Tearsheet

Savers Value Village (SVV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.39 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Savers Value Village (SVV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.39
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Circular Fashion, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.55
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 81%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
3   Key risks
SVV key risks include [1] a high level of leverage with indicators of potential financial distress and [2] a fundamental dependence on securing a consistent supply of goods from its local charity partners.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Circular Fashion, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.55
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 81%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.2%
6 Key risks
SVV key risks include [1] a high level of leverage with indicators of potential financial distress and [2] a fundamental dependence on securing a consistent supply of goods from its local charity partners.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SVV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Savers Value Village (SVV) stock experienced a decline of 22.2% due to several key factors.

1. Savers Value Village significantly lowered its full-year net income guidance for 2025. The company's updated outlook reduced net income guidance to between $17 million and $21 million, a substantial decrease from the earlier projection of $47 million to $58 million. This revision signaled weaker profitability expectations to investors.

2. The company reported a net loss in the third quarter of 2025. Savers Value Village announced a net loss of $14.0 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, for the thirteen weeks ended September 27, 2025. This net loss contributed to negative investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SVV Return-41%-9%
Peers Return17%12%-3%-1%-1%40%75%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SVV Win Rate67%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%52%48%53%48%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SVV Max Drawdown-51%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-14%-32%-30%-24%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, ROST, BURL, DG, DLTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

SVV has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Savers Value Village (SVV)

Better Bets than Savers Value Village (SVV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SVV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Savers Value Village

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SVVTJXROSTBURLDGDLTRMedian
NameSavers V.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Dollar G.Dollar T. 
Mkt Price9.40155.66182.74268.18136.97128.35146.31
Mkt Cap1.5160.749.016.930.126.128.1
Rev LTM1,61658,97922,02711,19742,11818,96120,494
Op Inc LTM1146,6712,6247861,8921,4921,692
FCF LTM264,4181,963-3842,3391,2121,588
FCF 3Y Avg434,4761,885761,4811,0411,261
CFO LTM1326,4212,7888373,6202,3762,582
CFO 3Y Avg1466,3052,6648712,9812,5762,620

Growth & Margins

SVVTJXROSTBURLDGDLTRMedian
NameSavers V.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Dollar G.Dollar T. 
Rev Chg LTM6.4%4.5%3.7%6.8%4.9%156.4%5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.5%6.2%6.0%9.4%5.1%20.3%6.1%
Rev Chg Q8.1%7.5%10.4%7.1%4.6%9.4%7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%1.8%2.5%1.6%1.1%2.2%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM7.0%11.3%11.9%7.0%4.5%7.9%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.7%10.9%11.7%6.3%5.5%13.2%9.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.1%-0.1%0.1%0.2%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.2%10.9%12.7%7.5%8.6%12.5%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.5%11.3%12.8%8.5%7.3%22.5%10.4%
FCF/Rev LTM1.6%7.5%8.9%-3.4%5.6%6.4%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.8%8.0%9.0%1.0%3.6%9.1%5.8%

Valuation

SVVTJXROSTBURLDGDLTRMedian
NameSavers V.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Dollar G.Dollar T. 
Mkt Cap1.5160.749.016.930.126.128.1
P/S1.32.72.21.50.71.41.4
P/EBIT29.0--20.715.916.518.6
P/E-1,210.531.423.530.123.6-8.923.5
P/CFO15.625.017.620.28.311.016.6
Total Yield-0.1%4.3%5.3%3.3%5.1%-11.2%3.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.1%0.0%0.9%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%--1.2%7.0%5.8%3.9%
D/E0.7--0.40.50.30.4
Net D/E0.6--0.30.50.30.4

Returns

SVVTJXROSTBURLDGDLTRMedian
NameSavers V.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt.Dollar G.Dollar T. 
1M Rtn22.1%7.2%14.9%-2.2%32.8%23.8%18.5%
3M Rtn-27.0%11.5%24.9%2.0%29.8%31.3%18.2%
6M Rtn-9.5%27.8%43.4%18.0%23.3%31.6%25.6%
12M Rtn-8.8%28.1%22.5%-7.9%84.9%83.1%25.3%
3Y Rtn-109.0%65.7%44.3%-41.5%-10.0%44.3%
1M Excs Rtn21.3%6.5%14.2%-3.0%32.1%23.1%17.8%
3M Excs Rtn-28.5%10.2%24.0%-0.1%27.6%29.3%17.1%
6M Excs Rtn-21.9%15.4%31.0%5.6%10.9%19.2%13.2%
12M Excs Rtn-13.6%15.1%9.3%-18.6%71.5%72.0%12.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.6%-6.2%-31.3%-109.1%-79.4%-31.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
US Retail780747644412
Canada Retail606583482364
Other profit1141077858
Total1,5001,4371,204834


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
US Retail19818216745
Canada Retail190174148101
Other profit40331618
Depreciation and amortization-61-56-47-59
General corporate expenses-225-127-102-97
Total1422061827


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,171,028
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520258.5%
Average Daily Volume964,301
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.55
Basic Shares Quantity155,770,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-30.4%-40.3%-33.5%
7/31/202510.2%8.6%16.1%
5/1/202518.2%20.2%2.9%
2/20/2025-19.4%-29.8%-37.7%
11/7/2024-7.9%-13.9%-9.2%
8/8/2024-9.3%-8.2%-9.5%
3/7/2024-7.5%-13.6%-11.1%
11/9/2023-11.9%-12.0%16.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive333
# Negative666
Median Positive10.2%8.6%16.0%
Median Negative-10.6%-13.8%-10.3%
Max Positive18.2%20.2%16.1%
Max Negative-30.4%-40.3%-37.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023308202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 7/1/2023
123120226302023424B4 12/31/2022
930202211102022S-1/A 10/1/2022
63020228122022S-1/A 7/2/2022
33120227142022S-1/A 4/2/2022
123120215052022S-1/A 1/1/2022
123120202072022S-1/A 1/2/2021