Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Swarm Robotics, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 567%
1   Key risks
SWMR key risks include [1] an over-reliance on the conflict in Ukraine for its unique operational dataset and [2] the potential loss of its competitive advantage in rapid, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Swarm Robotics, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -9.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
2 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 567%
3 Key risks
SWMR key risks include [1] an over-reliance on the conflict in Ukraine for its unique operational dataset and [2] the potential loss of its competitive advantage in rapid, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SWMR  
Market (SPY)-5.3%-38.7%
Sector (XLK)-9.1%-19.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SWMR  
Market (SPY)0.6%-38.7%
Sector (XLK)-0.7%-19.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SWMR  
Market (SPY)9.8%-38.7%
Sector (XLK)15.9%-19.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SWMR  
Market (SPY)69.4%-38.7%
Sector (XLK)94.5%-19.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SWMR Return-----18%18%
Peers Return1%4%24%285%47%22%798%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SWMR Win Rate-----100% 
Peers Win Rate38%55%57%58%55%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SWMR Max Drawdown------15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-27%-17%-15%-24%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVAV, KTOS, RCAT, NOC, LMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SWMR has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven278 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven46.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven115.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,183 days1,480 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, RCAT, NOC, LMT

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Swarmer (SWMR)

We are launching the future of autonomous warfare through combat-proven software that enables military forces to deploy and coordinate drone swarms at significant scale. While hardware manufacturers compete and as the go-to in an increasingly commoditized market, we seek to establish ourself as a critical software layer operating system for autonomous swarm operations positioning us to capture increased value as the global military drone market experiences growth projected to exceed 12% compound annual growth through 2030. Combat-Proven Experience Through Operational Deployment Unlike competitors developing capabilities in peacetime laboratory environments, we have maintained continuous combat deployment in Ukraine since 2023, executing over 100,000 combat missions flown by drones that were equipped with our Trident Embedded Drone Operating System (Trident OS), operating at varying degrees of autonomy depending on each end-user’s requirements and tactics. This operational deployment has generated a key strategic asset: a comprehensive operational dataset that creates a powerful reinforcement loop compounding over time whereby better data enables better-performing systems, better-performing systems receive broader deployment, broader deployment generates more data. Competitors without similar operational access face fundamental limitations in achieving comparable autonomous capability maturity regardless of their engineering resources. This data advantage would require competitors to gain similar operational deployment to replicate, with such deployment opportunities being inherently limited and difficult to obtain. Our compressed iteration cycles in active combat enable capability enhancement velocities that we believe are unachievable by traditional defense contractors. Where we believe that our competitors require months or years to develop their technology, we identify capability gaps, develop solutions, deploy to operational units, and validate performance in actual combat missions within days. We believe this operational tempo gives us a competitive advantage and enables us to deliver customer-requested capabilities faster than our competitors. Architected to Capitalize on Favorable Industry Dynamics Our business model is specifically designed to capture value from structural transformation in the defense drone industry. As hardware manufacturing fragments with hundreds of new drone manufacturers emerging annually in recent years and hardware margins compress, we believe autonomous software is consolidating toward companies with substantial operational datasets. Our per-unit software licensing model creates highly attractive unit economics that improve as the market scales. Our software licensing fees remain stable per unit while our incremental cost to license additional units approaches zero, creating expanding gross margins as volume increases. As drone manufacturers face margin compression, we believe our software becomes an increasingly critical value differentiator, positioning us as a strategic partner able to help manufacturers defend margins and win competitive procurements. Vendor-Agnostic Platform Positioning for Market Capture We believe our vendor-agnostic architecture represents a fundamental strategic advantage, positioning us as a critical integration layer for the fragmenting hardware ecosystem. By designing our software to integrate with drones from any manufacturer, we partner with leading manufacturers. As hardware manufacturing fragments, military forces require interoperability across diverse platforms. Our vendor-agnostic approach positions us to benefit from the entire market’s growth rather than limiting ourselves to proprietary hardware platforms, while providing strategic resilience as we are not dependent on any single manufacturer’s success. Multi-Domain Expansion and Scaling Roadmap We have systematically expanded from unmanned aerial vehicles to multi-domain operations encompassing unmanned ground vehicles, unmanned surface vessels, and planned integration with missiles and guidance kits. Our 2026 roadmap targets coordination of thousands of systems across air, ground, and maritime environments, positioning us to address the full spectrum of unmanned systems requirements and significantly expanding our addressable market opportunity. Our principal executive offices are located in Austin, TX.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Swarmer:

