Sensata Technologies (ST)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.11 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Sensata Technologies (ST)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.11Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.5% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ST Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Sensata Technologies (ST) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Sensata Technologies reported better-than-expected financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 28, 2025. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.89, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.85. Additionally, revenue reached $931.98 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $918.83 million. This performance included organic revenue growth of 3.6% year-over-year in Performance Sensing and 2.5% in Sensing Solutions.
2. Positive Future Earnings Outlook: On October 30, 2025, an analysis highlighted that despite current unprofitability, Sensata Technologies is forecasted to achieve a sharp turnaround, with earnings projected to grow by 40.35% annually and the company expected to become profitable within three years. Profit margins are also anticipated to quadruple by 2028.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ST Return | -2% | 17% | -34% | -6% | -26% | 19% | -37% |
| Peers Return | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 42% | 110% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ST Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 37% | 30% | 49% | 52% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ST Max Drawdown | -57% | -1% | -39% | -23% | -27% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -4% | -12% | -7% | -14% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NOC, TEL, TDY, NXT, BMI. See ST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 821 days | 120 days |
Compare to NOC, TEL, TDY, NXT, BMI
In The Past
Sensata Technologies's stock fell -52.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -52.5% loss requires a 110.5% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Sensata Technologies Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| ST Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| Sensata Technologies (ST) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Sensata Technologies (ST) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Sensata Technologies (ST) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Sensata Technologies (ST) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Sensata Technologies vs. General Motors: ST stock's substantially higher valuation vs. GM appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Sensata Technologies Holding vs. Deckers Outdoor: ST stock's significantly higher valuation vs. DECK appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Sensata Technologies Holding vs. PulteGroup: ST stock's higher valuation vs. PHM appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Sensata Technologies vs. S&P500 Correlation | Correlation |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sensata Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 204.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.2 |
| Rev LTM | 4,850 |
| Op Inc LTM | 912 |
| FCF LTM | 821 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 684 |
| CFO LTM | 897 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 789 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.2 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 17.7 |
| P/E | 27.7 |
| P/CFO | 20.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 19.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -56.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performance Sensing | 2,750 | 2,920 | 2,848 | 2,224 | 2,546 |
| Sensing Solutions | 1,157 | 1,109 | 973 | 822 | 905 |
| Other | 147 | ||||
| Total | 4,054 | 4,029 | 3,821 | 3,046 | 3,451 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performance Sensing | 698 | 728 | 777 | 533 | 670 |
| Sensing Solutions | 338 | 323 | 293 | 241 | 294 |
| Other | 7 | ||||
| Restructuring and other charges, net | -54 | 67 | -15 | -33 | -54 |
| Amortization of intangible assets | -174 | -154 | -134 | -130 | -143 |
| Corporate and other | -633 | -294 | -288 | -273 | -211 |
| Total | 182 | 670 | 633 | 338 | 557 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |