SoundThinking (SSTI)


Market Price (8/24/2026): $6.28 | Market Cap: $82.3 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

SoundThinking (SSTI)


Market Price (8/24/2026): $6.28
Market Cap: $82.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%

Key risks
SSTI key risks include [1] high revenue concentration with a few government customers, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Edge AI, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -145%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.7%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25%
6 Key risks
SSTI key risks include [1] high revenue concentration with a few government customers, Show more.

SSTI in ETFs

Weight = SSTI's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
DFAS0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/19/2026

SoundThinking (SSTI) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. SoundThinking significantly missed fiscal Q2 2026 earnings per share and revenue estimates. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $0.37 per diluted share for fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended June 30, 2026), missing the consensus analyst estimate of a $0.25 loss by $0.12, or 46.05%. Additionally, revenue for the quarter was $23.89 million, falling short of the expected $25.77 million by $1.88 million, representing a 7.73% miss and an 8% decrease compared to the same period in the prior year.

2. The company issued a substantial downward revision of its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance. Management lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $99.0 million to $100.0 million, a significant reduction from the previous outlook of $109.0 million to $111.0 million. Concurrently, the Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was revised downward to 8%-9% from the earlier projection of 16%-18%.

Show more
Updated on 8/19/2026

SoundThinking (SSTI) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. SoundThinking significantly missed fiscal Q2 2026 earnings per share and revenue estimates. The company reported a GAAP net loss of $0.37 per diluted share for fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended June 30, 2026), missing the consensus analyst estimate of a $0.25 loss by $0.12, or 46.05%. Additionally, revenue for the quarter was $23.89 million, falling short of the expected $25.77 million by $1.88 million, representing a 7.73% miss and an 8% decrease compared to the same period in the prior year.

2. The company issued a substantial downward revision of its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance. Management lowered its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $99.0 million to $100.0 million, a significant reduction from the previous outlook of $109.0 million to $111.0 million. Concurrently, the Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance was revised downward to 8%-9% from the earlier projection of 16%-18%.

3. Project delays and elongated sales cycles led to deferred revenue recognition. A primary reason for the reduced fiscal 2026 guidance was attributed to timing-related issues, pushing approximately $10 million of expected revenue into fiscal 2027 or beyond. This included roughly $3 million from delays in TechnoLogic/NYDOC professional services, about $2 million from slower SafePointe system "go-lives," and overall elongated sales cycles and slower bookings for its ShotSpotter product.

4. Multiple analysts downgraded the stock and lowered price targets. Following the disappointing fiscal Q2 2026 results and the revised outlook, several financial analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for SoundThinking. For instance, Wall Street Zen downgraded the stock from a "sell" to a "strong sell" on August 15, 2026, while Lake Street Capital cut its rating from "buy" to "hold" with a new $8.00 price target on August 14, 2026. Citizens also downgraded the stock from "Market Outperform" to "Market Perform" and removed its prior $16 price target.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.5% change in SSTI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268232026Change
Stock Price ($)6.826.17-9.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10498-5.9%
P/S Multiple0.80.8-1.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1313-2.7%
Cumulative Contribution-9.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SSTI-9.5% 
Market (SPY)6.5%7.1%
Sector (XLK)14.9%3.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.6% change in SSTI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268232026Change
Stock Price ($)6.986.17-11.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10398-4.7%
P/S Multiple0.90.8-4.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1313-2.6%
Cumulative Contribution-11.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SSTI-11.6% 
Market (SPY)11.0%12.6%
Sector (XLK)27.6%6.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -45.9% change in SSTI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258232026Change
Stock Price ($)11.416.17-45.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10598-6.7%
P/S Multiple1.40.8-40.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1313-3.5%
Cumulative Contribution-45.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SSTI-45.9% 
Market (SPY)22.2%25.2%
Sector (XLK)40.1%17.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -72.8% change in SSTI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -76.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238232026Change
Stock Price ($)22.726.17-72.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)809821.8%
P/S Multiple3.50.8-76.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1213-6.5%
Cumulative Contribution-72.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SSTI-72.8% 
Market (SPY)73.2%26.9%
Sector (XLK)109.4%22.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SSTI Return-22%15%-25%-49%-39%-23%-84%
Peers Return6%-26%81%23%8%-26%40%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SSTI Win Rate33%42%42%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%40%65%55%48%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SSTI Max Drawdown-44%-34%-63%-61%-69%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-52%-31%-38%-40%-50% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MSI, AXON, VRRM, EVLV, REKR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSSTIS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-36.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven23 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven93 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven278 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-47.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven124 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-14.2%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.5%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven5 days6 days

Compare to MSI, AXON, VRRM, EVLV, REKR

In The Past

SoundThinking's stock fell -9.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventSSTIS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-36.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven23 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-22.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven93 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven278 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-47.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven89.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven124 days105 days

Compare to MSI, AXON, VRRM, EVLV, REKR

In The Past

SoundThinking's stock fell -9.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 10.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SoundThinking (SSTI)

SoundThinking, Inc. (SSTI) is a public safety technology company focused on providing data-driven solutions and strategic advisory services. The company's primary objective is to equip law enforcement agencies, civic leadership, and community violence prevention and health organizations with tools to enhance efficiency and improve public safety outcomes.

The company's core offering is its SafetySmart Platform, an integrated suite of products designed for various aspects of public safety. This platform includes ShotSpotter, an acoustic system for detecting gunshots; CrimeTracer, a specialized search engine for law enforcement investigations; CaseBuilder, an investigation management system; and ResourceRouter, software that optimizes the deployment of patrol and community anti-violence resources. SoundThinking serves its target market of public safety and violence prevention entities through a direct sales team.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for SoundThinking (SSTI):
  • SoundThinking is like **Palantir for local public safety.**
  • SoundThinking is like **Salesforce for law enforcement operations.**

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • ShotSpotter: An acoustic gunshot detection system.
  • CrimeTracer: A law enforcement search engine.
  • CaseBuilder: An investigation management system.
  • ResourceRouter: Software that directs patrol and community anti-violence resources to help maximize their impact.

AI Analysis | Feedback

SoundThinking (SSTI) primarily sells its solutions to governmental entities and public safety organizations, not to other commercial companies or individuals. Its major customers fall into the following categories:

  1. Law Enforcement Agencies: This includes municipal police departments, county sheriff's offices, and other law enforcement bodies that utilize solutions like ShotSpotter, CrimeTracer, and CaseBuilder for investigations and crime prevention.
  2. Civic Leadership and Municipal Governments: City administrations, mayors' offices, and other local government bodies that use SoundThinking's data-driven insights and platforms to inform public safety strategies and resource allocation.
  3. Community Violence Prevention and Health Organizations: Non-profit or government-funded groups focused on public health and reducing community violence, often utilizing tools like ResourceRouter to maximize the impact of their anti-violence efforts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ralph A. Clark, President and Chief Executive Officer

Ralph Clark has led SoundThinking (formerly ShotSpotter) as President and CEO since 2010. He spearheaded the transformation of ShotSpotter into a SaaS-based business model, ultimately taking the company public in 2017. Prior to his tenure at SoundThinking, Mr. Clark served as President and CEO of GuardianEdge Technologies Inc., where he successfully drove the company to an acquisition by Symantec. His earlier career includes roles at IBM and as an investment banker with Goldman Sachs and Merrill Lynch. Mr. Clark also held executive positions such as Vice President of Finance at Adaptec, Chief Financial Officer at Snap Appliance, and was the Founder and CEO of both Blue Makoi, Inc. and Direct Medical Knowledge. He currently serves on the Board of Directors for TriNet (TNET) and Glowforge, a venture capital-backed 3D laser printing company.

