Tearsheet

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $71.87 | Market Cap: $10.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $71.87
Market Cap: $10.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
  Key risks
SWK key risks include [1] slowing customer demand following a post-COVID peak, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 4.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automation & Robotics, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.6%
6 Key risks
SWK key risks include [1] slowing customer demand following a post-COVID peak, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SWK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) experienced various fluctuations in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. Key factors contributing to negative movements in the stock during this period include: 1. 1. Revenue Miss in Q3 2025: Stanley Black & Decker's reported revenue of $3.76 billion for the third quarter of 2025 fell slightly below analyst estimates of $3.77 billion, which contributed to a negative market reaction. The stock experienced an approximately 3.56% decline in pre-market trading following the earnings announcement on November 4, 2025.

2. 2. Lowered Full-Year EPS Guidance: Management revised its full-year 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) guidance downwards to approximately $4.55 at the midpoint, a 2.2% decrease. This downward revision signaled a more cautious outlook on future profitability.

3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SWK Return10%7%-59%36%-15%-5%-47%
Peers Return20%20%-6%23%3%-2%65%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SWK Win Rate67%50%17%58%25%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%60%40%53%50%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SWK Max Drawdown-56%-5%-61%-0%-19%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-4%-26%-6%-10%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ITW, SNA, TTC, GGG, MAS. See SWK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSWKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-67.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven208.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven199 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven711 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven181.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days1,480 days

Compare to DHR, HON, TT, EMR, SNA


In The Past

Stanley Black & Decker's stock fell -67.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -67.5% loss requires a 208.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)

Better Bets than Stanley Black & Decker (SWK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SWK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
SWK_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020SWKStanley Black & DeckerDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
63.1%103.1%-7.9%
SWK_10312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312018SWKStanley Black & DeckerDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
28.6%32.6%-4.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
SWK_3312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312020SWKStanley Black & DeckerDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
63.1%103.1%-7.9%
SWK_10312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312018SWKStanley Black & DeckerDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
28.6%32.6%-4.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stanley Black & Decker

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SWKITWSNATTCGGGMASMedian
NameStanley .Illinois.Snap-on Toro Graco Masco  
Mkt Price71.92252.40346.0580.4383.1665.1181.80
Mkt Cap10.973.418.07.913.813.613.7
Rev LTM15,16615,8835,1154,5202,1927,5976,356
Op Inc LTM1,1244,1621,3205085821,2911,208
FCF LTM3702,8451,026492625846735
FCF 3Y Avg6442,8111,044330496935789
CFO LTM6953,2771,1075896721,011853
CFO 3Y Avg9883,2651,1324566221,1371,060

Growth & Margins

SWKITWSNATTCGGGMASMedian
NameStanley .Illinois.Snap-on Toro Graco Masco  
Rev Chg LTM-1.4%-0.4%0.2%0.7%2.9%-3.6%-0.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.6%0.5%2.2%1.9%1.0%-4.7%0.8%
Rev Chg Q0.1%2.3%3.6%-2.2%4.7%-3.3%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%0.6%0.9%-0.6%1.1%-0.9%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%26.2%25.8%11.2%26.6%17.0%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.8%25.9%26.0%12.1%28.0%16.8%21.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.2%0.2%0.0%-0.1%-0.6%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM4.6%20.6%21.6%13.0%30.7%13.3%17.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%20.4%22.2%10.0%28.7%14.5%17.5%
FCF/Rev LTM2.4%17.9%20.1%10.9%28.5%11.1%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%17.6%20.5%7.3%22.8%11.9%14.8%

Valuation

SWKITWSNATTCGGGMASMedian
NameStanley .Illinois.Snap-on Toro Graco Masco  
Mkt Cap10.973.418.07.913.813.613.7
P/S0.74.83.51.56.41.92.7
P/EBIT13.818.013.115.123.011.614.5
P/E25.625.117.821.028.317.823.0
P/CFO16.223.116.311.920.914.616.2
Total Yield8.3%6.3%6.9%6.9%4.8%7.4%6.9%
Dividend Yield4.4%2.3%1.2%2.2%1.3%1.8%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.7%3.8%6.8%4.0%3.6%6.4%4.4%
D/E0.60.10.10.20.00.20.1
Net D/E0.60.1-0.00.1-0.00.20.1

Returns

SWKITWSNATTCGGGMASMedian
NameStanley .Illinois.Snap-on Toro Graco Masco  
1M Rtn14.3%4.6%5.3%15.4%4.9%9.7%7.5%
3M Rtn-6.9%-3.2%5.2%2.1%-1.6%-9.7%-2.4%
6M Rtn13.9%5.9%14.4%16.6%-1.1%7.9%10.9%
12M Rtn-8.4%-3.5%1.9%-3.8%-2.3%-13.4%-3.6%
3Y Rtn6.1%24.1%65.9%-24.5%30.7%44.3%27.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.5%3.8%4.5%14.6%4.2%9.0%6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-9.7%-5.0%1.3%-0.2%-3.2%-11.7%-4.1%
6M Excs Rtn1.5%-6.5%2.0%4.3%-13.5%-4.5%-1.5%
12M Excs Rtn-20.2%-16.0%-11.0%-18.1%-15.2%-26.9%-17.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.6%-48.4%-9.5%-92.6%-43.2%-30.6%-45.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tools & Outdoor18,96120,20219,53814,29513,642
Engineered Fastening4,0825,2855,6285,6214,207
Assets held for sale858 3,505  
Corporate assets-236-524-491156-701
Security   3,4943,449
Total23,66424,96328,18023,56620,597


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,678,487
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202535.9%
Average Daily Volume1,635,046
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.08
Basic Shares Quantity151,341,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20250.4%2.4%10.1%
7/29/2025-7.2%-8.1%1.7%
4/30/2025-2.0%-3.7%8.6%
2/5/2025-1.2%0.7%-0.8%
10/29/2024-8.8%-8.3%-13.0%
7/30/202410.0%-0.7%3.5%
5/2/2024-7.5%-6.6%-5.1%
2/1/2024-1.5%-3.9%-4.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7711
# Negative171713
Median Positive4.7%0.8%3.5%
Median Negative-2.2%-5.9%-5.9%
Max Positive10.0%12.0%17.1%
Max Negative-16.1%-20.2%-19.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023504202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022728202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022428202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021222202210-K 1/1/2022

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Link JanetSVP, General Counsel & Sec'y11062025Sell69.0811,766812,764 Form