Tearsheet

AES (AES)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $13.92 | Market Cap: $9.9 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

AES (AES)


Market Price (12/24/2025): $13.92
Market Cap: $9.9 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Independent Power Producers & Energy Traders

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 293%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.9 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization.
  Key risks
AES key risks include [1] shifting tax policy, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, Dividend Yield is 5.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%, CFO LTM is 3.9 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, and Battery Storage & Grid Modernization.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 293%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.6%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
8 Key risks
AES key risks include [1] shifting tax policy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AES Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

AES (The AES Corporation) stock experienced significant movements between August 31, 2025, and December 25, 2025, driven by a combination of earnings reports, strategic developments, and analyst re-evaluations. **1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and Reaffirmed Guidance.** AES reported its second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.51, exceeding analysts' expectations of $0.47. The company reaffirmed its 2025 guidance for Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS, projecting growth driven by new renewables projects and rate base growth at its U.S. utilities. This positive earnings surprise and outlook contributed to an initial stock increase. **2. Potential Takeover Speculation.** Reports of potential takeover interest from large investment firms, including Blackstone, Brookfield, and BlackRock's infrastructure arm, emerged around July 14, 2025. This speculation significantly boosted investor attention and led to a nearly 20% spike in AES stock in a single trading session. The company's role in the clean energy transition and its assets' increased value due to rising energy needs for AI data centers were cited as contributing factors. **3. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings.** AES released its third-quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, reporting an Adjusted EPS of $0.75, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.69. However, quarterly revenue of $3.35 billion fell slightly below analyst estimates. Despite the revenue miss, the beat on EPS and reaffirmed 2025 guidance, alongside strategic accomplishments like an 11.1 GW project backlog, helped support the stock. **4. Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Revisions.** Throughout the period, analysts re-evaluated AES's prospects. For instance, on December 5, 2025, Argus Research upgraded AES stock to "Buy" from "Hold," citing the company's sustainable profit growth and potential improvements in its Renewables SBU, particularly in data center opportunities. Jefferies also upgraded AES stock from "Underperform" to "Hold" in November 2025, increasing its price target. These positive analyst sentiments and revised price targets can influence stock movement. **5. Concerns over Internal Turmoil and External Headwinds.** Despite some positive news, AES also faced challenges that contributed to stock volatility. Around September 18, 2025, AES shares dropped due to concerns about internal restructuring, layoffs, leadership issues, and a high debt-to-equity ratio. External headwinds, such as the proposed phase-out of renewable tax credits, also threatened a significant portion of AES's green assets, leading to analyst downgrades and bearish investor sentiment. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.9% change in AES stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 14.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)13.1913.975.90%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12032.0012094.000.52%
Net Income Margin (%)7.66%8.74%14.05%
P/E Multiple10.199.41-7.63%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)712.00712.000.00%
Cumulative Contribution5.90%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AES5.8% 
Market (SPY)4.4%31.7%
Sector (XLU)-0.7%38.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.6% change in AES stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 67.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)10.2313.9736.57%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12119.0012094.00-0.21%
Net Income Margin (%)10.67%8.74%-18.08%
P/E Multiple5.639.4167.29%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)711.00712.00-0.14%
Cumulative Contribution36.57%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AES36.5% 
Market (SPY)14.0%26.4%
Sector (XLU)7.1%30.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.9% change in AES stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a 20.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)12.2713.9713.88%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12284.0012094.00-1.55%
Net Income Margin (%)9.10%8.74%-3.97%
P/E Multiple7.809.4120.63%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)711.00712.00-0.14%
Cumulative Contribution13.88%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AES13.8% 
Market (SPY)15.8%42.4%
Sector (XLU)14.3%44.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -44.4% change in AES stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -39.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)25.1313.97-44.42%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12327.0012094.00-1.89%
P/S Multiple1.360.82-39.64%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)668.25712.00-6.55%
Cumulative Contribution-44.66%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
AES-19.2% 
Market (SPY)48.9%35.3%
Sector (XLU)44.0%49.2%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AES Return22%6%22%-31%-30%15%-13%
Peers Return4%16%-1%-11%20%16%46%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AES Win Rate67%67%50%33%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%60%53%58%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AES Max Drawdown-52%-2%-21%-56%-33%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-8%-16%-24%-6%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, DUK, SO, D, AEP. See AES Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAESS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven238 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven386.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,320 days1,480 days

Compare to

In The Past

AES's stock fell -57.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/13/2022. A -57.5% loss requires a 135.1% gain to breakeven.

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About AES (AES)

AES Indiana operates as a regulated electric utility. The company generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy to approximately 516,000 residential, commercial, and industrial customers in the city of Indianapolis, as well as neighboring cities, towns, communities, and adjacent rural areas within the state of Indiana. It owns and operates four generating stations, including a coal-fired station in Petersburg; the natural gas and fuel oil station in Harding Street; a combined cycle gas turbine natural gas plant in Eagle Valley; and the small peaking station that uses natural gas in Georgetown. The company was formerly known as Indianapolis Power & Light Company and changed its name to AES Indiana in February 2021. The company was incorporated in 1926 and is based in Indianapolis, Indiana. AES Indiana is a subsidiary of IPALCO Enterprises, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • A global power company, similar to a multinational NextEra Energy.
  • Like a worldwide Duke Energy, generating and distributing electricity across many countries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Electricity Generation: Generating electricity from a diverse portfolio of resources, including renewables (solar, wind, hydro, battery storage) and thermal (natural gas).
  • Electricity Distribution: Distributing electricity to millions of customers through regulated utilities in various markets.
  • Renewable Energy Development & Operation: Developing, constructing, and operating solar, wind, hydro, and battery energy storage projects globally.
  • Energy Solutions: Providing customized energy solutions and services, including microgrids and energy management, to commercial and industrial clients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The AES Corporation (symbol: AES) operates a diversified global energy business, including electricity generation and distribution. While it operates distribution utilities that serve residential, commercial, and industrial end-users in various countries, a significant portion of its generation output and strategic focus involves selling power to other companies, particularly large corporations and utilities, often through long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs).

Therefore, AES sells primarily to other companies. Its major customers include prominent corporations seeking renewable energy solutions and other utilities or grid operators.

Based on publicly announced partnerships and power purchase agreements for its generation assets, major corporate customers include:

  • Google (Symbol: GOOGL) - AES has partnered with Google on various initiatives, including providing 24/7 carbon-free energy solutions for Google's data centers in regions like Virginia, USA, and Chile.
  • Microsoft (Symbol: MSFT) - AES and Microsoft signed a 10-year agreement for renewable energy, primarily for Microsoft's data center operations in Virginia.
  • Amazon (Symbol: AMZN) - AES has collaborated with Amazon on multiple renewable energy projects to help Amazon power its operations with clean energy.

In addition to these corporate customers, AES's generation businesses also sell wholesale electricity to public and private utilities and government entities in the markets where it operates. Identifying specific utility names for these wholesale transactions is challenging as they are often part of broader market transactions or confidential long-term contracts not publicly disclosed, unless they represent a significant portion of revenue from a single entity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Fluence (FLNC)
  • General Electric (GE)
  • Siemens Energy (SMNEY)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Andrés Gluski, President and Chief Executive Officer

Andrés Gluski joined The AES Corporation in 2000 and has served as President and CEO since 2011. Prior to leading AES, he held several senior finance leadership roles, including Executive Vice President of Corporate and Investment Banking at Grupo Santander, Vice President of Santander Investment, and Chief Financial Officer of La Electricidad de Caracas (EDC) and CANTV. He also worked at the International Monetary Fund and as Director General of Public Finance for the Ministry of Finance of Venezuela. Under his leadership, AES has become a global leader in clean technologies, energy storage, and renewable power, and has overseen a $5 billion divestiture program and the largest construction program in the company's history. He serves as Chairman of the Council of the Americas and is a member of the Board of Waste Management. There have been reports indicating a potential takeover of AES by private equity, suggesting his involvement with private equity-backed discussions.

Stephen Coughlin, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Stephen Coughlin was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of AES in October 2021. He rejoined AES in 2020 after serving as the founding CEO of Fluence (NASDAQ: FLNC), a company he helped establish by merging AES' energy storage business with Siemens. Under his leadership, Fluence became a global market leader and publicly traded entity. Coughlin initially joined AES in 2007 within the finance team of the wind generation organization and also served as Chief of Staff to the AES CEO and Director of Finance for the wind generation business. His earlier career included roles as an economic and litigation consultant at Charles River Associates, and in business development and strategic planning at AOL Mobile.

Bernerd Da Santos, Executive Vice President and President of US & Renewables

Bernerd Da Santos is the Executive Vice President and President of US & Renewables, and previously served as Chief Operating Officer for AES from 2015 to 2023. He joined AES in 2000 through the acquisition of La Electricidad de Caracas, a private utility company in Venezuela where he began his career and rose to a management position. Over his more than 20 years with AES, he has held various leadership roles, including Chief Financial Officer for AES' Global Finance Operations, the Utilities group, and the Latin America and Africa group. He has extensive global experience in international corporate finance and business transformation for generation, transmission, and distribution companies across multiple continents.

Tish Mendoza, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Tish Mendoza serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer for The AES Corporation, a position she has held since 2021. She joined AES in 2006 and has been instrumental in transforming the company's culture, communication strategies, and talent development programs. Before her tenure at AES, Ms. Mendoza held Vice President of Human Resources roles at a product company within JP Morgan Chase's Treasury Services division and at Vastera Inc. She is recognized for her dedication to fostering inclusive workplaces and driving employee engagement.

Juan Ignacio Rubiolo, Executive Vice President and President, Energy Infrastructure and Leader of International Markets

Juan Ignacio Rubiolo was appointed Executive Vice President and President, Energy Infrastructure and Leader of International Markets in 2022, having joined AES Corporation in 2001 in Argentina. He possesses over 14 years of experience in energy and electricity markets across America and Asia, holding various leadership positions in strategic, financial, and commercial planning, as well as business development and risk management. His achievements include spearheading the first energy export from AES San Nicolas to Brazil and developing key business strategies for AES operations in the Dominican Republic, Panama, and the Philippines. Mr. Rubiolo has been actively involved in opening electricity markets in several countries and oversaw the structuring of AES' joint ventures with Grupo BAL in Mexico and Energas in the Dominican Republic.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to The AES Corporation's business:

  1. Regulatory and Policy Risks: AES is subject to extensive government regulations, and changes in these regulations could adversely affect its operations. This includes evolving environmental laws, greenhouse gas emissions regulations, and potential shifts in tax legislation, such as those related to the U.S. Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, which can impact its renewable energy strategy and investment tax credits. The company also faces risks from its inability to comply with regulatory or permit requirements.
  2. Market and Financial Risks: The company is exposed to market volatility, including fluctuations in electricity and fuel prices, increased competition from new entrants, and changes in energy demand driven by economic conditions. Furthermore, AES faces financial risks from currency exchange rate fluctuations, particularly in the developing countries where it operates. Elevated interest rates also pose a risk, as the company needs to issue new debt regularly, and higher rates increase the cost of financing, potentially reducing profitability.
  3. Operational Risks: AES faces significant operational challenges in its power generation and distribution activities. These include risks such as equipment failure, disruptions in fuel supply, and the impact of natural disasters like fires, floods, storms, and earthquakes. Cyber-attacks also represent a critical operational threat. Additionally, the aging infrastructure may necessitate substantial capital expenditures for maintenance and upgrades, and there are specific risks associated with lithium-ion battery storage, including fire hazards.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The accelerating adoption of distributed energy resources (DERs), including rooftop solar, battery storage, and microgrids, by residential, commercial, and industrial customers. This trend enables consumers to generate and store their own electricity, or participate in local energy markets, thereby reducing their demand for utility-provided grid power and potentially eroding the traditional centralized generation and distribution revenue model upon which AES, as a large-scale power producer and distributor, historically relies. Evidence for this threat includes the sustained growth in distributed solar installations globally, rapidly declining costs of battery storage technologies, and the increasing development of virtual power plants and community energy programs, which shift power production closer to the consumer and reduce reliance on large-scale, distant generation assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for AES Corporation's main products and services primarily revolve around renewable energy and energy storage solutions. AES operates globally, with significant activities in both the global and U.S. markets for these segments.

Renewable Energy Market

  • The global renewable energy market size was estimated at USD 1.51 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 4.86 trillion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 14.9% from 2025 to 2033. Other estimates place the global market size at USD 1.74 trillion in 2025, forecasted to reach approximately USD 7.28 trillion by 2034, accelerating at a CAGR of 17.23%.
  • In the U.S., the renewable energy market's installed capacity is expected to grow from 507.67 gigawatts (GW) in 2025 to 737.37 GW by 2030, at a CAGR of 7.75%. The U.S. renewable energy market was also estimated at USD 127.59 billion in 2025.

Energy Storage Market

  • The global energy storage market size is valued at nearly USD 58.41 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach about USD 114.01 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of around 14.31% during that period. Another projection estimates the global energy storage market to be USD 295 billion in 2025, reaching USD 465 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 9.53%. The global stationary energy storage market size was valued at USD 75.66 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow from USD 90.36 billion in 2024 to USD 231.06 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 12.45%.
  • The U.S. energy storage market was estimated at USD 106.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1.49 trillion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 29.1% from 2025 to 2034. The installed capacity for the U.S. energy storage market is expected to grow from 49.52 GW in 2025 to 131.75 GW by 2030, at a CAGR of 21.62%. The U.S. stationary energy storage market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 49.11 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for The AES Corporation (symbol: AES) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Expansion of Renewable Energy Capacity: AES is strategically focused on significantly increasing its renewable energy portfolio, with plans to nearly triple its capacity by adding 25 to 30 gigawatts (GW) of solar, wind, and energy storage assets by the end of 2027. The company has a substantial backlog of signed Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs), totaling 11.1 GW as of November 2025, with a significant portion already under construction, indicating future revenue streams from these projects. Renewables EBITDA saw a 46% increase year-to-date in Q3 2025.
  2. Growth in US Utilities and Rate Base Expansion: The company anticipates revenue growth from its U.S. utilities through rate base expansion and favorable outcomes from rate cases. AES Ohio, for example, secured a settlement in Q3 2025 that includes an annual revenue increase of approximately $168 million, with transmission expected to comprise 40% of its total rate base by 2027. AES is also on track with its $1.4 billion capital expenditure plan for its U.S. utilities in 2025, which aims to deliver upgrades and support continued growth.
  3. Increased Demand from Data Centers and Corporate Clients: AES is actively leveraging the escalating demand for renewable energy solutions, particularly from data centers and other corporate clients. The company's CEO, Andrés Gluski, has highlighted strong interest from data center customers, and tech companies represent about 50% of AES's 2024 long-term PPA agreements, signaling a robust market for its green energy offerings.
  4. Strategic Decarbonization and Exit from Coal Operations: While not a direct revenue driver, AES's commitment to fully exiting coal usage by the end of 2025 and its broader decarbonization strategy position it as a leader in sustainable energy. This strategic shift is expected to allow the high growth rates of its renewables and utilities segments to dominate AES's overall growth, as the offsetting impact of coal retirements diminishes. This alignment with global sustainability goals helps attract environmentally conscious customers and investors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • AES has not reported significant share repurchases in the last three to five years, with the "Repurchase of Stock" for the trailing twelve months ended June 2025 recorded as $0 million.

Share Issuance

  • AES issued $1 billion of equity units in March 2021, which were subsequently converted into common stock in February 2024.
  • The company aims to meet its financial commitments without issuing new equity, a strategy supported by its $3.5 billion asset sale program.

Inbound Investments

  • AES agreed to sell a 30% indirect equity interest in AES Ohio to CDPQ for approximately US$546 million, with the transaction expected to close in the first half of 2025, expanding an existing partnership between AES and CDPQ.
  • This partnership with CDPQ is expected to provide ongoing funding to support high growth initiatives within AES's US utilities.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2024, AES sold AES Brasil, which comprised hydro and wind assets.
  • The company also divested development projects in Bulgaria and completed a sell-down in Jordan.

Capital Expenditures

  • Total capital expenditures were approximately $7.39 billion in 2024, $7.72 billion in 2023, $4.55 billion in 2022, $2.12 billion in 2021, and $1.90 billion in 2020.
  • AES plans to invest $20 billion to $22 billion in growth capital expenditures from 2025 to 2027, with roughly 85% allocated to its Renewables Strategic Business Unit and 15% to its Utilities Strategic Business Unit.
  • In 2024, AES invested over $1.6 billion in its US utilities, AES Indiana and AES Ohio, focusing on reliability improvements, modernization programs, and the transition of coal generation infrastructure.

Better Bets than AES (AES)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to AES. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-3.2%

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Peer Comparisons for AES

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AESNEEDUKSODAEPMedian
NameAES NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Dominion.American. 
Mkt Price13.9780.25117.4887.1758.98115.1483.71
Mkt Cap9.9165.791.496.150.361.676.5
Rev LTM12,09426,29831,65928,91215,22721,25723,778
Op Inc LTM1,7877,4048,5837,4264,5285,3006,352
FCF LTM-2,2153,073-921-1,823-8,071-1,736-1,779
FCF 3Y Avg-3,8932,421-2,122-1,031-5,691-1,932-2,027
CFO LTM3,90611,96712,0499,3784,6096,8588,118
CFO 3Y Avg3,22311,84710,5398,6105,6775,8347,222

Growth & Margins

AESNEEDUKSODAEPMedian
NameAES NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Dominion.American. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%0.2%4.8%9.4%5.3%8.4%5.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.6%11.4%5.2%1.3%7.5%4.2%4.7%
Rev Chg Q1.9%5.3%4.8%7.5%9.3%10.9%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.5%1.5%1.2%1.9%2.2%2.9%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM14.8%28.2%27.1%25.7%29.7%24.9%26.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.8%31.5%25.1%23.7%27.0%21.6%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-1.4%0.3%0.3%1.2%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM32.3%45.5%38.1%32.4%30.3%32.3%32.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.1%44.6%34.6%31.6%38.4%29.0%33.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.3%11.7%-2.9%-6.3%-53.0%-8.2%-7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-31.4%9.3%-7.1%-3.7%-38.2%-9.7%-8.4%

