Tearsheet

Stag Industrial (STAG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.5 | Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs

Stag Industrial (STAG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.5
Market Cap: $7.0 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Industrial REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
Key risks
STAG key risks include [1] its exposure to rising interest rates on a significant portion of its approximately $3.0 billion in outstanding debt.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.6%, Dist 3Y High is -4.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
6 Key risks
STAG key risks include [1] its exposure to rising interest rates on a significant portion of its approximately $3.0 billion in outstanding debt.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STAG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, I am unable to provide the key points for the stock movement of Stag Industrial (STAG) during this time.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STAG Return4%59%-30%27%-10%14%51%
Peers Return-1%36%-19%14%3%14%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STAG Win Rate58%75%33%75%42%67% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%43%50%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STAG Max Drawdown-42%-5%-42%-2%-12%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-4%-30%-14%-11%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AGNC, EGP, ADC, FR, STWD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTAGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven137 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days

Compare to AGNC, EGP, ADC, FR, STWD


In The Past

Stag Industrial's stock fell -44.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -44.0% loss requires a 78.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stag Industrial (STAG)

Better Bets than Stag Industrial (STAG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-1.7%-1.7%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stag Industrial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
Mkt Price37.4910.44182.5172.1758.6018.5048.05
Mkt Cap7.011.09.78.07.87.07.9
Rev LTM824956698689714767741
Op Inc LTM308-279330301-305
FCF LTM404604470484416714477
FCF 3Y Avg393196404437354303373
CFO LTM464604470484416785477
CFO 3Y Avg433196404437354344379

Growth & Margins

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
Rev Chg LTM9.6%-24.1%11.6%14.7%9.7%-27.4%9.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.1%108.3%14.6%19.5%11.4%-16.5%13.0%
Rev Chg Q10.7%122.3%11.8%18.7%8.2%-13.2%11.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%92.7%2.8%4.4%2.0%-3.9%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM37.4%-39.9%47.9%42.2%-41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.3%-39.7%48.4%40.9%-40.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.3%0.0%0.7%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM56.3%63.2%67.3%70.3%58.2%102.3%65.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg57.3%21.0%64.4%73.1%53.7%41.6%55.5%
FCF/Rev LTM49.1%63.2%67.3%70.3%58.2%93.1%65.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg52.1%21.0%64.4%73.1%53.7%36.8%52.9%

Valuation

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
Mkt Cap7.011.09.78.07.87.07.9
P/S8.010.812.911.59.59.110.2
P/EBIT17.5-32.424.420.5-22.4
P/E27.312.336.240.828.819.028.0
P/CFO14.217.119.116.316.48.916.4
Total Yield6.9%8.1%6.0%6.6%6.7%14.6%6.8%
Dividend Yield3.2%0.0%3.2%4.2%3.2%9.4%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%1.9%4.7%6.4%5.2%-5.2%
D/E0.50.00.20.40.4-0.4
Net D/E0.5-0.00.20.40.4-0.4

Returns

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
1M Rtn-2.3%4.6%2.8%-1.9%5.2%4.9%3.7%
3M Rtn7.0%6.0%11.0%1.3%14.3%-6.5%6.5%
6M Rtn5.3%21.4%8.6%-2.1%21.4%-3.2%7.0%
12M Rtn10.5%26.7%12.6%2.7%16.5%2.8%11.6%
3Y Rtn30.6%60.9%36.1%16.8%31.9%30.6%31.3%
1M Excs Rtn-3.1%3.8%2.1%-2.6%4.5%4.2%2.9%
3M Excs Rtn5.3%5.8%8.0%0.6%11.6%-8.0%5.5%
6M Excs Rtn-7.0%9.0%-3.7%-14.5%9.0%-15.6%-5.4%
12M Excs Rtn-2.3%15.5%-0.8%-10.3%3.7%-9.8%-1.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-41.3%-3.8%-38.5%-53.2%-40.1%-45.3%-40.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Operations708   406
Other income 331 
Rental income 654559483 
Total708657562483406


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Operations6,283    
Total6,283    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,777,541
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.3%
Average Daily Volume1,050,324
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.40
Basic Shares Quantity186,593,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.4%3.0%4.7%
7/29/2025-2.3%-1.3%3.8%
4/29/20251.0%1.4%9.8%
2/12/20250.9%0.3%1.5%
10/29/20242.0%0.6%1.1%
7/30/20240.4%-3.0%-0.9%
4/30/20241.2%3.1%0.7%
2/13/20242.1%2.6%-0.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141316
# Negative10118
Median Positive1.8%3.0%3.2%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.2%-7.1%
Max Positive3.9%10.0%13.1%
Max Negative-3.6%-8.0%-27.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021