SoundThinking (SSTI)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $6.66 | Market Cap: $85.6 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
SoundThinking (SSTI)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $6.66Market Cap: $85.6 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.29 | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% Key risksSSTI key risks include [1] high revenue concentration with a few government customers, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -152% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.29 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% |
| Key risksSSTI key risks include [1] high revenue concentration with a few government customers, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. SoundThinking reported a significant Q1 2026 earnings miss and revenue decline. The company posted a loss of $0.54 per share for the first quarter of 2026, substantially missing the consensus estimate of a $0.24 loss by $0.30 per share. Concurrently, Q1 2026 revenue decreased by 15% year-over-year to $24.2 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $24.27 million. This performance resulted in a negative adjusted EBITDA of approximately $0.1 million, a notable drop from $4.5 million in the same period last year.
2. The company issued lowered full-year 2026 guidance during its Q4 2025 earnings report. On March 3, 2026, SoundThinking reduced its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $109 million to $111 million and adjusted its EBITDA margin guidance to 16%-18%. This revision was largely attributed to delays in securing two anticipated contract wins, specifically a CrimeTracer state rollout and the renewal of the Puerto Rico ShotSpotter contract, which deferred over $5 million in expected revenue.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.9% change in SSTI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.98 | 6.64 | -4.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 103 | 100 | -2.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 0.9 | -1.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -4.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 13.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.3% | 7.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.0% change in SSTI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.35 | 6.64 | -29.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 104 | 100 | -3.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 0.9 | -25.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -29.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 30.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 19.1% | 24.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -57.2% change in SSTI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -55.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.52 | 6.64 | -57.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 102 | 100 | -2.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.9 | 0.9 | -55.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -2.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -57.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -57.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.5% | 30.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 71.1% | 25.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -77.7% change in SSTI stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -81.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.75 | 6.64 | -77.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 81 | 100 | 23.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.5 | 0.9 | -81.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -5.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -77.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -77.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.6% | 26.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 141.8% | 23.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SSTI Return | -22% | 15% | -25% | -49% | -39% | -14% | -82% |
| Peers Return | 6% | -26% | 81% | 23% | 8% | -26% | 39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SSTI Win Rate | 33% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 40% | 65% | 55% | 48% | 28% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SSTI Max Drawdown | -44% | -34% | -63% | -61% | -69% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -52% | -31% | -38% | -40% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MSI, AXON, VRRM, EVLV, REKR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SSTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 93 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -47.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -14.2% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5 days | 6 days |
In The Past
SoundThinking's stock fell -9.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.5% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | SSTI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 93 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -36.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -47.3% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 105 days |
In The Past
SoundThinking's stock fell -9.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About SoundThinking (SSTI)
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for SoundThinking (SSTI):- SoundThinking is like **Palantir for local public safety.**
- SoundThinking is like **Salesforce for law enforcement operations.**
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- ShotSpotter: An acoustic gunshot detection system.
- CrimeTracer: A law enforcement search engine.
- CaseBuilder: An investigation management system.
- ResourceRouter: Software that directs patrol and community anti-violence resources to help maximize their impact.
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SoundThinking (SSTI) primarily sells its solutions to governmental entities and public safety organizations, not to other commercial companies or individuals. Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Law Enforcement Agencies: This includes municipal police departments, county sheriff's offices, and other law enforcement bodies that utilize solutions like ShotSpotter, CrimeTracer, and CaseBuilder for investigations and crime prevention.
- Civic Leadership and Municipal Governments: City administrations, mayors' offices, and other local government bodies that use SoundThinking's data-driven insights and platforms to inform public safety strategies and resource allocation.
- Community Violence Prevention and Health Organizations: Non-profit or government-funded groups focused on public health and reducing community violence, often utilizing tools like ResourceRouter to maximize the impact of their anti-violence efforts.
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Ralph A. Clark, President and Chief Executive Officer
Ralph Clark has led SoundThinking (formerly ShotSpotter) as President and CEO since 2010. He spearheaded the transformation of ShotSpotter into a SaaS-based business model, ultimately taking the company public in 2017. Prior to his tenure at SoundThinking, Mr. Clark served as President and CEO of GuardianEdge Technologies Inc., where he successfully drove the company to an acquisition by Symantec. His earlier career includes roles at IBM and as an investment banker with Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch. Mr. Clark also held executive positions such as Vice President of Finance at Adaptec, Chief Financial Officer at Snap Appliance, and was the Founder and CEO of both Blue Makoi, Inc. and Direct Medical Knowledge. He currently serves on the Board of Directors for TriNet (TNET) and Glowforge, a venture capital-backed 3D laser printing company.
Alan R. Stewart, Chief Financial Officer
Alan R. Stewart serves as Chief Financial Officer, bringing a strong background in mergers, acquisitions, and corporate finance to SoundThinking. Before joining SoundThinking, he was a Managing Director at RA Capital Advisors, LLC, a private investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, private financings, and restructurings. From 2004 to 2014, he held the positions of Chief Financial Officer and then Chief Development Officer at Epsilon Systems Solutions, Inc. Mr. Stewart also founded and served as CEO of SmallBizTraining.com, an internet portal designed to help veterans start and grow small businesses. Since 2008, he has been President of FIT Advisors, LLC, a consulting firm providing temporary CFO services to various companies, from startups to large private entities, across diverse industries. Earlier in his career, he served over ten years as a submarine nuclear engineer in the United States Navy.
Sam Klepper, Senior Vice President, Product Management and Corporate Development
Sam Klepper is the Senior Vice President of Product Management and Corporate Development at SoundThinking. He has been instrumental in building the ShotSpotter and SoundThinking brands over five years. Previously, Mr. Klepper was a General Manager at Microsoft, where he was involved in growing WebTV Networks' recurring revenues. At Intuit, he developed the strategy and led product teams for the company's entry into the SMB accounting (QuickBooks) and payroll markets. He began his career at Bain & Company.
Gregg Makuch, Senior Vice President, Marketing
Gregg Makuch serves as SoundThinking's Senior Vice President of Marketing. He is a results-oriented marketing executive with over 25 years of experience in marketing, product, and business leadership, working with innovative, fast-growing technology companies ranging from startups to global organizations. Mr. Makuch has held CMO and marketing leadership roles at multiple tech startups. Most recently, he was part of a senior management team that relaunched an HRTech company, leading to a 7X growth in its customer base and a successful $5.4 million funding round. His prior experience includes roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers, Deloitte, RealNetworks, and aQuantive.
Anne Mueller, Senior Vice President, Human Resources
Anne Mueller joined SoundThinking in 2023 and leads the Human Resources and Talent team as Senior Vice President. She brings over 20 years of Human Resources expertise, specializing in building and cultivating dynamic, high-performing teams within fast-paced and evolving organizations. Before SoundThinking, Ms. Mueller was the Senior Vice President, Head of People at Forge Global (NYSE: FRGE), where she played a key role in expanding the company's headcount by 11 times over four years, was instrumental in taking the company public, and led the first Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DE&I) efforts.
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The key risks to SoundThinking, Inc.'s business are primarily centered around the efficacy and public perception of its core technology, its reliance on government contracts, and ongoing financial and profitability challenges.
1. Controversies and Efficacy Concerns of ShotSpotter Technology
SoundThinking's flagship product, ShotSpotter, faces significant and persistent scrutiny regarding its accuracy and effectiveness. Multiple reports and investigations have raised concerns about a high incidence of false positives or alerts that do not lead to evidence of gun-related crime or arrests. For instance, a Houston Chronicle investigation in July 2023 indicated that over 80% of ShotSpotter alerts were false positives or otherwise useless, leading to a low number of arrests and charges relative to the alerts. Studies in Chicago have also found that a large percentage of dispatches based on ShotSpotter alerts did not result in gun-related crime. Critics argue that the technology can contribute to over-policing, particularly in communities of color, and question the allocation of public funds towards such systems rather than addressing root causes of violence. This negative publicity and ongoing debate about accuracy and societal impact can hinder the company's ability to secure new contracts and renew existing ones.
2. Reliance on Government Contracts and Procurement Challenges
SoundThinking is highly dependent on contracts with municipalities and law enforcement agencies for a substantial portion of its revenue. This reliance exposes the company to several risks, including lengthy government procurement cycles, budget constraints of public entities, and political pushback. The company has experienced significant delays in securing new contracts and stalled extensions of existing ones, which has negatively impacted its revenue and financial guidance. A notable example is the non-renewal of the contract with the City of Chicago, which previously accounted for approximately 10% or more of the company's revenue and created a significant revenue gap. Political pressure from civil rights groups and critical audits from public officials (such as the NYC Comptroller) can introduce friction and uncertainty into the contract renewal process, adding a tangible business risk.
3. Financial Performance and Profitability Challenges
Despite efforts to diversify its platform and achieve revenue growth, SoundThinking has faced consistent financial challenges, including stagnant adjusted EBITDA and declining gross margins. The company has reported GAAP net losses and has not been consistently profitable. For example, in fiscal year 2025, the company reported a GAAP net loss of $9.4 million and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA. Furthermore, the company has had to lower its fiscal year 2026 outlook, reducing revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance, partly due to delayed bookings. Analysts do not anticipate the company will be profitable in the current fiscal year. Concerns have also been raised regarding high stock-based compensation and insider selling, which can be viewed negatively by investors.
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SoundThinking, Inc. (SSTI) operates within several public safety technology markets. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services are outlined below:
ShotSpotter (Acoustic Gunshot Detection System)
- Globally, the gunshot detection systems market was estimated at USD 1.04 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 2.38 billion by 2030.
- In North America, this market was valued at USD 1.23 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 7.58 billion by 2035.
CrimeTracer (Law Enforcement Search Engine) and CaseBuilder (Investigation Management System)
These products are components of the broader law enforcement and investigation management software markets.
- The global investigation management software market, which includes tools like CaseBuilder, was estimated at USD 1.25 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 3.10 billion by 2033.
- The global law enforcement software market, encompassing solutions like CrimeTracer and CaseBuilder, is projected to grow from USD 20.25 billion in 2025 to USD 32.96 billion by 2030.
- For the U.S. specifically, the law enforcement software market size was estimated at USD 7.20 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.60 billion by 2033.
ResourceRouter (Software for Directing Patrol and Community Anti-Violence Resources)
ResourceRouter falls within the public safety and law enforcement software markets, focusing on resource allocation and patrol management.
- The global public safety software market, which includes resource allocation solutions, was valued at USD 16.37 billion in 2022 and is projected to surge to USD 36.47 billion by 2030.
- North America is identified as the leading region in the public safety software market.
- The global law enforcement software market, which also covers resource management tools for police departments, is projected to grow from USD 20.25 billion in 2025 to USD 32.96 billion by 2030.
- The U.S. law enforcement software market, relevant for ResourceRouter's offerings, was estimated at USD 7.20 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.60 billion by 2033.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for SoundThinking (SSTI)
SoundThinking, Inc. (SSTI) anticipates future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years to be driven by several key factors:
- Expansion of Existing SafetySmart Platform Solutions: The company expects continued growth through the addition of new customers and expansion of coverage in existing locations for its core offerings, including the ShotSpotter acoustic gunshot detection system. This also extends to other components of its SafetySmart Platform, such as CrimeTracer (a law enforcement search engine), CaseBuilder (an investigation management system), and ResourceRouter (a resource allocation software), with the recent launch of CrimeTracer Gen 3 and momentum in PlateRanger.
- Accelerated Growth of SafePointe: SafePointe, a passive screening service acquired by SoundThinking, is identified as a significant driver of future revenue. The company has reported strong bookings for SafePointe, particularly within the healthcare vertical, and projects substantial revenue contributions from this solution in the coming years.
- International Market Expansion: SoundThinking is actively pursuing growth in international markets, with a focus on regions such as Latin America (e.g., Uruguay, Brazil) and South Africa. These markets offer opportunities for expansion and potentially higher pricing for its solutions.
- New Product Development and AI-Driven Capabilities: Strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the development of new solutions are expected to broaden SoundThinking's customer base. This includes offerings like a perimeter-based sniper detection system, which is attracting interest from non-traditional customers such as large banks, moving beyond its traditional law enforcement clientele.
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Share Repurchases
- In 2025, SoundThinking repurchased 225,334 shares of its common stock for approximately $3.0 million at an average price of $13.15 per share.
