy Corporation, through its subsidiary, Talen Energy Supply, operates as an energy and power generation and marketing company in North America. The company produces and sells electricity from its fleet of power plants totaling approximately 17,400 megawatt primarily in the Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest regions of the United States. It generates electricity through nuclear, natural gas and oil, coal, hydro, and renewable energy sources. The company sells power to wholesale customers, including regional transmission organizations, independent system operators, utilities, cooperatives, municipalities, power marketers, and financial counterparties, as well as commercial, industrial, and residential retail customers. Talen Energy Corporation was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Talen Energy (TLN):

  • Like Constellation Energy, but uniquely building large data centers right next to its power plants.
  • Imagine Digital Realty, but it owns the power plants supplying its data centers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Wholesale Electricity: Talen Energy generates electricity from its power plants and sells it into wholesale energy markets.
  • Data Center Hosting & Energy Services: Through its Cumulus Data subsidiary, Talen Energy provides colocation, power, and infrastructure for high-density computing, including cryptocurrency mining.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (symbol: TLN) is an independent power producer primarily engaged in the generation and sale of electricity and capacity into competitive wholesale power markets. As such, the company sells primarily to other companies (B2B) rather than directly to individual consumers.

Due to its business model of selling into liquid wholesale markets (such as PJM, ERCOT, and NYISO) and through diversified bilateral contracts, Talen Energy's customer base is broad. According to its annual regulatory filings (e.g., Form 10-K for 2023), no single customer represented 10% or more of Talen Energy's total revenues in recent years. This indicates that Talen Energy does not have individually "major" customers whose names can be specifically listed as accounting for a significant portion of its sales.

However, the following categories represent the types of companies that purchase power from Talen Energy in the wholesale electricity markets:

  • Load Serving Entities (LSEs) / Electric Utilities: These are companies that purchase electricity and capacity from the wholesale market to serve their own retail customers (residential, commercial, and industrial). Examples of publicly traded companies that operate as LSEs within Talen Energy's market footprint (PJM, ERCOT, NYISO) and would be potential buyers include:
    • Exelon Corporation (Symbol: EXC)
    • PPL Corporation (Symbol: PPL)
    • FirstEnergy Corp. (Symbol: FE)
    • NRG Energy, Inc. (Symbol: NRG) - Also a significant generator, but a major retail electricity provider and LSE.
    • Constellation Energy Corporation (Symbol: CEG) - Also a generator, but a large LSE and energy marketer.
  • Energy Marketers and Traders: These companies specialize in buying and selling electricity and other energy commodities in wholesale markets. They may act as intermediaries or manage portfolios for other entities. Examples of publicly traded companies with significant energy marketing and trading operations that might purchase from Talen include:
    • Vistra Corp. (Symbol: VST)
    • DTE Energy Company (Symbol: DTE)
    • Sempra Energy (Symbol: SRE) - Primarily a natural gas utility holding company, but with energy marketing and trading arms.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Westinghouse Electric Company

AI Analysis | Feedback

Mark "Mac" McFarland
Chief Executive Officer

Mark "Mac" McFarland was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Talen Energy in May 2023. Prior to joining Talen, he served as President and Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of California Resources Corporation (CRC) from December 2020 until April 2023, where he continues to serve on the Board and chairs Carbon TerraVault, a subsidiary of CRC. Mr. McFarland was also Executive Chairman of GenOn Energy, an independent power producer, serving as President and Chief Executive Officer from April 2017 to December 2018 and remaining on its board until September 2022. From 2013 to 2016, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Luminant Holding Company LLC, a subsidiary of Energy Future Holdings Corporation. His career also includes roles as Chief Commercial Officer of Luminant and Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy of Energy Future Holdings, and various positions at Exelon Corporation, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Development. He has served on the Boards of TerraForm Power, Bruin E&P Partners, and Chaparral Energy. His background includes leadership in companies with private equity involvement, such as Talen Energy itself, which was acquired by Riverstone Holdings.

Terry Nutt
Chief Financial Officer

Terry Nutt was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Talen Energy effective July 10, 2023. With over 20 years of experience in the energy industry, Mr. Nutt oversees the Company's finance, risk management, accounting, investor relations, M&A, and treasury functions. Before joining Talen, he served as Chief Financial Officer for retail energy provider Just Energy from April to July 2023. He also held the position of Chief Financial Officer and Managing Director for EDF Trading North America from February 2018 to May 2023. Additionally, Mr. Nutt served as Senior Vice President and Controller for Vistra Corp. and Energy Future Holdings.

Andrew "Andy" Wright
Chief Administrative Officer

Andrew "Andy" Wright was appointed as Talen Energy's Chief Administrative Officer in June 2023. He previously served as the Company's General Counsel and Corporate Secretary since June 2018. Prior to joining Talen Energy, Mr. Wright spent 14 years as in-house counsel for Energy Future Holdings (EFH) Corp., where his most recent role was Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary.

Chris Morice
Chief Commercial Officer

Chris Morice was appointed Chief Commercial Officer of Talen Energy in 2023, overseeing the Company's wholesale trading and fleet optimization activities. He joined Talen in 2017 as Desk Head/Lead Trader. His career began at Lehman Brothers, and he subsequently worked in market-facing, risk-taking, revenue-generating roles at Koch Energy, Topaz Power, and EDF Trading.

Brad Berryman
Chief Nuclear Officer

Brad Berryman serves as Talen Energy's Chief Nuclear Officer, a role he has held since at least 2017. In this capacity, he is responsible for all aspects of the Company's 2-unit, approximately 2,500-megawatt Susquehanna generation facility. Mr. Berryman has been central to Susquehanna's performance improvement in areas of operations, finance, and safety.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Talen Energy (TLN):
  1. High Debt Load and Financial Leverage: Talen Energy has a significant debt burden, which is frequently highlighted as a concern. The company has a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.6) and weak interest coverage, with earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) at only 0.53 times its interest expense, indicating a heavy debt load. As of June 2025, its net debt was approximately $2.95 billion, and total liabilities exceeded cash and near-term receivables by $4.23 billion. The company has also issued new debt to finance acquisitions, further increasing its financial commitments.
  2. Exposure to Commodity Price Volatility: Talen Energy's financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in natural gas and electricity prices. The company employs an aggressive commercial strategy with lower hedge ratios compared to its peers, which amplifies its exposure to rising electricity prices but also to the risk of spikes in natural gas prices that it may not be able to pass on to customers. Changes in the market prices of these commodities can materially and adversely affect its financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, and cash flows.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Compliance Costs/Uncertainty: Operating within a heavily regulated industry, Talen Energy faces substantial risks from changes in market design, tariff structures, and pricing rules. Ongoing regulatory proceedings, such as those related to the PJM Capacity Market Reform, introduce uncertainty that could impact the company's capacity revenues and overall financial health. Furthermore, stringent environmental regulations expose the company to potentially increased compliance costs. Regulatory delays, including those related to acquisitions, also pose a risk.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerated development and deployment of distributed energy resources (DERs), including rooftop solar, battery storage, and microgrids, poses a clear emerging threat. This trend enables consumers and businesses to generate, store, and manage their own electricity, thereby reducing their reliance on centralized power generators like Talen Energy. This shift fundamentally undermines the traditional utility business model of selling bulk electricity from large power plants.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (symbol: TLN) operates primarily in two main addressable markets: wholesale electricity generation and digital infrastructure, specifically powering data centers.

Digital Infrastructure (Data Centers)
The addressable market for data centers in the United States is projected to be approximately $171.90 billion in 2025. This is part of a larger global data center market estimated to reach $527.46 billion in 2025. Talen Energy is actively involved in this market, particularly by providing carbon-free nuclear power to hyperscale data centers, including a significant power purchase agreement with Amazon Web Services (AWS) for their data center campus in Pennsylvania. The demand for electricity from AI and data centers is a significant growth driver in Talen Energy's core markets.

Wholesale Electricity Generation
Talen Energy produces and sells electricity, capacity, and ancillary services into wholesale U.S. power markets, primarily in the PJM Interconnection (Mid-Atlantic region), ERCOT (Texas), and WECC (Western Electricity Coordinating Council) regions. The company operates a diverse portfolio of generation assets, including nuclear, natural gas, and some transitioning coal facilities. While a specific overall market size for wholesale electricity generation across these precise regions is not readily available as a single figure, the company's generation fleet includes:

  • Nuclear Power: Talen Energy's Susquehanna Steam Electric Station in Pennsylvania has a gross capacity of 2.5 gigawatts (GW), with Talen owning a 90% interest, or 2.2 GW. This facility alone typically accounts for approximately half of Talen's total annual megawatts generated.
  • Natural Gas & Oil: The company's natural gas and oil fleet has a capacity of approximately 6.3 GW, with about 4.5 GW located in Pennsylvania and Maryland. Talen has also expanded its natural gas portfolio with the acquisition of an additional 3 GW of combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) in the PJM region.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Talen Energy (TLN) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by its strategic focus on digital infrastructure, recent acquisitions, favorable power market dynamics, and broader increases in electricity demand.

  1. Expansion of Digital Infrastructure and Data Center Partnerships: A primary driver of future revenue growth for Talen Energy is its robust engagement with the digital infrastructure sector, particularly hyperscale data centers. The company has an expanded, long-term power purchase agreement (PPA) with Amazon Web Services (AWS) to supply 1.9 gigawatts (GWs) of carbon-free nuclear power from its Susquehanna plant, with deliveries ramping up through 2042. This agreement is expected to stabilize revenues and significantly reduce market risk. Talen aims to replicate this "behind-the-meter" (BTM) model and pursue "front-of-the-meter" (FTM) agreements with other leading cloud, AI, crypto, and blockchain clients. Additionally, Talen is actively pursuing zoning and permitting for its Montour site, which has the potential to support approximately 1.5 GW of data center capacity. Analysts consistently highlight the surging electricity demand from AI and data centers as a critical growth catalyst for Talen.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions of Efficient Generation Assets: Talen Energy's recent acquisitions of the Freedom Energy Center in Pennsylvania and the Guernsey Power Plant in Ohio are expected to substantially boost revenue and cash flow. These highly efficient, low-carbon combined-cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants add nearly 3 GW of generating capacity to Talen's fleet. These acquisitions are projected to deliver over 40% accretion in free cash flow per share in 2026 and more than 50% in the subsequent two years. The locations of these assets in Pennsylvania and Ohio are considered favorable markets for data center development, further aligning with Talen's digital infrastructure strategy. While the acquisitions are pending, they are anticipated to close in late 2025.
  3. Favorable PJM Capacity Market Pricing: Elevated and stable capacity prices in the PJM Interconnection market are a significant revenue driver. Talen has begun realizing higher PJM capacity pricing, approximately $270 per megawatt-day, since June 1, 2025. The company successfully cleared 6,702 megawatts (MWs) in the 2026/2027 PJM Base Residual Auction (BRA) at $329.17 per megawatt-day. Analysts anticipate future PJM capacity auction prices to remain robust, potentially clearing near the cap of $325/MW day. Management has cited increased forward prices and confidence in future cash generation as reasons for reaffirming its 2026 guidance, indicating sustained revenue from this segment.
  4. Increasing Electricity Demand in the PJM Market: Beyond the direct data center agreements, a broader increase in electricity demand within the PJM market is expected to drive Talen's revenue. The company observed approximately 3.4% incremental power deliveries in Q3 2025 on a weather-adjusted basis compared to Q3 2024, signaling clear demand growth. The PJM market also experienced two of its highest peak demand days during a June heat event. Power markets are showing signs of tightening, driven by increasing demand, which benefits Talen's dispatchable generation fleet. This underlying market growth provides a favorable environment for Talen's diversified generation assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Talen Energy repurchased approximately 20% of its outstanding common stock in the year leading up to December 2024, representing nearly 75% of its market capitalization since emerging from bankruptcy in May 2023.
  • Since the beginning of 2024, the company has repurchased roughly 14 million shares, or 23% of its outstanding shares, totaling approximately $2 billion.
  • As of May 2025, approximately $995 million remained available under its share repurchase program, which extends through year-end 2026.

Share Issuance

  • Talen Energy has primarily focused on share repurchases, resulting in a reduction of outstanding shares. Net common equity issued/repurchased was -$1.974 billion for 2024 and -$3.116 billion for the twelve months ending June 30, 2025, indicating net repurchases rather than issuances.

Outbound Investments

  • Talen Energy has agreed to acquire the Freedom Energy Center in Pennsylvania for approximately $1.46 billion and the Gernzy Power Station in Ohio for about $2.33 billion.
  • These acquisitions, aiming for closure in the first quarter of 2026, are part of Talen's strategic shift towards gas-fired and nuclear partnerships and are supported by $3.9 billion in financing.

Capital Expenditures

  • In the 12 months leading up to November 2025, Talen Energy's capital expenditures were approximately $208 million.
  • An incremental maintenance investment of roughly $20 million was anticipated in the first quarter of 2025 for Susquehanna Unit 2, intended to enhance operational efficiency.

Better Bets than Talen Energy (TLN)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TLN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.3%-0.3%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.5%5.5%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.2%10.2%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Talen Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLNHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTalen En.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price384.5223.2624.49305.0978.16273.40175.78
Mkt Cap17.621.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM2,34355,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM2903,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM2262,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg-2,9781,40011,75313,879100,50311,753
CFO LTM4343,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg-3,6723,89613,49814,736111,55913,498

Growth & Margins

TLNHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTalen En.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM5.1%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-25.0%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.2%
Rev Chg Q38.7%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.1%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM12.4%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%15.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.7%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%13.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.8%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.5%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%19.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%21.4%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%13.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%18.6%

Valuation

TLNHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTalen En.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap17.621.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S7.50.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT39.76.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E77.78.6572.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO40.55.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield1.3%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%6.0%
D/E0.20.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.10.30.60.20.00.00.2

Returns

TLNHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameTalen En.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-2.0%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn-6.5%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn29.1%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%22.2%
12M Rtn92.1%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%25.3%
3Y Rtn726.9%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%100.7%
1M Excs Rtn-1.0%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-10.8%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn16.8%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%9.9%
12M Excs Rtn77.5%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn645.6%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024
PJM2,902
Other194
Corporate and Eliminations-7
Total3,089


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$384.52 
Market Cap ($ Bil)17.6 
First Trading Date06/05/2023 
Distance from 52W High-13.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$380.16$320.88
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA1.1%19.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility49.0%60.8%
Downside Capture246.22122.07
Upside Capture165.31168.51
Correlation (SPY)57.9%48.7%
TLN Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.962.051.981.431.51-0.06
Up Beta1.442.071.581.651.160.07
Down Beta4.542.152.342.662.140.74
Up Capture175%157%189%152%255%162%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days12233769142347
Down Capture169%218%195%39%114%76%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8192656106256

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
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Based On 5-Year Data
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Based On 10-Year Data
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,294,568
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020252.9%
Average Daily Volume920,797
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.49
Basic Shares Quantity45,684,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-4.4%-8.9%-12.4%
8/7/2025-0.8%0.4%2.8%
5/8/2025-1.2%5.9%11.8%
2/27/20253.0%-10.5%-2.2%
11/14/2024-1.6%-0.2%0.5%
8/13/20246.0%14.9%27.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive234
# Negative432
Median Positive4.5%5.9%7.3%
Median Negative-1.4%-8.9%-7.3%
Max Positive6.0%14.9%27.0%
Max Negative-4.4%-10.5%-12.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
93020161110201610-Q 9/30/2016
6302016805201610-Q 6/30/2016
3312016510201610-Q 3/31/2016
12312015229201610-K 12/31/2015
93020151109201510-Q 9/30/2015
6302015812201510-Q 6/30/2015
3312015508201510-Q 3/31/2015
123120145012015424B3 12/31/2014
630201411052014S-1 6/30/2014
1231201312222014S-1/A 12/31/2013