FormFactor (FORM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.78 | Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
FormFactor (FORM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $53.78Market Cap: $4.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.4% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.5% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% | ||
| Key risksFORM key risks include [1] high customer concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Key risksFORM key risks include [1] high customer concentration, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FORM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The significant stock movement of FormFactor (FORM) by 84.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, could be attributed to several key factors within the semiconductor industry and company-specific performance.
1. Strong Demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) Driven by AI Acceleration: FormFactor has experienced substantial growth in its High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) segment, which grew fourfold in fiscal 2024, largely propelled by the increasing adoption of Generative AI. This surge in demand for HBM, a critical component for AI applications, likely continued to positively impact the company's revenue and future outlook, driving significant stock appreciation.
2. Record-Breaking DRAM Probe Card Revenue: The company reported a third consecutive quarterly record in DRAM probe-card revenue during the fourth quarter of 2024. This sustained strong performance in a key product area, particularly with HBM constituting approximately half of DRAM revenue, indicates robust operational execution and market positioning that could fuel investor confidence and stock growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FORM Return | 66% | 6% | -51% | 88% | 5% | 27% | 116% |
| Peers Return | 57% | 54% | -29% | 61% | 1% | 51% | 320% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FORM Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 25% | 67% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 67% | 40% | 65% | 52% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FORM Max Drawdown | -36% | -23% | -60% | -1% | -10% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -7% | -45% | -3% | -15% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TER, COHU, ONTO, KLAC, LRCX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FORM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 181.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 546 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -41.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 88 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 344 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 301.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,438 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to Q, LRCX, AMAT, KLAC, TER
In The Past
FormFactor's stock fell -64.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2021. A -64.4% loss requires a 181.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FORM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | FORM | FormFactor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 27.1% | 39.5% | -27.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| 09302022 | FORM | FormFactor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 27.1% | 39.5% | -27.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for FormFactor
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 151.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,931 |
| Op Inc LTM | 354 |
| FCF LTM | 359 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 316 |
| CFO LTM | 482 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 422 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.3 |
| P/S | 7.0 |
| P/EBIT | 31.8 |
| P/E | 34.9 |
| P/CFO | 26.6 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 27.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 56.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 34.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 118.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 44.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 27.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 42.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | 24.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% |
| 7/30/2025 | -17.5% | -19.8% | -14.2% |
| 4/30/2025 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| 2/5/2025 | -6.8% | -12.7% | -19.7% |
| 10/30/2024 | -13.3% | -5.0% | -8.6% |
| 7/31/2024 | -11.8% | -19.5% | -8.9% |
| 5/1/2024 | 17.6% | 27.6% | 24.4% |
| 2/7/2024 | 2.2% | 11.6% | 16.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 6.7% | 11.6% | 13.9% |
| Median Negative | -6.7% | -12.2% | -13.1% |
| Max Positive | 24.2% | 27.6% | 48.6% |
| Max Negative | -24.1% | -30.4% | -27.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |