Savers Value Village (SVV)
Market Price (5/10/2026): $8.08 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Savers Value Village (SVV)
Market Price (5/10/2026): $8.08Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Circular Fashion, Eco-friendly Products, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -96%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6% Key risksSVV key risks include [1] a high level of leverage with indicators of potential financial distress and [2] a fundamental dependence on securing a consistent supply of goods from its local charity partners. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Circular Fashion, Eco-friendly Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -96%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6% |
| Key risksSVV key risks include [1] a high level of leverage with indicators of potential financial distress and [2] a fundamental dependence on securing a consistent supply of goods from its local charity partners. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Savers Value Village (SVV) stock has lost about 20% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Savers Value Village reported a mixed Q1 2026 earnings performance, including a net loss and an earnings per share (EPS) miss against some forecasts. The company's adjusted EPS of $0.02 met consensus estimates from some analysts, but missed an Investing.com forecast of $0.06 by 66.67%. Additionally, Savers Value Village recorded a net loss of $5.3 million, or $0.03 per diluted share for the quarter.
2. Analysts revised price targets downwards during the period, reflecting a more cautious outlook for the stock. On May 4, 2026, Piper Sandler notably lowered its price target for SVV from $12.00 to $11.00, while reiterating a "neutral" rating on the shares.
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1. Savers Value Village reported a mixed Q1 2026 earnings performance, including a net loss and an earnings per share (EPS) miss against some forecasts. The company's adjusted EPS of $0.02 met consensus estimates from some analysts, but missed an Investing.com forecast of $0.06 by 66.67%. Additionally, Savers Value Village recorded a net loss of $5.3 million, or $0.03 per diluted share for the quarter.
2. Analysts revised price targets downwards during the period, reflecting a more cautious outlook for the stock. On May 4, 2026, Piper Sandler notably lowered its price target for SVV from $12.00 to $11.00, while reiterating a "neutral" rating on the shares.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.2% change in SVV stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.36 | 8.06 | -22.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,616 | 1,712 | 5.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 0.7 | -26.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 156 | 155 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SVV | -22.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 47.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.6% | 40.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.5% change in SVV stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.21 | 8.06 | -12.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,616 | 1,712 | 5.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.7 | -17.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 156 | 155 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SVV | -12.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 37.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.6% | 35.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.0% change in SVV stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.59 | 8.06 | -16.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,538 | 1,712 | 11.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.9% | 1.3% | -31.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 52.8 | 56.5 | 7.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 160 | 155 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SVV | -16.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 26.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.8% | 20.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SVV | ||
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 22.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 66.6% | 23.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SVV Return | - | - | -24% | -41% | -9% | -12% | -64% |
| Peers Return | 12% | -3% | -1% | -1% | 39% | -0% | 48% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SVV Win Rate | - | - | 71% | 33% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 48% | 53% | 48% | 63% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SVV Max Drawdown | - | - | -49% | -51% | -35% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -32% | -30% | -24% | -15% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TJX, ROST, BURL, DG, DLTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SVV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 160 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Savers Value Village's stock fell -40.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 69.2% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | SVV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 160 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Savers Value Village's stock fell -40.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 69.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Savers Value Village (SVV)
Our mission To champion reuse and inspire a future where secondhand is second nature. From the thrill of the hunt to the joy of decluttering, we help communities harness the power of pre-loved stuff to keep reusable items around for years to come. We are the largest for-profit thrift operator in the United States and Canada based on number of stores. With over 22,000 team members, we operate a total of 317 stores under the Savers, Value Village, Village des Valeurs, Unique and 2nd Ave. banners. We are committed to redefining secondhand shopping by providing one-of-a-kind, low-priced merchandise ranging from quality clothing to home goods in an exciting treasure-hunt shopping environment. We purchase secondhand textiles (e.g., clothing, bedding and bath items), shoes, accessories, housewares, books and other goods from our non-profit partners (“NPPs”), either directly from them or via on-site donations (“OSDs”) at Community Donation Centers at our stores as well as through GreenDrop locations. We then process, select, price, merchandise and sell these items in our stores. Items that are not sold to our retail customers are marketed to wholesale customers, who reuse or repurpose the items they purchase from us. We believe our hyper-local and socially responsible procurement model, industry-leading and innovative operations, differentiated value proposition and deep relationships with our customers distinguish us from other secondhand and value-based retailers. We offer a dynamic, ever-changing selection of items, with an average unit retail (“AUR”) price under $5. We have a highly engaged customer base, with over 4.7 million active loyalty program members in the United States and Canada who shopped with us as of April 1, 2023, driving 69.6% of point-of-sale transaction value during the twelve months ended April 1, 2023. Our business model is rooted in environmental, social and corporate governance (“ESG”) principles, with a mission to positively impact our stakeholders—thrifters, NPPs and their donors, our team members and our stockholders. As a leader and pioneer of the for-profit thrift category, we seek to positively impact the environment by reducing waste and extending the life of reusable goods. The vast majority of the clothing and textiles we source are sold to our retail or wholesale customers. During fiscal year 2022 and the three months ended April 1, 2023, we processed 985 million and 240 million pounds of secondhand goods, respectively. The U.S. secondhand market, which is a subset of the broader retail market, reached approximately $35 billion in 2021 and is expected to grow to more than $82 billion by 2026. Thrift accounted for approximately 60% of the total secondhand market in 2021, and we believe we benefit from the powerful secular trends driving growth in the sector. We also believe consumers are increasingly concerned about the environmental impact of the clothes they wear. As of June 2022, more than one in three U.S. shoppers and nearly half of Canadian shoppers surveyed reported caring more about the environmental impact of their apparel choices today than they did three years ago. There is a growing awareness that the textile and clothing industry is one of the most environmentally damaging sectors of the economy. Meanwhile, discarded clothing remains the largest source of textile waste in the world, with the average U.S. citizen throwing away 81 pounds of clothing each year, 95% of which could have been re-worn or repurposed; yet 85% of this material ends up in landfills. To put this another way, the Ellen MacArthur Foundation (the “EMF”) reports that one garbage truck of textiles is landfilled or incinerated every second. Thrift as a business model provides one of the most effective solutions in mitigating the environmental cost of clothing and extending its life. -Evergreen Holding LLC was formed March 22, 2019. S-Evergreen Holding LLC became a Delaware corporation on January 7, 2022 and changed its name to Savers Value Village, Inc. in the Corporate Conversion. Our principal executive offices are located at 11400 S.E. 6th Street, Suite 125, Bellevue, WA.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Savers Value Village (SVV):
- Imagine it as the "Walmart of secondhand stores."
- Think of it as a "TJ Maxx or Ross Dress for Less, but for pre-owned clothing and home goods."
- It's like a "professionally run, for-profit version of Goodwill."
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- Secondhand Retail Merchandise: A curated selection of pre-loved clothing, accessories, housewares, books, and other goods sold to consumers in their stores.
- Wholesale Repurposed Goods: Unsold secondhand textiles and other items marketed in bulk to wholesale customers for reuse or repurposing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Savers Value Village (SVV) primarily sells to **individuals** (retail customers).
Based on the company description, the major categories of customers it serves include:
- Value-conscious Shoppers / Bargain Hunters: Customers attracted by the one-of-a-kind, low-priced merchandise (average unit retail price under $5) who are seeking affordable clothing and home goods.
- "Treasure-hunt" Shoppers / Thrifters: Individuals who enjoy the dynamic, ever-changing selection and the "treasure-hunt" shopping environment, often seeking unique finds and engaged in the company's loyalty program.
- Environmentally Conscious Shoppers: Consumers who are concerned about the environmental impact of their apparel choices and seek to reduce waste by extending the life of reusable goods through secondhand shopping.
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Mark Walsh, Chief Executive Officer
Mark Walsh has served as Chief Executive Officer of Savers Value Village since October 2019 and as a member of its Board since December 2020. He began his career at Deloitte Consulting and Pepsico, and subsequently accumulated nearly two decades of leadership experience with prominent apparel retail brands such as J. Crew, Juicy Couture, Prana, Ellen Tracy, and Laundry. Prior to joining Savers Value Village, Mr. Walsh was CEO of Bob's Stores and Eastern Mountain Sports from 2008 to 2013, and again from 2015 to May 2017, during which time the company was renamed Vestis Retail Group. He successfully managed a Section 363 sale of Bob's Stores and Eastern Mountain Sports to Versa Capital and a subsequent sale to UK-based Sports Direct, allowing both brands to continue operations. This experience, along with his role as operating Chairman of Polartec from 2012 to 2014 and his work as an independent consultant specializing in special situations and interim turnaround CEO services from 2017 to 2019, indicates a pattern of managing companies often backed by private equity firms or in significant transition. Mr. Walsh holds a B.A. from Brown University and an M.B.A. from The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.
Michael Maher, Chief Financial Officer
Michael Maher was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Savers Value Village, effective May 13, 2024. He is a seasoned finance leader with over 25 years of experience in the retail and consumer sectors. Most recently, Mr. Maher served as Interim Chief Financial Officer at Nordstrom, Inc., where he spent more than 13 years in various senior finance roles. His extensive financial expertise covers business development, financial planning, accounting, reporting, treasury, tax, and investor relations. He holds a Bachelor of Arts in Business Economics from the University of California, Los Angeles.
Jubran Tanious, President and Chief Operating Officer
Jubran Tanious serves as the President and Chief Operating Officer for Savers Value Village.
Mindy Geisser, Chief People Services Officer
Mindy Geisser is the Chief People Services Officer at Savers Value Village.
Charles Hunsinger, Chief Information Officer
Charles Hunsinger holds the position of Chief Information Officer at Savers Value Village.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Savers Value Village (SVV) include:
- Dependence on Sourcing from Non-Profit Partners and Donations: Savers Value Village's business model relies entirely on acquiring secondhand goods, primarily from non-profit partners (NPPs) and through on-site donations (OSDs) at Community Donation Centers and GreenDrop locations. Any disruption to these relationships, a decrease in the volume or quality of donations, or increased competition for donated goods could severely impact their inventory supply, which is fundamental to their operations.
- Competition in the Secondhand Market: The U.S. secondhand market is projected to grow significantly, reaching over $82 billion by 2026. While Savers Value Village is the largest for-profit thrift operator, this growth signals increasing competition from various channels within the broader secondhand market. This includes other physical thrift stores, online resale platforms, consignment stores, and peer-to-peer selling, all of which could compete for both donated items (supply) and customer purchases (demand).
- Maintaining the "Treasure Hunt" Experience and Low-Price Value Proposition: The company highlights its differentiated value proposition of providing "one-of-a-kind, low-priced merchandise... in an exciting treasure-hunt shopping environment" with an average unit retail price under $5. A risk exists if Savers Value Village is unable to consistently source desirable items that allow for this low pricing model or if consumer preferences shift away from this specific "treasure-hunt" shopping experience, potentially impacting customer engagement and sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Savers Value Village's main products and services are:
- U.S. secondhand market: Approximately $35 billion in 2021, expected to grow to more than $82 billion by 2026.
