Tearsheet

One Hospitality (STKS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.84 | Market Cap: $57.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

One Hospitality (STKS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.84
Market Cap: $57.0 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 695%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -95%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 34.59
5   Key risks
STKS key risks include [1] managing significant debt obligations, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Travel & Leisure Tech.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 695%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.1%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -95%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 34.59
8 Key risks
STKS key risks include [1] managing significant debt obligations, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STKS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -33% movement in One Hospitality (STKS) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. One Hospitality reported a significant miss on its Q3 2025 financial results. On November 6, 2025, the company announced its third-quarter earnings, with revenue of $180.2 million falling short of analyst estimates by 5.7% and representing a 7.1% year-over-year decline. The GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of -$2.75 was a substantial miss compared to the analyst consensus of -$0.44. Adjusted EBITDA also came in below expectations.

2. The company issued lower full-year revenue guidance. Following the disappointing Q3 results, One Hospitality lowered its full-year revenue guidance to $822.5 million at the midpoint, which was approximately 1.5% below analysts' estimates for 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STKS Return2%241%-50%-3%-53%-35%-48%
Peers Return14%5%-6%31%52%-6%110%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STKS Win Rate58%67%17%50%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%52%38%58%62%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STKS Max Drawdown-76%-5%-60%-32%-55%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-13%-28%-3%-19%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DRI, TXRH, BLMN, CAKE, EAT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTKSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven276.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven427.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven331 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days120 days

Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD


In The Past

One Hospitality's stock fell -73.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -73.4% loss requires a 276.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About One Hospitality (STKS)

Better Bets than One Hospitality (STKS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1One Hospitality Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STKS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for One Hospitality

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STKSDRITXRHBLMNCAKEEATMedian
NameOne Hosp.Darden R.Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca.Brinker . 
Mkt Price1.87189.53171.517.0750.26145.5197.88
Mkt Cap0.122.111.40.62.36.54.4
Rev LTM82112,3645,8343,9533,7115,5944,774
Op Inc LTM471,469517135250607383
FCF LTM-261,068341100158470249
FCF 3Y Avg-26942291111102264188
CFO LTM361,768747277320737529
CFO 3Y Avg341,590648339259484412

Growth & Margins

STKSDRITXRHBLMNCAKEEATMedian
NameOne Hosp.Darden R.Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca.Brinker . 
Rev Chg LTM51.6%8.3%14.4%7.7%4.9%23.2%11.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg40.4%8.2%14.4%-2.9%5.2%13.2%10.7%
Rev Chg Q-7.1%10.4%12.8%2.1%4.8%18.5%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%2.4%2.9%0.5%1.1%3.9%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM5.8%11.9%8.9%3.4%6.7%10.9%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.0%11.8%8.6%5.6%5.7%7.6%6.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.0%-0.4%-0.5%0.1%0.6%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.4%14.3%12.8%7.0%8.6%13.2%10.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%13.8%12.6%8.5%7.2%9.8%9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.2%8.6%5.8%2.5%4.3%8.4%5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.3%8.1%5.6%2.8%2.8%5.2%4.0%

Valuation

STKSDRITXRHBLMNCAKEEATMedian
NameOne Hosp.Darden R.Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca.Brinker . 
Mkt Cap0.122.111.40.62.36.54.4
P/S0.12.11.90.20.71.00.8
P/EBIT1.918.221.39.213.69.911.7
P/E-1.123.125.2-10.615.812.814.3
P/CFO2.614.414.82.27.97.77.8
Total Yield-90.5%6.9%4.8%0.1%8.4%7.8%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%0.8%9.6%2.1%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-22.5%4.5%3.0%9.4%5.0%7.4%4.8%
D/E7.00.20.13.60.80.30.6
Net D/E6.90.20.13.50.80.30.5

Returns

STKSDRITXRHBLMNCAKEEATMedian
NameOne Hosp.Darden R.Texas Ro.Bloomin .Cheeseca.Brinker . 
1M Rtn5.6%10.3%1.5%6.2%13.3%20.2%8.2%
3M Rtn-24.3%-8.5%4.8%5.5%-7.1%0.8%-3.1%
6M Rtn-43.8%-13.6%-10.4%-19.4%-13.8%-18.4%-16.1%
12M Rtn-35.7%18.0%-6.8%-40.7%1.8%8.8%-2.5%
3Y Rtn-70.4%49.5%86.5%-61.1%67.9%310.7%58.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.9%9.6%0.7%5.4%12.6%19.4%7.5%
3M Excs Rtn-29.7%-2.2%6.4%2.5%-9.6%3.4%0.1%
6M Excs Rtn-56.2%-26.0%-22.8%-31.8%-26.2%-30.8%-28.5%
12M Excs Rtn-48.7%6.1%-17.9%-50.2%-8.2%2.7%-13.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-139.9%-23.7%15.6%-130.9%-6.5%252.5%-15.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
STK154114968183
Kona Grill9879919694
Corporate6093373222
ONE Hospitality66658
Total317291230216207


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,374,723
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-5.0%
Average Daily Volume39,742
Days-to-Cover Short Interest34.59
Basic Shares Quantity30,966,736
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-4.1%-6.1%-5.6%
8/5/2025-5.9%-10.5%-10.8%
3/10/2025-11.7%-10.1%-5.6%
11/7/2024-18.6%-24.0%-17.9%
8/6/2024-10.6%-8.0%-12.6%
3/14/202412.1%22.6%49.4%
11/7/2023-1.5%0.4%8.5%
8/3/2023-2.8%-0.1%1.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive989
# Negative101110
Median Positive11.7%5.9%4.7%
Median Negative-8.2%-8.0%-8.6%
Max Positive20.6%25.8%49.4%
Max Negative-18.6%-29.7%-21.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024310202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022309202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021