- These repurchases were made under an existing $25 million share repurchase program.
Share Issuance
- SoundThinking's shares issued and outstanding increased from 12,634,485 as of December 31, 2024, to 12,825,960 as of December 31, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In 2023, SoundThinking acquired SafePointe, aiming to enter the global weapons detection market.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| SoundThinking Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With SoundThinking Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to SSTI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | PLTR | Palantir Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ADSK | Autodesk | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.5% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BSY | Bentley Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | BL | BlackLine | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.2% | 3.2% | -3.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| Rev LTM | 570 |
| Op Inc LTM | -19 |
| FCF LTM | 12 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 75 |
| CFO LTM | 86 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 121 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 19.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -7.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/Op Inc | -5.3 |
| P/EBIT | 2.1 |
| P/E | 6.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | -1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -62.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $6.64 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/07/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -60.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.69 | $8.62 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -0.7% | -23.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 65.5% | 58.4% |
| Downside Capture | 60.47 | 195.62 |
| Upside Capture | 1.04 | 43.30 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 11.0% | 30.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.64 | 0.65 | 0.92 | 1.76 | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| Up Beta | 1.16 | 1.04 | 1.52 | 1.28 | 1.31 | 0.92 |
| Down Beta | -4.24 | 0.47 | 1.23 | 3.00 | 2.58 | 1.17 |
| Up Capture | 124% | 20% | 44% | 108% | 40% | 43% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 26 | 40 | 73 | 131 | 360 |
| Down Capture | 849% | 84% | 75% | 170% | 161% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 17 | 24 | 49 | 115 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SSTI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -56.1% | 58.5% | -1.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 54.0% | 20.6% | 1.99 | 25.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.8% | 12.1% | 1.67 | 30.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.8% | 1.16 | 7.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.5% | 18.6% | 1.80 | 0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 13.4% | 0.59 | 25.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.2% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 23.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SSTI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -29.8% | 56.2% | -0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 22.3% | 24.8% | 0.79 | 27.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 29.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.4% | 0.44 | 3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 25.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.3% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 16.2% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SSTI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSTI | -7.4% | 62.0% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.1% | 24.4% | 0.93 | 27.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 27.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.2% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 2.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 8.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 21.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.3% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 11.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/14/2026 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 3/3/2026 | -18.9% | -7.2% | -16.3% |
| 11/12/2025 | -14.1% | -25.7% | -8.7% |
| 5/13/2025 | -1.4% | -6.5% | 0.4% |
| 2/25/2025 | 23.6% | 14.1% | 39.4% |
| 11/12/2024 | -7.4% | -2.6% | 6.2% |
| 5/14/2024 | -3.4% | 0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2/27/2024 | -2.8% | -9.5% | -13.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 15 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.4% | -8.3% | -12.4% |
| Max Positive | 28.3% | 37.0% | 40.2% |
| Max Negative | -21.5% | -28.9% | -21.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/15/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/30/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 109.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 111.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 6.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 17.0% for 2026 |
| 2027 Annual Recurring Revenue | 110.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 110.00 Mil for 2027 | |||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 109.00 Mil | 110.00 Mil | 111.00 Mil | 5.8% | Higher New | Guidance: 104.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 40.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 40.0% for 2026 | |||
| 2027 Annual Recurring Revenue | 110.00 Mil | 15.3% | Higher New | Actual: 95.40 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Gross Margin | 70.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 70.0% for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 15.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 15.0% for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Veradace, Partners LP | Direct | Buy | 2242026 | 7.14 | 15,773 | 112,682 | 14,573,081 | Form | |
| 2 | Veradace, Partners LP | Direct | Buy | 2242026 | 7.04 | 7,016 | 49,374 | 14,244,424 | Form | |
| 3 | Veradace, Partners LP | Direct | Buy | 2202026 | 7.07 | 8,748 | 61,848 | 14,261,010 | Form | |
| 4 | Veradace, Partners LP | Direct | Buy | 2202026 | 7.14 | 105,880 | 755,983 | 14,339,748 | Form | |
| 5 | Veradace, Partners LP | Direct | Buy | 2182026 | 7.41 | 31,000 | 229,710 | 14,097,436 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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