  • Swarmer is like the Android operating system for military drones, making them smart and interoperable across different hardware manufacturers.
  • Swarmer is the 'Intel Inside' for military drone swarms, providing the embedded operating system that powers their autonomous capabilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The major product offered by Swarmer (SWMR) is:

  • Trident Embedded Drone Operating System (Trident OS): A combat-proven software operating system that enables military forces to deploy and coordinate drone swarms and other unmanned systems across air, ground, and maritime domains.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Swarmer (SWMR) primarily sells to other companies. Its major customers are:

  • Drone Manufacturers: Swarmer licenses its Trident Embedded Drone Operating System (Trident OS) to drone manufacturers. The company positions itself as a strategic partner to these manufacturers, helping them integrate autonomous software to differentiate their products and defend margins in a competitive market. The background information states: "By designing our software to integrate with drones from any manufacturer, we partner with leading manufacturers" and "As drone manufacturers face margin compression, we believe our software becomes an increasingly critical value differentiator, positioning us as a strategic partner able to help manufacturers defend margins and win competitive procurements."

    While the company states it partners with "leading manufacturers," the provided background information does not list the specific names or symbols of these customer companies.

The ultimate end-users of the drones equipped with Swarmer's software are military forces, as indicated by its "combat-proven software that enables military forces to deploy and coordinate drone swarms at significant scale" and its continuous operational deployment in Ukraine.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Serhii Kupriienko, Chief Executive Officer (Global) and Director

Serhii Kupriienko is a co-founder of Swarmer. He previously served as an AI and computer vision leader at Ring and Squad Ukraine. He holds a Master's in Computer Science and an MBA from Stanford GSB.

Alexander Fink, Chief Executive Officer (U.S.), President, and Director

Alexander Fink, also a co-founder of Swarmer, has founded other AI and defense-related ventures. He previously served as CEO of Otherweb and Panopteo, and held prior roles at Ambarella and Zoran. He holds a B.A. from Technion and an MBA from UMass Amherst.

Brooks Ensign, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Brooks Ensign has held senior finance roles as Vice President Controller at Aptose and Global Corporate Controller at Silvaco. He is a U.S. Navy veteran and holds an MBA and BA from Harvard.

Jennifer DeTrani, Chief Legal Officer, General Counsel, and Secretary

Jennifer DeTrani previously served as Chief Legal and Corporate Affairs Officer at Nisos and was co-founder and General Counsel at Wickr. Earlier in her career, she was an Assistant U.S. Attorney with the U.S. Department of Justice. She holds a J.D. from the University of Michigan.

Erik Prince, Non-Executive Chairman

Erik Prince is the founder of Blackwater and is known as a private equity investor with extensive global defense and logistics experience. He also has a background as a U.S. Navy SEAL.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The primary key risk to Swarmer's business is its over-reliance on the continuous combat deployment in Ukraine since 2023 for its operational dataset and competitive advantage.

The company explicitly states that this deployment has generated a "key strategic asset: a comprehensive operational dataset" and enables "compressed iteration cycles in active combat" that are unachievable by competitors. If the conflict in Ukraine were to significantly de-escalate, end, or change in a way that reduces Swarmer's continuous operational access, its ability to gather critical data, validate performance, and maintain its claimed competitive advantages in autonomous capability maturity and rapid innovation velocity would be severely impacted.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Swarmer's addressable market is the global military drone market, which is projected to exceed 12% compound annual growth through 2030. Their roadmap targets coordination of thousands of systems across air, ground, and maritime environments, which is expected to significantly expand their addressable market opportunity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Expansion into New Military Domains: Swarmer's systematic expansion from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) to multi-domain operations, including unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs), unmanned surface vessels (USVs), and planned integration with missiles and guidance kits, is expected to significantly broaden its addressable market and drive future revenue growth by addressing the full spectrum of unmanned systems requirements.
  • Increased Market Penetration and Adoption driven by Combat-Proven Software and Data Advantage: The continuous combat deployment of Swarmer's Trident Embedded Drone Operating System (Trident OS) in Ukraine since 2023, coupled with the generation of a comprehensive operational dataset and rapid capability enhancement cycles, provides a significant competitive advantage. This combat-proven experience and data superiority are expected to lead to broader deployment and increased licensing of its software across military forces.
  • Capitalizing on Global Military Drone Market Growth via a Vendor-Agnostic Platform: Swarmer is strategically positioned to capture value from the projected global military drone market growth, which is expected to exceed 12% compound annual growth through 2030. Its vendor-agnostic architecture allows integration with drones from any manufacturer, enabling the company to benefit from the entire market's expansion and secure strategic partnerships, rather than being limited by proprietary hardware platforms.
  • Scalable Per-Unit Software Licensing Model: The company's business model, based on per-unit software licensing fees, is designed for attractive unit economics. As the market scales and the volume of licensed units increases, the stable per-unit fees combined with incremental costs approaching zero for additional licenses are expected to drive substantial revenue growth and expanding gross margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Swarmer completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on March 17, 2026, offering 3,000,000 shares of common stock at $5.00 per share and raising approximately $15 million in gross proceeds.
  • The underwriters were granted a 30-day option to purchase an additional 450,000 shares of common stock at the IPO price.

Inbound Investments

  • Swarmer raised a $2.7 million seed round in September 2024.
  • The company secured a $15 million Series A funding round in September 2025, led by Broadband Capital Investments.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the six months ended December 2025, Swarmer reported capital expenditures of approximately $246,990, primarily allocated to the purchase of property, plant, and equipment.
  • Net proceeds from the IPO are intended for ongoing operations, including expanding capabilities and product offerings, hiring, integrating with drone manufacturers' hardware, and general corporate purposes.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SWMR.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BMI_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026BMIBadger MeterInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRNS_2282026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K02282026VRNSVaronis SystemsInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ITRI_2272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02272026ITRIItronDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
FSLR_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026FSLRFirst SolarDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PEGA_2272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02272026PEGAPegasystemsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SWMRAVAVKTOSRCATNOCLMTMedian
NameSwarmer AeroViro.Kratos D.Red Cat Northrop.Lockheed. 
Mkt Price34.87184.4371.9412.68679.00615.84128.19
Mkt Cap-9.212.31.396.8142.212.3
Rev LTM-1,6101,3471641,95475,0481,610
Op Inc LTM--9528-524,2807,73128
FCF LTM--246-137-643,3076,908-64
FCF 3Y Avg--91-44-362,6766,141-36
CFO LTM--174-42-634,7578,557-42
CFO 3Y Avg--5224-354,3407,81624

Growth & Margins

SWMRAVAVKTOSRCATNOCLMTMedian
NameSwarmer AeroViro.Kratos D.Red Cat Northrop.Lockheed. 
Rev Chg LTM-116.9%18.5%-15.0%2.2%5.6%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-55.7%14.5%76.6%4.7%4.4%14.5%
Rev Chg Q-143.4%21.9%247.4%9.6%9.1%21.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-17.5%4.8%75.0%2.5%2.3%4.8%
Op Mgn LTM--5.9%2.1%-323.0%10.2%10.3%2.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.2%2.6%-307.5%9.1%10.9%2.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.8%0.4%134.2%0.2%2.0%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM--10.8%-3.1%-391.8%11.3%11.4%-3.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--2.8%2.5%-331.9%10.6%11.0%2.5%
FCF/Rev LTM--15.3%-10.2%-399.7%7.9%9.2%-10.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--6.3%-3.2%-347.3%6.5%8.6%-3.2%

Valuation

SWMRAVAVKTOSRCATNOCLMTMedian
NameSwarmer AeroViro.Kratos D.Red Cat Northrop.Lockheed. 
Mkt Cap-9.212.31.396.8142.212.3
P/S-5.79.178.82.31.95.7
P/EBIT--83.4283.3-24.416.920.216.9
P/E--40.9557.5-19.223.228.323.2
P/CFO--52.7-291.3-20.120.416.6-20.1
Total Yield--2.4%0.2%-5.2%5.0%5.2%0.2%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%1.6%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--0.9%-0.3%-23.8%3.6%5.5%-0.3%
D/E-0.10.00.00.20.20.1
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.10.10.10.0

Returns

SWMRAVAVKTOSRCATNOCLMTMedian
NameSwarmer AeroViro.Kratos D.Red Cat Northrop.Lockheed. 
1M Rtn12.5%-26.9%-16.5%8.8%-6.3%-5.9%-6.1%
3M Rtn12.5%-27.7%-7.4%52.8%18.0%28.2%15.2%
6M Rtn12.5%-38.8%-16.6%25.0%15.0%28.0%13.8%
12M Rtn12.5%52.5%134.5%115.3%34.7%43.3%47.9%
3Y Rtn12.5%102.8%439.3%1,143.1%54.8%41.1%78.8%
1M Excs Rtn20.3%-21.1%-14.1%5.4%3.3%4.3%3.8%
3M Excs Rtn20.6%-21.1%-1.9%47.6%25.1%35.6%22.9%
6M Excs Rtn16.1%-35.3%-11.0%28.3%20.3%32.4%18.2%
12M Excs Rtn1.0%34.9%117.5%106.6%24.5%30.6%32.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.3%44.7%388.2%1,106.2%-0.9%-19.4%21.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

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Short Interest