- U.S. thrift market (a subset of the secondhand market): Approximately 60% of the total secondhand market in 2021, which equates to roughly $21 billion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Savers Value Village (SVV) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies: * New Store Openings and Expansion of Store Footprint: The company plans significant expansion of its physical presence. Savers Value Village opened 12 new stores in fiscal year 2023, targeted approximately 22 new stores in 2024, and aims for 25 or more new stores annually from 2025 through 2027. The company has identified approximately 2,200 potential new locations across the United States and Canada. New store openings are expected to be a meaningful driver of revenue growth. * Growth in Comparable Store Sales (Same-Store Sales): Savers Value Village anticipates continued growth in sales from its existing stores. U.S. comparable store sales increased 3.1% in Q4 2023 and 8.8% in Q4 2025 (excluding the 53rd week benefit), driven by increased transactions. This growth is attributed to the accelerating consumer adoption of thrift shopping and effective execution in stores. Management expects continued steady growth in U.S. comparable store sales. * Expansion and Engagement of the Loyalty Program: Increasing the reach and activity of its loyalty program members is a significant driver. The loyalty program grew to over 5 million members in 2023 and reached nearly 6 million active members as of Q1 2025, accounting for 72% of total sales. This growth is observed across younger and higher-income demographics, leading to increases in both transactions and average basket size. * Operational Efficiencies and Supply Chain Optimization through Centralized Processing Centers (CPCs): The implementation of an offsite processing strategy, particularly Centralized Processing Centers (CPCs), is aimed at enhancing efficiency and reducing costs. These larger-scale facilities allow for more efficient processing of goods and distribution to multiple stores, leading to better quality control, reduced labor costs, and improved inventory management. The company opened three additional CPCs during fiscal year 2023, and CPCs continue to help improve efficiency. * Benefiting from Powerful Secular Trends in the Reuse Economy: Savers Value Village is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing secondhand market and increasing consumer preference for sustainable options. The U.S. secondhand market is projected to grow significantly, from approximately $35 billion in 2021 to more than $82 billion by 2026. The company benefits from "strong secular trends" and the growing reuse economy, driven by increasing consumer concern for the environmental impact of their apparel choices.AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Savers Value Village announced share repurchase programs, including an authorization to repurchase up to $50 million of its common stock on October 30, 2025.
- The company repurchased approximately 1.1 million shares at a weighted average price of $8.75 in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (ended January 3, 2026), with approximately $41.7 million remaining under its share repurchase program as of that date.
- Annual share buybacks for 2024 were $31.674 million.
Share Issuance
- Savers Value Village priced its initial public offering (IPO) on June 28, 2023, offering 18,750,000 shares at $18.00 per share, raising $337.5 million in proceeds for the company.
- The net primary proceeds from the IPO were used to repay indebtedness.
- An additional 3,541,666 shares were offered by existing selling stockholders (funds managed by Ares Management Corporation) as part of the IPO.
Inbound Investments
- Prior to the IPO, funds managed by the Private Equity Group of Ares Management Corporation were significant investors and majority shareholders, selling a portion of their shares during the IPO.
- The Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan and Norges Bank Investment Management had indicated interest in purchasing up to $130.0 million of stock during the IPO.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were projected between $125 million and $150 million.
- For fiscal year 2026, capital expenditures are expected to be in the range of $125 million to $145 million, primarily focused on opening approximately 25 new stores.
- The company opened 26 new stores during fiscal 2025.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 133.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.0 |
| Rev LTM | 21,081 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,928 |
| FCF LTM | 1,804 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,385 |
| CFO LTM | 2,780 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,663 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.0 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/Op Inc | 17.0 |
| P/EBIT | 17.3 |
| P/E | 31.2 |
| P/CFO | 11.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 23.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -8.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -67.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Retail | 833 | 780 | 747 | 644 | 412 |
| Canada Retail | 587 | 606 | 583 | 482 | 364 |
| Other profit | 118 | 114 | 107 | 78 | 58 |
| Total | 1,538 | 1,500 | 1,437 | 1,204 | 834 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Retail | 182 | 198 | 182 | 167 | 45 |
| Canada Retail | 164 | 190 | 174 | 148 | 101 |
| Other profit | 35 | 40 | 33 | 16 | 18 |
| Depreciation and amortization | -70 | -61 | -56 | -47 | -59 |
| General corporate expenses | -181 | -225 | -127 | -102 | -97 |
| Total | 130 | 142 | 206 | 182 | 7 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.06 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/29/2023 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -41.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $8.22 | $10.18 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -2.0% | -20.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 45.8% | 55.4% |
| Downside Capture | 1.50 | 0.58 |
| Upside Capture | 71.24 | 41.15 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 48.4% | 23.4% |
SVV Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.98 | 1.64 | 1.45 | 1.16 | 1.22 | 0.11 |
| Up Beta | 1.15 | 1.37 | 1.52 | 1.71 | 1.76 | -0.12 |
| Down Beta | 4.47 | 1.58 | 1.49 | 1.38 | 1.21 | 0.21 |
| Up Capture | 220% | 134% | 94% | 19% | 63% | 26% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 21 | 31 | 59 | 124 | 346 |
| Down Capture | 647% | 209% | 174% | 129% | 110% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 22 | 33 | 65 | 125 | 357 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SVV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVV | -26.0% | 55.3% | -0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 21.8% | 18.7% | 0.92 | 18.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 23.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | 12.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -11.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 23.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 13.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SVV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVV | -18.2% | 57.2% | -0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.1% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 23.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 25.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 13.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SVV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVV | -9.6% | 57.2% | -0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.9% | 22.0% | 0.54 | 23.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 10.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 25.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -4.1% | ||
| 1/12/2026 | -3.2% | -1.0% | 6.9% |
| 10/30/2025 | -30.4% | -40.3% | -33.5% |
| 7/31/2025 | 10.2% | 8.6% | 16.1% |
| 5/1/2025 | 18.2% | 20.2% | 2.9% |
| 2/20/2025 | -19.4% | -29.8% | -37.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -7.9% | -13.9% | -9.2% |
| 8/8/2024 | -9.3% | -8.2% | -9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.4% |
| Median Negative | -8.6% | -13.6% | -10.3% |
| Max Positive | 18.2% | 20.2% | 16.1% |
| Max Negative | -30.4% | -40.3% | -37.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/08/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/30/2023 | 424B4 |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | S-1/A |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | S-1/A |
| 03/31/2022 | 07/14/2022 | S-1/A |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net sales | 1.76 Bil | 1.77 Bil | 1.79 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.77 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Comparable store sales growth over fiscal 2025 | 2.5% | 3.25% | 4.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.25% for 2026 |
| 2026 Net income | 66.00 Mil | 72.00 Mil | 78.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 72.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted net income | 73.00 Mil | 79.00 Mil | 85.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 79.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 260.00 Mil | 267.50 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 267.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures | 125.00 Mil | 135.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 135.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net sales | 1.76 Bil | 1.77 Bil | 1.79 Bil | 6.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.68 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Comparable store sales growth over fiscal 2025 | 2.5% | 3.25% | 4.0% | -23.5% | -1.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 4.25% for 2025 |
| 2026 Net income | 66.00 Mil | 72.00 Mil | 78.00 Mil | 279.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 19.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net income per diluted share | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.48 | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted net income | 73.00 Mil | 79.00 Mil | 85.00 Mil | 8.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 73.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted net income per diluted share | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.53 | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 260.00 Mil | 267.50 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 5.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 254.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital expenditures | 125.00 Mil | 135.00 Mil | 145.00 Mil | 20.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 112.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 New store openings | 25 | 0 | Same New | Guidance: 25 for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tanious, Jubran N | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 3132026 | 8.30 | 45,000 | 373,644 | 1,284,607 | Form |
| 2 | Tanious, Jubran N | President & COO | Direct | Sell | 12222025 | 9.21 | 57,706 | 531,472 | 918,351 | Form |
| 3 | Medway, Richard A | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 9302025 | 13.69 | 20,000 | Form | ||
| 4 | Geisser, Melinda L | Chief People Services Officer | Direct | Sell | 9302025 | 13.69 | 20,000 | Form | ||
| 5 | Medway, Richard A | General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 9262025 | 13.04 | 9,052 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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