Alan R. Stewart, Chief Financial Officer

Alan R. Stewart serves as Chief Financial Officer, bringing a strong background in mergers, acquisitions, and corporate finance to SoundThinking. Before joining SoundThinking, he was a Managing Director at RA Capital Advisors, LLC, a private investment bank specializing in mergers and acquisitions, private financings, and restructurings. From 2004 to 2014, he held the positions of Chief Financial Officer and then Chief Development Officer at Epsilon Systems Solutions, Inc. Mr. Stewart also founded and served as CEO of SmallBizTraining.com, an internet portal designed to help veterans start and grow small businesses. Since 2008, he has been President of FIT Advisors, LLC, a consulting firm providing temporary CFO services to various companies, from startups to large private entities, across diverse industries. Earlier in his career, he served over ten years as a submarine nuclear engineer in the United States Navy.

Sam Klepper, Senior Vice President, Product Management and Corporate Development

Sam Klepper is the Senior Vice President of Product Management and Corporate Development at SoundThinking. He has been instrumental in building the ShotSpotter and SoundThinking brands over five years. Previously, Mr. Klepper was a General Manager at Microsoft, where he was involved in growing WebTV Networks' recurring revenues. At Intuit, he developed the strategy and led product teams for the company's entry into the SMB accounting (QuickBooks) and payroll markets. He began his career at Bain & Company.

Gregg Makuch, Senior Vice President, Marketing

Gregg Makuch serves as SoundThinking's Senior Vice President of Marketing. He is a results-oriented marketing executive with over 25 years of experience in marketing, product, and business leadership, working with innovative, fast-growing technology companies ranging from startups to global organizations. Mr. Makuch has held CMO and marketing leadership roles at multiple tech startups. Most recently, he was part of a senior management team that relaunched an HRTech company, leading to a 7X growth in its customer base and a successful $5.4 million funding round. His prior experience includes roles at PricewaterhouseCoopers, Deloitte, RealNetworks, and aQuantive.

Anne Mueller, Senior Vice President, Human Resources

Anne Mueller joined SoundThinking in 2023 and leads the Human Resources and Talent team as Senior Vice President. She brings over 20 years of Human Resources expertise, specializing in building and cultivating dynamic, high-performing teams within fast-paced and evolving organizations. Before SoundThinking, Ms. Mueller was the Senior Vice President, Head of People at Forge Global (NYSE: FRGE), where she played a key role in expanding the company's headcount by 11 times over four years, was instrumental in taking the company public, and led the first Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DE&I) efforts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to SoundThinking, Inc.'s business are primarily centered around the efficacy and public perception of its core technology, its reliance on government contracts, and ongoing financial and profitability challenges.

1. Controversies and Efficacy Concerns of ShotSpotter Technology

SoundThinking's flagship product, ShotSpotter, faces significant and persistent scrutiny regarding its accuracy and effectiveness. Multiple reports and investigations have raised concerns about a high incidence of false positives or alerts that do not lead to evidence of gun-related crime or arrests. For instance, a Houston Chronicle investigation in July 2023 indicated that over 80% of ShotSpotter alerts were false positives or otherwise useless, leading to a low number of arrests and charges relative to the alerts. Studies in Chicago have also found that a large percentage of dispatches based on ShotSpotter alerts did not result in gun-related crime. Critics argue that the technology can contribute to over-policing, particularly in communities of color, and question the allocation of public funds towards such systems rather than addressing root causes of violence. This negative publicity and ongoing debate about accuracy and societal impact can hinder the company's ability to secure new contracts and renew existing ones.

2. Reliance on Government Contracts and Procurement Challenges

SoundThinking is highly dependent on contracts with municipalities and law enforcement agencies for a substantial portion of its revenue. This reliance exposes the company to several risks, including lengthy government procurement cycles, budget constraints of public entities, and political pushback. The company has experienced significant delays in securing new contracts and stalled extensions of existing ones, which has negatively impacted its revenue and financial guidance. A notable example is the non-renewal of the contract with the City of Chicago, which previously accounted for approximately 10% or more of the company's revenue and created a significant revenue gap. Political pressure from civil rights groups and critical audits from public officials (such as the NYC Comptroller) can introduce friction and uncertainty into the contract renewal process, adding a tangible business risk.

3. Financial Performance and Profitability Challenges

Despite efforts to diversify its platform and achieve revenue growth, SoundThinking has faced consistent financial challenges, including stagnant adjusted EBITDA and declining gross margins. The company has reported GAAP net losses and has not been consistently profitable. For example, in fiscal year 2025, the company reported a GAAP net loss of $9.4 million and a decrease in adjusted EBITDA. Furthermore, the company has had to lower its fiscal year 2026 outlook, reducing revenue and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance, partly due to delayed bookings. Analysts do not anticipate the company will be profitable in the current fiscal year. Concerns have also been raised regarding high stock-based compensation and insider selling, which can be viewed negatively by investors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

SoundThinking, Inc. (SSTI) operates within several public safety technology markets. The addressable market sizes for its main products and services are outlined below:

ShotSpotter (Acoustic Gunshot Detection System)

  • Globally, the gunshot detection systems market was estimated at USD 1.04 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 2.38 billion by 2030.
  • In North America, this market was valued at USD 1.23 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 7.58 billion by 2035.

CrimeTracer (Law Enforcement Search Engine) and CaseBuilder (Investigation Management System)

These products are components of the broader law enforcement and investigation management software markets.

  • The global investigation management software market, which includes tools like CaseBuilder, was estimated at USD 1.25 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 3.10 billion by 2033.
  • The global law enforcement software market, encompassing solutions like CrimeTracer and CaseBuilder, is projected to grow from USD 20.25 billion in 2025 to USD 32.96 billion by 2030.
  • For the U.S. specifically, the law enforcement software market size was estimated at USD 7.20 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.60 billion by 2033.

ResourceRouter (Software for Directing Patrol and Community Anti-Violence Resources)

ResourceRouter falls within the public safety and law enforcement software markets, focusing on resource allocation and patrol management.

  • The global public safety software market, which includes resource allocation solutions, was valued at USD 16.37 billion in 2022 and is projected to surge to USD 36.47 billion by 2030.
  • North America is identified as the leading region in the public safety software market.
  • The global law enforcement software market, which also covers resource management tools for police departments, is projected to grow from USD 20.25 billion in 2025 to USD 32.96 billion by 2030.
  • The U.S. law enforcement software market, relevant for ResourceRouter's offerings, was estimated at USD 7.20 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.60 billion by 2033.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for SoundThinking (SSTI)

SoundThinking, Inc. (SSTI) anticipates future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years to be driven by several key factors:

  • Expansion of Existing SafetySmart Platform Solutions: The company expects continued growth through the addition of new customers and expansion of coverage in existing locations for its core offerings, including the ShotSpotter acoustic gunshot detection system. This also extends to other components of its SafetySmart Platform, such as CrimeTracer (a law enforcement search engine), CaseBuilder (an investigation management system), and ResourceRouter (a resource allocation software), with the recent launch of CrimeTracer Gen 3 and momentum in PlateRanger.
  • Accelerated Growth of SafePointe: SafePointe, a passive screening service acquired by SoundThinking, is identified as a significant driver of future revenue. The company has reported strong bookings for SafePointe, particularly within the healthcare vertical, and projects substantial revenue contributions from this solution in the coming years.
  • International Market Expansion: SoundThinking is actively pursuing growth in international markets, with a focus on regions such as Latin America (e.g., Uruguay, Brazil) and South Africa. These markets offer opportunities for expansion and potentially higher pricing for its solutions.
  • New Product Development and AI-Driven Capabilities: Strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and the development of new solutions are expected to broaden SoundThinking's customer base. This includes offerings like a perimeter-based sniper detection system, which is attracting interest from non-traditional customers such as large banks, moving beyond its traditional law enforcement clientele.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In 2025, SoundThinking repurchased 225,334 shares of its common stock for approximately $3.0 million at an average price of $13.15 per share.
  • These repurchases were made under an existing $25 million share repurchase program.

Share Issuance

  • SoundThinking's shares issued and outstanding increased from 12,634,485 as of December 31, 2024, to 12,825,960 as of December 31, 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2023, SoundThinking acquired SafePointe, aiming to enter the global weapons detection market.

