Tearsheet

Rockwell Automation (ROK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $389.49 | Market Cap: $43.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Rockwell Automation (ROK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $389.49
Market Cap: $43.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13%
Key risks
ROK key risks include [1] its dependence on cyclical industrial capital expenditure, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -13%
4 Key risks
ROK key risks include [1] its dependence on cyclical industrial capital expenditure, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ROK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Rockwell Automation (ROK) stock experienced a significant movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, largely influenced by its fiscal year 2025 fourth-quarter results and strategic corporate developments. Here are five key points explaining the stock's movement: 1. Strong Fourth-Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations. Rockwell Automation reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.34 for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended September 30, 2025), which significantly beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.94. This represented a 32% increase in adjusted EPS compared to the prior-year quarter. 2. Revenue Growth Surpassed Analyst Projections. The company's fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 sales increased by 14% year-over-year to $2.316 billion, exceeding analyst expectations. Specifically, quarterly revenue rose 13.8% year-over-year to $4.63 billion, above analysts' expectations of $2.19 billion. Organic sales also grew by 13% year-over-year in the fourth quarter.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ROK Return26%41%-24%23%-6%43%121%
Peers Return24%21%-1%28%26%11%166%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ROK Win Rate50%67%33%50%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%65%37%53%57%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ROK Max Drawdown-40%-4%-45%0%-19%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-6%-23%-8%-5%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EMR, HON, ETN, PH, AME. See ROK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventROKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,125 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven64 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven424 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven325.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven686 days1,480 days

Compare to HON, CAE, QS, ENVX, FCEL


In The Past

Rockwell Automation's stock fell -45.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/15/2021. A -45.6% loss requires a 83.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rockwell Automation (ROK)

Better Bets than Rockwell Automation (ROK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ROK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rockwell Automation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
Mkt Price389.54131.64199.89315.82863.19199.90257.86
Mkt Cap39.374.0127.0122.8109.246.191.6
Rev LTM8,34218,01540,67026,63320,0307,16419,023
Op Inc LTM1,4233,5317,6925,0494,1371,8743,834
FCF LTM1,3582,6676,1643,3223,3851,6432,994
FCF 3Y Avg1,0701,9515,2123,1143,0811,5912,516
CFO LTM1,5443,0987,4854,1043,8141,7683,456
CFO 3Y Avg1,2612,3566,3363,8813,4881,7222,922

Growth & Margins

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
Rev Chg LTM0.9%3.0%7.5%8.2%0.2%3.7%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%9.4%5.2%9.7%7.4%5.9%6.7%
Rev Chg Q13.8%5.1%7.0%10.1%3.7%10.8%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%1.3%1.7%2.5%0.9%2.6%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM17.1%19.6%18.9%19.0%20.7%26.2%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.7%17.7%19.5%17.8%19.1%25.7%18.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.6%0.8%-0.9%0.1%0.2%-0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.5%17.2%18.4%15.4%19.0%24.7%18.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%13.5%16.4%15.8%17.5%25.1%16.1%
FCF/Rev LTM16.3%14.8%15.2%12.5%16.9%22.9%15.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.5%11.1%13.5%12.6%15.5%23.2%13.1%

Valuation

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
Mkt Cap39.374.0127.0122.8109.246.191.6
P/S4.74.13.35.54.86.14.7
P/EBIT-21.715.229.020.523.521.7
P/E45.232.321.837.126.329.530.9
P/CFO25.423.917.935.525.124.524.8
Total Yield3.7%3.5%6.8%3.0%4.7%4.0%3.9%
Dividend Yield1.5%0.4%2.2%0.3%0.9%0.6%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.9%4.0%2.7%4.3%4.1%4.0%
D/E-0.20.30.10.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.20.20.10.10.00.1

Returns

ROKEMRHONETNPHAMEMedian
NameRockwell.Emerson .Honeywel.Eaton Parker H.AMETEK  
1M Rtn5.3%3.7%1.9%-7.9%5.1%4.7%4.2%
3M Rtn13.4%0.9%0.7%-12.8%17.1%7.5%4.2%
6M Rtn22.0%3.2%-3.4%-5.2%32.9%12.8%8.0%
12M Rtn34.9%4.5%-7.1%-7.8%30.9%7.8%6.2%
3Y Rtn62.1%47.1%7.8%113.4%213.2%49.1%55.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.5%3.0%1.2%-8.6%4.4%4.0%3.5%
3M Excs Rtn10.8%-1.1%0.1%-16.1%13.1%4.8%2.4%
6M Excs Rtn9.6%-9.2%-15.8%-17.5%20.6%0.4%-4.4%
12M Excs Rtn22.1%-8.3%-15.9%-21.2%18.7%-3.7%-6.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-13.3%-23.2%-63.0%36.6%134.1%-24.9%-18.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Intelligent Devices3,8044,0983,5453,312 
Lifecycle Services2,2732,0741,9031,738 
Software & Control2,1872,8862,3131,947 
Total8,2649,0587,7606,997 


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Intelligent Devices700828718702 
Software & Control530953667531 
Lifecycle Services365148158158 
Total1,5951,9301,5431,391 


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Software & Control4,2934,2413,8884,0001,915
Intelligent Devices2,7982,6762,0702,1431,073
Corporate2,1052,5512,8332,4341,585
Lifecycle Services2,0361,8361,9682,1242,692
Total11,23211,30410,75910,7027,265


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,878,254
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202544.4%
Average Daily Volume1,253,644
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.30
Basic Shares Quantity112,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20252.7%8.8%11.3%
8/6/2025-5.0%-1.8%-0.8%
5/7/202511.9%21.9%27.2%
2/10/202512.6%9.7%-0.8%
11/7/2024-5.8%-2.5%0.9%
8/7/2024-0.6%4.3%3.0%
5/7/2024-1.9%-2.6%-6.0%
1/31/2024-17.6%-15.4%-6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91114
# Negative161411
Median Positive7.4%4.9%5.6%
Median Negative-3.4%-3.1%-4.9%
Max Positive12.6%21.9%27.2%
Max Negative-17.6%-18.7%-12.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024210202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022126202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021127202210-Q 12/31/2021