TE Connectivity (TEL)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $233.32 | Market Cap: $69.1 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
TE Connectivity (TEL)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $233.32Market Cap: $69.1 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Manufacturing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.8 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, 5G & Advanced Connectivity, Automation & Robotics, Renewable Energy Transition, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TEL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate 13.4% stock movement for TE Connectivity (TEL) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Strong Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Positive Outlook. TE Connectivity reported robust fiscal third-quarter results on July 23, 2025, setting a positive tone just before the specified period. The company announced record net sales of $4.5 billion, a 14% increase year-over-year on a reported basis, and record adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.27, up approximately 19% year-over-year, surpassing guidance. This performance, driven by strong operational execution and cash flow, fueled investor confidence and provided a strong foundation for the subsequent stock movement.
2. Record-Breaking Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results. On October 29, 2025, TE Connectivity announced record sales, earnings, and free cash flow for its fiscal fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025. Fourth-quarter sales reached $4.75 billion, exceeding guidance with a 17% year-over-year reported increase and 11% organic growth. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $2.44, representing a 25% increase over the prior year and beating consensus estimates. These impressive results, reported within the requested timeframe, were a significant catalyst for the stock's upward movement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TEL Return | - | - | - | - | - | 66% | 66% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 25% | -4% | 16% | 31% | 28% | 172% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TEL Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 33% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 57% | 37% | 43% | 62% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TEL Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -3% | -21% | -5% | -4% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CSCO, TXN, MSI, TEL, FLEX. See TEL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
TEL has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1183 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TEL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.0% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for TE Connectivity
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 180.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 69.1 |
| Rev LTM | 17,266 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,200 |
| FCF LTM | 2,384 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,047 |
| CFO LTM | 3,760 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,424 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 69.1 |
| P/S | 4.9 |
| P/EBIT | 21.7 |
| P/E | 33.1 |
| P/CFO | 19.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4282025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1242025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-K 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1262024 | 10-Q 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1272023 | 10-Q 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11152022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/24/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/25/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1282022 | 10-Q 12/24/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-K 9/24/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |