Tearsheet

Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $93.23 | Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $93.23
Market Cap: $4.3 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -162%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%
 
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -162%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
8 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 8.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TCBI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI) experienced a stock movement of 7.8% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Record Third Quarter 2025 Earnings: On October 22, 2025, Texas Capital Bancshares reported record third-quarter financial results that significantly surpassed analyst expectations. The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.18, substantially higher than the analyst estimate of $1.81. Total revenue reached $340.35 million, exceeding the estimated $331.43 million. Net income available to common stockholders also hit a record $100.9 million, indicating robust operational execution and an improved earnings power.

2. Authorization of a New Share Repurchase Program: On December 2, 2025, the company's board of directors approved a new share repurchase program for calendar year 2026, allowing for the repurchase of up to $200 million of its outstanding common stock. This new program, effective December 12, 2025, replaces a previous one and underscores the bank's strategy of returning capital to shareholders. Under the prior program, approximately 2.0 million shares had already been repurchased at a total cost of $164 million, including 1.2 million shares for $105.2 million during the fourth quarter of 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TCBI Return5%1%0%7%21%16%60%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TCBI Win Rate50%50%58%50%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TCBI Max Drawdown-66%-8%-18%-27%-14%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTCBIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven564 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-52.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven111.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven245.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Texas Capital Bancshares's stock fell -51.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -51.1% loss requires a 104.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)

Better Bets than Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TCBI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Texas Capital Bancshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TCBINEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameTexas Ca.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price93.3511.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap4.30.30.2--84.22.3
Rev LTM1,2122696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM229-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg308-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM249-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg339-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

TCBINEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameTexas Ca.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM35.5%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg12.0%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%12.0%
Rev Chg Q171.6%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.6%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM20.5%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%19.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg34.7%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM18.9%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%17.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.4%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

TCBINEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameTexas Ca.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap4.30.30.2--84.22.3
P/S3.21.12.7--7.42.9
P/EBIT-------
P/E12.94.911.6--28.812.2
P/CFO15.5-0.67.9--16.811.7
Total Yield7.8%20.2%13.5%--3.5%10.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.7%
D/E0.22.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-1.61.8-4.5---0.4-1.0

Returns

TCBINEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameTexas Ca.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn9.4%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn8.0%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn29.4%10.7%29.3%--46.1%29.3%
12M Rtn6.0%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%19.3%
3Y Rtn55.8%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%32.3%
1M Excs Rtn9.5%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn1.7%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.3%
6M Excs Rtn14.7%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%14.6%
12M Excs Rtn-8.0%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%6.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-11.3%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-35.9%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,0769778799901,050
Total1,0769778799901,050


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,659,472
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.6%
Average Daily Volume454,252
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.65
Basic Shares Quantity45,708,185
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251023202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025717202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025417202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241017202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024718202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024418202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231019202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023720202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023420202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221020202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-K 12/31/2021