Better Bets vs. SoundThinking (SSTI)

Peer Outperformance in Application Software

SSTI has trailed 76% of its 122 Application Software peers over 5Y. Application Software ranks 11th of 12 industries in Information Technology by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Application Software constituents that SSTI has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
22%
of 152 industry peers · -52.3% return
3Y
21%
of 140 industry peers · -69.2% return
5Y
24%
of 122 industry peers · -84.6% return
null
Median price return by industry across the Information Technology sector, ranked by 5Y. Application Software is SSTI's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Electronic Manufacturing Services 9 56.5%203.8%337.5% FLEX 733% · TTMI 686% · JBL 431%
Semiconductor Materials & Equipment 27 137.0%78.5%122.3% AEHR 1607% · AXTI 663% · KLAC 489%
Technology Distributors 9 21.8%63.2%76.0% CLMB 334% · AVT 153% · SNX 111%
Electronic Components 26 54.5%63.6%57.4% CLS 3162% · BELFA 1332% · LPTH 590%
Communications Equipment 35 29.8%85.1%41.4% AAOI 1714% · LITE 899% · ANET 702%
Semiconductors 54 31.6%32.8%30.9% POET 1926% · MU 1277% · NVDA 889%
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals 22 31.2%83.1%23.4% STX 1046% · SMCI 949% · WDC 916%
Internet Services & Infrastructure 6 13.9%40.0%15.0% DOCN 108% · VRSN 34% · GDDY 33%
Electronic Equipment & Instruments 27 -7.9%14.3%-4.5% PI 209% · SOTK 138% · NSSC 127%
IT Consulting & Other Services 28 -25.2%-6.7%-18.1% CHRN 627400% · APLD 1745% · INOD 705%
Application Software ← 123 -19.6%-8.7%-43.1% VIDA 394900% · INLX 5338% · PLTR 617%
Systems Software 69 -7.8%17.1%-55.4% QNC 752% · PAYS 440% · PANW 386%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SSTIMSIAXONVRRMEVLVREKRMedian
NameSoundThi.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Evolv Te.Rekor Sy. 
Mkt Price6.17480.47627.754.565.340.615.75
Mkt Cap0.179.750.60.71.00.10.8
Rev LTM9812,2363,2191,00717150589
Op Inc LTM-153,07924241-44-194
FCF LTM-12,67713397-6-1348
FCF 3Y Avg62,441171134-44-2670
CFO LTM32,97426621528-11121
CFO 3Y Avg112,702270225-2-24118

Growth & Margins

SSTIMSIAXONVRRMEVLVREKRMedian
NameSoundThi.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Evolv Te.Rekor Sy. 
Rev Chg LTM-5.7%10.3%34.6%11.1%41.7%9.8%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.6%8.2%33.2%8.9%33.1%22.8%15.8%
Rev Chg Q-7.7%13.3%35.3%11.7%34.4%2.5%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.0%3.1%7.9%2.8%7.0%0.6%3.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-70.5%10.6%1,681.8%1.3%26.8%52.3%18.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-41.7%15.1%538.7%7.9%23.8%22.6%18.9%
Op Mgn LTM-15.7%25.2%0.7%24.0%-25.5%-37.4%-7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.7%25.1%3.0%24.5%-55.2%-74.2%-3.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%0.3%1.5%0.2%3.2%10.7%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM3.5%24.3%8.3%21.3%16.2%-21.6%12.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%24.0%11.6%24.4%-7.5%-53.7%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.1%21.9%4.1%9.6%-3.2%-26.2%1.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%21.7%7.6%14.7%-46.3%-57.7%6.8%

