Cohu (COHU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.08 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Cohu (COHU)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $25.08Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -68 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
COHU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat and Revenue Growth
Cohu reported stronger-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, with earnings per share surpassing analyst consensus estimates. The company also demonstrated significant year-over-year revenue growth of 32.5%, reaching $126.25 million, which exceeded analyst expectations. This performance suggests an improving financial trajectory.
2. Acceleration in AI Data Center and Expansion into Key Semiconductor Markets
Cohu is actively expanding its footprint in high-growth areas, notably accelerating its presence in AI data center markets through products like Neon HBM inspection and the Eclipse test handler. The company is also making strategic moves into the memory and silicon carbide power semiconductor markets, which are anticipated to be significant drivers of future demand and revenue.
3. Strategic Acquisition Driving Software Revenue Growth
The acquisition of Tignis, Inc., a provider of artificial intelligence process control and analytics software, is a key strategic initiative. This move aims to enhance Cohu's technology offerings and is projected to contribute to a 50% annual growth in software revenue over the next three years, indicating a focus on higher-margin recurring revenue streams.
4. Positive Long-Term Outlook and Favorable Analyst Forecasts
Management has expressed confidence in Cohu's long-term prospects, citing ongoing strategic initiatives and investments in cutting-edge technologies. This optimism is echoed by analyst forecasts, which project a robust annual revenue growth rate of nearly 14% and anticipate the company's earnings per share to turn positive in the upcoming year.
5. Sequential Improvement in Systems Revenue and Significant Customer Wins
Cohu has shown sequential increases in systems revenue across its Computing, Industrial, and Consumer segments, as evidenced in its Q4 2024 results. Additionally, in Q2 2025, the company secured a substantial $28 million design-win order from a customer serving both mobile and automotive end-markets, signaling strong customer engagement and potential for future revenue generation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| COHU Return | 68% | -0% | -16% | 10% | -25% | -9% | 6% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 48% | -27% | 47% | 4% | 65% | 302% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| COHU Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 53% | 32% | 52% | 40% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| COHU Max Drawdown | -57% | -23% | -35% | -6% | -34% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -3% | -41% | -2% | -7% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | COHU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -51.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 164.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -57.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 447 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -69.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 232.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3125 days | 1480 days |
Compare to Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER
In The Past
Cohu's stock fell -51.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -51.3% loss requires a 105.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to COHU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cohu
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 177.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 159.7 |
| Rev LTM | 8,449 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,047 |
| FCF LTM | 2,265 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,413 |
| CFO LTM | 2,582 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,737 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 24.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 25.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 159.7 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| P/EBIT | 25.3 |
| P/E | 29.1 |
| P/CFO | 26.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 63.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 66.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 69.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 158.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 54.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 52.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 64.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 93.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 4/1/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2162024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |