Tearsheet

BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.715 | Market Cap: $486.0 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.715
Market Cap: $486.0 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 35%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 188%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 104%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 505x
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17813%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17813%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -87%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Key risks
TCPC key risks include [1] ongoing pressure on its Net Asset Value from challenged portfolio credit quality and elevated non-accrual loans, Show more.
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 21%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 35%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 104%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17813%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17813%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -96%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 188%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 505x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -87%
9 Key risks
TCPC key risks include [1] ongoing pressure on its Net Asset Value from challenged portfolio credit quality and elevated non-accrual loans, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TCPC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. **Continued Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV) and Trading Discount**

BlackRock TCP Capital experienced a notable decline in its Net Asset Value (NAV) per share, which dropped to $8.71 as of June 30, 2025, from $9.18 in the prior quarter, representing a 5.1% quarterly decrease and a 14.6% year-over-year decline from Q2 2024. Although the NAV stabilized in Q3 2025, the stock continued to trade at a significant discount to its NAV, reaching 34.56% by mid-November 2025, reflecting persistent investor skepticism regarding the company's ability to stabilize and grow its NAV amidst challenging market conditions. 2. **Missed Earnings and Declining Net Investment Income**

The company reported Q2 2025 earnings that slightly missed analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. This trend of underperformance continued into Q3 2025, with adjusted net investment income declining to $0.30 per share from $0.31 per share in Q2 2025. Furthermore, total investment income for Q3 2025 also fell short of expectations, indicating a 28.8% year-over-year decline. 3. **Weakening Portfolio Quality and Elevated Non-Accrual Rates**

Concerns surrounding the quality of TCPC's investment portfolio contributed to investor apprehension. Despite a reported decline in non-accrual loans to 3.5% of the portfolio at fair value in Q3 2025 from a peak of 5.6% in Q4 2024, these rates remained higher compared to those of some industry peers. Earlier analyst reports from August 2025 had already highlighted weakening portfolio quality and an increase in non-accruals as significant risks. 4. **Liquidation of Homerenew Buyer Inc. (Renovo) Investment**

Subsequent to September 30, 2025, BlackRock TCP Capital identified specific issues with its investment in Homerenew Buyer Inc. ("Renovo"), which ultimately commenced a liquidation process on November 3, 2025. This event was projected to negatively impact TCPC's fourth-quarter NAV by approximately $0.15 per share. 5. **Bearish Analyst Sentiment and Outlook**

Analysts revised their earnings estimates downward for upcoming periods, signaling continued near-term pressure on the company's performance. This bearish sentiment was compounded by technical indicators that showed an overall bearish moving average trend for TCPC as of mid-December 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TCPC Return-9%31%6%3%-12%-21%-10%
Peers Return-1%32%-10%31%25%5%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TCPC Win Rate58%75%67%58%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%77%42%67%75%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TCPC Max Drawdown-68%-1%-14%-22%-25%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-2%-21%-4%-0%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ARCC, MAIN, GBDC, HTGC, TSLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTCPCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven235.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven362 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTS, SLRC, DHIL, GEG, FGNX


In The Past

BlackRock TCP Capital's stock fell -31.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/16/2022. A -31.9% loss requires a 46.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)

Better Bets than BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TCPC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.2%-4.2%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.4%4.4%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.5%-10.5%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BlackRock TCP Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TCPCARCCMAINGBDCHTGCTSLXMedian
NameBlackRoc.Ares Cap.Main Str.Golub Ca.Hercules.Sixth St. 
Mkt Price5.7020.1960.5313.5418.7521.7619.47
Mkt Cap0.514.35.43.63.42.13.5
Rev LTM11,551623408405241406
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM186-1,558318-114-39929736
FCF 3Y Avg178-1,089127142-1623380
CFO LTM186-1,558318-114-39929736
CFO 3Y Avg178-1,089127142-1623380

Growth & Margins

TCPCARCCMAINGBDCHTGCTSLXMedian
NameBlackRoc.Ares Cap.Main Str.Golub Ca.Hercules.Sixth St. 
Rev Chg LTM104.2%-11.2%9.8%52.3%-1.5%-4.9%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-87.1%20.8%27.6%39.8%67.7%34.3%30.9%
Rev Chg Q1.8%5.5%-0.2%10.7%60.5%-3.3%3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM72.9%1.6%-0.0%2.5%15.6%-0.8%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM17,813.4%-100.5%51.0%-27.9%-98.7%123.1%11.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--63.3%22.2%57.3%-40.9%15.7%15.7%
FCF/Rev LTM17,813.4%-100.5%51.0%-27.9%-98.7%123.1%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--63.3%22.2%57.3%-41.1%15.7%15.7%

Valuation

TCPCARCCMAINGBDCHTGCTSLXMedian
NameBlackRoc.Ares Cap.Main Str.Golub Ca.Hercules.Sixth St. 
Mkt Cap0.514.35.43.63.42.13.5
P/S504.89.39.18.88.48.99.0
P/EBIT-------
P/E-57.310.610.69.611.011.210.6
P/CFO2.8-9.317.9-31.7-8.57.3-2.9
Total Yield19.4%18.0%15.3%20.7%18.5%16.7%18.3%
Dividend Yield21.1%8.6%5.9%10.2%9.4%7.8%9.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg28.4%-7.6%2.7%4.4%-5.2%1.0%1.8%
D/E2.01.10.41.40.60.91.0
Net D/E1.91.00.41.40.60.80.9

Returns

TCPCARCCMAINGBDCHTGCTSLXMedian
NameBlackRoc.Ares Cap.Main Str.Golub Ca.Hercules.Sixth St. 
1M Rtn5.4%5.0%6.4%2.3%9.5%7.2%5.9%
3M Rtn-10.1%-2.0%-6.4%-1.3%0.2%-4.9%-3.5%
6M Rtn-17.3%-1.8%7.1%-2.8%9.5%-1.5%-1.7%
12M Rtn-23.5%3.7%17.0%0.7%8.0%15.0%5.8%
3Y Rtn-27.8%45.9%108.9%47.0%96.0%73.8%60.4%
1M Excs Rtn4.6%4.3%5.7%1.6%8.7%6.5%5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-11.8%-4.9%-8.2%-3.3%-1.9%-6.7%-5.8%
6M Excs Rtn-29.7%-14.2%-5.3%-15.2%-2.9%-13.9%-14.0%
12M Excs Rtn-37.2%-9.3%5.9%-11.1%-4.3%2.7%-6.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-96.0%-25.2%38.2%-24.8%20.9%-1.0%-12.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment14183233160131
Total14183233160131


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,770,885
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.0%
Average Daily Volume572,200
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.84
Basic Shares Quantity85,034,351
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20254.7%6.3%10.7%
8/7/2025-3.6%0.3%0.6%
5/8/20257.4%16.2%18.3%
2/27/2025-9.6%-13.5%-11.1%
11/6/20249.6%10.1%17.9%
8/7/2024-8.8%-12.6%-7.6%
2/29/2024-3.9%-6.4%-3.5%
11/2/20235.1%5.3%12.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111214
# Negative1097
Median Positive4.7%5.2%8.0%
Median Negative-2.9%-4.2%-7.6%
Max Positive9.6%16.2%29.0%
Max Negative-10.0%-13.5%-51.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021