Valuation

SSTIMSIAXONVRRMEVLVREKRMedian
NameSoundThi.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Evolv Te.Rekor Sy. 
Mkt Cap0.179.750.60.71.00.10.8
P/S0.86.515.70.75.61.73.6
P/Op Inc-5.325.92,127.52.9-22.0-4.5-0.8
P/EBIT-5.124.8170.44.4-601.1-4.30.1
P/E-4.937.3253.815.6-184.2-3.85.9
P/CFO23.326.8190.33.234.6-7.825.1
Total Yield-20.5%3.6%0.4%6.4%-0.5%-26.0%-0.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%3.6%0.5%7.4%-9.4%-20.6%2.0%
D/E0.10.10.01.60.00.30.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.01.5-0.00.20.1

Returns

SSTIMSIAXONVRRMEVLVREKRMedian
NameSoundThi.Motorola.Axon Ent.Verra Mo.Evolv Te.Rekor Sy. 
1M Rtn-25.4%15.0%25.0%12.6%1.9%-0.2%7.3%
3M Rtn-9.0%19.3%62.6%-66.2%-14.4%-20.9%-11.7%
6M Rtn-18.9%4.4%44.7%-75.9%6.2%-26.1%-7.3%
12M Rtn-52.3%5.2%-18.1%-82.1%-36.2%-48.1%-42.1%
3Y Rtn-69.2%80.1%220.3%-76.1%-14.3%-82.9%-41.7%
1M Excs Rtn-28.8%14.5%24.0%13.3%-2.3%-3.0%5.5%
3M Excs Rtn-10.1%17.3%58.0%-69.0%-14.1%-24.6%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-30.0%-6.7%33.6%-87.0%-4.9%-37.2%-18.3%
12M Excs Rtn-70.0%-14.8%-37.5%-101.3%-53.1%-63.2%-58.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-145.5%2.0%138.4%-150.6%-97.7%-152.0%-121.6%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Subscription, maintenance and support services1099887555
Professional software development services03563
Total10102938158


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.17 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date06/07/2017 
Distance from 52W High-52.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$8.15$7.43
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-24.3%-17.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility74.5%64.5%
Downside Capture203.05197.41
Upside Capture135.2170.39
Correlation (SPY)11.5%24.9%
SSTI Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.570.10-0.030.471.211.06
Up Beta-2.65-0.52-0.580.720.700.87
Down Beta-0.530.010.070.601.881.15
Up Capture-108%42%36%35%66%53%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days7233473138368
Down Capture124%22%-23%32%131%108%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days14192852109374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SSTI
SSTI-50.2%64.3%-0.81-
Sector ETF (XLK)41.9%26.0%1.3117.5%
Equity (SPY)21.1%12.9%1.2225.0%
Gold (GLD)37.5%28.8%1.102.1%
Commodities (DBC)43.2%20.2%1.66-7.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6415.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.6%44.1%-0.7317.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SSTI
SSTI-32.2%57.6%-0.45-
Sector ETF (XLK)19.7%25.9%0.6825.9%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5728.5%
Gold (GLD)20.6%18.6%0.902.3%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.6%0.411.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0223.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.8%0.3816.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SSTI
SSTI-8.1%62.4%0.12-
Sector ETF (XLK)24.1%24.9%0.8826.0%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7226.7%
Gold (GLD)12.7%16.2%0.641.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.0%0.366.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2020.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.0311.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 715202616.6%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity13.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/13/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/14/20260.8%1.1%14.2%
3/3/2026-18.9%-7.2%-16.3%
11/12/2025-14.1%-25.7%-8.7%
5/13/2025-1.4%-6.5%0.4%
2/25/202523.6%14.1%39.4%
11/12/2024-7.4%-2.6%6.2%
5/14/2024-3.4%0.6%-3.6%
2/27/2024-2.8%-9.5%-13.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive71011
# Negative151211
Median Positive14.3%11.1%11.5%
Median Negative-6.5%-7.9%-13.9%
Max Positive28.3%37.0%40.2%
Max Negative-21.5%-25.7%-21.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/14/20260.8%1.1%14.2%
3/3/2026-18.9%-7.2%-16.3%
11/12/2025-14.1%-25.7%-8.7%
5/13/2025-1.4%-6.5%0.4%
2/25/202523.6%14.1%39.4%
11/12/2024-7.4%-2.6%6.2%
5/14/2024-3.4%0.6%-3.6%
2/27/2024-2.8%-9.5%-13.9%
11/7/20238.7%31.5%40.2%
8/8/2023-19.8%-1.3%-1.5%
5/9/2023-21.5%-25.2%-21.4%
2/22/2023-4.6%1.2%7.1%
11/14/2022-2.7%-2.0%1.2%
8/9/202214.3%8.8%-11.0%
5/10/20223.2%15.3%20.7%
2/22/2022-4.6%2.1%11.5%
11/9/2021-9.4%-7.5%-14.9%
8/10/2021-6.5%-8.3%-19.6%
5/11/202125.4%37.0%25.9%
2/25/2021-6.2%-20.1%-17.6%
11/9/2020-11.7%-16.6%-7.5%
8/6/202028.3%13.4%9.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive71011
# Negative151211
Median Positive14.3%11.1%11.5%
Median Negative-6.5%-7.9%-13.9%
Max Positive28.3%37.0%40.2%
Max Negative-21.5%-25.7%-21.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202503/30/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202408/15/202410-Q
03/31/202405/15/202410-Q
12/31/202304/01/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202503/30/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202408/15/202410-Q
03/31/202405/15/202410-Q
12/31/202304/01/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202203/14/202310-K
09/30/202211/09/202210-Q
06/30/202208/10/202210-Q
03/31/202205/16/202210-Q
12/31/202103/29/202210-K
09/30/202111/15/202110-Q
06/30/202108/12/202110-Q
03/31/202105/12/202110-Q
12/31/202003/29/202110-K
09/30/202011/09/202010-Q
06/30/202008/10/202010-Q
03/31/202005/11/202010-Q
12/31/201903/13/202010-K
09/30/201911/12/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue109.00 Mil110.00 Mil111.00 Mil  AffirmedGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Revenue Growth 6.0%    
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin16.0%17.0%18.0% 0AffirmedGuidance: 17.0% for 2026
2027 Annual Recurring Revenue 110.00 Mil   AffirmedGuidance: 110.00 Mil for 2027

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue109.00 Mil110.00 Mil111.00 Mil   
2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin16.0%17.0%18.0%-57.5%-23.0%LoweredGuidance: 40.0% for 2026
2027 Annual Recurring Revenue 110.00 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 6/9/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22420267.1415,773112,68214,573,081Form
2Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22420267.047,01649,37414,244,424Form
3Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22020267.078,74861,84814,261,010Form
4Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22020267.14105,880755,98314,339,748Form
5Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.4131,000229,71014,097,436Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22420267.1415,773112,68214,573,081Form
2Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22420267.047,01649,37414,244,424Form
3Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22020267.078,74861,84814,261,010Form
4Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy22020267.14105,880755,98314,339,748Form
5Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.4131,000229,71014,097,436Form
6Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.6414,612111,63614,298,168Form
7Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.0378,696553,23313,053,838Form
8Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.03100,610707,28812,500,605Form
9Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.2910,61677,39112,229,485Form
10Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820266.954,16728,96111,585,330Form
11Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820266.84105,097718,86311,230,965Form
12Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.0417,000119,68010,819,473Form
13Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.2310,00072,30010,988,566Form
14Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820266.80187,7021,276,37410,267,028Form
15Veradace, Partners LP DirectBuy21820267.0718,985134,2249,347,636Form
16Golzadeh, NasimSee remarksDirectSell120220256.032,30613,910534,471Form
17Golzadeh, NasimSee remarksDirectSell112020256.104612,810554,136Form
18Golzadeh, NasimSee remarksDirectSell904202511.801,99423,5311,078,230Form
19Clark, Ralph APresident and CEODirectSell904202511.8016,161190,7116,946,340Form
20Golzadeh, NasimSee remarksDirectSell902202512.573454,3361,173,511Form
21Golzadeh, NasimSee remarksDirectSell820202512.714255,4031,191,341Form
22Edwards, ErinSVP, SalesDirectSell603202515.4688113,617470,617Form
23Golzadeh, NasimSee remarksDirectSell603202515.461,80927,9601,454,926Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/23/2026