Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $86.5 | Market Cap: $13.1 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $86.5Market Cap: $13.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 5.5% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.6% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5% Key risksSWK key risks include [1] slowing customer demand following a post-COVID peak, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 5.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.6% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -62% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5% |
| Key risksSWK key risks include [1] slowing customer demand following a post-COVID peak, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Updated on 6/11/2026
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Offset by Flat Organic Sales and Maintained Full-Year Guidance. Stanley Black & Decker reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.61. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, rising 2.7% year-over-year to $3.85 billion. Despite these beats, organic net sales remained flat compared to the prior year, indicating a lack of underlying growth. Furthermore, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $4.90 to $5.70, and continued to expect low-single-digit organic revenue growth. This mixed financial picture, with positive earnings surprises on one hand but a flat organic sales trajectory and unchanged forward guidance on the other, likely contributed to the stock's constrained movement.
2. Strategic Divestiture and Capital Allocation Actions Provided Stability. On April 6, 2026, during fiscal Q2 2026, Stanley Black & Decker successfully completed the sale of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) business for approximately $1.8 billion in cash, with net proceeds around $1.6 billion. The vast majority of these proceeds were utilized to reduce debt, strengthening the company's balance sheet. Additionally, on April 23, 2026, the Board of Directors approved a new $500 million common stock repurchase authorization. These strategic financial moves demonstrated a commitment to improving financial health and returning value to shareholders, providing a floor for the stock price amidst market fluctuations.
Show more
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Offset by Flat Organic Sales and Maintained Full-Year Guidance. Stanley Black & Decker reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.61. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, rising 2.7% year-over-year to $3.85 billion. Despite these beats, organic net sales remained flat compared to the prior year, indicating a lack of underlying growth. Furthermore, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $4.90 to $5.70, and continued to expect low-single-digit organic revenue growth. This mixed financial picture, with positive earnings surprises on one hand but a flat organic sales trajectory and unchanged forward guidance on the other, likely contributed to the stock's constrained movement.
2. Strategic Divestiture and Capital Allocation Actions Provided Stability. On April 6, 2026, during fiscal Q2 2026, Stanley Black & Decker successfully completed the sale of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) business for approximately $1.8 billion in cash, with net proceeds around $1.6 billion. The vast majority of these proceeds were utilized to reduce debt, strengthening the company's balance sheet. Additionally, on April 23, 2026, the Board of Directors approved a new $500 million common stock repurchase authorization. These strategic financial moves demonstrated a commitment to improving financial health and returning value to shareholders, providing a floor for the stock price amidst market fluctuations.
Show more
Updated on 6/11/2026
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Offset by Flat Organic Sales and Maintained Full-Year Guidance. Stanley Black & Decker reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.61. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, rising 2.7% year-over-year to $3.85 billion. Despite these beats, organic net sales remained flat compared to the prior year, indicating a lack of underlying growth. Furthermore, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $4.90 to $5.70, and continued to expect low-single-digit organic revenue growth. This mixed financial picture, with positive earnings surprises on one hand but a flat organic sales trajectory and unchanged forward guidance on the other, likely contributed to the stock's constrained movement.
2. Strategic Divestiture and Capital Allocation Actions Provided Stability. On April 6, 2026, during fiscal Q2 2026, Stanley Black & Decker successfully completed the sale of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) business for approximately $1.8 billion in cash, with net proceeds around $1.6 billion. The vast majority of these proceeds were utilized to reduce debt, strengthening the company's balance sheet. Additionally, on April 23, 2026, the Board of Directors approved a new $500 million common stock repurchase authorization. These strategic financial moves demonstrated a commitment to improving financial health and returning value to shareholders, providing a floor for the stock price amidst market fluctuations.
3. Macroeconomic Headwinds from Geopolitical Conflict and Inflationary Pressures. The broader market environment since late February 2026 has been marked by significant macroeconomic challenges. The commencement of the US-Iran military campaign on February 28, 2026, caused global oil prices to surge, climbing from approximately $70 to over $100 per barrel. This geopolitical instability fueled concerns about rising inflation and a potential reduction in consumer spending, particularly impacting sectors like consumer discretionary, under which Stanley Black & Decker's tools and outdoor products partially fall. The S&P 500 itself experienced a decline of 4.33% in fiscal Q1 2026. These external pressures created a challenging backdrop that counteracted company-specific positives, preventing substantial upward movement in SWK's stock price.
Show less
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Offset by Flat Organic Sales and Maintained Full-Year Guidance. Stanley Black & Decker reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80 for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.61. Quarterly revenue also exceeded expectations, rising 2.7% year-over-year to $3.85 billion. Despite these beats, organic net sales remained flat compared to the prior year, indicating a lack of underlying growth. Furthermore, the company reaffirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance in the range of $4.90 to $5.70, and continued to expect low-single-digit organic revenue growth. This mixed financial picture, with positive earnings surprises on one hand but a flat organic sales trajectory and unchanged forward guidance on the other, likely contributed to the stock's constrained movement.
2. Strategic Divestiture and Capital Allocation Actions Provided Stability. On April 6, 2026, during fiscal Q2 2026, Stanley Black & Decker successfully completed the sale of its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) business for approximately $1.8 billion in cash, with net proceeds around $1.6 billion. The vast majority of these proceeds were utilized to reduce debt, strengthening the company's balance sheet. Additionally, on April 23, 2026, the Board of Directors approved a new $500 million common stock repurchase authorization. These strategic financial moves demonstrated a commitment to improving financial health and returning value to shareholders, providing a floor for the stock price amidst market fluctuations.
3. Macroeconomic Headwinds from Geopolitical Conflict and Inflationary Pressures. The broader market environment since late February 2026 has been marked by significant macroeconomic challenges. The commencement of the US-Iran military campaign on February 28, 2026, caused global oil prices to surge, climbing from approximately $70 to over $100 per barrel. This geopolitical instability fueled concerns about rising inflation and a potential reduction in consumer spending, particularly impacting sectors like consumer discretionary, under which Stanley Black & Decker's tools and outdoor products partially fall. The S&P 500 itself experienced a decline of 4.33% in fiscal Q1 2026. These external pressures created a challenging backdrop that counteracted company-specific positives, preventing substantial upward movement in SWK's stock price.
Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.5% change in SWK stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 84.64 | 86.75 | 2.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,130 | 15,232 | 0.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.7% | 2.4% | -8.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.9 | 35.5 | 11.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 151 | 152 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SWK | 2.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 59.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.4% | 73.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.4% change in SWK stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 69.17 | 86.75 | 25.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,166 | 15,232 | 0.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.9% | 2.4% | -15.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.9 | 35.5 | 48.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 151 | 152 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.4% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SWK | 25.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 53.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.4% | 73.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 40.4% change in SWK stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 38.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 61.77 | 86.75 | 40.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,241 | 15,232 | -0.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.5 | 35.5 | 38.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 151 | 152 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 40.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SWK | 40.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 51.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 28.4% | 66.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.9% change in SWK stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 152.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 65.77 | 86.75 | 31.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,431 | 15,232 | -7.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.3% | 2.4% | -42.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.1 | 35.5 | 152.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 150 | 152 | -1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.9% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SWK | 31.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 56.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 95.3% | 67.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SWK Return | 7% | -59% | 36% | -15% | -3% | 13% | -44% |
| Peers Return | 20% | -6% | 23% | 3% | -2% | 9% | 51% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SWK Win Rate | 50% | 17% | 58% | 25% | 58% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 40% | 53% | 50% | 52% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SWK Max Drawdown | -22% | -63% | -25% | -28% | -38% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -27% | -20% | -16% | -22% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ITW, SNA, TTC, GGG, MAS. See SWK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SWK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 282 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -19.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.7% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -55.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Stanley Black & Decker's stock fell -36.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | SWK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 282 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -55.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.3% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -31.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.6% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 103 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.9% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 95 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 107.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 224 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Stanley Black & Decker's stock fell -36.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 56.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) is a global diversified industrial company with a long history, specializing in tools, storage solutions, and a variety of industrial applications. The company operates through two main business segments: Tools & Storage and Industrial.
The Tools & Storage segment is a major provider of both professional-grade and consumer products. This includes a wide array of corded and cordless electric power tools, pneumatic tools, and fasteners designed for professionals. For consumers, the company offers power tools, lawn and garden products, home products, and hand tools, prominently featuring the BLACK+DECKER brand, alongside various storage solutions and power tool accessories. Products are sold through a broad network of retailers, distributors, and a direct sales force to professional end-users, retail consumers, and industrial customers across the Americas, Europe, and Asia.
The Industrial segment focuses on more specialized applications. It provides engineered fastening systems critical for industries like automotive, manufacturing, electronics, construction, and aerospace. Additionally, this segment offers bespoke equipment and services for the oil and natural gas pipeline industry, including pipe handling, welding, coating, and inspection. It also supplies hydraulic tools, heavy equipment attachments, and automatic doors for commercial clients. Through these offerings, Stanley Black & Decker serves a diverse set of industrial and commercial customers globally.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Stanley Black & Decker:
1. It's like Bosch, but with an even deeper specialization in power tools, hand tools, and storage solutions for both consumers and professionals, alongside a significant industrial equipment and fastening division.
2. Imagine a highly diversified Makita, known for making a vast range of tools and storage products for both consumers and professionals, that also has a major industrial business providing specialized fasteners and equipment to sectors like aerospace and energy.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Professional Power Tools & Equipment: Offers professional grade corded and cordless electric power tools, pneumatic tools, and fasteners.
- Consumer Power Tools & Garden Products: Provides corded and cordless electric power tools, and lawn and garden products primarily under the BLACK+DECKER brand for consumers.
- Hand Tools & Storage Products: Manufactures hand tools, power tool accessories, and storage solutions.
- Engineered Fastening Systems: Develops and supplies specialized fastening systems and products for various industrial applications.
- Pipeline Equipment: Sells and rents custom pipe handling, joint welding, and coating equipment for pipeline construction.
- Hydraulic Tools & Heavy Equipment Attachments: Provides hydraulic tools and performance-driven heavy equipment attachment tools.
- Automatic Doors: Sells automatic doors to commercial customers.
- Pipeline Inspection Services: Offers inspection services for the oil and natural gas pipeline industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) primarily sells to other companies (B2B). Based on the provided company description, its major customers include:
- Major Retailers and Home Improvement Chains: These companies serve as crucial sales channels for Stanley Black & Decker's Tools & Storage segment, purchasing products for resale to professional end-users and retail consumers. Prominent examples of public companies in this category include:
- The Home Depot, Inc. (Symbol: HD)
- Lowe's Companies, Inc. (Symbol: LOW)
- Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT)
- Amazon.com, Inc. (Symbol: AMZN)
- Industrial and Manufacturing Companies: Various companies across different sectors utilize Stanley Black & Decker's engineered fastening systems, pipeline equipment, hydraulic tools, and heavy equipment attachments for their operations. This includes, but is not limited to:
- Automotive manufacturers: Such as General Motors Company (Symbol: GM) and Ford Motor Company (Symbol: F).
- Aerospace manufacturers: Such as The Boeing Company (Symbol: BA).
- Companies in the Construction, Electronics, and Oil & Natural Gas Pipeline industries.
- Various other manufacturing firms requiring fastening solutions or heavy equipment attachments.
- Commercial Customers: Businesses and institutions that purchase automatic doors for their facilities. While specific company names are not provided, these would typically be retail chains, healthcare facilities, and transportation hubs (e.g., airports).
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Christopher J. Nelson President & Chief Executive Officer
Christopher J. Nelson was appointed President & Chief Executive Officer of Stanley Black & Decker in October 2025. Prior to his current role, he served as President for Carrier's flagship HVAC segment, where he was responsible for leading its global commercial and residential product and service portfolio. Nelson is described as an experienced global leader focused on streamlining and optimizing the company's core businesses and portfolio of global brands.
Patrick D. Hallinan Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Administrative Officer
Patrick D. Hallinan was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer & Chief Administrative Officer for Stanley Black & Decker, effective April 6, 2023. He oversees the company's finance function globally and is focused on accelerating value creation. Hallinan brings over 30 years of experience, including more than 17 years at Fortune Brands, where he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. At Fortune Brands, he held various finance, technology leadership, and general management roles across different business segments. Before joining Fortune Brands, he was a principal at Booz Allen Hamilton in the firm's automotive, aerospace, and industrial goods practice.
Bill Beck Senior Vice President & President, Tools & Outdoor
Bill Beck has extensive international leadership experience and is responsible for driving market leadership, strategic growth, and brand positioning across Stanley Black & Decker's global Tools & Outdoor portfolio.
Thomas Ehrhardt President, Engineered Fastening
Thomas Ehrhardt is a strategic leader with deep knowledge of the fastener industry. He is a driving force in growing Stanley Black & Decker's global presence in Engineered Fastening.
Agustin Lopez Diaz Senior Vice President, Chief Supply Chain Officer
Agustin Lopez Diaz leads Stanley Black & Decker's end-to-end global supply chain strategy and operations, focusing on driving growth, innovation, and operational excellence. He was appointed Chief Global Supply Chain Officer, effective December 15, 2025, and previously worked at Schneider Electric.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Stanley Black & Decker's business are:
1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Weak Demand
Stanley Black & Decker is highly vulnerable to economic downturns, as its products are closely tied to construction, renovation, and industrial activity. The company faces ongoing risks from consumer recession, which can significantly impact discretionary spending, leading to muted organic sales growth. Persistent demand and cost pressures, along with a bearish macroeconomic trend in manufacturing and construction, negatively affect consumer sentiment and overall demand for tools and outdoor products. This has resulted in declining organic revenue in recent periods, making the company susceptible to further adverse effects on its business, financial condition, cash flows, and operational results from negative economic factors.2. Tariffs and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
The company faces significant financial pressure from increased tariffs, particularly on imported goods from China, with an estimated tariff headwind of approximately $140 million in 2025. Stanley Black & Decker's global operations, including sourcing materials from regions like South Korea, China, and Taiwan, expose it to geopolitical risks and potential supply chain disruptions. Such disruptions can lead to material shortages, increased costs, and challenges in maintaining product availability, further affecting margins and profitability.3. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure
Stanley Black & Decker operates in a highly competitive market, facing pressure from both traditional rivals (such as Robert Bosch GmbH and Makita Corporation) and aggressive newer entrants like Techtronic Industries (TTI), which owns the Milwaukee and Ryobi brands. This intense competition, especially in the rapidly evolving battery-powered tool segment and new cordless platforms, limits the company's pricing flexibility and can erode market share and margins. Competitors are constantly introducing innovative or more cost-effective products, necessitating continuous investment in product development and marketing for Stanley Black & Decker to maintain its competitive position.AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing adoption of advanced additive manufacturing (3D printing) technologies by customers in industries such as automotive, manufacturing, electronics, construction, and aerospace could lead to a decreased demand for Stanley Black & Decker's conventionally manufactured engineered fastening systems. As these customers gain the ability to produce specialized components and fasteners on-demand and in-house, it poses a direct challenge to a core part of SWK's industrial business model, potentially reducing the need for purchased fastening solutions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. operates in several significant global markets for its diverse range of products and services.
Tools & Storage Segment
- Power Tools (Professional Grade Corded and Cordless Electric Power Tools and Equipment, and Pneumatic Tools; Consumer Corded and Cordless Electric Power Tools primarily under the BLACK+DECKER brand): The global power tools market was estimated to be between USD 29.69 billion and USD 40.50 billion in 2024-2025. This market is projected to grow to a range of USD 45.74 billion to USD 85.1 billion by 2034-2035, with Compound Annual Growth Rates (CAGR) varying from 5.0% to 9.9%.
- Hand Tools: The global hand tools market was valued between USD 24.67 billion and USD 27.27 billion in 2024-2025. This market is expected to reach between USD 31.36 billion and USD 44.46 billion by 2030-2035, with CAGRs ranging from 3.68% to 5.01%.
- Lawn and Garden Products (Corded and Cordless Lawn and Garden Products): The global lawn and garden consumables market was valued between USD 22.4 billion and USD 23.10 billion in 2024-2025. It is projected to reach between USD 29.55 billion and USD 41.13 billion by 2030-2034, with CAGRs from 3.32% to 6.02%. The broader global lawn and garden equipment market was valued at USD 27.22 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 44.07 billion by 2033. The global lawn and garden supplies market was valued at USD 92.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 120 billion by 2035.
- Storage Products (Home Products and Storage Products): The global home storage and organization market was estimated at USD 46 billion in 2023 and is predicted to grow to around USD 76.1 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of approximately 5.15%.
Industrial Segment
- Engineered Fastening Systems and Products: The global industrial fasteners market was estimated to be between USD 88.39 billion and USD 124.2 billion in 2024-2025. This market is projected to reach between USD 113.33 billion and USD 173.8 billion by 2031-2034, with CAGRs from 3.4% to 6.4%.
- Custom Pipe Handling, Joint Welding, and Coating Equipment; Pipeline Inspection Services (Pipeline Equipment): The global pipeline equipment market was estimated at USD 57.63 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 82.47 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.31%. A different estimate from 2021 valued the market at USD 12.5 billion, projected to reach USD 18.7 billion by 2031.
- Hydraulic Tools and Performance-Driven Heavy Equipment Attachment Tools: The global hydraulic tools market was valued between USD 1.7 billion and USD 1.9622 billion in 2023-2025. It is projected to reach between USD 2.5 billion and USD 2.7 billion by 2030-2034, with CAGRs ranging from 3.65% to 5.80%. The broader global hydraulic tools and equipment market was valued at over USD 53.7 billion in 2025 and is expected to exceed USD 81.03 billion by 2035. The global hydraulic attachments market was valued at USD 5.18 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 7.70 billion by 2032. The global excavator attachments market is estimated to be valued at USD 8.64 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 13.35 billion by 2032. The global construction machinery attachment market is expected to grow from USD 7.26 billion in 2025 to USD 9.49 billion by 2031.
- Automatic Doors: The global automatic door market was estimated to be between USD 13.7 billion and USD 24.7 billion in 2024-2025. This market is predicted to reach between USD 23.6 billion and USD 45.00 billion by 2032-2034, with CAGRs varying from 5.6% to 7.8%.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) over the next 2-3 years:
- Innovation and Investment in Core Tools & Outdoor Brands: Stanley Black & Decker plans to drive revenue growth through continued investment in its iconic brands, such as DEWALT, Stanley, and Craftsman. This includes a focus on innovation and the introduction of sustainable product lines like DEWALT POWERSHIFT™, with a strategic shift towards electrified, higher-margin cordless products within the Tools & Outdoor segment. The DEWALT brand, in particular, has demonstrated consistent strong performance and is considered a significant growth engine.
- Expansion of the Engineered Fastening Segment: The company is scaling its Engineered Fastening segment to capitalize on secular growth trends in industries such as electric vehicles (EVs), electronics, and lightweighting. Multi-year ramp-ups are anticipated, linked to automotive electrification wins. The aerospace fasteners business has also shown significant organic revenue growth, contributing to this segment's expansion.
- International Market Penetration: Stanley Black & Decker is actively pursuing international expansion by strengthening its presence in existing markets and entering new ones. Priority markets for growth include India, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, where the company plans to introduce localized product lines and price tiers to gain market share.
- Strategic Growth Investments Fueled by Cost Savings: The company has deployed substantial resources into strategic growth initiatives, allocating between $300 million and $500 million by the end of 2025, primarily targeting the Tools & Outdoor segment and the industrial group. These investments, supported by ongoing supply chain transformation and cost reduction programs (targeting $2 billion in pre-tax run-rate savings by the end of 2025), are designed to increase market penetration and accelerate market share gains, thereby driving organic revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Stanley Black & Decker initiated accelerated share repurchase agreements totaling $2.0 billion, in addition to $0.3 billion in open market repurchases, as of March 2022.
- The company reported significant quarterly share buybacks, including $1.97 billion in Q1 2022 and $460.85 million in Q2 2022.
- More recently, annual share buybacks for the latest reported period were $20.1 million. The company also reported smaller quarterly buybacks in 2025, such as $11.7 million in Q1 and $5.4 million in Q4.
Share Issuance
- In 2021, the company recorded $131 million in proceeds from issuances of common stock.
- The number of shares outstanding saw a 0.38% increase to 0.152 billion in 2025, following a 1.03% increase in 2024 (0.151 billion) and a 4.34% decline in 2023 (0.15 billion).
Outbound Investments
- In December 2021, Stanley Black & Decker acquired an 80% stake in MTD Holdings Inc. and Excel Industries for an aggregate of $1.9 billion, aiming to bolster its outdoor power equipment offerings. This was in addition to a 20% stake already owned in MTD.
- In December 2025, the company announced a definitive agreement to divest its Consolidated Aerospace Manufacturing (CAM) business for $1.8 billion in cash, with net proceeds of approximately $1.525 billion to $1.6 billion expected to be used for debt reduction.
- During late 2021, the company committed nearly $2 billion to acquisitions, taking on debt in response to increased demand for home improvement products.
Capital Expenditures
- The company had capital and software expenditures totaling $425 million in 2021.
- By the end of 2025, Stanley Black & Decker aimed to allocate between $300 million and $500 million to strategic growth initiatives, with roughly $250 million already deployed, primarily in the Tools & Outdoor segment.
- For 2026, the company is targeting free cash flow in the range of $700 million to $900 million, following a free cash flow of $688 million in 2025, which supported approximately $240 million in debt reduction.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 89.68 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.2 |
| Rev LTM | 6,450 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,258 |
| FCF LTM | 851 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 843 |
| CFO LTM | 1,052 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,094 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.2 |
| P/S | 2.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.1 |
| P/EBIT | 16.3 |
| P/E | 24.3 |
| P/CFO | 15.6 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 6.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -59.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2026 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tools & Outdoor | 13,158 | 13,304 | 13,367 | 12,817 |
| Engineered Fastening | 1,972 | 2,062 | 2,414 | 2,463 |
| Corporate overhead | 0 | |||
| Corporate Overhead & Other | 337 | |||
| Total | 15,130 | 15,366 | 15,781 | 15,617 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tools & Outdoor | 1,329 | 1,197 | 688 | 1,985 |
| Engineered Fastening | 197 | 255 | 266 | 257 |
| Corporate overhead | -270 | -271 | -312 | -288 |
| Other, net | -190 | |||
| Total | 1,255 | 1,182 | 642 | 1,764 |
| $ Mil | 2026 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tools & Outdoor | 17,706 | 18,136 | 18,961 | 19,538 |
| Engineered Fastening | 2,402 | 3,963 | 4,082 | 5,628 |
| Assets held for sale | 1,536 | 858 | 3,183 | |
| Corporate assets | -400 | -250 | -236 | -169 |
| Total | 21,244 | 21,849 | 23,664 | 28,180 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $86.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 13.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/01/1985 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $76.92 | $74.25 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 12.8% | 16.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 43.4% | 38.2% |
| Downside Capture | 123.74 | 133.28 |
| Upside Capture | 154.29 | 136.66 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 57.1% | 50.8% |
SWK Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.65 | 1.77 | 1.67 | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.40 |
| Up Beta | 3.60 | 2.26 | 2.36 | 2.09 | 2.03 | 1.59 |
| Down Beta | 2.86 | 1.79 | 1.54 | 1.53 | 1.74 | 1.39 |
| Up Capture | 149% | 106% | 95% | 138% | 143% | 149% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 28 | 61 | 124 | 359 |
| Down Capture | 346% | 206% | 180% | 126% | 127% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 35 | 63 | 125 | 389 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SWK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWK | 41.6% | 38.0% | 0.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.7% | 16.2% | 1.38 | 67.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 50.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 15.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -26.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 47.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 22.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SWK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWK | -12.6% | 37.7% | -0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 17.5% | 0.61 | 65.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 58.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 8.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 7.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 54.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 20.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SWK | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SWK | -0.1% | 36.7% | 0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 74.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 66.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 4.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 18.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 57.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 13.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | -3.1% | -1.1% | 1.2% |
| 2/4/2026 | 4.5% | 13.3% | -3.7% |
| 11/4/2025 | 0.4% | 2.4% | 10.1% |
| 7/29/2025 | -7.2% | -8.1% | 1.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | -2.0% | -3.7% | 8.6% |
| 2/5/2025 | -1.2% | 0.7% | -0.8% |
| 10/29/2024 | -8.8% | -8.3% | -13.0% |
| 7/30/2024 | 10.0% | -0.7% | 3.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 1.1% | 3.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -5.4% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 13.3% | 17.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.1% | -20.2% | -19.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/29/2026 | -3.1% | -1.1% | 1.2% |
| 2/4/2026 | 4.5% | 13.3% | -3.7% |
| 11/4/2025 | 0.4% | 2.4% | 10.1% |
| 7/29/2025 | -7.2% | -8.1% | 1.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | -2.0% | -3.7% | 8.6% |
| 2/5/2025 | -1.2% | 0.7% | -0.8% |
| 10/29/2024 | -8.8% | -8.3% | -13.0% |
| 7/30/2024 | 10.0% | -0.7% | 3.5% |
| 5/2/2024 | -7.5% | -6.6% | -5.1% |
| 2/1/2024 | -1.5% | -3.9% | -4.0% |
| 10/27/2023 | 6.2% | 12.0% | 17.1% |
| 8/1/2023 | 4.7% | -0.5% | -6.0% |
| 5/4/2023 | -0.4% | -6.2% | -5.7% |
| 2/2/2023 | 5.2% | -3.7% | -4.3% |
| 10/27/2022 | -4.6% | -7.6% | 4.8% |
| 7/28/2022 | -16.1% | -20.2% | -19.1% |
| 4/28/2022 | -8.6% | -5.9% | -14.3% |
| 2/1/2022 | 0.9% | -7.8% | -5.9% |
| 10/28/2021 | -0.6% | 0.6% | -1.9% |
| 7/27/2021 | -2.1% | -4.9% | -6.5% |
| 4/28/2021 | -0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% |
| 1/28/2021 | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| 10/27/2020 | -3.8% | -2.4% | 10.3% |
| 7/30/2020 | -1.0% | 0.8% | 2.2% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| # Negative | 16 | 16 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 1.1% | 3.5% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -5.4% | -5.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 13.3% | 17.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.1% | -20.2% | -19.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/18/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/22/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/27/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 04/28/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/18/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/27/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/31/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/01/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/21/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/25/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 07/23/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 GAAP EPS | 4.15 | 4.75 | 5.35 | 26.7% | Raised | Guidance: 3.75 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 5.3 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 500.00 Mil | 600.00 Mil | 700.00 Mil | -25.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 800.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow (Excluding CAM payments) | 700.00 Mil | 800.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 800.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 EPS | 3.15 | 3.75 | 4.35 | 42.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.62 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 16.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.55 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 700.00 Mil | 800.00 Mil | 900.00 Mil | 33.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 600.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Link, Janet | SVP, General Counsel & Sec'y | Direct | Sell | 11062025 | 69.08 | 11,766 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Link, Janet | SVP, General Counsel & Sec'y | Direct | Sell | 11062025 | 69.08 | 11,766 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components Resources |
| Machine Design |
| Modern Machine Shop |
| Industrial Equipment News (IEN) |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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