One Hospitality (STKS)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $1.74 | Market Cap: $54.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
One Hospitality (STKS)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $1.74Market Cap: $54.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1195% Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.7% Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -174% Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 20.85 Key risksSTKS key risks include [1] managing significant debt obligations, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -104%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1195% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.7% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -174% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 20.85 |
| Key risksSTKS key risks include [1] managing significant debt obligations, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Weaker-than-expected Q4 2025 Financial Performance: One Hospitality reported a GAAP net loss of $6 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, compared to a net income of $2 million in the same period of 2024, partly due to a $7 million non-cash impairment loss from its Grill optimization strategy. The company also missed analyst estimates for both EPS, reporting -$0.20 against an expected $0.26, and revenue, which came in at $207.01 million below the $210.28 million consensus. Consolidated comparable sales decreased by 1.8% during the quarter. This underperformance likely dampened investor enthusiasm, contributing to the stock's stability at a lower level.
2. Ongoing Strategic Portfolio Optimization with Near-Term Disruptions: The company is actively pursuing a "portfolio optimization" strategy, which involves closing underperforming restaurants and converting others (e.g., five Grills temporarily closed in January 2026 for conversion to Benihana or STK locations). While these conversions are expected to be EBITDA-accretive and cost approximately $1 million to $1.5 million per restaurant, the near-term operational adjustments and the associated impairment charges in Q4 2025 (as noted above) likely created some uncertainty and limited significant upward movement in the stock.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.6% change in STKS stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -1.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.75 | 1.74 | -0.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 821 | 806 | -1.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STKS | -0.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 28.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.5% | 11.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -41.2% change in STKS stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.96 | 1.74 | -41.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 834 | 806 | -3.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -38.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -41.2% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STKS | -41.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 20.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.6% | 12.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -41.8% change in STKS stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -50.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.99 | 1.74 | -41.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 673 | 806 | 19.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.1 | 0.1 | -50.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | -0.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -41.8% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STKS | -41.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 31.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 18.6% | 31.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -78.5% change in STKS stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.10 | 1.74 | -78.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 317 | 806 | 154.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.8 | 0.1 | -91.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 32 | 31 | 3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -78.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| STKS | -78.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 33.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.3% | 33.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| STKS Return | 241% | -50% | -3% | -53% | -40% | -2% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 5% | -6% | 31% | 52% | -7% | 5% | 91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| STKS Win Rate | 67% | 17% | 50% | 25% | 42% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 38% | 58% | 62% | 43% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| STKS Max Drawdown | -5% | -60% | -32% | -55% | -40% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -28% | -3% | -19% | -20% | -5% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DRI, TXRH, BLMN, CAKE, EAT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | STKS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 276.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 427.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 331 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -41.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 120 days |
Compare to DRI, TXRH, BLMN, CAKE, EAT
In The Past
One Hospitality's stock fell -73.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -73.4% loss requires a 276.0% gain to breakeven.
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About One Hospitality (STKS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- It's like Darden Restaurants (DRI), but focused exclusively on developing and operating upscale, experiential restaurant brands like steakhouses and sushi bars.
- Imagine if Darden Restaurants (DRI) also ran all the food and beverage operations for major hotel chains like Marriott International (MAR).
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Restaurant and Lounge Operations: Develops, owns, operates, manages, and licenses full-service restaurants and lounges, primarily under the STK and Kona Grill brands.
- Hospitality Food and Beverage Solutions: Provides comprehensive, turn-key food and beverage services for third-party hospitality venues such as hotels and casinos, encompassing all F&B operations.
- Hospitality Advisory and Consulting Services: Offers expert guidance and consultation to other hospitality businesses on various operational and strategic aspects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
One Hospitality (STKS) primarily sells its food and beverage offerings and hospitality experiences to individual customers. Based on its operations, the major categories of customers it serves include:
- Leisure & Social Diners: Individuals, couples, and groups seeking an upscale dining and lounge experience for personal enjoyment, celebrations, and social gatherings at their STK steakhouses and Kona Grill restaurants.
