Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN)
Market Price (5/5/2026): $52.95 | Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN)
Market Price (5/5/2026): $52.95Market Cap: $5.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.4%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 277%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 1413% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 102% Key risksTERN key risks include [1] its critical dependency on successful clinical trial outcomes for its pipeline, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.4%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -110 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 277%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 1413% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 102% |
| Key risksTERN key risks include [1] its critical dependency on successful clinical trial outcomes for its pipeline, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Acquisition by Merck: On March 25, 2026, Merck announced an agreement to acquire Terns Pharmaceuticals for $53.00 per share in an all-cash deal, valuing the equity at approximately $6.7 billion. This acquisition price represented a significant 50% premium to Terns' stock low point in January 2026, when takeover speculation initially began. The transaction is expected to close in the second quarter of 2026.
2. FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for TERN-701: Terns Pharmaceuticals received U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Breakthrough Therapy Designation for its lead oncology asset, TERN-701, on April 27, 2026. This designation was granted for TERN-701, an oral allosteric BCR::ABL1 inhibitor, for adult patients with Ph+ Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) in the chronic phase who have been previously treated with two or more tyrosine kinase inhibitors. The designation was based on encouraging Phase 1/2 CARDINAL clinical trial data demonstrating promising rates of major molecular response and deep molecular response at week 24.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 53.0% change in TERN stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.60 | 52.95 | 53.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92 | 98 | -6.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TERN | 53.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 16.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.1% | 19.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 541.0% change in TERN stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.26 | 52.95 | 541.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 92 | 98 | -6.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TERN | 541.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -0.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 1.2% | 7.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1504.5% change in TERN stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.30 | 52.95 | 1504.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 91 | 98 | -6.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TERN | 1504.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 5.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 4.9% | 14.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 305.7% change in TERN stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.05 | 52.95 | 305.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 98 | -45.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TERN | 305.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 15.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.9% | 19.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TERN Return | -62% | 44% | -36% | -15% | 629% | 31% | 188% |
| Peers Return | 4% | 73% | 42% | 29% | 20% | 33% | 428% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 6% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TERN Win Rate | 18% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 58% | 33% | 57% | 50% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TERN Max Drawdown | -69% | -79% | -67% | -30% | -64% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -27% | -31% | -15% | -21% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BMY, PFE, ELVN, MDGL, LLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TERN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 86 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 384 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -77.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 346.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 155 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Terns Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -52.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 109.5% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | TERN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 86 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 384 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -77.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 346.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 155 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Terns Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -52.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 109.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies to describe Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN):
- An early-stage biotech company focused on developing new treatments for conditions like fatty liver disease (NASH) and obesity, similar to the research and development departments of larger pharmaceutical companies like Eli Lilly or Novo Nordisk.
- Think of it as a startup attempting to develop innovative oral drugs for obesity and metabolic diseases, competing in the same arena as the developers of blockbuster GLP-1 treatments from giants like Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- TERN-101: A liver-distributed and non-bile acid farnesoid X receptor agonist in Phase IIa clinical trial for NASH.
- TERN-201: A vascular adhesion protein-1 inhibitor in Phase Ib clinical trial for NASH.
- TERN-501: A thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist with enhanced liver distribution and metabolic stability in Phase I clinical trial for NASH.
- TERN-601: A small-molecule Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 receptor agonist program intended for oral administration for NASH and metabolic diseases such as obesity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (TERN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the development of drug candidates for non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and obesity. As a clinical-stage company, its products are currently in various phases of clinical trials (Phase I, Phase Ib, Phase IIa) and have not yet received regulatory approval or been commercialized.
Therefore, Terns Pharmaceuticals does not currently have major customers or categories of customers who purchase its drug products. The company's primary activities are research and development and conducting clinical trials.
