AES (AES)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $13.92 | Market Cap: $9.9 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
AES (AES)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $13.92Market Cap: $9.9 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 293% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.9 Bil | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. | Key risksAES key risks include [1] shifting tax policy, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.9 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 293% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% |
| Key risksAES key risks include [1] shifting tax policy, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
AES (The AES Corporation) stock experienced significant movements between August 31, 2025, and December 25, 2025, driven by a combination of earnings reports, strategic developments, and analyst re-evaluations. **1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and Reaffirmed Guidance.** AES reported its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.51, exceeding analysts' expectations of $0.47. The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS, projecting growth driven by new renewables projects and rate base growth at its U.S. utilities. This positive earnings surprise and outlook contributed to an initial stock increase. **2. Potential Takeover Speculation.** Reports of potential takeover interest from large investment firms, including Blackstone, Brookfield, and BlackRock's infrastructure arm, emerged around July 14, 2025. This speculation significantly boosted investor attention and led to a nearly 20% spike in AES stock in a single trading session. The company's role in the clean energy transition and its assets' increased value due to rising energy needs for AI data centers were cited as contributing factors. **3. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings.** AES released its third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, reporting an Adjusted EPS of $0.75, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.69. However, quarterly revenue of $3.35 billion fell slightly below analyst estimates. Despite the revenue miss, the beat on EPS and reaffirmed 2025 guidance, alongside strategic accomplishments like an 11.1 GW project backlog, helped support the stock. **4. Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Revisions.** Throughout the period, analysts re-evaluated AES's prospects. For instance, on December 5, 2025, Argus Research upgraded AES stock to "Buy" from "Hold," citing the company's sustainable profit growth and potential improvements in its Renewables SBU, particularly in data center opportunities. Jefferies also upgraded AES stock from "Underperform" to "Hold" in November 2025, increasing its price target. These positive analyst sentiments and revised price targets can influence stock movement. **5. Concerns over Internal Turmoil and External Headwinds.** Despite some positive news, AES also faced challenges that contributed to stock volatility. Around September 18, 2025, AES shares dropped due to concerns about internal restructuring, layoffs, leadership issues, and a high debt-to-equity ratio. External headwinds, such as the proposed phase-out of renewable tax credits, also threatened a significant portion of AES's green assets, leading to analyst downgrades and bearish investor sentiment. Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.9% change in AES stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 14.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9242025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.19 | 13.97 | 5.90% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12032.00 | 12094.00 | 0.52% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.66% | 8.74% | 14.05% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.19 | 9.41 | -7.63% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 712.00 | 712.00 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 5.90% |
Market Drivers
9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AES | 5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 31.7% |
| Sector (XLU) | -0.7% | 38.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.6% change in AES stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 67.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6252025 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.23 | 13.97 | 36.57% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12119.00 | 12094.00 | -0.21% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.67% | 8.74% | -18.08% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.63 | 9.41 | 67.29% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 711.00 | 712.00 | -0.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.57% |
Market Drivers
6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AES | 36.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.0% | 26.4% |
| Sector (XLU) | 7.1% | 30.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.9% change in AES stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 20.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12242024 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.27 | 13.97 | 13.88% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12284.00 | 12094.00 | -1.55% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.10% | 8.74% | -3.97% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.80 | 9.41 | 20.63% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 711.00 | 712.00 | -0.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.88% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AES | 13.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.8% | 42.4% |
| Sector (XLU) | 14.3% | 44.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -44.4% change in AES stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -39.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12252022 | 12242025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.13 | 13.97 | -44.42% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12327.00 | 12094.00 | -1.89% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.36 | 0.82 | -39.64% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 668.25 | 712.00 | -6.55% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -44.66% |
Market Drivers
12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AES | -19.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.9% | 35.3% |
| Sector (XLU) | 44.0% | 49.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AES Return | 22% | 6% | 22% | -31% | -30% | 15% | -13% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 16% | -1% | -11% | 20% | 16% | 46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 115% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AES Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 58% | 60% | 53% | 58% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AES Max Drawdown | -52% | -2% | -21% | -56% | -33% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -8% | -16% | -24% | -6% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, DUK, SO, D, AEP. See AES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AES | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 135.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -54.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -20.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 386.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,320 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
AES's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2022. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- A global power company, similar to a multinational NextEra Energy.
- Like a worldwide Duke Energy, generating and distributing electricity across many countries.
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- Electricity Generation: Generating electricity from a diverse portfolio of resources, including renewables (solar, wind, hydro, battery storage) and thermal (natural gas).
- Electricity Distribution: Distributing electricity to millions of customers through regulated utilities in various markets.
- Renewable Energy Development & Operation: Developing, constructing, and operating solar, wind, hydro, and battery energy storage projects globally.
- Energy Solutions: Providing customized energy solutions and services, including microgrids and energy management, to commercial and industrial clients.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The AES Corporation (symbol: AES) operates a diversified global energy business, including electricity generation and distribution. While it operates distribution utilities that serve residential, commercial, and industrial end-users in various countries, a significant portion of its generation output and strategic focus involves selling power to other companies, particularly large corporations and utilities, often through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs).
Therefore, AES sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers include prominent corporations seeking renewable energy solutions and other utilities or grid operators.
Based on publicly announced partnerships and power purchase agreements for its generation assets, major corporate customers include:
- Google (Symbol: GOOGL) - AES has partnered with Google on various initiatives, including providing 24/7 carbon-free energy solutions for Google's data centers in regions like Virginia, USA, and Chile.
- Microsoft (Symbol: MSFT) - AES and Microsoft signed a 10-year agreement for renewable energy, primarily for Microsoft's data center operations in Virginia.
- Amazon (Symbol: AMZN) - AES has collaborated with Amazon on multiple renewable energy projects to help Amazon power its operations with clean energy.
In addition to these corporate customers, AES's generation businesses also sell wholesale electricity to public and private utilities and government entities in the markets where it operates. Identifying specific utility names for these wholesale transactions is challenging as they are often part of broader market transactions or confidential long-term contracts not publicly disclosed, unless they represent a significant portion of revenue from a single entity.
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- Fluence (FLNC)
- General Electric (GE)
- Siemens Energy (SMNEY)
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Andrés Gluski, President and Chief Executive OfficerAndrés Gluski joined The AES Corporation in 2000 and has served as President and CEO since 2011. Prior to leading AES, he held several senior finance leadership roles, including Executive Vice President of Corporate and Investment Banking at Grupo Santander, Vice President of Santander Investment, and Chief Financial Officer of La Electricidad de Caracas (EDC) and CANTV. He also worked at the International Monetary Fund and as Director General of Public Finance for the Ministry of Finance of Venezuela. Under his leadership, AES has become a global leader in clean technologies, energy storage, and renewable power, and has overseen a $5 billion divestiture program and the largest construction program in the company's history. He serves as Chairman of the Council of the Americas and is a member of the Board of Waste Management. There have been reports indicating a potential takeover of AES by private equity, suggesting his involvement with private equity-backed discussions.
Stephen Coughlin, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial OfficerStephen Coughlin was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of AES in October 2021. He rejoined AES in 2020 after serving as the founding CEO of Fluence (NASDAQ: FLNC), a company he helped establish by merging AES' energy storage business with Siemens. Under his leadership, Fluence became a global market leader and publicly traded entity. Coughlin initially joined AES in 2007 within the finance team of the wind generation organization and also served as Chief of Staff to the AES CEO and Director of Finance for the wind generation business. His earlier career included roles as an economic and litigation consultant at Charles River Associates, and in business development and strategic planning at AOL Mobile.
Bernerd Da Santos, Executive Vice President and President of US & RenewablesBernerd Da Santos is the Executive Vice President and President of US & Renewables, and previously served as Chief Operating Officer for AES from 2015 to 2023. He joined AES in 2000 through the acquisition of La Electricidad de Caracas, a private utility company in Venezuela where he began his career and rose to a management position. Over his more than 20 years with AES, he has held various leadership roles, including Chief Financial Officer for AES' Global Finance Operations, the Utilities group, and the Latin America and Africa group. He has extensive global experience in international corporate finance and business transformation for generation, transmission, and distribution companies across multiple continents.
Tish Mendoza, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources OfficerTish Mendoza serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer for The AES Corporation, a position she has held since 2021. She joined AES in 2006 and has been instrumental in transforming the company's culture, communication strategies, and talent development programs. Before her tenure at AES, Ms. Mendoza held Vice President of Human Resources roles at a product company within JP Morgan Chase's Treasury Services division and at Vastera Inc. She is recognized for her dedication to fostering inclusive workplaces and driving employee engagement.
Juan Ignacio Rubiolo, Executive Vice President and President, Energy Infrastructure and Leader of International MarketsJuan Ignacio Rubiolo was appointed Executive Vice President and President, Energy Infrastructure and Leader of International Markets in 2022, having joined AES Corporation in 2001 in Argentina. He possesses over 14 years of experience in energy and electricity markets across America and Asia, holding various leadership positions in strategic, financial, and commercial planning, as well as business development and risk management. His achievements include spearheading the first energy export from AES San Nicolas to Brazil and developing key business strategies for AES operations in the Dominican Republic, Panama, and the Philippines. Mr. Rubiolo has been actively involved in opening electricity markets in several countries and oversaw the structuring of AES' joint ventures with Grupo BAL in Mexico and Energas in the Dominican Republic.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to The AES Corporation's business:
- Regulatory and Policy Risks: AES is subject to extensive government regulations, and changes in these regulations could adversely affect its operations. This includes evolving environmental laws, greenhouse gas emissions regulations, and potential shifts in tax legislation, such as those related to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which can impact its renewable energy strategy and investment tax credits. The company also faces risks from its inability to comply with regulatory or permit requirements.
- Market and Financial Risks: The company is exposed to market volatility, including fluctuations in electricity and fuel prices, increased competition from new entrants, and changes in energy demand driven by economic conditions. Furthermore, AES faces financial risks from currency exchange rate fluctuations, particularly in the developing countries where it operates. Elevated interest rates also pose a risk, as the company needs to issue new debt regularly, and higher rates increase the cost of financing, potentially reducing profitability.
- Operational Risks: AES faces significant operational challenges in its power generation and distribution activities. These include risks such as equipment failure, disruptions in fuel supply, and the impact of natural disasters like fires, floods, storms, and earthquakes. Cyber-attacks also represent a critical operational threat. Additionally, the aging infrastructure may necessitate substantial capital expenditures for maintenance and upgrades, and there are specific risks associated with lithium-ion battery storage, including fire hazards.
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The accelerating adoption of distributed energy resources (DERs), including rooftop solar, battery storage, and microgrids, by residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This trend enables consumers to generate and store their own electricity, or participate in local energy markets, thereby reducing their demand for utility-provided grid power and potentially eroding the traditional centralized generation and distribution revenue model upon which AES, as a large-scale power producer and distributor, historically relies. Evidence for this threat includes the sustained growth in distributed solar installations globally, rapidly declining costs of battery storage technologies, and the increasing development of virtual power plants and community energy programs, which shift power production closer to the consumer and reduce reliance on large-scale, distant generation assets.
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The addressable markets for AES Corporation's main products and services primarily revolve around renewable energy and energy storage solutions. AES operates globally, with significant activities in both the global and U.S. markets for these segments.Renewable Energy Market
- The global renewable energy market size was estimated at USD 1.51 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 4.86 trillion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.9% from 2025 to 2033. Other estimates place the global market size at USD 1.74 trillion in 2025, forecasted to reach approximately USD 7.28 trillion by 2034, accelerating at a CAGR of 17.23%.
- In the U.S., the renewable energy market's installed capacity is expected to grow from 507.67 gigawatts (GW) in 2025 to 737.37 GW by 2030, at a CAGR of 7.75%. The U.S. renewable energy market was also estimated at USD 127.59 billion in 2025.
Energy Storage Market
- The global energy storage market size is valued at nearly USD 58.41 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach about USD 114.01 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of around 14.31% during that period. Another projection estimates the global energy storage market to be USD 295 billion in 2025, reaching USD 465 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 9.53%. The global stationary energy storage market size was valued at USD 75.66 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow from USD 90.36 billion in 2024 to USD 231.06 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.45%.
- The U.S. energy storage market was estimated at USD 106.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.49 trillion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 29.1% from 2025 to 2034. The installed capacity for the U.S. energy storage market is expected to grow from 49.52 GW in 2025 to 131.75 GW by 2030, at a CAGR of 21.62%. The U.S. stationary energy storage market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 49.11 billion by 2032.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for The AES Corporation (symbol: AES) over the next 2-3 years:- Expansion of Renewable Energy Capacity: AES is strategically focused on significantly increasing its renewable energy portfolio, with plans to nearly triple its capacity by adding 25 to 30 gigawatts (GW) of solar, wind, and energy storage assets by the end of 2027. The company has a substantial backlog of signed Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), totaling 11.1 GW as of November 2025, with a significant portion already under construction, indicating future revenue streams from these projects. Renewables EBITDA saw a 46% increase year-to-date in Q3 2025.
- Growth in US Utilities and Rate Base Expansion: The company anticipates revenue growth from its U.S. utilities through rate base expansion and favorable outcomes from rate cases. AES Ohio, for example, secured a settlement in Q3 2025 that includes an annual revenue increase of approximately $168 million, with transmission expected to comprise 40% of its total rate base by 2027. AES is also on track with its $1.4 billion capital expenditure plan for its U.S. utilities in 2025, which aims to deliver upgrades and support continued growth.
- Increased Demand from Data Centers and Corporate Clients: AES is actively leveraging the escalating demand for renewable energy solutions, particularly from data centers and other corporate clients. The company's CEO, Andrés Gluski, has highlighted strong interest from data center customers, and tech companies represent about 50% of AES's 2024 long-term PPA agreements, signaling a robust market for its green energy offerings.
- Strategic Decarbonization and Exit from Coal Operations: While not a direct revenue driver, AES's commitment to fully exiting coal usage by the end of 2025 and its broader decarbonization strategy position it as a leader in sustainable energy. This strategic shift is expected to allow the high growth rates of its renewables and utilities segments to dominate AES's overall growth, as the offsetting impact of coal retirements diminishes. This alignment with global sustainability goals helps attract environmentally conscious customers and investors.
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Share Repurchases
- AES has not reported significant share repurchases in the last three to five years, with the "Repurchase of Stock" for the trailing twelve months ended June 2025 recorded as $0 million.
Share Issuance
- AES issued $1 billion of equity units in March 2021, which were subsequently converted into common stock in February 2024.
- The company aims to meet its financial commitments without issuing new equity, a strategy supported by its $3.5 billion asset sale program.
Inbound Investments
- AES agreed to sell a 30% indirect equity interest in AES Ohio to CDPQ for approximately US$546 million, with the transaction expected to close in the first half of 2025, expanding an existing partnership between AES and CDPQ.
- This partnership with CDPQ is expected to provide ongoing funding to support high growth initiatives within AES's US utilities.
Outbound Investments
- In 2024, AES sold AES Brasil, which comprised hydro and wind assets.
- The company also divested development projects in Bulgaria and completed a sell-down in Jordan.
Capital Expenditures
- Total capital expenditures were approximately $7.39 billion in 2024, $7.72 billion in 2023, $4.55 billion in 2022, $2.12 billion in 2021, and $1.90 billion in 2020.
- AES plans to invest $20 billion to $22 billion in growth capital expenditures from 2025 to 2027, with roughly 85% allocated to its Renewables Strategic Business Unit and 15% to its Utilities Strategic Business Unit.
- In 2024, AES invested over $1.6 billion in its US utilities, AES Indiana and AES Ohio, focusing on reliability improvements, modernization programs, and the transition of coal generation infrastructure.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| AES Earnings Notes | ||
| AES Earnings Notes | ||
| AES vs Interactive Brokers: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| How Does AES Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | |
| Better Bet Than AES Stock: Pay Less Than AES To Get More From IBKR, EIXÂ | ||
| Better Bet Than AES Stock: Pay Less Than AES To Get More From BIPC, EIXÂ | ||
| AES (AES) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| AES (AES) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| AES (AES) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| AES (AES) Debt Comparison | Financials |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to AES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.1% | 6.1% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.9% | 8.9% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for AES
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 83.71 |
| Mkt Cap | 76.5 |
| Rev LTM | 23,778 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,352 |
| FCF LTM | -1,779 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -2,027 |
| CFO LTM | 8,118 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,222 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -7.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 76.5 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 10.4 |
| P/E | 19.9 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | 8.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.6% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -57.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 11,141 | 9,660 | 10,189 | ||
| Total | 11,141 | 9,660 | 10,189 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renewables Strategic Business Unit (SBU) | 15,735 | 9,533 | |||
| Energy Infrastructure Strategic Business Unit (SBU) | 7,414 | 7,532 | |||
| Utilities Strategic Business Unit (SBU) | 7,166 | 6,311 | |||
| Current assets | 6,649 | 7,643 | |||
| Other noncurrent assets, excluding right-of-use assets for operating leases | 2,879 | 2,623 | |||
| Other intangible assets | 2,243 | 1,841 | |||
| Investments in and advances to affiliates | 941 | 952 | |||
| Noncurrent held-for-sale assets | 811 | ||||
| Deferred income taxes | 396 | 319 | |||
| Goodwill | 348 | 362 | |||
| Debt service reserves and other deposits | 194 | 177 | |||
| New Energy Technologies Strategic Business Unit (SBU) | 14 | 2 | |||
| Corporate and Other | 9 | 17 | |||
| Loan receivable | 1,051 | ||||
| Total | 44,799 | 38,363 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.96 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 9.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/26/1991 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.97 | $12.36 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -0.1% | 13.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 44.5% | 49.4% |
| Downside Capture | 101.21 | 97.97 |
| Upside Capture | 107.18 | 96.50 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 31.2% | 42.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.93 | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.27 | 1.07 | 1.04 |
| Up Beta | 0.74 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 1.50 | 1.01 | 0.98 |
| Down Beta | 2.20 | 1.62 | 1.37 | 1.02 | 1.29 | 1.16 |
| Up Capture | 71% | 118% | 91% | 167% | 94% | 50% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 17 | 28 | 64 | 119 | 364 |
| Down Capture | 83% | 83% | 98% | 100% | 98% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 32 | 56 | 122 | 370 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of AES With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 19.1% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 71.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -10.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 49.3% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.51 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 2.69 | 0.36 | 0.18 | -0.12 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 45.1% | 42.6% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 34.1% | 15.2% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLU, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of AES With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -5.2% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 32.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 37.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.04 | 0.44 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.51 | 0.17 | 0.59 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 53.3% | 47.5% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 49.1% | 19.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLU, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of AES With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.9% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.70 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 55.0% | 52.5% | 11.1% | 25.3% | 55.1% | 16.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLU, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% |
| 8/1/2025 | 1.5% | -0.8% | 1.4% |
| 2/28/2025 | 11.7% | 4.7% | 19.6% |
| 10/31/2024 | -9.9% | -16.3% | -20.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | -4.4% | -7.0% | -4.4% |
| 2/26/2024 | -2.9% | 3.3% | 7.0% |
| 8/3/2023 | -4.9% | -5.0% | -13.4% |
| 2/27/2023 | -1.7% | -0.9% | -10.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -4.9% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 11.7% | 12.1% | 19.6% |
| Max Negative | -9.9% | -16.3% | -26.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3112025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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