- Business & Corporate Clientele: Professionals and companies utilizing STK and Kona Grill venues for business meals, client entertainment, corporate events, and private dining functions.
- Hotel & Casino Guests: Individuals staying at or visiting partner hotels and casinos where ONE Hospitality manages and operates various food and beverage outlets (e.g., restaurants, bars, room service, banqueting), making them direct consumers of STKS's offerings within those specific venues.
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Emanuel P. Hilario, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Hilario has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. since October 30, 2017, and has been a member of its board of directors since April 2017. With over 30 years of restaurant experience, he previously held the role of Chief Financial Officer for Sizzling Platter, a restaurant platform operating over 400 franchised restaurants, from 2015 to 2017. Before that, he served as Chief Operations Officer (2013-2014) and Chief Financial Officer (2010-2013) for Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, Inc. His prior experience also includes serving as Chief Financial Officer for McCormick & Schmick's Seafood Restaurants, Inc. (2004-2009) and Angelo and Maxie's, Inc. (2002-2004). Mr. Hilario began his career at McDonald's and founded Koios Path, LLC.
Nicole Thaung, Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Thaung was appointed Chief Financial Officer of The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. effective September 8, 2025, succeeding Tyler Loy. She brings over 15 years of experience from Benihana, a subsidiary of The ONE Group, where she served as Chief Financial Officer since August 2018. Prior to her CFO role at Benihana, she held various leadership positions, including Vice President of Finance and Controller. Before joining Benihana in 2009, Ms. Thaung spent nearly eight years at Ernst & Young LLP, where her last role was Audit Manager. She was instrumental in the integration of Benihana after its acquisition by The ONE Group.
Caroline O'Mahony Baker, Senior Vice President of Operations
Ms. O'Mahony Baker joined The ONE Group in 2008 and has held the position of Vice President of Operations since September 2018. With over 18 years of industry experience, she oversees the Events Department, Human Resources, Facilities, and Reservations. Her background includes overseeing the opening of multiple properties and brands, such as STK Miami, Asellina in New York, and the Gansevoort Hotel. She began her hospitality career in San Francisco and worked for Rira Irish Pubs.
Daniel Cunningham, Chief Information Officer
Mr. Cunningham has served as Chief Information Officer since January 2019. Before joining The ONE Group, he was the Managing Director and Founder of Tack Sharp Consulting LLC. His previous experience also includes serving as Senior Vice President of Information Technology at Einstein Noah Restaurant Group, Inc. and Vice President of Information at McCormick & Schmick's Seafood Restaurants, Inc.
Jonathan Segal, Executive Chairman and Director of Business Development
Mr. Segal is a co-founder of The ONE Group and transitioned to Executive Chairman and Director of Business Development in late 2017, having previously served as CEO. He brings over 35 years of experience in developing hospitality projects, focusing on strategic growth initiatives, leveraging deep industry connections, and expanding the brand globally through licensing and business development.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlKey Risks to One Hospitality (STKS)
- Poor Financial Health and High Leverage: The company faces significant financial challenges, evidenced by a Z-Score in the distress zone (0.79), indicating a potential bankruptcy risk within two years. It also exhibits low interest coverage (1.16), a low current ratio (0.35) suggesting liquidity issues, and a high debt-to-equity ratio (5.31). Furthermore, the company has reported a negative net margin, and its financial health grades indicate poor financial strength. The recent delay in filing its annual Form 10-K, attributed to additional work required for the valuation of intangible assets and an expected approximately $60 million increase in income tax expense due to a non-cash tax valuation allowance, further highlights its financial constraints.
- Sensitivity to Economic Cycles and High Competition in the Restaurant Industry: As a company in the consumer cyclical sector, specifically the restaurant industry, One Hospitality is highly sensitive to economic cycles and faces intense competition. The company reported a 1.8% decline in consolidated comparable sales for Q4 and a 3.7% decrease for the full year 2025, underscoring operational challenges in a competitive market. This has led to underperformance compared to both the broader US Hospitality industry and the overall US Market.
- Stock Volatility and Negative Investor Sentiment: STKS exhibits high stock volatility with a beta of 1.97, suggesting greater price fluctuations than the overall market. Insider sentiment is negative, with key executives engaging in significant open-market selling. The stock has experienced a decline in price over recent periods, and some AI models have assigned a "Strong Sell" rating, driven by weak fundamentals including declining sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The emergence and rapid growth of ghost kitchens and virtual restaurant brands pose a clear emerging threat to One Hospitality. These operational models allow competitors to operate with significantly lower overheads by eliminating the need for physical dining spaces, focusing solely on delivery and takeout. This shift challenges the traditional brick-and-mortar restaurant model, particularly for brands like Kona Grill and the broader F&B services STKS provides to hotels and casinos. Ghost kitchens can offer greater flexibility, speed to market, and potentially lower prices, thereby disrupting the established restaurant and hospitality food service landscape by fundamentally altering how food is prepared and distributed to consumers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) for its main products and services are identified by region as follows:Full-Service Restaurants
- U.S.: The U.S. full-service restaurants market is predicted to be valued at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach US$ 715.8 billion by 2032.
- Europe: The full-service restaurants segment within the Europe foodservice market was approximately USD 349.075 billion in 2025. The overall Europe foodservice market size was USD 950 billion in 2025, with full-service restaurants accounting for 36.85% of the share.
- Middle East: The Middle East restaurant market was valued at $55.65 billion in 2024.
Hospitality Food and Beverage Services
- U.S.: Food and beverage services accounted for 44% of the U.S. hospitality spending in 2024. Given the overall U.S. Hospitality Market reached USD 1270.04 billion in 2024, the food and beverage services portion was approximately USD 558.82 billion.
- Europe: The Food and Beverage Services segment dominated the Europe hospitality market with a 58.3% share in 2025. With the Europe hospitality market valued at USD 1640.53 billion in 2025, the food and beverage services market was approximately USD 956.88 billion.
- Middle East & North Africa (MENA): The MENA hospitality market size was valued at USD 286.06 billion in 2024. Food & Beverage is anticipated to remain the highest-growth segment within the broader Middle East and Africa Hospitality Market, which was valued at USD 574.01 billion in 2024. The UAE food service market alone was valued at $17.8 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several strategic initiatives:- Benihana Acquisition and Integration: The full-year impact and continued integration of the Benihana acquisition, completed in May 2024, are anticipated to significantly contribute to revenue growth. The company reported that this acquisition was the primary driver for a 20% increase in total GAAP revenue for 2025.
- Portfolio Optimization and Conversions: The company is actively optimizing its portfolio by closing underperforming Kona Grill and RA Sushi locations and converting some of these sites to higher-performing STK or Benihana restaurants. This strategy aims to improve profitability and is expected to contribute to future revenue.
- New Venue Openings: The ONE Group plans to expand its footprint by opening new company-owned STK and Benihana restaurants, as well as pursuing asset-light expansion through managed and licensed venues. The company projects new venue openings for 2026.
- Comparable Sales Growth and Operational Improvements: Initiatives such as operational redesigns, loyalty programs like "Friends with Benefits," and menu innovation are expected to drive improved comparable sales across its brands, including STK, Benihana, and Kona Grill. The company anticipates consolidated comparable sales to be flat to up 1% for Q1 2026 and to rise by 1% to 3% for the full fiscal year 2026.
- Asset-Light Expansion: The company is focused on a capital-efficient growth strategy by expanding its presence through managed, licensed, and franchised restaurants and hospitality venues for its STK, Benihana, and Kona Grill brands, thereby increasing high-margin, recurring revenue streams.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- In March 2024, the Board of Directors authorized a $5 million share repurchase program.
- The company purchased $0.3 million in shares during the first quarter of 2025.
- During the third quarter of 2025, an additional $0.2 million in shares were purchased under the program.
Share Issuance
No significant share issuances were identified; instead, the weighted average shares outstanding have shown a net decrease from $34 million in Q4 2021 to $31 million in Q3 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In May 2024, The ONE Group Hospitality acquired Benihana Inc., which included the Benihana and RA Sushi brands, for $365 million.
Capital Expenditures
- For 2026, the company plans to prioritize capital-efficient growth, focusing on new company-owned developments requiring $1.5 million or less to open, and significantly reducing discretionary capital expenditures.
- Conversions of existing Kona Grill and RA Sushi locations to Benihana or STK formats through the end of 2026 are expected to require approximately $1 million in capital investment per conversion.
- The company's total capital expenditures, net of allowances, are projected to be between $38 million and $42 million for fiscal year 2026.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to STKS.
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| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 110.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| Rev LTM | 4,822 |
| Op Inc LTM | 369 |
| FCF LTM | 245 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 218 |
| CFO LTM | 516 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 444 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.9 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 15.3 |
| P/E | 19.9 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 6.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.74 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/30/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -63.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.93 | $2.42 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -9.6% | -28.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 68.7% | 76.5% |
| Downside Capture | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Upside Capture | 129.18 | 134.96 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.4% | 24.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.99 | 1.21 | 1.73 | 1.05 | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Up Beta | 6.04 | 1.25 | -1.77 | 0.71 | 1.30 | 1.42 |
| Down Beta | -0.49 | 0.09 | 1.02 | 0.60 | 0.78 | 1.17 |
| Up Capture | 74% | 151% | 383% | 53% | 146% | 143% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 29 | 51 | 115 | 333 |
| Down Capture | 142% | 165% | 199% | 166% | 150% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 22 | 32 | 70 | 128 | 395 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STKS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STKS | -38.7% | 77.0% | -0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 24.8% | 19.4% | 1.02 | 23.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 25.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -11.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 13.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 18.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STKS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STKS | -26.8% | 63.3% | -0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 38.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 38.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 7.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 32.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 19.3% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with STKS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STKS | -4.4% | 68.1% | 0.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 32.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 32.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 11.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 32.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/13/2026 | -3.9% | 2.2% | -6.1% |
| 11/6/2025 | -4.1% | -6.1% | -5.6% |
| 8/5/2025 | -5.9% | -10.5% | -10.8% |
| 3/10/2025 | -11.7% | -10.1% | -5.6% |
| 11/7/2024 | -18.6% | -24.0% | -17.9% |
| 8/6/2024 | -10.6% | -8.0% | -12.6% |
| 3/14/2024 | 12.1% | 22.6% | 49.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | -1.5% | 0.4% | 8.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -7.1% | -8.6% |
| Max Positive | 20.6% | 25.8% | 49.4% |
| Max Negative | -18.6% | -24.0% | -21.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/14/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/09/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Total GAAP revenues | 217.00 Mil | 219.00 Mil | 221.00 Mil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Consolidated comparable sales | 0 | 0.01 | 0.01 | ||||
| Q1 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 28.00 Mil | 28.50 Mil | 29.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Total GAAP revenues | 840.00 Mil | 847.50 Mil | 855.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Consolidated comparable sales | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | ||||
| 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA | 100.00 Mil | 105.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | ||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Conversion Locations | 9 | ||||||
| 2026 Capital Investment per Restaurant | 1.00 Mil | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kanen, David | Kanen Wealth Management, LLC | Sell | 7092025 | 4.94 | 48,780 | 240,973 | 11,070,970 | Form | |
| 2 | Kanen, David | Philotimo Fund, LP | Sell | 7092025 | 4.94 | 40,000 | 197,600 | 9,534,200 | Form | |
| 3 | Kanen, David | Kanen Wealth Management, LLC | Sell | 7092025 | 4.77 | 42,242 | 201,494 | 10,488,491 | Form | |
| 4 | Kanen, David | Philotimo Fund, LP | Sell | 7092025 | 4.77 | 34,638 | 165,223 | 9,040,877 | Form | |
| 5 | Kanen, David | Kanen Wealth Management, LLC | Sell | 7092025 | 4.70 | 87,904 | 413,149 | 9,921,423 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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