Sensata Technologies (ST)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.08 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Sensata Technologies (ST)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.08Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Electrical Components & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more. | Key risksST key risks include [1] significant debt levels that could constrain financial flexibility and capital allocation. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.0%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.2% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
| Key risksST key risks include [1] significant debt levels that could constrain financial flexibility and capital allocation. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ST Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive Market Sentiment Leading into Q3 2025 Earnings: Sensata Technologies experienced positive investor sentiment, with its stock reported to be up 4.9% heading into its Q3 2025 earnings announcement around October 28, 2025. This positive outlook was partly driven by the company beating analysts' revenue and EPS expectations in the prior quarter.
2. Ongoing Electrification Business Growth Initiatives: Sensata continued to highlight its strategic focus and progress in the electrification market, aiming to achieve $2 billion in revenue from this segment by 2026. This long-term growth narrative contributed to investor confidence.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ST Return | -2% | 17% | -34% | -6% | -26% | 26% | -34% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 44% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ST Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 52% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ST Max Drawdown | -57% | -1% | -39% | -23% | -27% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NOC, TEL, TDY, NXT, BMI. See ST Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 110.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 821 days | 120 days |
Compare to NOC, TEL, TDY, NXT, BMI
In The Past
Sensata Technologies's stock fell -52.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -52.5% loss requires a 110.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sensata Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 201.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,850 |
| Op Inc LTM | 912 |
| FCF LTM | 821 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 684 |
| CFO LTM | 897 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 789 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.1 |
| P/S | 3.5 |
| P/EBIT | 19.0 |
| P/E | 27.7 |
| P/CFO | 20.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 16.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -53.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performance Sensing | 2,750 | 2,920 | 2,848 | 2,224 | 2,546 |
| Sensing Solutions | 1,157 | 1,109 | 973 | 822 | 905 |
| Other | 147 | ||||
| Total | 4,054 | 4,029 | 3,821 | 3,046 | 3,451 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Performance Sensing | 698 | 728 | 777 | 533 | 670 |
| Sensing Solutions | 338 | 323 | 293 | 241 | 294 |
| Other | 7 | ||||
| Restructuring and other charges, net | -54 | 67 | -15 | -33 | -54 |
| Amortization of intangible assets | -174 | -154 | -134 | -130 | -143 |
| Corporate and other | -633 | -294 | -288 | -273 | -211 |
| Total | 182 | 670 | 633 | 338 | 557 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | 5.8% | 0.0% | 3.2% |
| 7/29/2025 | -3.6% | -8.2% | 3.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | 13.8% | 22.2% | 24.2% |
| 2/11/2025 | 9.1% | 16.8% | 3.0% |
| 11/4/2024 | -6.1% | -3.1% | -5.3% |
| 7/29/2024 | 0.7% | -7.0% | 0.7% |
| 4/29/2024 | 7.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% |
| 2/6/2024 | -8.5% | -6.9% | -4.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| # Negative | 16 | 17 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.5% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -6.6% | -5.1% |
| Max Positive | 13.8% | 22.2% | 24.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -9.6% | -24.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2132023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |