Lineage (LINE)
Market Price (7/15/2026): $43.99 | Market Cap: $10.0 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Industrial REITs
Lineage (LINE)
Market Price (7/15/2026): $43.99Market Cap: $10.0 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Industrial REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 5.4% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Cold Storage Facilities, E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80% Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 60x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 5.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Cold Storage Facilities, E-commerce Logistics REITs, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 60x |
Qualitative Assessment
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Lineage (LINE) stock has gained about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lineage significantly exceeded earnings expectations for fiscal Q1 2026. The company reported an Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share of $0.78, notably surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.23 by $1.01. This strong earnings beat, announced on May 6, 2026, contributed to positive investor sentiment.
2. Management reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance and demonstrated increased conviction in achieving its targets. Lineage maintained its outlook for full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion and AFFO per share between $2.75 and $3.00. The company's management expressed increased confidence in reaching the midpoint of this guidance, signaling stability and a positive operational trajectory.
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Lineage (LINE) stock has gained about 35% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lineage significantly exceeded earnings expectations for fiscal Q1 2026. The company reported an Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFO) per share of $0.78, notably surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.23 by $1.01. This strong earnings beat, announced on May 6, 2026, contributed to positive investor sentiment.
2. Management reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance and demonstrated increased conviction in achieving its targets. Lineage maintained its outlook for full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion and AFFO per share between $2.75 and $3.00. The company's management expressed increased confidence in reaching the midpoint of this guidance, signaling stability and a positive operational trajectory.
3. The company announced strategic cost-reduction initiatives and a comprehensive portfolio review. Lineage detailed plans to achieve over $50 million in annualized SG&A and indirect cost savings by 2027. Additionally, a strategic portfolio review aimed at potential asset sales and joint ventures was highlighted at Nareit REITweek 2026, intending to enhance financial flexibility and reduce leverage towards a target range of 5.0x to 5.5x.
4. Signs of industry stabilization and significant insider buying boosted confidence. Management indicated that core business trends were aligning with typical seasonal patterns, suggesting stabilization in the cold-storage industry following previous headwinds. Furthermore, President and CEO Greg Lehmkuhl acquired 136,670 shares between March 20, 2026, and June 18, 2026, representing an investment exceeding $5.6 million and indicating strong insider belief in the company's prospects.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.9% change in LINE stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.37 | 44.00 | 35.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,355 | 5,360 | 0.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 1.9 | 35.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 228 | 227 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LINE | 35.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 32.1% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 8.9% | 50.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 29.4% change in LINE stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.01 | 44.00 | 29.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,358 | 5,360 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.4 | 1.9 | 28.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 228 | 227 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 29.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LINE | 29.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.6% | 45.4% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 11.0% | 49.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 7.1% change in LINE stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 41.10 | 44.00 | 7.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,304 | 5,360 | 1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.8 | 1.9 | 5.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 228 | 227 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 7.1% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LINE | 7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.7% | 37.4% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 10.1% | 46.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LINE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 39.9% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 29.6% | 51.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LINE Return | - | - | - | -26% | -37% | 29% | -40% |
| Peers Return | 46% | -20% | 26% | -5% | 8% | 22% | 82% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 100% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LINE Win Rate | - | - | - | 17% | 33% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 75% | 37% | 63% | 48% | 63% | 69% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LINE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -45% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -36% | -22% | -20% | -29% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: COLD, PLD, STAG, EGP, R.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/14/2026 (YTD)
About Lineage (LINE)
Lineage (LINE) is the world's largest global temperature-controlled warehouse REIT, playing a crucial role in transforming the global food supply chain. The company provides mission-critical infrastructure for the storage, handling, and movement of food products around the world, specifically addressing the significant issue of food waste caused by inadequate refrigeration. Through its strategically located and scaled network of facilities and a technology-enabled platform, Lineage offers comprehensive solutions to the complexities of the cold chain, linking food from farm to fork.
The company's business operates through two main segments. Its primary segment, Global Warehousing, utilizes high-quality industrial real estate properties to offer temperature-controlled storage and related services. This core offering is complemented by Global Integrated Solutions, which provides supply chain services to facilitate the efficient movement of products, generating cost savings for customers and additional revenue streams for Lineage. With an interconnected global network comprising over 480 warehouses across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific, Lineage serves more than 13,000 customers, including major food retailers, manufacturers, processors, and food service distributors, with a highly diversified customer base.
Lineage distinguishes itself through its significant investment in technological innovation, dedicating hundreds of millions to develop and deploy advanced systems. These initiatives include proprietary software, in-house data science teams, and automation capabilities designed to integrate acquisitions, standardize operations, and optimize efficiencies across its network. This strategic focus on technology supports enhanced customer value, strong same-warehouse NOI growth, and robust cash flow generation, positioning Lineage as a leader in applying innovation to the temperature-controlled logistics sector.
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Lineage is like:
- The Prologis for the cold chain.
- The Amazon Web Services (AWS) of cold storage.
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Lineage provides the following major services:
- Temperature-Controlled Warehousing: Provides high-quality industrial real estate properties for temperature-controlled storage and related services for food products.
- Global Integrated Solutions: Offers supply chain services that complement warehousing to facilitate the efficient movement of food products through the cold chain.
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Lineage (symbol: LINE) sells primarily to other companies.
Due to its well-diversified customer base, with no single customer accounting for more than 3.3% of its revenues for the twelve months ended March 31, 2024, Lineage does not disclose specific major customer companies by name in the provided information.
However, Lineage serves more than 13,000 customers, which include major entities within the following categories:
- Food retailers
- Food manufacturers
- Food processors
- Food service distributors
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Greg Lehmkuhl - President & Chief Executive Officer
Greg Lehmkuhl has served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Lineage since June 2015. Under his leadership, Lineage executed the largest IPO of 2024 and the largest REIT IPO in history in July 2024. Prior to joining Lineage, Mr. Lehmkuhl held various executive positions at Con-way Inc., including President and Corporate Executive Vice President, and also held management roles at Menlo Logistics, Delphi Automotive, and Penske Logistics.
Robb LeMasters - Chief Financial Officer
Robb LeMasters was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Lineage, effective November 10, 2025, succeeding Rob Crisci. He brings over two decades of finance and executive leadership experience. Most recently, he served as the Chief Financial Officer of BWX Technologies, Inc. Prior to BWX Technologies, Mr. LeMasters was a Managing Director at Blue Harbour Group, an investment firm focused on public markets, and held senior positions at Theleme Partners, The Children's Investment Fund, and Highbridge Capital Management. He began his career as an analyst in the mergers and acquisitions group at Morgan Stanley and subsequently worked as a private equity analyst at Forstmann Little & Co., indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Adam Forste - Co-Executive Chairman
Adam Forste is a Co-Founder of Lineage and has served as Co-Executive Chairman since the company's formation. He is also a co-founder and Managing Partner of Bay Grove since 2007, which is Lineage's original owner-operator and a private equity firm. This demonstrates a clear pattern of involvement with private equity firms. Before co-founding Bay Grove, Mr. Forste worked in private equity at KKR and began his career in Morgan Stanley's investment banking group. He co-founded Lineage, which was built through a "buy and build" strategy involving over 120 acquisitions and more than 40 new builds.
Jeff Rivera - Global Chief Operations Officer
Jeff Rivera serves as Lineage's Global Chief Operations Officer. No additional specific background details were found in the provided search results beyond his title.
Sudarsan Thattai - Chief Information Officer & Chief Transformation Officer
Sudarsan Thattai holds the roles of Chief Information Officer and Chief Transformation Officer at Lineage. No additional specific background details were found in the provided search results beyond his title.
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Lineage (symbol: LINE) operates in two main segments: global warehousing and global integrated solutions. The addressable markets for these services are as follows:
Global Warehousing (Temperature-Controlled Warehousing Services)
The global cold storage market, which encompasses temperature-controlled warehousing services, was valued at approximately USD 188.81 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to about USD 462.63 billion by 2035, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.38% from 2026 to 2035.
North America is a significant market within cold storage, holding more than 35.45% of the revenue share in 2025. Meanwhile, Asia-Pacific is estimated to expand at the fastest CAGR of 10.46% between 2026 and 2035. Europe also represents a substantial portion, accounting for approximately 30% of the global cold storage market share.
Global Integrated Solutions (Cold Chain Logistics)
The global cold chain logistics market, which includes Lineage's integrated supply chain solutions, was valued at USD 328.0 billion in 2025. This market is anticipated to reach USD 941.9 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 12.44% from 2026 to 2034.
North America is a dominant region in the cold chain logistics market, holding a 38.6% market share in 2025. The Asia-Pacific region is also experiencing rapid growth, with its cold chain logistics market valued at USD 134.3 billion in 2025 and projected to maintain the highest growth rate between 2026 and 2035.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Lineage (LINE)
Over the next 2-3 years, Lineage (LINE) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives, including strategic expansion, technological advancements, diversification of service offerings, and focused pricing strategies.
- Strategic Acquisitions and New Facility Development: Lineage plans to deploy over $1.5 billion in capital during 2025 primarily for acquisitions and development projects, aiming to expand its global network and operational capacity. These initiatives include acquiring facilities to enhance port-centric operations and increase international reach, as well as investing in the construction of new, fully automated cold storage warehouses. The company has 24 facilities currently under construction or in the process of ramping up, representing over $1 billion in invested capital, which are anticipated to significantly contribute to future EBITDA once stabilized. This strategic expansion is crucial for solidifying its market standing and broadening its presence in key regions across North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific.
- Technological Innovation and Automation: Lineage has made substantial investments in transformational technology initiatives since 2019, allocating over $725 million to enhance customer value and operational efficiencies. This focus includes software development, data science, product development, and automation teams. The company's continued deployment of innovative technologies and automation in its warehouses is expected to improve operational efficiency, reduce unit operating costs, and enable expansion into higher-density, energy-efficient sites. These advancements are also aimed at meeting the rising demands of e-commerce and food safety, providing significant benefits to customers, and positioning Lineage for sustained growth.
- Diversification into New Product Categories and Services: Lineage is expanding its service offerings beyond traditional food cold storage by entering new product categories, such as specialized storage for pharmaceuticals. This diversification strategy aims to broaden its customer base and generate additional revenue streams. Furthermore, the growth of its Global Integrated Solutions (GIS) segment, which provides value-added supply chain services, is a key driver. While revenue for this segment has seen some fluctuations, its EBITDA increased by 15% in Q4 2025, demonstrating its potential for contributing to overall revenue growth by increasing customer stickiness and complementing the core warehousing business.
- Net Pricing Increases in Global Warehousing: The company anticipates achieving 1%-2% net pricing increases within its warehousing segment in 2026. This direct increase in pricing for storage and related services will contribute to organic revenue growth, assuming stable or improving occupancy rates.
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Share Issuance
- Lineage completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2024, raising approximately $4.5 billion through the sale of 57 million shares at $78 per share.
- In March 2021, Lineage raised $1.9 billion in equity, with proceeds intended for global greenfield developments, facility expansions, mergers and acquisitions, and research and development.
Inbound Investments
- The company's Initial Public Offering (IPO) in July 2024 brought in approximately $4.5 billion in capital.
- Lineage secured $1.9 billion in equity funding in March 2021.
- In September 2020, Lineage raised $1.6 billion in equity.
Outbound Investments
- Lineage acquired over 100 companies through the end of 2023.
- In July 2021, Lineage partnered with 8VC, a logistics technology venture capital firm, to enhance investments in the transportation and logistics technology sector.
Capital Expenditures
- Lineage has invested over $725 million in transformational technology initiatives since the start of 2019.
- A substantial portion of the $1.9 billion equity raised in March 2021 was earmarked for global greenfield developments, facility expansions, and research and development.
- The company intends to continue investing in the construction of new cold storage facilities and further consolidate the industry to drive future expansion.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Lineage Earnings Notes | 12/28/2026 | |
| Can Lineage Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Why Lineage Stock Moved: LINE Stock Has Lost 40% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 | |
| Lineage (LINE) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 | |
| Lineage (LINE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Lineage (LINE) Net Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Lineage (LINE) Operating Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Lineage (LINE) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 08/19/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 93.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.2 |
| Rev LTM | 3,981 |
| Op Inc LTM | 313 |
| FCF LTM | 444 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 246 |
| CFO LTM | 712 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 635 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 37.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 38.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Warehousing revenues | 3,950 | 3,887 | 3,857 | 3,432 | 2,656 |
| Global Integrated Solutions revenues | 1,405 | 1,453 | 1,485 | 1,496 | 1,046 |
| Total | 5,355 | 5,340 | 5,342 | 4,928 | 3,702 |
| $ Mil | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Global Warehousing revenues | 1,213 | 963 |
| Global Integrated Solutions revenues | 234 | 159 |
| Acquisition, restructuring, and other expenses | -93 | -160 |
| Amortization expense | -198 | -188 |
| General and administrative | -388 | -279 |
| Depreciation expense | -480 | -416 |
| Total | 289 | 79 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $44.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 10.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/25/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $41.37 | $37.05 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.4% | 18.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.9% | 38.1% |
| Downside Capture | 18.41 | 106.66 |
| Upside Capture | 102.47 | 95.24 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.8% | 37.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.23 | 0.71 | 1.07 | 1.36 | 1.16 | 0.09 |
| Up Beta | -0.30 | 0.28 | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.54 | 0.35 |
| Down Beta | 0.87 | 1.32 | 1.01 | 2.10 | 1.17 | 0.62 |
| Up Capture | 8% | 116% | 135% | 140% | 89% | 11% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 21 | 34 | 60 | 120 | 227 |
| Down Capture | 23% | 12% | 46% | 89% | 109% | 87% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 20 | 29 | 65 | 130 | 254 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LINE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINE | 8.5% | 38.1% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 9.8% | 14.2% | 0.43 | 47.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.6% | 1.28 | 37.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 27.9% | 0.65 | 20.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 27.3% | 18.9% | 1.14 | -10.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.9% | 0.64 | 49.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -47.0% | 42.7% | -1.37 | 18.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LINE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINE | -9.8% | 36.6% | -0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 2.9% | 19.1% | 0.06 | 51.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 39.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 17.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 19.5% | 0.33 | 4.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 53.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.8% | 53.4% | 0.42 | 16.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LINE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINE | -5.0% | 36.6% | -0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLRE) | 6.3% | 20.4% | 0.27 | 51.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 39.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.2% | 16.1% | 0.57 | 17.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.3% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 4.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 53.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.3% | 66.2% | 0.97 | 16.9% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 3.6% | 6.5% | 18.4% |
| 2/25/2026 | 6.3% | 5.1% | -6.8% |
| 11/5/2025 | 0.4% | -8.4% | -6.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | 0.6% | -8.7% | -9.0% |
| 4/30/2025 | -14.6% | -22.5% | -22.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | 2.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | -7.4% | -10.3% | -14.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 6.5% | 12.6% |
| Median Negative | -11.0% | -9.5% | -9.0% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 7.6% | 18.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.6% | -22.5% | -22.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | 3.6% | 6.5% | 18.4% |
| 2/25/2026 | 6.3% | 5.1% | -6.8% |
| 11/5/2025 | 0.4% | -8.4% | -6.4% |
| 8/6/2025 | 0.6% | -8.7% | -9.0% |
| 4/30/2025 | -14.6% | -22.5% | -22.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | 2.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | -7.4% | -10.3% | -14.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| # Negative | 2 | 4 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 6.5% | 12.6% |
| Median Negative | -11.0% | -9.5% | -9.0% |
| Max Positive | 6.3% | 7.6% | 18.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.6% | -22.5% | -22.2% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.25 Bil | 1.27 Bil | 1.30 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.27 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted FFO per share | 2.75 | 2.88 | 3 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.88 for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.25 Bil | 1.27 Bil | 1.30 Bil | -1.7% | Lower New | Actual: 1.30 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted FFO per share | 2.75 | 2.88 | 3 | -11.5% | Lower New | Actual: 3.25 for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 319.00 Mil | 326.50 Mil | 334.00 Mil | -1.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 331.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted FFO per share | 0.68 | 0.73 | 0.78 | -5.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 0.77 for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.29 Bil | 1.30 Bil | 1.30 Bil | -1.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.31 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted FFO per share | 3.2 | 3.25 | 3.3 | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 3.3 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/11/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 37.50 | 13,300 | 498,699 | 4,262,943 | Form |
| 2 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 39.05 | 11,222 | 438,266 | 3,920,651 | Form |
| 3 | Fleming, Abigail S | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Buy | 11242025 | 33.56 | 500 | 16,782 | 196,763 | Form |
| 4 | Lemasters, Robb A | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 33.74 | 30,000 | 1,012,197 | 2,024,394 | Form |
| 5 | Forste, Adam Matthew Schwartz | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 33.83 | 74,000 | 2,503,250 | 3,696,217 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 37.50 | 13,300 | 498,699 | 4,262,943 | Form |
| 2 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 3112026 | 39.05 | 11,222 | 438,266 | 3,920,651 | Form |
| 3 | Fleming, Abigail S | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Buy | 11242025 | 33.56 | 500 | 16,782 | 196,763 | Form |
| 4 | Lemasters, Robb A | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 33.74 | 30,000 | 1,012,197 | 2,024,394 | Form |
| 5 | Forste, Adam Matthew Schwartz | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 33.83 | 74,000 | 2,503,250 | 3,696,217 | Form |
| 6 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 33.72 | 14,500 | 489,010 | 3,007,173 | Form |
| 7 | Crisci, Robert | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Buy | 11102025 | 34.56 | 10,000 | 345,630 | 3,727,931 | Form |
| 8 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | Co-Executive Chairman | Direct | Buy | 8202025 | 40.44 | 12,345 | 499,254 | 3,019,708 | Form |
| 9 | Thattai, Sudarsan V | See Remarks | Direct | Buy | 8112025 | 42.45 | 3,563 | 151,238 | 338,854 | Form |
| 10 | Marchetti, Kevin Patrick | CO-EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN | Direct | Buy | 8112025 | 42.28 | 23,540 | 995,216 | 2,634,869 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 15, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darlington Partners Capital Management, LP | $90.7 Mil | 4.1% | 10 | ADD +72.5% | 13F |
| GRS Advisors, LLC | $31.7 Mil | 3.1% | 32 | TRIM -36.2% | 13F |
| D1 Capital Partners L.P. | $242.5 Mil | 2.2% | 44 | Hold | 13F |
| Long Pond Capital, LP | $13.5 Mil | 1.4% | 32 | ADD +123.2% | 13F |
| GCM Grosvenor Holdings, LLC | $9.9 Mil | 1.1% | 22 | Hold | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRS Advisors, LLC | $31.7 Mil | 3.1% | 32 | TRIM -36.2% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D1 Capital Partners L.P. | $242.5 Mil | 2.2% | 44 | Hold | 13F |
| Darlington Partners Capital Management, LP | $90.7 Mil | 4.1% | 10 | ADD +72.5% | 13F |
| GRS Advisors, LLC | $31.7 Mil | 3.1% | 32 | TRIM -36.2% | 13F |
| Long Pond Capital, LP | $13.5 Mil | 1.4% | 32 | ADD +123.2% | 13F |
| GCM Grosvenor Holdings, LLC | $9.9 Mil | 1.1% | 22 | Hold | 13F |
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