Valuation

AESNEEDUKSODAEPMedian
NameAES NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Dominion.American. 
Mkt Cap9.9165.791.496.150.361.676.5
P/S0.86.32.93.33.32.93.1
P/EBIT5.222.09.911.59.810.810.4
P/E9.425.518.321.522.016.819.9
P/CFO2.513.87.610.210.99.09.6
Total Yield15.6%6.7%6.3%7.8%9.0%9.2%8.4%
Dividend Yield5.0%2.7%0.9%3.1%4.5%3.2%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-33.5%1.3%-2.9%-1.3%-12.2%-4.3%-3.6%
D/E3.10.61.00.80.90.80.8
Net D/E2.90.51.00.70.90.80.8

Returns

AESNEEDUKSODAEPMedian
NameAES NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Dominion.American. 
1M Rtn0.6%-4.7%-3.8%-2.2%-3.2%-5.7%-3.5%
3M Rtn5.9%9.4%-4.2%-6.9%-2.3%6.6%1.8%
6M Rtn36.6%15.7%3.1%-2.0%9.3%15.4%12.3%
12M Rtn13.9%13.5%11.7%8.3%14.9%29.0%13.7%
3Y Rtn-44.4%4.0%28.4%37.0%12.7%34.9%20.6%
1M Excs Rtn-2.7%-8.1%-7.2%-5.6%-6.6%-9.0%-6.9%
3M Excs Rtn3.6%3.3%-8.1%-11.1%-5.0%2.6%-1.2%
6M Excs Rtn19.8%1.8%-10.1%-14.8%-3.5%1.5%-1.0%
12M Excs Rtn-2.8%-1.4%-4.5%-8.2%-1.7%11.6%-2.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-125.1%-76.5%-49.6%-39.0%-65.9%-44.2%-57.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment  11,1419,66010,189
Total  11,1419,66010,189


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Renewables Strategic Business Unit (SBU)15,7359,533   
Energy Infrastructure Strategic Business Unit (SBU)7,4147,532   
Utilities Strategic Business Unit (SBU)7,1666,311   
Current assets6,6497,643   
Other noncurrent assets, excluding right-of-use assets for operating leases2,8792,623   
Other intangible assets2,2431,841   
Investments in and advances to affiliates941952   
Noncurrent held-for-sale assets811    
Deferred income taxes396319   
Goodwill348362   
Debt service reserves and other deposits194177   
New Energy Technologies Strategic Business Unit (SBU)142   
Corporate and Other917   
Loan receivable 1,051   
Total44,79938,363   


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$13.96 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.9 
First Trading Date06/26/1991 
Distance from 52W High-8.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.97$12.36
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-0.1%13.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.5%49.4%
Downside Capture101.2197.97
Upside Capture107.1896.50
Correlation (SPY)31.2%42.3%
AES Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.931.131.061.271.071.04
Up Beta0.740.810.781.501.010.98
Down Beta2.201.621.371.021.291.16
Up Capture71%118%91%167%94%50%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9172864119364
Down Capture83%83%98%100%98%105%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10243256122370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of AES With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 AESSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return19.1%17.2%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility49.3%16.0%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.510.800.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 45.1%42.6%5.0%17.8%34.1%15.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLU, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of AES With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 AESSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-5.2%9.8%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility37.7%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.040.440.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 53.3%47.5%13.5%18.0%49.1%19.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLU, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of AES With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 AESSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return8.0%10.5%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility35.9%19.2%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.320.480.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 55.0%52.5%11.1%25.3%55.1%16.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLU, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,926,470
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-5.0%
Average Daily Volume7,532,139
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.91
Basic Shares Quantity712,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20255.8%6.2%3.6%
8/1/20251.5%-0.8%1.4%
2/28/202511.7%4.7%19.6%
10/31/2024-9.9%-16.3%-20.3%
8/1/2024-4.4%-7.0%-4.4%
2/26/2024-2.9%3.3%7.0%
8/3/2023-4.9%-5.0%-13.4%
2/27/2023-1.7%-0.9%-10.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive678
# Negative11109
Median Positive5.6%5.9%7.7%
Median Negative-2.9%-4.9%-6.7%
Max Positive11.7%12.1%19.6%
Max Negative-9.9%-16.3%-26.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021