Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -203%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -137 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -129%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -34%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -211%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -213%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -298%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 47%
6   Key risks
STRO key risks include [1] its dependence on an early-stage pipeline following the discontinuation of its previous lead program and [2] financial pressures highlighted by recent corporate restructuring and workforce reductions.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -203%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -137 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -129%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -34%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -211%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -213%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -298%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 122%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 47%
9 Key risks
STRO key risks include [1] its dependence on an early-stage pipeline following the discontinuation of its previous lead program and [2] financial pressures highlighted by recent corporate restructuring and workforce reductions.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STRO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Sutro Biopharma initiated an organizational restructuring in late September 2025, which included prioritizing antibody drug conjugate (ADC) programs and reducing its workforce, leading to a 5.6% jump in after-hours trading due to projections of an extended cash runway into at least mid-2027.

2. The company announced and implemented a 1-for-10 reverse stock split on December 1, 2025, a corporate action that significantly adjusted the per-share price and outstanding shares.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STRO Return97%-31%-46%-47%-57%-46%-91%
Peers Return13%29%11%-3%-3%25%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STRO Win Rate67%42%42%33%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%62%55%47%48%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STRO Max Drawdown-44%-34%-77%-74%-58%-71% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-6%-10%-20%-9%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PFE, JNJ, ABBV, AMGN, REGN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-92.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1230.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-48.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven435 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Sutro Biopharma's stock fell -92.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/22/2021. A -92.5% loss requires a 1230.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sutro Biopharma (STRO)

Better Bets than Sutro Biopharma (STRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sutro Biopharma

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STROPFEJNJABBVAMGNREGNMedian
NameSutro Bi.Pfizer Johnson .AbbVie Amgen Regenero. 
Mkt Price9.8125.53209.30223.67326.74746.36216.49
Mkt Cap0.1145.1504.1395.7175.877.3160.5
Rev LTM10662,78692,14959,64435,97114,24847,808
Op Inc LTM-13715,41724,14614,3668,6713,80711,518
FCF LTM-22510,37618,67919,68411,5393,88110,958
FCF 3Y Avg-1638,92717,81420,0129,0673,8538,997
CFO LTM-22313,07724,20420,86013,1265,07113,102
CFO 3Y Avg-15912,12723,20920,96210,3224,84811,224

Growth & Margins

STROPFEJNJABBVAMGNREGNMedian
NameSutro Bi.Pfizer Johnson .AbbVie Amgen Regenero. 
Rev Chg LTM-34.4%3.9%5.1%7.4%10.6%2.9%4.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg55.4%-13.2%6.1%1.2%11.2%1.4%3.7%
Rev Chg Q13.8%-5.9%6.8%9.1%12.4%0.9%7.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%-1.6%1.7%2.3%3.0%0.2%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM-129.3%24.6%26.2%24.1%24.1%26.7%24.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-194.5%19.4%26.4%27.0%25.4%30.0%25.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM29.2%-1.4%1.7%0.6%0.6%-0.9%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-210.6%20.8%26.3%35.0%36.5%35.6%30.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-194.6%18.9%26.4%37.0%32.7%35.4%29.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-213.1%16.5%20.3%33.0%32.1%27.2%23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-200.4%13.9%20.3%35.3%28.8%28.2%24.2%

Valuation

STROPFEJNJABBVAMGNREGNMedian
NameSutro Bi.Pfizer Johnson .AbbVie Amgen Regenero. 
Mkt Cap0.1145.1504.1395.7175.877.3160.5
P/S0.82.34.86.94.24.14.2
P/EBIT-0.412.213.890.213.711.213.0
P/E-0.414.717.8171.521.712.716.3
P/CFO-0.411.118.419.611.611.511.5
Total Yield-260.4%13.5%8.4%3.4%7.9%8.3%8.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%6.7%2.7%2.8%3.3%0.5%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-139.3%5.5%4.4%6.2%5.9%4.9%5.2%
D/E0.20.40.10.20.40.00.2
Net D/E-2.00.30.10.20.3-0.10.1

Returns

STROPFEJNJABBVAMGNREGNMedian
NameSutro Bi.Pfizer Johnson .AbbVie Amgen Regenero. 
1M Rtn8.4%1.9%7.5%-3.7%-3.0%7.6%4.7%
3M Rtn10.0%8.7%19.4%4.2%20.5%30.0%14.7%
6M Rtn24.2%10.1%39.2%22.5%14.4%47.1%23.3%
12M Rtn-52.6%8.4%50.0%34.9%26.6%3.5%17.5%
3Y Rtn-86.6%-40.9%30.5%55.6%34.5%3.8%17.2%
1M Excs Rtn7.4%0.9%6.5%-4.7%-4.0%6.6%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn12.0%5.0%15.8%-1.0%16.8%24.6%13.9%
6M Excs Rtn10.5%-3.5%25.6%8.8%0.7%33.4%9.7%
12M Excs Rtn-67.8%-4.5%35.1%21.3%10.7%-11.1%3.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-159.7%-114.1%-42.4%-19.7%-43.8%-72.8%-58.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on developing site-specific and novel-format Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs)154    
Astellas Pharma Inc. (Astellas) 11   
BioNova Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. (BioNova) 4   
Bristol Myers Squibb Company (BMS) 1011  
Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany (operating in the United States and Canada under the name EMD Serono) 35  
Merck Sharp & Dohme Corporation (Merck) 1243  
Tasly Biopharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (Tasly) 25   
Vaxcyte, Inc. (Vaxcyte) 43  
Development of biopharmaceutical products   4343
Total15468624343


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on developing site-specific and novel-format Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs)-89    
Total-89    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Focuses on developing site-specific and novel-format Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADCs)-107    
Total-107    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,977,435
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.9%
Average Daily Volume626,998
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.34
Basic Shares Quantity8,486,986
Short % of Basic Shares46.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-13.4%-1.4%-9.9%
8/7/20250.3%-2.5%22.8%
3/13/2025-35.2%-36.3%-51.8%
11/13/2024-12.9%-32.6%-46.5%
8/13/202411.5%48.1%38.2%
3/25/202427.8%55.7%6.1%
11/13/202314.5%33.8%89.9%
8/10/2023-1.8%-3.0%6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10910
# Negative9109
Median Positive4.7%14.9%18.5%
Median Negative-2.9%-8.5%-9.9%
Max Positive27.8%55.7%89.9%
Max Negative-39.3%-36.3%-51.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024313202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023325202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gerber Hans-PeterCHIEF SCIENTIFIC OFFICER10162025Buy0.8017,00013,60757,494Form
1Chow Gregory K.CFO10162025Buy0.8119,75015,99815,998Form
2Chung JaneChief Executive Officer10162025Buy0.8012,50010,01198,391Form
3MATSUI CONNIE10162025Buy0.8050,00039,95039,950Form
4Pauling DavidChief Admin. Ofcr. & GC10162025Buy0.8012,5049,99357,332Form