Tearsheet

Stag Industrial (STAG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.87 | Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs

Stag Industrial (STAG)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $38.87
Market Cap: $7.3 Bil
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: Industrial REITs

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -31%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

STAG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Stag Industrial (STAG) stock moved by 7.1% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: **1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.** STAG Industrial announced robust third-quarter 2025 financial and operating results on October 29, 2025, reporting $0.26 of net income per basic and diluted common share and achieving $0.65 of Core FFO per diluted share, an 8.3% increase compared to the third quarter of 2024. The company's revenue of $211.1 million also slightly surpassed analyst expectations.

**2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Guidance.** Following its strong Q3 performance, STAG Industrial raised its full-year 2025 Core FFO guidance, signaling management's confidence in continued operational strength and long-term value creation.

**3. Robust Leasing Activity and High Occupancy Rates.** As of September 30, 2025, the company maintained a high occupancy rate of 95.8% for its total portfolio and 96.8% for its operating portfolio. It also achieved significant cash rent changes of 27.2% on commenced operating portfolio leases in the third quarter of 2025.

**4. Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Expansion.** In the third quarter of 2025, STAG Industrial continued its growth strategy by acquiring two buildings for $101.5 million, adding approximately 1.0 million square feet to its portfolio.

**5. Successful Debt Refinancing.** The company enhanced its financial flexibility by refinancing a $300 million term loan G, extending its maturity from February 2026 to March 15, 2030.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
STAG Return4%59%-30%27%-10%19%58%
Peers Return-1%36%-19%14%3%15%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STAG Win Rate58%75%33%75%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%43%50%58%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STAG Max Drawdown-42%-5%-42%-2%-12%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-42%-4%-30%-14%-11%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AGNC, EGP, ADC, FR, STWD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSTAGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven137 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven190 days120 days

Compare to AGNC, EGP, ADC, FR, STWD


In The Past

Stag Industrial's stock fell -44.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -44.0% loss requires a 78.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stag Industrial (STAG)

Better Bets than Stag Industrial (STAG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to STAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.7%8.7%-5.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
MPW_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025MPWMedical Properties TrustSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
8.7%8.7%-5.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stag Industrial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
Mkt Price39.0910.46179.2474.4755.9318.4147.51
Mkt Cap7.311.09.58.37.46.27.8
Rev LTM824956698689714798756
Op Inc LTM308-279330301-305
FCF LTM404604470484416660477
FCF 3Y Avg393196404437354258373
CFO LTM464604470484416689477
CFO 3Y Avg433196404437354285379

Growth & Margins

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
Rev Chg LTM9.6%-24.1%11.6%14.7%9.7%-18.2%9.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.1%108.3%14.6%19.5%11.4%-15.7%13.0%
Rev Chg Q10.7%122.3%11.8%18.7%8.2%-20.9%11.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%92.7%2.8%4.4%2.0%-5.6%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM37.4%-39.9%47.9%42.2%-41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg35.3%-39.7%48.4%40.9%-40.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.3%0.0%0.7%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM56.3%63.2%67.3%70.3%58.2%86.4%65.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg57.3%21.0%64.4%73.1%53.7%35.9%55.5%
FCF/Rev LTM49.1%63.2%67.3%70.3%58.2%82.8%65.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg52.1%21.0%64.4%73.1%53.7%33.0%52.9%

Valuation

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
Mkt Cap7.311.09.58.37.46.27.8
P/S8.010.812.911.59.58.510.2
P/EBIT17.5-32.424.420.5-22.4
P/E27.312.336.240.828.818.328.0
P/CFO14.217.119.116.316.49.816.4
Total Yield6.9%8.1%6.0%6.6%6.7%14.9%6.8%
Dividend Yield3.2%0.0%3.2%4.2%3.2%9.5%3.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%1.9%4.7%6.4%5.2%3.9%4.9%
D/E0.50.00.20.40.41.40.4
Net D/E0.5-0.00.20.40.41.30.4

Returns

STAGAGNCEGPADCFRSTWDMedian
NameStag Ind.AGNC Inv.EastGrou.Agree Re.First In.Starwood. 
1M Rtn1.7%5.3%1.9%2.3%1.2%1.5%1.8%
3M Rtn8.2%9.0%8.9%4.7%8.8%-6.9%8.5%
6M Rtn10.2%24.6%8.3%2.0%16.9%-3.0%9.3%
12M Rtn11.6%28.1%9.3%4.2%9.6%1.5%9.4%
3Y Rtn33.9%63.3%25.0%20.4%20.3%17.9%22.7%
1M Excs Rtn1.8%5.3%1.9%2.4%1.2%1.6%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn2.1%0.9%2.2%-0.8%3.1%-13.2%1.5%
6M Excs Rtn-4.5%9.8%-6.4%-12.7%2.2%-17.7%-5.5%
12M Excs Rtn-2.8%12.2%-5.8%-12.4%-5.3%-13.9%-5.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.2%-3.2%-42.1%-47.9%-47.4%-55.6%-44.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Operations708   406
Other income 331 
Rental income 654559483 
Total708657562483406


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Real Estate Operations6,283    
Total6,283    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,302,641
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.7%
Average Daily Volume1,203,467
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.90
Basic Shares Quantity186,593,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022215202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021