BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $3.46 | Market Cap: $291.8 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)
Market Price (6/18/2026): $3.46Market Cap: $291.8 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Asset Management & Custody Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 30%, FCF Yield is 91% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -116 Mil Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 291% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -247%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -88%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -149% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% Key risksTCPC key risks include [1] ongoing pressure on its Net Asset Value from challenged portfolio credit quality and elevated non-accrual loans, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 30%, FCF Yield is 91% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is -116 Mil |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 291% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -247%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -88%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -149% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| Key risksTCPC key risks include [1] ongoing pressure on its Net Asset Value from challenged portfolio credit quality and elevated non-accrual loans, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) stock has lost about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV).
BlackRock TCP Capital's net asset value per share decreased by 4.9% to $6.72 as of March 31, 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), compared to $7.07 as of December 31, 2025 (fiscal Q4 2025). This decline primarily reflected $35 million in net portfolio markdowns during the quarter.
2. Significant Portfolio Markdowns and Realized Losses.
In fiscal Q1 2026, the company recorded substantial portfolio markdowns, including approximately $11 million related to "Job and Talent" due to weaker performance and valuation multiple compression, and another $11 million from software investments (representing 30.5% of the portfolio) attributed to multiple compression, slower growth expectations, and risks associated with AI disruption. Additionally, TCPC realized $32.7 million in losses, largely from the sale of Fishbowl and the restructuring of Alpine 4840, together accounting for around $30 million.
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BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) stock has lost about 10% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Decline in Net Asset Value (NAV).
BlackRock TCP Capital's net asset value per share decreased by 4.9% to $6.72 as of March 31, 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), compared to $7.07 as of December 31, 2025 (fiscal Q4 2025). This decline primarily reflected $35 million in net portfolio markdowns during the quarter.
2. Significant Portfolio Markdowns and Realized Losses.
In fiscal Q1 2026, the company recorded substantial portfolio markdowns, including approximately $11 million related to "Job and Talent" due to weaker performance and valuation multiple compression, and another $11 million from software investments (representing 30.5% of the portfolio) attributed to multiple compression, slower growth expectations, and risks associated with AI disruption. Additionally, TCPC realized $32.7 million in losses, largely from the sale of Fishbowl and the restructuring of Alpine 4840, together accounting for around $30 million.
3. Deterioration in Adjusted Net Investment Income.
BlackRock TCP Capital's adjusted net investment income fell to $0.21 per share in fiscal Q1 2026, a decrease from $0.25 per share reported in the preceding fiscal Q4 2025. This reduction reflected a smaller investment portfolio and increased expenses, contributing to investor concerns regarding the company's profitability.
4. Broad BDC Sector Weakness.
The broader Business Development Company (BDC) sector experienced widespread Net Asset Value (NAV) contractions and a median net investment income (NII) decline of nearly 6% in fiscal Q1 2026. This trend, driven by public credit spread widening that resulted in net unrealized depreciation across the sector, contributed to negative sentiment for TCPC and other BDCs. The weighted average non-accrual rate for public and non-traded BDCs combined also increased to 1.99% in fiscal Q1 2026, up from 1.42% in fiscal Q4 2025, with technology and services sectors being among the most impacted.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.7% change in TCPC stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -36.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.71 | 3.39 | -8.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -81 | -116 | 43.7% |
| P/S Multiple | -3.9 | -2.5 | -36.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 85 | 84 | 0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.7% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -8.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.3% | 42.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.6% | 44.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.0% change in TCPC stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -11222.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.22 | 3.39 | -35.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1 | -116 | -11222.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 424.8 | -2.5 | -100.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 85 | 84 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -35.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.0% | 28.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.2% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -46.1% change in TCPC stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -84.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.29 | 3.39 | -46.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | -33 | -116 | 246.9% |
| P/S Multiple | -16.0 | -2.5 | -84.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 85 | 84 | 0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -46.1% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -46.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 27.2% | 23.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.7% | 30.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -44.9% change in TCPC stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026 was primarily driven by a -1152.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6172026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.15 | 3.39 | -44.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11 | -116 | -1152.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 32.2 | -2.5 | -107.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 84 | -31.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -44.9% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/17/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -44.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.3% | 38.0% |
| Sector (XLF) | 78.6% | 41.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TCPC Return | 31% | 6% | 3% | -12% | -26% | -30% | -35% |
| Peers Return | 32% | -10% | 31% | 25% | 5% | -9% | 86% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TCPC Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 58% | 33% | 42% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 77% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 53% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TCPC Max Drawdown | -8% | -22% | -25% | -28% | -35% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -26% | -14% | -12% | -19% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, MAIN, GBDC, HTGC, TSLX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/17/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TCPC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -14.5% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 25 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -68.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 345 days | 140 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.0% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 69 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.0% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 15 days |
In The Past
BlackRock TCP Capital's stock fell -8.5% during the Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 9.2% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | TCPC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -68.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 345 days | 140 days |
In The Past
BlackRock TCP Capital's stock fell -8.5% during the Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 9.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)
BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. (TCPC) operates as a business development company (BDC) specializing in providing capital to middle-market companies within the United States. Its core business involves making direct investments, which include both debt and equity, to support the growth and operational needs of these businesses.
The company's main products and services involve offering various forms of financing, such as senior secured loans, junior loans, originated loans, mezzanine financing, and bonds. Additionally, TCPC frequently makes equity investments, aiming to acquire an ownership stake in the companies it funds. These investments typically range from $10 million to $35 million in companies with enterprise values between $100 million and $1500 million.
TCPC primarily serves a diverse customer base of middle-market companies across numerous sectors in the U.S. These industries include communication services, restaurants, energy, healthcare, biotechnology, engineering services, manufacturing, and information technology consulting, among many others. By deploying capital across such a wide array of businesses, TCPC seeks to generate returns for its investors.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC):
- Like a Blackstone or Apollo, but focusing exclusively on providing both loans and equity to established, medium-sized American businesses.
- A unique hybrid of a specialty lender and a private equity firm, providing growth capital to established, non-public companies.
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- Equity Investments: Providing capital directly to companies in exchange for an ownership stake.
- Senior Secured Loans: Lending capital that is secured by company assets and has a high repayment priority.
- Junior Loans: Offering debt capital that is subordinate to senior debt in the capital structure.
- Mezzanine Investments: Supplying hybrid debt and equity financing, typically unsecured but senior to common equity.
- Debt Securities & Bonds: Investing in various forms of debt instruments, including those acquired from secondary markets.
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BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) operates as a business development company (BDC) specializing in providing debt and equity capital to other companies. Therefore, its "customers" are the middle-market companies in which it makes direct investments or provides loans, rather than individual consumers.
The provided background information outlines the types of industries and companies TCPC typically invests in, which include a broad range of sectors such as communication services, apparel, restaurants, energy, insurance, healthcare, biotechnology, engineering services, tax accounting, scientific consulting, charter freight air transportation, information technology consulting, software, computer components, and chemicals.
However, the specific names of the individual customer companies (i.e., the portfolio companies in which BlackRock TCP Capital has invested or to which it has lent capital) are not provided in the background description. Consequently, we cannot list the names of its major customer companies or their public symbols based on the information given.
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BlackRock, Inc. (BLK)
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Philip Tseng, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer & Co-CIO
Mr. Tseng is the Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, Co-Chief Investment Officer, and Director of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. He is a senior leader in BlackRock's Global Private Debt Platform and Head of U.S. Private Capital (USPC), overseeing investment committees, processes, talent, risk management, and performance across the Company and related vehicles. Prior to joining BlackRock, Mr. Tseng was a Managing Partner at Tennenbaum Capital Partners (TCP), where he was also a member of the Management Committee. TCP was acquired by BlackRock in 2018. He was previously a member of the Credit Suisse First Boston technology investment banking group, where he advised on and executed M&A, public and private equity, and structured debt transactions. He also spent time in investment banking at Deutsche Banc Alex Brown. Mr. Tseng currently serves as a Director on the board of the California Science Center Foundation, and previously served as a Director on the boards of First Advantage, Connexity Inc., and Anacomp, Inc.
Erik L. Cuellar, Chief Financial Officer & Treasurer
Mr. Cuellar serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp., responsible for financial and regulatory reporting. He has been with BlackRock and its predecessor, TCP Capital, since 2011. Prior to his current role, Mr. Cuellar served as Controller for Ares Capital Corporation. Before that, he was the Assistant Treasurer and Principal Accounting Officer for the Metropolitan West Funds at Metropolitan West Asset Management. He also managed the Alternative Investments Group at Western Asset Management Company and began his career as a Senior Auditor in the Financial Services Group at Deloitte & Touche LLP.
Jason Mehring, President
Mr. Mehring is the President of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. He is a Managing Director and a senior member of the investment team within BlackRock's Private Financing Solutions (PFS) platform. He plays a leadership role in the evaluation, structuring, and execution of private secured investments in U.S. core middle market companies.
Patrick Wolfe, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Wolfe is the Chief Operating Officer of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. He is a Managing Director and a senior member of the investment team within BlackRock's Private Financing Solutions (PFS) platform, where he is a leader in BlackRock's U.S. core middle market direct lending strategy.
Dan Worrell, Co-CIO
Mr. Worrell serves as the Co-Chief Investment Officer of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. He is a Managing Director and a senior member of the investment team within BlackRock's Private Financing Solutions (PFS) platform, where he is a leader in BlackRock's U.S. core middle market direct lending strategy.
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1. Credit Quality and Loan Defaults
A primary risk for TCPC is the credit quality of its portfolio companies, leading to potential loan defaults and writedowns. As a significant portion of its investments are in middle-market companies, many of which may be developing or financially distressed, there is an elevated risk that these borrowers may struggle to repay their loans or even go out of business. Evidence of this risk has been seen in recent periods, with net realized losses on loans, mark-downs on portfolio holdings, and an increase in non-accrual loans, which directly impact the company's Net Asset Value (NAV) per share.
2. Interest Rate Sensitivity
TCPC's net investment income is highly sensitive to changes in interest rates due to a large portion of its portfolio being comprised of floating-rate loans. While rising rates can sometimes benefit investment spread income, significant increases can also lead to higher borrowing costs for TCPC's portfolio companies, potentially impairing their ability to service debt and negatively affecting TCPC's profitability. Conversely, a significant drop in rates could pressure yields on new investments.
3. Concentration and Valuation Risk of Illiquid Investments
The company is exposed to concentration risk, where a substantial portion of its NAV losses can stem from a limited number of troubled positions, indicating insufficient diversification. Furthermore, its investments, particularly in private equity and second-lien loans, are illiquid and subject to significant valuation volatility. Valuations of private companies can swing dramatically based on projections and funding rounds, and when these expectations are not met, the impact on NAV can be severe. The illiquidity of these investments also makes it challenging to divest assets quickly at favorable prices if needed.
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The addressable markets for BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.'s main products and services, which involve direct equity and debt investments in U.S. middle-market companies, are significant within the U.S. private credit and private equity sectors.
For its debt investments, the U.S. private credit market, which encompasses direct lending to middle-market firms, was valued at approximately $1.3 trillion in 2026 and is projected to expand further to over $3 trillion in assets under management by 2028. Business development companies (BDCs), such as BlackRock TCP Capital, constitute about $500 billion of this private credit market. The estimated total addressable market for private credit in the United States is even larger, estimated at $30 trillion.
Regarding its equity investments, the overall U.S. Private Equity Market was valued at $475.08 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to grow to $860.39 billion by 2030. Middle-market companies are a primary focus for private equity firms in the U.S. due to their attractive growth potential.
The middle market in the U.S. generally comprises around 200,000 businesses with annual revenues typically ranging from $10 million to $1 billion or enterprise values between $10 million and $1 billion, accounting for approximately one-third of the total U.S. private sector gross domestic product.
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- Portfolio Repositioning towards Senior Secured First Lien Loans and Diversification: The company is actively repositioning its investment portfolio to increase its allocation to senior secured first-lien loans. This strategic shift aims to reduce subordination risk and improve recovery potential, which can lead to more stable and higher-quality interest income. Additionally, TCPC is reducing the average size of new investments to enhance portfolio diversification and mitigate concentration and credit risk.
- Enhanced Origination and Investment Capabilities through the BlackRock Platform and Strategic Partnerships: BlackRock TCP Capital plans to leverage the extensive resources and expertise of BlackRock's platform, including the capabilities gained from the acquisition of HPS Investment Partners, which was completed on July 1, 2025. This integration is expected to strengthen TCPC's private credit and restructuring capabilities, enabling it to source, originate, and manage more complex and attractive credit investments, thereby increasing investment income.
- Strategic Focus on Resilient Middle-Market Sectors: TCPC is targeting investments in less historically cyclical industries, such as software, financial services, and professional services. The company seeks to identify businesses supported by long-term, sustainable growth drivers and economic resilience within the middle market. This focused investment strategy aims to improve overall portfolio quality and stability, ultimately contributing to more consistent and growing interest and fee income.
- Improved Credit Quality and Reduction of Non-Accrual Investments: Management is actively working to address and resolve credit issues within the portfolio, as evidenced by efforts to reduce non-accrual loans. Improvements in credit quality directly translate to higher revenue by increasing the proportion of performing loans that generate interest income, thus bolstering the company's net investment income.
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Share Repurchases
- BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. re-approved a stock repurchase plan in October 2023 and again on April 24, 2024, authorizing up to $50 million in common stock repurchases, effective through April 30, 2025, or until fully utilized. This plan has been in effect since at least 2015.
- From January 1, 2026, to February 26, 2026, the company repurchased 233,541 shares for a total cost of $1.3 million.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, BlackRock TCP Capital spent $2.5 million on share buybacks.
Share Issuance
- On March 18, 2024, in connection with a merger, BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. issued shares of its common stock with a market value of $280,464,610, in exchange for net assets, incurring an additional $2,366,408 in merger costs.
- A new dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) was approved on February 27, 2024, effective March 18, 2024, allowing shareholders to reinvest cash distributions into additional common stock.
- Approximately $0.4 million of cash distributions were reinvested through open market purchases via the DRIP in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Outbound Investments
- BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.'s primary investment focus is the origination and investment in debt securities of performing middle-market companies.
- As of December 31, 2025, the company's investment portfolio was valued at $1,533.3 million, primarily composed of debt investments with 88.6% in senior secured loans and 3.9% in senior secured notes across 141 portfolio companies.
- During the three months ended December 31, 2025, the company invested approximately $35.5 million, with 98.7% of these acquisitions being senior secured loans. During the same period, approximately $80.7 million was received from sales or repayments of investments.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.96 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| Rev LTM | 335 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 32 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 27 |
| CFO LTM | 32 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 27 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -16.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | -92.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -20.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -31.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -31.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.39 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/04/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -48.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.81 | $4.53 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -11.1% | -25.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.3% | 34.1% |
| Downside Capture | 158.52 | 122.15 |
| Upside Capture | 95.33 | 19.13 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.3% | 23.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.65 | 1.38 | 1.40 | 0.98 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| Up Beta | 0.01 | 1.16 | 1.09 | 0.98 | 0.84 | 0.80 |
| Down Beta | 1.20 | 1.23 | 1.87 | 1.44 | 0.80 | 0.86 |
| Up Capture | -48% | 97% | 109% | 23% | 7% | 16% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 116 | 372 |
| Down Capture | 262% | 264% | 168% | 136% | 105% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 15 | 26 | 60 | 125 | 352 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TCPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -44.3% | 34.1% | -1.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.7% | 14.6% | 0.35 | 31.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.5% | 12.4% | 1.48 | 24.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.7% | 27.5% | 0.79 | -1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 22.7% | 18.9% | 0.95 | -8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 10.6% | 13.8% | 0.49 | 23.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -38.7% | 42.4% | -1.04 | 16.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TCPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -14.1% | 26.4% | -0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.6% | 18.6% | 0.39 | 44.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 42.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.9% | 18.3% | 0.75 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 13.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 37.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 21.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with TCPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCPC | -2.6% | 34.5% | 0.01 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.0% | 22.2% | 0.54 | 44.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | 0.72 | 40.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.4% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 19.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 43.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.4% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 15.1% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/10/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 0.0% | -4.8% | -15.6% |
| 2/27/2026 | -9.3% | -12.0% | -20.0% |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -3.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 7.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| 2/27/2025 | -9.6% | -13.5% | -11.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 9.6% | 10.1% | 17.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | -8.8% | -12.6% | -7.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -6.4% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 9.6% | 16.2% | 29.0% |
| Max Negative | -10.0% | -13.5% | -20.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/7/2026 | 0.0% | -4.8% | -15.6% |
| 2/27/2026 | -9.3% | -12.0% | -20.0% |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -3.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 5/8/2025 | 7.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% |
| 2/27/2025 | -9.6% | -13.5% | -11.1% |
| 11/6/2024 | 9.6% | 10.1% | 17.9% |
| 8/7/2024 | -8.8% | -12.6% | -7.6% |
| 5/1/2024 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 9.0% |
| 2/29/2024 | -3.9% | -6.4% | -3.5% |
| 11/2/2023 | 5.1% | 5.3% | 12.9% |
| 8/3/2023 | 2.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| 5/4/2023 | 1.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% |
| 2/28/2023 | -10.0% | -7.8% | -19.5% |
| 11/3/2022 | 6.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% |
| 8/3/2022 | 0.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| 5/4/2022 | 2.6% | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2/24/2022 | 0.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% |
| 11/3/2021 | -0.2% | -2.0% | -5.4% |
| 8/2/2021 | -1.6% | -0.6% | 0.2% |
| 5/5/2021 | 0.6% | -0.6% | 2.9% |
| 2/25/2021 | -1.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% |
| 11/2/2020 | 6.7% | 10.6% | 29.0% |
| 8/6/2020 | -2.2% | 0.1% | -2.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.5% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -6.4% | -7.6% |
| Max Positive | 9.6% | 16.2% | 29.0% |
| Max Negative | -10.0% | -13.5% | -20.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/03/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/02/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/02/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/26/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/06/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Dividends | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | Same New | Actual: 0.17 for Q1 2026 | ||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/27/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividend | 0.17 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfe, Patrick | Chief Operating Officer | As custodian of UTMA | Buy | 3172026 | 3.65 | 2,075 | 7,567 | 5,014 | Form |
| 2 | Wolfe, Patrick | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 3.65 | 6,850 | 24,968 | 58,633 | Form |
| 3 | Worrell, August Daniel | Co-Chief Investment Officer | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.75 | 40,000 | 150,000 | 425,625 | Form |
| 4 | Cuellar, Erik L | CFO | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.86 | 1,750 | 6,752 | 7,717 | Form |
| 5 | Worrell, August Daniel | Co-Chief Investment Officer | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.89 | 40,000 | 155,600 | 285,915 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolfe, Patrick | Chief Operating Officer | As custodian of UTMA | Buy | 3172026 | 3.65 | 2,075 | 7,567 | 5,014 | Form |
| 2 | Wolfe, Patrick | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Buy | 3172026 | 3.65 | 6,850 | 24,968 | 58,633 | Form |
| 3 | Worrell, August Daniel | Co-Chief Investment Officer | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.75 | 40,000 | 150,000 | 425,625 | Form |
| 4 | Cuellar, Erik L | CFO | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.86 | 1,750 | 6,752 | 7,717 | Form |
| 5 | Worrell, August Daniel | Co-Chief Investment Officer | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.89 | 40,000 | 155,600 | 285,915 | Form |
| 6 | Mehring, Jason | President | Direct | Buy | 3102026 | 3.86 | 6,500 | 25,090 | 112,744 | Form |
| 7 | Leets, Karen L | Direct | Buy | 5132025 | 7.55 | 3,300 | 24,915 | 57,984 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks Resources |
| Pensions & Investments |
| Institutional Investor |
| Ignites |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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