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Amy Burroughs, Chief Executive Officer
Amy Burroughs joined Terns Pharmaceuticals as CEO and a member of its Board of Directors in February 2024, bringing over 25 years of leadership experience. Previously, she served as CEO at Cleave Therapeutics, where she managed financings, licensing, collaborations, and clinical development. She was also an Executive in Residence at 5AM Ventures and a Senior Advisor to Crinetics Pharmaceuticals during its initial public offering. Her earlier career included commercial and strategy roles at Genentech and other high-growth therapeutics companies, as well as positions in talent and governance at Egon Zehnder International and brand management at Procter & Gamble. Ms. Burroughs holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and a BA from Dartmouth College.
Andrew Gengos, Chief Financial Officer
Andrew Gengos was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Terns Pharmaceuticals in February 2025. He brings 25 years of experience in finance and corporate strategy within the life sciences and biotechnology sectors. Prior to Terns, Mr. Gengos served as CFO of Athira Pharma, Inc. He was also Chief Business Officer at Cyteir Therapeutics, where he played a key role in taking the company public. Additionally, he held Chief Executive Officer roles at ImmunoCellular Therapeutics and Neuraltus Pharmaceuticals, and was Vice President of Strategy and Corporate Development at Amgen for eight years.
Scott Harris, Chief Development Officer
Scott Harris was appointed Chief Development Officer of Terns Pharmaceuticals in May 2024. He possesses over 25 years of extensive cross-functional experience in drug development, encompassing all stages from pre-clinical to post-marketing activities. Before joining Terns, Mr. Harris served as Chief Operating Officer of Cleave Therapeutics, where he was responsible for all research and development activities, including the clinical advancement of their investigational therapy.
Melita Sun Jung, Chief Business Officer
Melita Sun Jung serves as Chief Business Officer for Terns Pharmaceuticals. Her background includes corporate development and commercial roles at Adamas Pharmaceuticals and Ipsen, where she led marketing strategy and contributed to numerous product launches. She began her career in biotechnology venture capital and fund management at Bay City Capital and Lombard Odier Darier Hentsch. Ms. Jung earned a BA in biology from the University of California, Berkeley.
Emil Kuriakose, M.D., Chief Medical Officer
Emil Kuriakose, M.D., has served as the Chief Medical Officer of Terns Pharmaceuticals since May 2023. He has over a decade of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, leading clinical development strategy and execution across various indications. Previously, Dr. Kuriakose was Global Clinical Program Lead at Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research (NIBR), where he headed early development for MDM2 inhibitor and adenosine inhibitor programs in oncology and immuno-oncology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Terns Pharmaceuticals' business primarily stem from the inherent challenges of being a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with no approved products on the market. These risks are intensified by the highly competitive and complex therapeutic areas in which the company operates.
- Clinical Trial Failure and Regulatory Uncertainty: Terns Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage company, and its entire business model relies on the successful development, clinical validation, and eventual regulatory approval of its drug candidates. All of its product candidates are currently in early-stage clinical trials (Phase I, Phase Ib, Phase IIa), which carry a high risk of failure. The regulatory pathway for diseases like non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is particularly challenging, with no U.S. FDA-approved drugs for NASH, making the approval process lengthy and costly. This risk was recently underscored by the company's decision to discontinue the development of its oral GLP-1 receptor agonist, TERN-601, for obesity. This discontinuation was due to "uncompetitive" Phase II results, including lackluster weight loss efficacy and concerning safety signals such as liver enzyme elevations, directly demonstrating the materialization of clinical trial failure risk.
- Financial Dependence on a Limited Pipeline and Sustained Operating Losses: As a clinical-stage company, Terns Pharmaceuticals has incurred significant losses since its inception and anticipates continued substantial losses for the foreseeable future. The company's valuation is heavily based on the potential future success of its clinical pipeline rather than current profitability, given its substantial operating expenses, particularly in research and development, and a lack of revenue growth. Following the discontinuation of TERN-601, the company has pivoted its primary focus, with its investment thesis now largely centered on the success of TERN-701, a BCR-ABL inhibitor for chronic myeloid leukemia. This pivot indicates a high dependence on a limited number of pipeline assets, making the company highly susceptible to setbacks in any single program.
