Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MAS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -11.5% movement in Masco's stock (MAS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Masco's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Missed Analyst Expectations. The company reported third quarter 2025 net sales of $1.92 billion, which fell short of Wall Street's $1.95 billion estimates. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.97 also missed analysts' consensus estimate of $1.03 per share by 5.7%. 2. Management Lowered its Full-Year Adjusted EPS Guidance for 2025. Following the Q3 results, Masco's management reduced its full-year adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 to a range of $3.90 to $3.95, down from a previous expectation of $3.90 to $4.10. This reduction indicated a decreased outlook for the company's profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MAS Return16%30%-32%46%10%-10%48%
Peers Return20%43%-21%26%38%3%141%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MAS Win Rate58%58%33%50%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate73%73%42%55%70%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MAS Max Drawdown-42%-4%-38%0%-4%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-5%-42%-12%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAON, MHK, TT, JCI, CARR. See MAS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMASS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven461 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven99 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven368 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-89.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven824.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2447 days1480 days

Compare to AAON, MHK, TT, JCI, CARR


In The Past

Masco's stock fell -38.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -38.9% loss requires a 63.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Masco (MAS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MAS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
MAS_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022MASMascoDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.7%17.0%-8.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
MAS_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022MASMascoDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.7%17.0%-8.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Masco

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MASAAONMHKTTJCICARRMedian
NameMasco AAON Mohawk I.Trane Te.Johnson .Carrier . 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

MASAAONMHKTTJCICARRMedian
NameMasco AAON Mohawk I.Trane Te.Johnson .Carrier . 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

MASAAONMHKTTJCICARRMedian
NameMasco AAON Mohawk I.Trane Te.Johnson .Carrier . 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

MASAAONMHKTTJCICARRMedian
NameMasco AAON Mohawk I.Trane Te.Johnson .Carrier . 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Plumbing Products4,8425,2525,1354,1363,984
Decorative Architectural Products3,1253,4283,2403,0522,723
Total7,9678,6808,3757,1886,707


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Plumbing Products861819929806708
Decorative Architectural Products578565581583480
General corporate expense, net-91-87-105-94-100
Total1,3481,2971,4051,2951,088


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Plumbing Products3,1403,0963,1952,8222,375
Decorative Architectural Products1,6961,7801,7811,6331,526
Corporate5273115991,322598
Assets held for sale    528
Total5,3635,1875,5755,7775,027


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,821,945
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.4%
Average Daily Volume2,655,374
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.95
Basic Shares Quantity209,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025423202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024211202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-K 12/31/2021