- Intense Competition: Terns Pharmaceuticals operates in highly competitive biopharmaceutical markets, particularly in the development of treatments for NASH and, historically, obesity. Many larger pharmaceutical companies and other biotechnology firms are actively pursuing therapies in these areas, making it challenging for Terns to differentiate its product candidates and secure significant market share, even if they achieve regulatory approval. The high number of failures in NASH drug development programs by various companies further highlights the competitive and difficult landscape.
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The rapid and widespread adoption of highly effective injectable Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (e.g., Wegovy, Zepbound) for obesity treatment. These established therapies set an extremely high bar for efficacy and have captured significant market share, potentially diminishing the future commercial viability of Terns' early-stage, orally administered GLP-1 receptor agonist program (TERN-601), even if it proves effective.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Terns Pharmaceuticals (TERN) develops product candidates primarily for Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH) and obesity. The addressable markets for these diseases are substantial and are projected to grow significantly.NASH Market Size
The global NASH treatment market was valued at approximately USD 5.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 78.2 billion by 2035. Another estimate places the global non-alcoholic steatohepatitis treatment market at USD 7.75 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 92.5 billion by 2034. The NASH/MASH Treatment Market globally reached US$ 7.87 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 31.76 billion by 2033. In specific regions, the NASH market size in the 7MM (United States, EU4, United Kingdom, and Japan) was approximately USD 2.114 billion in 2023. The United States alone accounted for approximately USD 1.519 billion of the NASH market in 2023. North America held the largest share of the global non-alcoholic steatohepatitis treatment market, accounting for 79% in 2024.Obesity Market Size
The global obesity treatment market size was valued at USD 15.74 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 98.26 billion by 2034. Another report estimates the global obesity treatment market size at USD 15.92 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 60.53 billion by 2030. The obesity market across the seven major markets (France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, the UK, and the US) is estimated to exceed USD 173.5 billion by 2031. The global obesity management market was valued at USD 140.3 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 351.8 billion by 2033. Regionally, the U.S. obesity treatment market size was valued at USD 5.31 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately USD 33.16 billion by 2034. The North America obesity treatment market size reached USD 7.08 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 44.22 billion by 2034.AI Analysis | Feedback
Terns Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: TERN), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, is focused on advancing its pipeline, particularly in oncology, which is expected to drive its future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years. While the company currently reports no product revenue and analysts project it to remain unprofitable in the immediate future, key strategic developments and pipeline progression are anticipated to establish the foundation for future revenue generation. The expected drivers of future revenue growth for Terns Pharmaceuticals include: * Advancement of TERN-701 through pivotal clinical trials and regulatory milestones for Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML). TERN-701 is the company's lead program, a novel allosteric BCR-ABL inhibitor for CML. Key milestones anticipated in late 2026 and early 2027 include the selection of a pivotal dose, successful End of Phase 2 regulatory interactions with the U.S. FDA, and the initiation of the first pivotal trial. Positive progression through these stages is critical for eventual market approval and subsequent revenue generation. * Establishment of strategic partnerships for its legacy metabolic disease programs. Terns Pharmaceuticals is actively seeking strategic partners to advance its metabolic programs, such as TERN-501 and TERN-801 (and potentially TERN-101 and TERN-201). Any licensing agreements or collaboration deals could result in upfront payments, milestone payments, and/or future royalties, contributing directly to revenue within the next 2-3 years. * Expansion of its oncology pipeline through new discovery efforts. The company is undertaking discovery efforts on undisclosed targets for additional oncology indications. Successful identification and progression of new drug candidates from these efforts would diversify Terns' pipeline and broaden its long-term revenue potential.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Terns Pharmaceuticals completed an underwritten public offering in December 2025, raising $747.5 million in gross proceeds from the sale of 18,687,500 shares of common stock at $40.00 per share, which included the full exercise of the underwriters' option to purchase additional shares.
- In September 2024, the company executed a capital call, resulting in net proceeds of $161.9 million through the issuance of shares at $10.50 per share.
Inbound Investments
- In 2021, Hansoh in-licensed TERN-701, a BCR-ABL inhibitor, for an upfront payment of $1 million, with potential for Terns to receive up to $67 million in milestones and mid-single-digit royalties.
Capital Expenditures
- The primary focus of capital allocation, especially from the December 2025 public offering's net proceeds, is directed towards funding research, clinical trials, development, and manufacturing of key product candidates, including TERN-701, and initial preparations for its potential future commercial launch.
- The company’s cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were approximately $1.0 billion as of December 31, 2025, and are expected to fund operations into 2031, supporting activities including the potential approval and launch of TERN-701.
- Terns Pharmaceuticals reported generating -$19.8 million in free cash flow in Q3 2025, which represents cash available after capital expenditures and operational expenses.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 04302026 | GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | UHS | Universal Health Services | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 55.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 64.4 |
| Rev LTM | 24,721 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,740 |
| FCF LTM | 4,502 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 833 |
| CFO LTM | 5,817 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,491 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 29.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 28.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 20.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 64.4 |
| P/S | 7.2 |
| P/Op Inc | -6.5 |
| P/EBIT | -5.7 |
| P/E | -4.5 |
| P/CFO | -14.0 |
| Total Yield | 0.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 26.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 41.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 90.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 19.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 20.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $52.95 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/05/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $49.21 | $27.75 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.6% | 90.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 35.2% | 101.9% |
| Downside Capture | -0.34 | -0.70 |
| Upside Capture | 106.49 | 232.03 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 18.2% | 5.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.05 | 0.16 | 0.44 | -0.05 | 0.42 | 0.95 |
| Up Beta | -0.02 | -0.18 | 0.12 | -1.01 | -0.77 | 0.21 |
| Down Beta | -0.09 | 1.34 | 1.06 | 0.53 | 1.02 | 1.55 |
| Up Capture | -3% | 70% | 135% | 350% | 529% | 218% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 37 | 69 | 140 | 363 |
| Down Capture | -39% | -80% | -69% | -432% | -233% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 19 | 27 | 56 | 109 | 372 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TERN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TERN | 1,501.6% | 101.7% | 3.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.8% | 15.7% | 0.29 | 15.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.7% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 4.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.6% | 27.2% | 1.21 | -2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.7% | 18.0% | 2.18 | -1.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.1% | 13.5% | 0.60 | 1.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.2% | -0.39 | 1.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TERN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TERN | 21.3% | 94.0% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.1% | 14.6% | 0.17 | 16.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 16.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.1% | 17.9% | 0.91 | 1.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.1% | 19.1% | 0.60 | 4.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 16.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.34 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TERN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TERN | 11.9% | 96.4% | 0.64 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.1% | 16.5% | 0.45 | 15.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 15.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 3.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 15.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.1% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 11.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 7.6% | 33.7% | 146.3% |
| 8/5/2025 | -6.7% | 7.4% | 16.1% |
| 3/20/2025 | 6.7% | -0.6% | -13.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -5.4% | -17.6% | -8.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | -2.6% | -10.1% | 0.3% |
| 3/14/2024 | 7.3% | -2.4% | -24.6% |
| 11/14/2023 | 5.3% | 11.3% | 98.8% |
| 8/8/2023 | -13.7% | -11.2% | -25.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 17.2% | 30.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -10.6% | -10.9% |
| Max Positive | 17.2% | 109.5% | 146.3% |
| Max Negative | -16.2% | -17.6% | -27.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/30/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2031 Cash Runway | 2,031 | 0.1% | Raised | Guidance: 2,028 for 2028 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/10/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2028 Cash Runway | Affirmed | Guidance: 2,028 for 2028 | |||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kuriakose, Emil | Chief Medical Officer | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 52.75 | 942 | 49,693 | 5,574,525 | Form |
| 2 | Burroughs, Amy L | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 46.71 | 14,583 | 681,108 | 13,496,807 | Form |
| 3 | Burroughs, Amy L | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2182026 | 39.19 | 14,583 | 571,579 | 11,326,383 | Form |
| 4 | Burroughs, Amy L | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1162026 | 37.07 | 68,749 | 2,548,603 | 10,712,666 | Form |
| 5 | Burroughs, Amy L | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 38.10 | 71,339 | 2,718,230 | 5,295,403 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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